Phillies vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at Citi Field tonight as the red-hot Philadelphia Phillies, sitting pretty at the top of the National League, cruise into New York to clash with the Mets, who are desperately trying to claw their way up from seven games back. It’s a 07:15 PM showdown that promises all the drama, with the Phillies looking to bounce back from a narrow defeat and the Mets riding high after a whopping shutout victory. With the sun shining down and the breeze just right, the stage is set for a showdown that has fans buzzing. The stakes are high, the bats are ready, and with an over/under of 8.5, it’s anybody’s game. So, who will step up to the plate and hit it out of the park tonight? Will the Mets mete out another victory, or will the Phillies phil in the gaps from their last outing?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 19, 2024 07:15PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Sunny with winds from the E at 6.0 mph. Temperature is at 82.0° with 44% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+123	-147	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+113	-135	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-10	+12	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

155W-158L

46.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

183W-130L

53.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/13/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+0.5
05/13/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+0.5
05/14/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-4.5
05/14/24	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-4.5
05/15/24	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+6.5
05/15/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	10	Over	+6.5
05/16/24	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+2.5
05/16/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+2.5
06/08/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+0.5
06/08/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+0.5
06/09/24	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+2.5
06/09/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+2.5
09/13/24	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+5.5
09/13/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+5.5
09/14/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+1.5
09/14/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+1.5
09/15/24	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-5.5
09/15/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-5.5
10/01/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	9	Over	+1.5
10/01/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Over	+1.5
05/30/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	0	Under	-6.5
05/30/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-6.5
05/31/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-3.5
05/31/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-3.5
06/01/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.5
06/01/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-2.5
06/23/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-2.5
06/23/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-2.5
06/24/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-2.5
06/24/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.5
06/25/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+4.5
06/25/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+4.5
09/21/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+0.5
09/21/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+0.5
09/22/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+0.5
09/22/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+0.5
09/23/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+3.5
09/23/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+3.5
09/24/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-1.5
09/24/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-1.5
09/30/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+6.5
09/30/23	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+6.5
09/30/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-1.5
09/30/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-1.5

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Taijuan Walker

ERA 6.292 | IP 78.7 | 3.0W-6.0L | KO 55.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
03-30-24	vsATL	12-4L	0.7	3	2	0	Over
09-30-23	@NYM	3-4L	1.0	1	0	2	Under
08-20-23	@WAS	3-4L	1.0	2	0	0	Under
08-19-23	@WAS	12-3W	1.0	1	0	1	Over
08-08-23	vsWAS	4-8W	2.0	4	1	1	Over
07-15-23	vsSD	4-9W	1.0	1	1	2	Over
06-13-23	@ARI	15-3W	3.0	4	2	0	Over
05-06-23	vsBOS	7-4L	1.3	1	0	1	Over
05-01-23	@LAD	4-13L	0.7	2	2	0	Over
04-30-23	@HOU	3-4L	1.0	1	0	2	Under
09-14-24	vsNYM	4-6W	3.0	3	0	0	Over
09-07-24	@MIA	5-9L	2.0	3	3	2	Over
09-03-24	@TOR	10-9W	3.0	4	2	0	Over
08-28-24	vsHOU	10-0L	6.0	13	6	0	Over
08-23-24	@KC	4-7L	3.0	8	6	2	Over
08-18-24	vsWAS	6-4L	4.7	4	3	3	Over
08-13-24	vsMIA	5-0L	4.0	4	3	5	Under
06-21-24	vsARI	5-4L	4.0	5	4	3	Over
06-15-24	@BAL	2-6L	5.7	6	3	4	Push
06-09-24	vsNYM	6-5L	5.7	2	2	6	Over

