Yankees vs Red Sox Game Breakdown

Get ready for an epic showdown as the New York Yankees roll into Fenway Park, bats blazing, to challenge the Boston Red Sox tonight at 07:10 PM EST. With the Yankees just a swing away at 2.5 games back and the Sox chasing their tails at 6.5 in the American League, this game is more than just a classic rivalry; it’s a battle for conference supremacy. Both teams are itching to bounce back from tough losses, setting the stage for a high-stakes duel under a sunny Boston sky, with a gentle northern breeze perfect for flying balls. The betting lines are buzzing, with odds as tight as a well-oiled mitt, hinting at a game that’s anyone’s call. So, as the over/under teeters at a tantalizing 9.0, fans are left wondering: will the Yankees’ stripes earn their stars tonight, or will the Red Sox sock it to ’em in their own backyard?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 26, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 5.8 mph. Temperature is at 81.0° with 35% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYY ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-114	-106	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-120	+100	9.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-6	+206	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

159W-132L

54.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

150W-136L

45.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/14/24	New York Yankees NYY	8	Push	-0.0
06/14/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Push	-0.0
06/15/24	New York Yankees NYY	4	Over	+3.0
06/15/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+3.0
06/16/24	New York Yankees NYY	3	Over	+3.0
06/16/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	9	Over	+3.0
07/05/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-1.0
07/05/24	New York Yankees NYY	3	Under	-1.0
07/06/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+9.0
07/06/24	New York Yankees NYY	14	Over	+9.0
07/07/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Under	-6.0
07/07/24	New York Yankees NYY	0	Under	-6.0
06/09/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Under	-4.0
06/09/23	New York Yankees NYY	2	Under	-4.0
06/10/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-5.0
06/10/23	New York Yankees NYY	3	Under	-5.0
06/11/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Under	-4.0
06/11/23	New York Yankees NYY	2	Under	-4.0
06/16/23	New York Yankees NYY	5	Over	+11.0
06/16/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	15	Over	+11.0
06/18/23	New York Yankees NYY	2	Under	-1.0
06/18/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Under	-1.0
06/18/23	New York Yankees NYY	1	Under	-4.0
06/18/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Under	-4.0
08/18/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+2.0
08/18/23	New York Yankees NYY	3	Over	+2.0
08/19/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Push	-0.0
08/19/23	New York Yankees NYY	1	Push	-0.0
08/20/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	6	Over	+2.0
08/20/23	New York Yankees NYY	5	Over	+2.0
09/12/23	New York Yankees NYY	3	Under	-4.0
09/12/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-4.0
09/12/23	New York Yankees NYY	4	Under	-4.0
09/12/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-4.0
09/14/23	New York Yankees NYY	0	Under	-4.0
09/14/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Under	-4.0
09/14/23	New York Yankees NYY	8	Over	+4.0
09/14/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Over	+4.0

Yankees Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Nestor Cortes

ERA 3.986 | IP 119.7 | 4.0W-9.0L | KO 111.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-20-24	vsTB	9-1L	4.3	8	6	1	Over
07-11-24	@TB	4-5L	4.3	7	5	4	Under
07-05-24	vsBOS	5-3L	6.0	3	1	8	Under
06-29-24	@TOR	3-9L	4.3	7	3	5	Over
06-23-24	vsATL	3-1L	7.0	5	3	7	Under
06-18-24	vsBAL	2-4W	6.0	5	0	6	Under
06-13-24	@KC	3-4L	7.0	6	2	2	Under
06-08-24	vsLAD	11-3L	5.3	7	4	4	Over
06-02-24	@SF	7-5W	4.3	7	3	7	Over
05-28-24	@LAA	3-4L	5.3	5	2	4	Under

Brayan Bello

ERA 5.34 | IP 89.3 | 9.0W-5.0L | KO 89.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-20-24	@LAD	6-7L	6.0	5	3	7	Over
07-09-24	vsOAK	9-12W	5.3	9	5	11	Over
07-03-24	@MIA	7-2W	6.7	7	1	7	Under
06-25-24	vsTOR	9-4L	2.3	5	7	2	Over
06-19-24	@TOR	7-3W	6.0	7	2	6	Over
06-14-24	vsNYY	8-1L	4.7	6	5	5	Under
06-08-24	@CWS	1-6L	4.7	9	5	2	Under
06-02-24	vsDET	8-4L	6.3	8	4	5	Over
05-28-24	@BAL	8-3W	5.0	5	3	7	Over
05-22-24	@TB	8-5W	6.0	4	3	6	Over

