Phillies vs Reds Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 23rd 2024

Get ready to slide into some Major League excitement as the Philadelphia Phillies gallop into the Great American Ball Park, ready to duel it out with the Cincinnati Reds under a partly cloudy sky tonight at 06:40PM EST. With the Phillies just a swing away from the top of the National League standings and the Reds looking to catch up, this showdown is more than just a game—it’s a quest for conference supremacy. The stakes are high, the bats are hot, and the lines are drawn with Philly favored slightly in what’s expected to be a tight clash. Fresh off a dominant performance against each other, both teams are charged up and ready to go. So, who will reign supreme? Will the Phillies ride their winning streak, or will the Reds ignite a fiery comeback? Only time will tell, but one thing’s for sure—this game is set to be an absolute ‘Phil-nomenal’ face-off, with a ‘Red-hot’ chase to the finish!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 23, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SSW at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 51.1° with 68% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	CIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-132	+110	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-126	+106	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+6	-4	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

121W-125L

55.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

119W-133L

44.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/01/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+0.5
04/01/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+0.5
04/02/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+4.5
04/02/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	9	Over	+4.5
04/03/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-3.5
04/03/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-3.5
04/22/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Under	-1.5
04/22/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	0	Under	-1.5
04/07/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-1.5
04/07/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-1.5
04/08/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-3.5
04/08/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-3.5
04/09/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+1.5
04/09/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+1.5
04/13/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-0.5
04/13/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Under	-0.5
04/14/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+2.5
04/14/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+2.5
04/15/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	0	Over	+4.5
04/15/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	13	Over	+4.5
04/16/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	14	Over	+8.5
04/16/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+8.5

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Reds Vs Over/Under

Cristopher Sanchez

ERA 2.531 | IP 21.3 | 1.0W-2.0L | KO 25.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-22-24	@CIN	7-0W	7.0	2	0	5	Under
04-16-24	vsCOL	0-5W	9.0	7	0	8	Under
04-11-24	vsPIT	1-5W	6.0	2	0	8	Under
04-06-24	@WAS	5-2W	6.0	4	2	4	Under
03-31-24	vsATL	4-5W	5.0	3	3	7	Over
09-27-23	vsPIT	6-7W	4.7	9	6	4	Over
09-21-23	vsNYM	4-5W	6.7	5	4	6	Over
09-16-23	@STL	6-1W	6.0	4	1	5	Under
09-10-23	vsMIA	5-4L	6.3	2	3	10	Over
09-03-23	@MIL	4-2W	4.0	5	2	5	Under
04-17-24	vsCOL	6-7W	6.0	5	1	10	Over
04-12-24	vsPIT	5-2L	6.0	4	2	6	Under
04-07-24	@WAS	2-3L	4.3	6	3	1	Under
04-01-24	vsCIN	6-3L	5.0	5	2	8	Over
09-30-23	@NYM	4-11L	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-24-23	vsNYM	2-5W	7.0	3	2	10	Under
09-19-23	@ATL	3-9L	4.0	7	3	2	Over
09-13-23	vsATL	4-1L	7.3	8	4	10	Under
09-08-23	vsMIA	3-2L	5.0	4	0	4	Under
08-30-23	vsLAA	10-8L	4.7	7	5	5	Over

