Phillies vs Cardinals Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 10th 2024

Alright, sports junkies, grab your caps and mitts, it’s time for another day of hardball! The Philadelphia Phillies, those scruffy underdogs sitting 2.5 games back in the National League, are packing their bags and heading to the heartland. They’re set to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals, those red-bird renegades who are just a half-game behind them in the conference. We’re talking a 01:15PM EST showdown at the iconic Busch Stadium, folks, and with an over/under set at a tantalizing 8.5, it’s clear that the bookies are expecting some fireworks. The Phillies are coming in hot at -135, while the Cardinals are perched at a tempting 113. This game is a rematch of their recent face-off, where the Cardinals flew high with a 3-0 win. The weather? Picture perfect. We’re talking sunny skies, a gentle breeze from the NW, and a game-time temperature of 78.8°. So, will the Phillies find their wings, or will the Cardinals continue to rule the roost? Either way, this game is shaping up to be a real ‘fly ball’!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 10, 2024 01:15PM EST

Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis

Weather: Sunny with winds from the NW at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 78.8° with 58% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	STL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-135	+113	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-155	+130	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-20	+17	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

119W-125L

60.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

134W-112L

39.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/08/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-0.5
04/08/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	3	Under	-0.5
04/09/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	0	Under	-5.5
04/09/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	3	Under	-5.5
08/25/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Over	+0.5
08/25/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+0.5
08/26/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Over	+4.5
08/26/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	12	Over	+4.5
08/27/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	0	Under	-5.5
08/27/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-5.5
09/15/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+0.5
09/15/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	4	Over	+0.5
09/16/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Under	-1.5
09/16/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Under	-1.5
09/17/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Over	+2.5
09/17/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	6	Over	+2.5

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Cardinals Vs Over/Under

Aaron Nola

ERA 4.412 | IP 187.7 | 12.0W-8.0L | KO 196.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-09-24	@STL	0-3L	7.0	6	3	5	Under
04-03-24	vsCIN	4-1L	6.0	3	3	10	Under
03-29-24	vsATL	9-3L	6.0	5	0	5	Over
09-28-23	vsPIT	3-2L	4.0	4	1	5	Under
09-23-23	vsNYM	5-7W	7.0	8	5	6	Over
09-18-23	@ATL	7-1W	6.0	3	1	5	Over
09-12-23	vsATL	7-6L	5.0	7	6	4	Over
09-06-23	@SD	5-1W	6.0	1	0	7	Under
09-01-23	@MIL	5-7L	6.0	5	3	10	Over
08-26-23	vsSTL	1-12W	7.0	3	1	10	Over
04-05-24	@WAS	4-0W	5.7	2	0	4	Under
03-30-24	vsATL	12-4L	4.3	12	7	3	Over
09-26-23	vsPIT	2-3W	6.7	4	1	8	Under
09-20-23	@ATL	6-5W	6.0	6	2	8	Over
09-15-23	@STL	5-4W	4.7	7	3	1	Over
09-09-23	vsMIA	4-8W	4.3	7	4	6	Over
09-02-23	@MIL	5-7L	4.7	8	7	5	Over
08-27-23	vsSTL	0-3W	7.0	1	0	9	Under
08-21-23	vsSF	4-10W	7.0	7	2	5	Over
08-16-23	@TOR	9-4W	5.0	4	4	7	Over

