Yankees vs Mariners Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the electric atmosphere of T-Mobile Park tonight as the high-flying New York Yankees, fresh off a dominating win, look to continue their hot streak against the Seattle Mariners, who are itching to turn the tide after yesterday’s rough waters. With the first pitch set to soar at 09:40 PM EST, the stakes are sky-high. The Yankees are gunning to solidify their top spot in the American League, while the Mariners, trailing by a few games, are desperate to reel in some much-needed victories. The betting lines are buzzing, the over/under tantalizingly set at 7.5, promising a clash that’s as unpredictable as the overcast, breezy evening forecasted in Seattle. Will the Yankees sail smoothly to another victory, or will the Mariners anchor down and weather the storm? Either way, tonight’s matchup is shaping up to be nothing short of a Mariners’ catch or a Yankees’ home run derby!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 18, 2024 09:40PM EST

Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Weather: Overcast with winds from the NNW at 3.6 mph. Temperature is at 60.1° with 83% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYY ML	SEA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-122	+102	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-122	+102	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	0	0	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

171W-142L

55.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

175W-136L

45.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/20/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Over	+1.5
05/20/24	New York Yankees NYY	4	Over	+1.5
05/21/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	6	Over	+1.5
05/21/24	New York Yankees NYY	3	Over	+1.5
05/22/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Over	+2.5
05/22/24	New York Yankees NYY	7	Over	+2.5
05/23/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	0	Under	-2.5
05/23/24	New York Yankees NYY	5	Under	-2.5
09/17/24	New York Yankees NYY	11	Over	+5.5
09/17/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Over	+5.5
05/29/23	New York Yankees NYY	10	Over	+6.5
05/29/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	4	Over	+6.5
05/30/23	New York Yankees NYY	10	Over	+4.5
05/30/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Over	+4.5
05/31/23	New York Yankees NYY	0	Under	-6.5
05/31/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	1	Under	-6.5
06/20/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	1	Under	-3.5
06/20/23	New York Yankees NYY	3	Under	-3.5
06/21/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	2	Under	-1.5
06/21/23	New York Yankees NYY	4	Under	-1.5
06/22/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	10	Over	+4.5
06/22/23	New York Yankees NYY	2	Over	+4.5

Yankees Vs Over/Under

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Nestor Cortes

ERA 3.903 | IP 168.3 | 9.0W-10.0L | KO 156.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-12-24	vsBOS	1-2W	5.0	3	1	9	Under
09-07-24	@CHC	2-0W	4.3	0	0	3	Under
09-01-24	vsSTL	14-7L	4.0	9	5	2	Over
08-26-24	@WAS	5-2W	6.7	4	1	5	Under
08-21-24	vsCLE	1-8W	7.0	3	0	4	Over
08-13-24	@CWS	4-1W	7.0	3	0	9	Under
08-08-24	vsLAA	9-4L	4.7	9	6	2	Over
07-31-24	@PHI	6-5W	5.3	3	3	6	Over
07-26-24	@BOS	7-9L	4.7	9	4	5	Over
07-20-24	vsTB	9-1L	4.3	8	6	1	Over

Bryce Miller

ERA 3.12 | IP 167.3 | 11.0W-8.0L | KO 158.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-12-24	vsTEX	5-4L	6.0	5	1	7	Over
09-06-24	@STL	6-1W	6.0	3	0	4	Under
09-01-24	@LAA	2-3L	4.7	4	3	4	Under
08-26-24	vsTB	1-5W	7.0	2	1	10	Under
08-20-24	@LAD	3-6L	4.0	5	2	5	Over
08-15-24	@DET	1-2L	7.0	2	0	9	Under
08-09-24	vsNYM	0-6W	6.0	3	0	6	Under
08-03-24	vsPHI	5-6W	4.3	6	4	4	Over
07-28-24	@CWS	6-3W	6.3	7	3	6	Over
07-22-24	vsLAA	3-1L	7.0	3	0	5	Under

