Phillies vs Twins Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying showdown at Target Field tonight as the red-hot Philadelphia Phillies, who are dominating the National League, clash with the formidable Minnesota Twins, who are hungry to climb up the American League standings. The first pitch is slated for 07:40 PM EST, setting the stage for a duel that’s as thrilling as the summer evening is balmy. With the Phillies fresh off a shutout victory and the Twins itching to bounce back from a nail-biter, the stakes are sky-high. Throw in a gentle breeze under partly cloudy skies, and you’ve got the perfect backdrop for what promises to be a slugfest. So, as the Phillies aim to gallop past the competition and the Twins look to chop down their rivals, tonight’s game is set to be nothing short of legendary!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 22, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: Target Field, Minnesota

Weather: Partly Cloudy with winds from the WSW at 2.5 mph. Temperature is at 72.2° with 80% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-128	+107	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-114	-106	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+14	-213	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

142W-143L

53.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

155W-128L

46.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/11/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Over	+13.5
08/11/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	13	Over	+13.5
08/12/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+7.5
08/12/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Over	+7.5
08/13/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Over	+1.5
08/13/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	0	Over	+1.5

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Twins Vs Over/Under

Ranger Suarez

ERA 2.921 | IP 114.0 | 10.0W-4.0L | KO 112.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-12-24	vsOAK	6-2L	6.0	6	4	6	Push
07-06-24	@ATL	1-5L	5.0	6	5	7	Under
06-30-24	vsMIA	6-7W	4.7	9	6	0	Over
06-25-24	@DET	1-4L	6.0	9	4	4	Under
06-19-24	vsSD	5-2L	6.0	6	1	4	Under
06-14-24	@BAL	5-3W	6.7	6	1	6	Push
06-08-24	@NYM	7-2W	5.7	8	2	6	Over
06-01-24	vsSTL	1-6W	2.0	0	0	2	Under
05-26-24	@COL	2-5L	6.0	3	5	9	Under
05-21-24	vsTEX	2-5W	7.0	5	1	10	Under

Bailey Ober

ERA 4.14 | IP 100.0 | 8.0W-5.0L | KO 106.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-10-24	@CWS	1-3L	6.0	4	3	6	Under
07-04-24	vsDET	3-12W	6.0	7	3	8	Over
06-28-24	@SEA	2-3L	6.0	2	1	9	Under
06-22-24	@OAK	10-2W	9.0	4	2	10	Over
06-16-24	vsOAK	2-6W	6.3	6	1	8	Push
06-09-24	@PIT	11-5W	4.7	7	4	5	Over
06-04-24	@NYY	1-5L	5.0	3	3	2	Under
05-29-24	vsKC	6-1L	5.0	9	6	4	Under
05-24-24	vsTEX	2-3W	5.0	4	2	5	Under
05-18-24	@CLE	4-11L	4.0	8	5	4	Over

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/23	vs PIT	6-0W	11	1	Under
07/22	vs PIT	1-4L	4	1	Under
07/21	vs PIT	7-8L	13	2	Over
07/15	@ OAK	11-5W	9	4	Over
07/14	@ OAK	2-6L	6	0	Push
07/13	@ LAD	5-1W	10	3	Under
07/12	@ LAD	4-3W	10	1	Under
07/11	@ LAD	10-1W	12	3	Over
07/09	vs ATL	0-6L	5	0	Under
07/08	vs ATL	1-5L	7	0	Under
07/07	vs ATL	8-6W	15	2	Over
07/06	vs CHC	2-10L	6	1	Over
07/05	vs CHC	5-3W	9	2	Push
07/04	vs CHC	6-4W	9	2	Over
07/02	@ MIA	7-6W	14	1	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/23	@ MIL	7-8L	9	3	Over
07/22	@ MIL	4-8L	7	1	Over
07/15	vs SF	4-2W	10	1	Under
07/14	vs SF	1-7L	10	0	Push
07/12	vs CWS	1-3L	6	1	Under
07/12	vs CWS	3-2W	5	2	Under
07/10	vs CWS	8-6W	15	3	Over
07/09	@ HOU	3-2W	11	1	Under
07/08	@ HOU	9-3W	14	2	Over
07/07	@ HOU	12-13L	17	2	Over
07/06	@ DET	12-3W	14	1	Over
07/05	@ DET	2-9L	8	1	Over
07/04	@ DET	5-3W	7	2	Push
07/02	vs SEA	5-3W	8	1	Push
07/01	vs SEA	5-1W	10	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	9.2	12.4	0.247	0.448	0.460	0.909	0.355	0.058
#2 Trea Turner	9.3	12.0	0.333	0.522	0.406	0.928	0.377	0.044
#3 Bryce Harper	8.9	11.9	0.296	0.573	0.462	1.035	0.405	0.070
#4 Alec Bohm	7.7	10.1	0.294	0.472	0.388	0.860	0.350	0.030
#5 J.T. Realmuto	8.3	10.6	0.262	0.410	0.338	0.748	0.308	0.033
#6 Bryson Stott	6.6	8.6	0.238	0.350	0.380	0.729	0.297	0.020
#7 Nick Castellanos	6.9	9.0	0.241	0.410	0.323	0.733	0.302	0.037
#8 Brandon Marsh	6.0	7.8	0.258	0.432	0.390	0.822	0.331	0.038
#9 Johan Rojas	5.3	6.7	0.236	0.302	0.284	0.587	0.247	0.013

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Manuel Margot	6.9	9.1	0.228	0.326	0.321	0.648	0.269	0.016
#2 Willi Castro	7.2	9.3	0.269	0.430	0.412	0.842	0.340	0.020
#3 Byron Buxton	8.6	11.3	0.282	0.510	0.365	0.875	0.357	0.043
#4 Ryan Jeffers	7.1	9.6	0.238	0.460	0.372	0.831	0.338	0.054
#5 Brooks Lee	6.2	8.2	0.286	0.429	0.367	0.796	0.325	0.041
#6 Carlos Santana	6.4	8.5	0.244	0.433	0.369	0.801	0.325	0.045
#7 Austin Martin	5.7	7.4	0.252	0.353	0.345	0.697	0.288	0.008
#9 Christian Vazquez	4.6	5.9	0.206	0.311	0.239	0.550	0.232	0.022

Phillies Notable Injuries

Spencer Turnbull OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: 2.9
Taijuan Walker OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 4.1

Twins Notable Injuries

Chris Paddack OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/10/24. Impact: 4.7
Royce Lewis OUT (3B): Avg: 0.281 SLG:0.674 Last game: 07/04/24. Impact: 2.7
Carlos Correa OUT (SS): Avg: 0.308 SLG:0.52 Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 4.1
Jose Miranda OUT (1B/3B): Avg: 0.325 SLG:0.522 Last game: 07/12/24. Impact: 4.0
Kyle Farmer OUT (2B): Avg: 0.189 SLG:0.265 Last game: 07/12/24. Impact: 1.1
Kody Funderburk OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 0.6