Phillies vs Brewers Game Breakdown

Get ready to crank up the excitement tonight as the Philadelphia Phillies, boasting an impressive 89-59 record, roll into Milwaukee to clash with the 86-63 Brewers at the iconic American Family Field. With the first pitch slated for 07:40 PM EST, both teams are neck-and-neck in the National League standings, promising a showdown that could tilt the scales. The betting scene is buzzing too, with a tight line setting the stage for a nail-biter. The Phillies are riding high off a recent triumph over the Mets, while the Brewers are itching to bounce back from a heartbreaker against Arizona. Throw in some partly cloudy skies, a gentle breeze, and just the right touch of humidity, and you’ve got the perfect backdrop for tonight’s action. So, as the Phillies aim to brew up a storm against Milwaukee, let’s see who really gets to pour the victory beers!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 16, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SE at 7.8 mph. Temperature is at 78.1° with 67% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-111	-109	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-113	-107	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-2	+2	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

154W-156L

53.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

179W-131L

46.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/03/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-4.0
06/03/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-4.0
06/04/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	1	Under	-5.0
06/04/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-5.0
06/05/24	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	0	Under	-6.0
06/05/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-6.0
07/18/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	3	Under	-1.0
07/18/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-1.0
07/19/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	5	Push	-0.0
07/19/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Push	-0.0
07/20/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	4	Under	-4.0
07/20/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	0	Under	-4.0
09/01/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+4.0
09/01/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+4.0
09/02/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+4.0
09/02/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	7	Over	+4.0
09/03/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-2.0
09/03/23	Milwaukee Brewers MIL	2	Under	-2.0

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Brewers Vs Over/Under

Ranger Suarez

ERA 3.18 | IP 138.7 | 12.0W-6.0L | KO 134.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-10-24	vsTB	4-9W	5.3	12	4	2	Over
09-05-24	@MIA	5-2W	5.0	3	0	4	Under
08-30-24	vsATL	7-2L	4.0	5	4	6	Over
08-24-24	@KC	11-2W	5.0	4	1	6	Over
07-22-24	@MIN	2-7L	5.3	7	3	4	Over
07-12-24	vsOAK	6-2L	6.0	6	4	6	Push
07-06-24	@ATL	1-5L	5.0	6	5	7	Under
06-30-24	vsMIA	6-7W	4.7	9	6	0	Over
06-25-24	@DET	1-4L	6.0	9	4	4	Under
06-19-24	vsSD	5-2L	6.0	6	1	4	Under

Aaron Civale

ERA 4.696 | IP 145.7 | 6.0W-8.0L | KO 136.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-10-24	@SF	3-2W	5.3	3	2	2	Under
09-03-24	vsSTL	7-4L	5.0	6	3	7	Over
08-29-24	vsSF	0-6W	7.0	2	0	7	Under
08-23-24	@OAK	11-3W	4.0	4	3	3	Over
08-16-24	vsCLE	3-5W	6.0	4	0	4	Push
08-09-24	vsCIN	3-8W	6.3	5	2	5	Over
08-03-24	@WAS	4-6L	4.0	7	5	3	Over
07-27-24	vsMIA	7-3L	5.3	7	2	3	Over
07-21-24	@MIN	8-7W	4.3	4	5	4	Over
07-11-24	vsPIT	1-0L	6.3	6	1	6	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/17	@ NYM	2-1W	6	0	Under
09/16	@ NYM	6-4W	8	2	Over
09/15	@ NYM	3-11L	4	1	Over
09/13	@ TB	3-2W	5	1	Under
09/12	@ TB	9-4W	13	3	Over
09/11	@ TB	2-1W	5	1	Under
09/10	vs MIA	1-10L	5	0	Over
09/09	vs MIA	5-9L	11	0	Over
09/08	vs MIA	16-2W	22	2	Over
09/07	vs MIA	4-2W	7	1	Under
09/06	vs TOR	4-2W	8	3	Under
09/05	vs TOR	10-9W	18	3	Over
09/03	@ ATL	3-2W	6	0	Under
09/02	@ ATL	3-0W	5	2	Under
09/01	@ ATL	2-7L	7	2	Over

Brewers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/17	vs ARI	10-11L	13	2	Over
09/16	vs ARI	15-8W	16	4	Over
09/15	vs ARI	2-1W	6	1	Under
09/14	vs SF	3-0W	4	1	Under
09/13	vs SF	2-12L	6	0	Over
09/12	vs SF	3-2W	9	1	Under
09/10	@ COL	1-4L	3	0	Under
09/09	@ COL	5-2W	10	3	Under
09/08	@ COL	2-3L	4	0	Under
09/06	@ STL	2-3L	6	1	Under
09/05	@ STL	4-7L	5	2	Over
09/04	@ STL	9-3W	7	3	Over
09/03	vs CIN	3-4L	6	1	Under
09/02	vs CIN	5-4W	8	2	Over
09/01	vs CIN	5-4W	11	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	8.8	12.0	0.250	0.492	0.453	0.946	0.369	0.068
#2 Trea Turner	9.4	12.1	0.291	0.456	0.360	0.817	0.335	0.038
#3 Bryce Harper	9.6	12.7	0.288	0.534	0.429	0.962	0.382	0.056
#4 Nick Castellanos	8.0	10.5	0.245	0.411	0.330	0.741	0.305	0.036
#5 Alec Bohm	6.9	9.1	0.288	0.456	0.375	0.830	0.339	0.026
#6 Bryson Stott	6.8	8.8	0.245	0.363	0.358	0.721	0.295	0.024
#7 J.T. Realmuto	6.9	9.0	0.267	0.423	0.348	0.771	0.317	0.035
#8 Brandon Marsh	6.1	8.0	0.252	0.425	0.378	0.803	0.325	0.039
#9 Johan Rojas	5.3	6.7	0.245	0.321	0.296	0.616	0.258	0.009

Milwaukee Brewers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jackson Chourio	7.8	10.2	0.277	0.481	0.359	0.840	0.343	0.044
#2 Garrett Mitchell	7.3	9.6	0.247	0.426	0.389	0.815	0.328	0.031
#3 William Contreras	8.0	10.6	0.282	0.468	0.412	0.879	0.353	0.038
#4 Gary Sanchez	7.4	9.9	0.226	0.403	0.357	0.760	0.310	0.045
#5 Willy Adames	7.6	10.1	0.247	0.464	0.369	0.833	0.337	0.055
#6 Blake Perkins	6.7	8.7	0.247	0.344	0.366	0.710	0.291	0.017
#7 Rhys Hoskins	6.7	9.1	0.205	0.405	0.335	0.740	0.302	0.058
#8 Brice Turang	4.9	6.3	0.259	0.361	0.356	0.717	0.294	0.014
#9 Joey Ortiz	5.9	7.8	0.238	0.395	0.390	0.785	0.317	0.025

Phillies Notable Injuries

Edmundo Sosa OUT (2B/3B): Avg: 0.265 SLG:0.439 Last game: 09/08/24. Impact: 1.7
Austin Hays OUT (OF): Avg: 0.259 SLG:0.395 Last game: 09/03/24. Impact: 1.5

Brewers Notable Injuries

Bryse Wilson OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 09/03/24. Impact: 1.4
Nick Mears OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/24/24. Impact: 0.8