Yankees Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/19	vs SEA	11-2W	12	2	Over
09/17	@ BOS	5-2W	9	2	Under
09/16	@ BOS	1-7L	5	0	Push
09/15	@ BOS	5-4W	7	1	Over
09/14	@ BOS	2-1W	7	1	Under
09/13	@ KC	4-3W	6	1	Under
09/12	@ KC	0-5L	3	0	Under
09/11	@ KC	10-4W	12	2	Over
09/10	vs CHC	1-2L	6	0	Under
09/09	vs CHC	2-0W	4	0	Under
09/08	vs CHC	3-0W	7	0	Under
09/06	vs TEX	6-10L	8	2	Over
09/05	vs TEX	4-7L	10	0	Over
09/04	vs TEX	8-4W	12	1	Over
09/03	@ STL	7-14L	11	1	Over

Mariners Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/19	@ NYY	2-11L	9	2	Over
09/17	@ TEX	7-0W	14	2	Under
09/16	@ TEX	5-4W	10	2	Over
09/15	@ TEX	5-4W	10	1	Over
09/14	@ TEX	4-5L	6	1	Over
09/13	@ SD	5-2W	5	0	Under
09/12	@ SD	3-7L	10	2	Over
09/10	vs STL	10-4W	13	2	Over
09/09	vs STL	0-2L	5	0	Under
09/08	vs STL	6-1W	11	1	Under
09/07	vs OAK	6-4W	11	3	Over
09/06	vs OAK	16-3W	16	1	Over
09/05	vs OAK	2-3L	5	0	Under
09/04	vs OAK	4-5L	6	1	Over
09/03	vs LAA	2-3L	5	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

New York Yankees	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Gleyber Torres	6.7	8.8	0.254	0.375	0.375	0.750	0.306	0.026
#2 Juan Soto	9.4	12.7	0.290	0.582	0.520	1.102	0.419	0.074
#3 Aaron Judge	8.9	12.0	0.326	0.697	0.570	1.267	0.474	0.100
#4 Austin Wells	7.1	9.5	0.248	0.429	0.388	0.817	0.329	0.040
#5 Giancarlo Stanton	6.5	8.6	0.233	0.474	0.324	0.798	0.326	0.065
#6 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	7.7	9.9	0.258	0.435	0.359	0.794	0.323	0.042
#7 Jasson Dominguez	6.3	8.1	0.167	0.292	0.333	0.625	0.258	0.042
#8 Anthony Rizzo	5.9	7.7	0.215	0.325	0.312	0.637	0.266	0.026
#9 Anthony Volpe	4.8	6.1	0.246	0.369	0.317	0.685	0.284	0.018

Seattle Mariners	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Julio Rodriguez	8.9	11.4	0.268	0.393	0.350	0.742	0.305	0.031
#2 Randy Arozarena	8.7	11.5	0.220	0.396	0.386	0.782	0.317	0.039
#3 Cal Raleigh	7.5	10.2	0.213	0.428	0.361	0.789	0.319	0.061
#4 Justin Turner	7.1	9.3	0.255	0.376	0.409	0.785	0.318	0.023
#5 Mitch Garver	7.3	10.0	0.174	0.337	0.346	0.683	0.280	0.038
#6 Dylan Moore	6.9	9.1	0.205	0.381	0.375	0.757	0.307	0.029
#7 Luis Urias	5.7	7.9	0.178	0.378	0.333	0.711	0.294	0.044
#8 Mitch Haniger	5.7	7.5	0.209	0.339	0.317	0.656	0.271	0.033
#9 Jorge Polanco	5.8	7.7	0.203	0.347	0.331	0.677	0.279	0.040

Yankees Notable Injuries

DJ LeMahieu OUT (1B): Avg: 0.204 SLG:0.259 Last game: 09/05/24. Impact: 1.6

Mariners Notable Injuries

Luis Castillo OUT (SP): Avg: 0.0 SLG:0.0 Last game: 09/10/24. Impact: 7.6
Yimi Garcia OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/21/24. Impact: 0.4