Andrew Abbott

ERA 2.7 | IP 23.3 | 1.0W-2.0L | KO 17.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-22-24	vsPHI	7-0L	7.0	7	4	6	Under
04-16-24	@SEA	1-3L	4.0	4	1	8	Under
04-10-24	vsMIL	7-2L	6.0	6	7	9	Over
04-05-24	vsNYM	3-2L	6.0	3	1	6	Under
03-30-24	vsWAS	7-6L	4.7	5	2	7	Over
10-01-23	@STL	3-4L	5.0	9	4	6	Under
09-26-23	@CLE	11-7W	3.0	8	7	3	Over
09-20-23	vsMIN	5-3L	7.0	3	1	14	Under
09-15-23	@NYM	5-3W	5.7	4	3	6	Under
09-10-23	vsSTL	1-7W	6.0	1	1	9	Under
04-17-24	@SEA	1-5L	6.0	4	2	6	Under
04-12-24	@CWS	11-1W	7.0	4	1	3	Over
04-07-24	vsNYM	3-1L	5.0	7	3	4	Under
04-01-24	@PHI	6-3W	5.3	3	2	4	Over
09-27-23	@CLE	3-4L	2.3	8	3	1	Under
09-22-23	vsPIT	7-5L	4.3	4	2	7	Over
09-16-23	@NYM	3-2W	3.7	6	2	5	Under
09-08-23	vsSTL	9-4L	4.0	4	6	3	Over
09-02-23	vsCHC	1-2W	6.3	4	1	5	Under
08-28-23	@SF	1-4L	3.3	5	3	6	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/24	vs CIN	7-0W	9	1	Under
04/23	@ CWS	8-2W	11	1	Over
04/22	@ CWS	9-5W	12	1	Over
04/21	@ CWS	7-0W	7	3	Under
04/19	@ COL	7-6W	12	3	Over
04/18	@ COL	5-0W	7	2	Under
04/17	@ COL	2-1W	6	0	Under
04/16	@ PIT	2-8L	8	1	Over
04/15	@ PIT	4-3W	9	1	Under
04/14	@ PIT	2-5L	7	0	Under
04/13	@ PIT	5-1W	7	3	Under
04/12	vs STL	4-3W	8	0	Under
04/11	vs STL	0-3L	8	0	Under
04/10	vs STL	5-3W	10	1	Under
04/09	vs WAS	2-3L	5	1	Under

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/24	@ PHI	0-7L	2	0	Under
04/23	@ LAA	3-0W	5	0	Under
04/22	@ LAA	7-5W	8	1	Over
04/21	@ LAA	7-1W	5	2	Under
04/19	vs SEA	1-5L	1	1	Under
04/18	vs SEA	1-3L	4	0	Under
04/17	vs SEA	3-9L	7	2	Over
04/16	vs CWS	11-4W	11	2	Over
04/15	vs CWS	5-0W	4	0	Under
04/14	vs CWS	11-1W	12	2	Over
04/12	@ MIL	2-7L	4	1	Over
04/11	@ MIL	5-9L	10	0	Over
04/10	@ MIL	10-8W	10	3	Over
04/09	@ NYM	1-3L	3	0	Under
04/08	@ NYM	9-6W	8	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	10.7	14.4	0.209	0.419	38.4%	80.2%	7.0%
#2 Trea Turner	11.2	14.2	0.34	0.489	42.6%	91.5%	2.1%
#3 Alec Bohm	8.4	11.2	0.295	0.5	46.2%	96.2%	3.8%
#4 J.T. Realmuto	8.9	11.5	0.231	0.359	29.5%	65.4%	3.8%
#5 Brandon Marsh	8.5	11.0	0.275	0.536	34.8%	88.4%	7.2%
#6 Nick Castellanos	8.2	10.4	0.193	0.217	27.7%	49.4%	0.0%
#7 Whit Merrifield	7.6	9.7	0.129	0.226	19.4%	41.9%	3.2%
#7 Bryson Stott	7.1	9.3	0.217	0.275	33.3%	60.9%	1.4%
#8 Johan Rojas	7.3	9.0	0.263	0.333	35.1%	68.4%	0.0%
#8 Edmundo Sosa	6.6	8.6	0.3	0.6	30.0%	90.0%	10.0%

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#2 Elly De La Cruz	7.6	10.0	0.293	0.613	46.7%	108.0%	8.0%
#3 Spencer Steer	9.4	12.6	0.295	0.513	48.7%	100.0%	3.8%
#4 C. Encarnacion-Strand	7.4	9.9	0.19	0.321	20.2%	52.4%	2.4%
#5 Jeimer Candelario	8.5	11.4	0.197	0.394	31.8%	71.2%	3.0%
#6 Stuart Fairchild	6.9	8.8	0.25	0.273	34.1%	61.4%	0.0%
#7 Tyler Stephenson	7.2	9.9	0.204	0.426	33.3%	75.9%	5.6%
#8 Santiago Espinal	6.2	8.3	0.119	0.143	26.2%	40.5%	0.0%
#8 Luke Maile	5.4	7.5	0.12	0.24	28.0%	52.0%	4.0%
#9 Bubba Thompson	5.3	6.8	0.118	0.176	11.8%	29.4%	0.0%