Luis Severino

ERA 3.924 | IP 172.0 | 10.0W-6.0L | KO 149.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-14-24	@PHI	4-6L	6.0	3	3	5	Over
09-08-24	vsCIN	3-1L	6.7	5	1	8	Under
09-02-24	vsBOS	1-4W	7.0	6	1	5	Under
08-28-24	@ARI	5-8L	4.7	8	4	9	Over
08-22-24	@SD	8-3W	5.0	5	1	5	Over
08-17-24	vsMIA	0-4W	9.0	4	0	8	Under
08-11-24	@SEA	1-12L	5.0	6	4	8	Over
08-06-24	@COL	3-6L	5.0	8	5	5	Over
07-31-24	vsMIN	8-3L	3.0	6	6	2	Over
07-25-24	vsATL	2-3W	5.0	7	2	6	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/20	vs MIL	1-2L	4	1	Under
09/19	vs MIL	5-1W	10	2	Under
09/18	vs MIL	2-6L	11	1	Push
09/17	@ NYM	2-1W	6	0	Under
09/16	@ NYM	6-4W	8	2	Over
09/15	@ NYM	3-11L	4	1	Over
09/13	@ TB	3-2W	5	1	Under
09/12	@ TB	9-4W	13	3	Over
09/11	@ TB	2-1W	5	1	Under
09/10	vs MIA	1-10L	5	0	Over
09/09	vs MIA	5-9L	11	0	Over
09/08	vs MIA	16-2W	22	2	Over
09/07	vs MIA	4-2W	7	1	Under
09/06	vs TOR	4-2W	8	3	Under
09/05	vs TOR	10-9W	18	3	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/20	@ WAS	10-0W	11	2	Over
09/19	@ WAS	10-1W	14	3	Over
09/18	@ WAS	2-1W	6	0	Under
09/17	vs PHI	1-2L	7	1	Under
09/16	vs PHI	4-6L	9	0	Over
09/15	vs PHI	11-3W	14	4	Over
09/13	vs TOR	6-2W	4	2	Push
09/12	vs TOR	2-6L	6	0	Push
09/11	vs TOR	3-2W	3	0	Under
09/10	@ CIN	1-3L	4	0	Under
09/09	@ CIN	4-0W	6	1	Under
09/08	@ CIN	6-4W	9	2	Over
09/06	@ BOS	8-3W	7	1	Over
09/05	@ BOS	7-2W	7	3	Over
09/04	@ BOS	4-1W	8	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	9.1	12.3	0.254	0.491	0.455	0.945	0.369	0.066
#2 Trea Turner	8.5	10.9	0.296	0.457	0.363	0.820	0.336	0.037
#3 Bryce Harper	8.9	11.8	0.287	0.533	0.426	0.959	0.381	0.056
#4 Nick Castellanos	6.7	8.8	0.243	0.412	0.329	0.741	0.305	0.037
#5 Alec Bohm	6.4	8.4	0.286	0.457	0.374	0.831	0.339	0.027
#6 Bryson Stott	7.1	9.2	0.245	0.360	0.356	0.715	0.293	0.023
#7 J.T. Realmuto	6.0	7.8	0.264	0.420	0.347	0.767	0.315	0.034
#8 Brandon Marsh	6.1	8.0	0.252	0.430	0.374	0.804	0.325	0.041
#9 Cal Stevenson	5.0	6.8	0.286	0.429	0.429	0.857	0.344	0.000

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Iglesias	8.5	10.7	0.321	0.433	0.397	0.830	0.340	0.013
#2 Jesse Winker	7.8	10.3	0.264	0.420	0.432	0.851	0.340	0.034
#3 J.D. Martinez	9.4	12.5	0.237	0.413	0.360	0.773	0.315	0.039
#4 Pete Alonso	9.4	12.5	0.243	0.466	0.374	0.840	0.339	0.056
#5 Brandon Nimmo	8.3	11.1	0.229	0.401	0.397	0.798	0.321	0.038
#6 Mark Vientos	8.4	11.1	0.273	0.521	0.358	0.880	0.358	0.064
#7 Tyrone Taylor	7.1	9.3	0.244	0.411	0.314	0.725	0.300	0.024
#8 Francisco Alvarez	6.5	8.6	0.234	0.387	0.333	0.720	0.296	0.032
#9 Eddy Alvarez	4.7	7.4	0.000	0.000	0.167	0.167	0.090	0.000

Phillies Notable Injuries

Austin Hays OUT (OF): Avg: 0.259 SLG:0.395 Last game: 09/03/24. Impact: 1.5

Mets Notable Injuries

Paul Blackburn OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/25/24. Impact: 4.8
Jeff McNeil OUT (2B/OF): Avg: 0.238 SLG:0.382 Last game: 09/08/24. Impact: 1.9
Dedniel Nunez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/26/24. Impact: 1.8