Phillies vs Reds Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Apr 25th 2024

Get ready to slide into your seats, folks, because today’s MLB showdown at the Great American Ball Park is nothing short of electric! The Philadelphia Phillies, sitting pretty with 15 wins, are looking to steal the spotlight back from the Cincinnati Reds, who just edged them out in their last meeting. With the first pitch at 01:10 PM EST, the stakes are sky-high as the Phillies trail by three games in the National League, while the Reds are hot on their heels, just 1.5 games behind. Odds makers are stirring the pot too, setting the line at a tantalizing over/under of 8.5. And with the weather playing nice – a cool, partly cloudy day with a brisk breeze – it’s the perfect backdrop for some major league drama. So, as the Phillies aim to ring the Liberty Bell of victory and the Reds look to paint the town red again, this matchup is sure to be a home run of excitement!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 25, 2024 01:10PM EST

Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NE at 11.9 mph. Temperature is at 46.0° with 60% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	CIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-157	+131	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-184	+152	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-27	+21	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

121W-127L

64.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

121W-133L

35.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/01/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+0.5
04/01/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+0.5
04/02/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+4.5
04/02/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	9	Over	+4.5
04/03/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-3.5
04/03/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-3.5
04/22/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Under	-1.5
04/22/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	0	Under	-1.5
04/23/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Over	+0.5
04/23/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+0.5
04/24/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+2.5
04/24/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+2.5
04/07/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-1.5
04/07/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-1.5
04/08/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-3.5
04/08/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-3.5
04/09/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+1.5
04/09/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+1.5
04/13/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-0.5
04/13/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Under	-0.5
04/14/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+2.5
04/14/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+2.5
04/15/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	0	Over	+4.5
04/15/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	13	Over	+4.5
04/16/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	14	Over	+8.5
04/16/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+8.5

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Reds Vs Over/Under

Zack Wheeler

ERA 2.298 | IP 31.3 | 1.0W-3.0L | KO 38.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-20-24	vsCWS	5-9W	7.3	1	0	8	Over
04-14-24	vsPIT	9-2L	5.0	5	5	10	Over
04-09-24	@STL	0-3L	7.0	6	3	5	Under
04-03-24	vsCIN	4-1L	6.0	3	3	10	Under
03-29-24	vsATL	9-3L	6.0	5	0	5	Over
09-28-23	vsPIT	3-2L	4.0	4	1	5	Under
09-23-23	vsNYM	5-7W	7.0	8	5	6	Over
09-18-23	@ATL	7-1W	6.0	3	1	5	Push
09-12-23	vsATL	7-6L	5.0	7	6	4	Over
09-06-23	@SD	5-1W	6.0	1	0	7	Under

Nick Martinez

ERA 4.765 | IP 17.0 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 14.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-20-24	vsLAA	5-7W	3.0	2	0	2	Over
04-15-24	@SEA	3-9L	4.0	3	1	3	Over
04-06-24	vsNYM	6-9W	5.0	8	5	6	Over
03-31-24	vsWAS	5-6W	5.0	6	3	3	Over
09-29-23	@CWS	3-2L	5.0	2	0	8	Under
09-23-23	@STL	5-2L	4.0	2	0	3	Under
09-17-23	@OAK	10-1L	3.0	1	0	5	Over
09-13-23	@LAD	6-1L	1.0	1	0	0	Under
09-09-23	@HOU	5-7W	0.7	4	1	0	Over
09-06-23	@PHI	5-1L	2.3	1	0	4	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/26	vs CIN	4-7L	11	0	Over
04/25	vs CIN	1-8L	5	0	Over
04/24	vs CIN	7-0W	9	1	Under
04/23	@ CWS	8-2W	11	1	Over
04/22	@ CWS	9-5W	12	1	Over
04/21	@ CWS	7-0W	7	3	Under
04/19	@ COL	7-6W	12	3	Over
04/18	@ COL	5-0W	7	2	Under
04/17	@ COL	2-1W	6	0	Under
04/16	@ PIT	2-8L	8	1	Over
04/15	@ PIT	4-3W	9	1	Under
04/14	@ PIT	2-5L	7	0	Under
04/13	@ PIT	5-1W	7	3	Under
04/12	vs STL	4-3W	8	0	Under
04/11	vs STL	0-3L	8	0	Under

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/26	@ PHI	7-4W	10	1	Over
04/25	@ PHI	8-1W	9	2	Over
04/24	@ PHI	0-7L	2	0	Under
04/23	@ LAA	3-0W	5	0	Under
04/22	@ LAA	7-5W	8	1	Over
04/21	@ LAA	7-1W	5	2	Push
04/19	vs SEA	1-5L	1	1	Under
04/18	vs SEA	1-3L	4	0	Under
04/17	vs SEA	3-9L	7	2	Over
04/16	vs CWS	11-4W	11	2	Over
04/15	vs CWS	5-0W	4	0	Under
04/14	vs CWS	11-1W	12	2	Over
04/12	@ MIL	2-7L	4	1	Over
04/11	@ MIL	5-9L	10	0	Over
04/10	@ MIL	10-8W	10	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	10.3	13.9	0.202	0.394	38.3%	77.7%	6.4%
#2 Trea Turner	11.2	14.2	0.324	0.461	41.2%	87.3%	2.0%
#3 Bryce Harper	10.8	14.4	0.241	0.443	38.0%	82.3%	5.1%
#4 Alec Bohm	8.2	10.9	0.337	0.558	50.0%	105.8%	3.5%
#5 J.T. Realmuto	9.3	12.1	0.232	0.366	29.3%	65.9%	3.7%
#6 Brandon Marsh	8.7	11.3	0.271	0.529	34.3%	87.1%	7.1%
#7 Nick Castellanos	8.0	10.2	0.174	0.196	25.0%	44.6%	0.0%
#8 Bryson Stott	7.2	9.4	0.217	0.275	33.3%	60.9%	1.4%
#9 Johan Rojas	6.6	8.2	0.266	0.328	35.9%	68.8%	0.0%

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Will Benson	8.3	10.9	0.203	0.43	32.9%	75.9%	3.8%
#2 Elly De La Cruz	8.7	11.5	0.313	0.651	48.2%	113.3%	8.4%
#3 Spencer Steer	6.5	8.8	0.267	0.465	45.3%	91.9%	3.5%
#4 C. Encarnacion-Strand	7.0	9.4	0.209	0.341	24.2%	58.2%	2.2%
#5 Nick Martini	6.5	8.9	0.2	0.418	23.6%	65.5%	5.5%
#6 Jonathan India	5.8	7.8	0.174	0.232	40.6%	63.8%	0.0%
#7 Jeimer Candelario	6.2	8.4	0.183	0.366	33.8%	70.4%	2.8%
#8 Santiago Espinal	5.2	6.9	0.204	0.286	32.7%	61.2%	2.0%
#9 Luke Maile	4.6	6.5	0.12	0.24	28.0%	52.0%	4.0%