Yankees Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/26	@ NYM	3-12L	6	2	Over
07/25	@ NYM	2-3L	5	1	Under
07/24	@ TB	9-1W	15	5	Over
07/23	@ TB	4-6L	9	1	Over
07/22	@ TB	1-9L	5	0	Over
07/21	@ TB	6-1W	9	0	Under
07/15	vs BAL	6-1W	10	3	Under
07/14	vs BAL	4-1W	7	1	Under
07/13	vs TB	4-5L	8	2	Under
07/12	vs TB	2-1W	6	0	Under
07/11	vs TB	3-5L	7	1	Under
07/09	@ BOS	0-3L	4	0	Under
07/08	@ BOS	14-4W	14	4	Over
07/07	@ BOS	3-5L	6	0	Under
07/06	@ CIN	4-8L	7	3	Over

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/26	vs COL	7-20L	11	1	Over
07/25	vs COL	6-0W	11	2	Under
07/24	vs COL	8-9L	13	2	Over
07/23	vs LAD	6-9L	9	1	Over
07/22	vs LAD	6-7L	10	2	Over
07/21	vs LAD	1-4L	9	1	Under
07/15	@ KC	5-0W	12	1	Under
07/14	@ KC	1-6L	5	0	Under
07/13	@ OAK	7-0W	10	3	Under
07/12	@ OAK	2-5L	8	1	Under
07/11	@ OAK	12-9W	13	2	Over
07/09	vs NYY	3-0W	6	3	Under
07/08	vs NYY	4-14L	8	1	Over
07/07	vs NYY	5-3W	8	3	Under
07/06	vs MIA	6-5W	8	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

New York Yankees	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Ben Rice	9.7	13.2	0.196	0.402	0.359	0.761	0.308	0.054
#1 Jose Rojas	12.0	12.0	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#2 Juan Soto	13.3	17.8	0.315	0.608	0.547	1.155	0.436	0.072
#3 Aaron Judge	11.2	15.1	0.311	0.675	0.542	1.217	0.459	0.097
#4 Austin Wells	8.8	11.8	0.229	0.397	0.402	0.799	0.321	0.039
#5 Anthony Volpe	9.0	11.5	0.251	0.376	0.329	0.704	0.290	0.017
#6 Alex Verdugo	8.9	11.7	0.231	0.370	0.316	0.686	0.284	0.027
#7 Gleyber Torres	7.5	9.8	0.231	0.363	0.349	0.711	0.292	0.029
#8 Trent Grisham	7.5	10.3	0.160	0.312	0.320	0.632	0.262	0.040
#9 DJ LeMahieu	5.9	7.8	0.179	0.224	0.313	0.537	0.227	0.007

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran	8.4	10.9	0.286	0.506	0.384	0.890	0.359	0.031
#2 Rob Refsnyder	8.5	11.0	0.303	0.457	0.451	0.909	0.362	0.023
#3 Connor Wong	7.9	10.1	0.297	0.437	0.399	0.837	0.340	0.034
#4 Rafael Devers	7.8	10.4	0.289	0.575	0.428	1.003	0.397	0.066
#5 Tyler O’Neill	8.7	11.5	0.268	0.539	0.409	0.948	0.377	0.074
#6 Masataka Yoshida	6.9	9.0	0.276	0.389	0.395	0.784	0.321	0.022
#7 Romy Gonzalez	6.6	8.3	0.272	0.391	0.348	0.739	0.305	0.011
#8 Ceddanne Rafaela	6.5	8.4	0.251	0.414	0.291	0.706	0.293	0.031
#9 Jamie Westbrook	5.6	7.8	0.171	0.400	0.314	0.714	0.293	0.057

Yankees Notable Injuries

Jose Trevino OUT (C): Avg: 0.244 SLG:0.411 Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 1.6

Red Sox Notable Injuries

Justin Slaten OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/09/24. Impact: 1.6
Chris Martin OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/05/24. Impact: 1.4