Sonny Gray

ERA 2.739 | IP 184.0 | 8.0W-8.0L | KO 183.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-04-24	vsMIA	5-8W	4.7	8	4	7	Over
03-30-24	@LAD	6-5W	4.0	4	0	5	Over
09-29-23	@SF	6-2L	6.0	2	2	4	Over
09-24-23	@SF	2-3W	6.0	5	2	6	Under
09-18-23	@DET	3-8W	5.0	6	3	6	Over
09-12-23	@SD	2-11W	7.0	5	2	3	Over
09-06-23	@MIA	4-11W	4.7	7	8	1	Over
08-31-23	@ATL	8-7L	4.3	7	7	1	Over
08-25-23	@BOS	7-4L	6.0	10	4	1	Over
08-17-23	@MIL	0-1W	7.0	4	0	3	Under
04-09-24	vsPHI	0-3W	5.0	5	0	5	Under
09-28-23	@OAK	2-1L	4.0	3	1	4	Under
09-23-23	@LAA	1-0L	6.0	4	1	8	Under
09-17-23	@CWS	4-0L	7.0	5	0	6	Under
09-11-23	@TB	7-4L	4.0	6	2	5	Over
09-05-23	@CLE	8-3L	6.0	6	3	4	Over
08-30-23	@CLE	5-2L	7.0	3	0	5	Under
08-25-23	@TEX	2-12W	7.0	6	1	4	Over
08-19-23	@PIT	7-4L	6.7	4	4	7	Over
08-13-23	@PHI	3-0L	6.0	2	0	7	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/11	vs STL	0-3L	8	0	Under
04/10	vs STL	5-3W	10	1	Over
04/09	vs WAS	2-3L	5	1	Under
04/08	vs WAS	5-2W	9	1	Under
04/07	vs WAS	4-0W	9	0	Under
04/05	@ CIN	1-4L	6	1	Under
04/04	@ CIN	9-4W	9	4	Over
04/03	@ CIN	3-6L	7	0	Over
04/02	@ ATL	5-4W	9	1	Over
04/01	@ ATL	4-12L	8	1	Over
03/31	@ ATL	3-9L	5	1	Over
10/03	vs NYM	9-1W	12	2	Over
10/02	vs NYM	3-4L	7	0	Under
10/02	vs NYM	4-11L	8	1	Over
09/30	@ PIT	2-3L	5	1	Under

Cardinals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/11	@ PHI	3-0W	7	1	Under
04/10	@ PHI	3-5L	6	1	Over
04/09	@ MIA	3-10L	5	2	Over
04/08	@ MIA	3-1W	8	0	Under
04/06	@ MIA	8-5W	10	1	Over
04/05	vs SD	2-3L	6	0	Under
04/04	vs SD	5-2W	6	1	Under
04/03	vs SD	6-2W	14	2	Over
04/02	vs LAD	4-5L	8	0	Over
04/01	vs LAD	6-5W	6	0	Over
03/31	vs LAD	3-6L	6	0	Over
03/30	vs LAD	1-7L	3	1	Over
10/03	@ CIN	4-3W	9	0	Under
10/02	@ CIN	15-6W	13	1	Over
10/01	@ CIN	2-19L	6	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	8.4	11.6	0.198	0.477	42.5%	90.2%	8.1%
#2 Trea Turner	8.7	11.2	0.268	0.461	34.8%	80.9%	4.1%
#3 Bryce Harper	8.7	11.5	0.293	0.499	47.9%	97.8%	4.6%
#4 J.T. Realmuto	7.6	9.9	0.252	0.454	34.4%	79.8%	4.1%
#5 Alec Bohm	6.4	8.5	0.276	0.44	35.9%	79.8%	3.6%
#6 Bryson Stott	6.7	8.5	0.278	0.418	35.6%	77.3%	2.6%
#7 Nick Castellanos	6.6	8.6	0.273	0.478	33.4%	81.2%	4.7%
#8 Brandon Marsh	6.4	8.4	0.279	0.461	43.6%	89.8%	3.0%
#9 Johan Rojas	6.1	7.8	0.302	0.43	36.2%	79.2%	1.3%

St. Louis Cardinals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brendan Donovan	6.7	8.6	0.276	0.412	40.2%	81.4%	3.4%
#2 Paul Goldschmidt	6.9	9.1	0.27	0.451	42.1%	87.2%	4.3%
#3 Willson Contreras	6.3	8.4	0.261	0.459	40.7%	86.6%	4.5%
#4 Nolan Arenado	6.4	8.4	0.271	0.467	34.7%	81.4%	4.7%
#5 Nolan Gorman	6.9	9.3	0.236	0.482	37.7%	85.9%	6.8%
#6 Ivan Herrera	5.3	7.0	0.297	0.351	48.6%	83.8%	0.0%
#7 Alec Burleson	5.0	6.5	0.247	0.393	33.1%	72.4%	2.6%
#8 Masyn Winn	4.3	5.6	0.172	0.238	25.4%	49.2%	1.6%