Phillies vs Nationals Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 5th 2024

Phillies
2W-4L

April 05, 2024
06:45PM EST
Odds: 8.5 o/u
Nationals
2W-4L


Get ready to rumble, folks, as we’ve got a nail-biter on deck tonight! The Philadelphia Phillies, sporting a 2W-4L record, are saddling up and heading to the home of the equally 2W-4L Washington Nationals for a showdown at Nationals Park. With both teams trailing by 1.5 games in the National League conference, first pitch at 6:45 PM EST promises to be a doozy. Bookies are biting their nails too, with the over/under set at a tight 8.5, and the Phillies and Nationals at -190 and 156 on the betting lines respectively. Both teams are fresh off losses, with the Nationals licking their wounds from a 4-7 defeat against the Pirates and the Phillies smarting from a 1-4 setback against the Reds. The weather is playing ball too, with partly cloudy skies, a breezy 10.5 mph wind from the NW, and a cool 53.1° temperature. So, buckle up and prepare for a clash that’s set to be as electrifying as Ben Franklin’s kite. After all, it’s not just about the Nationals’ pride; it’s about the Phil of victory!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 05, 2024 06:45PM EST
Location: Nationals Park, Washington
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NW at 10.5 mph. Temperature is at 53.1° with 50% humidity.
Vegas Odds
PHI ML | WAS ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -190 | +156 | 8.5 | -1.5/1.5 |
Recent | -190 | +156 | 8.0 | -1.5/1.5 |
Difference | 0 | 0 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance

65.5% Win Probability

34.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
06/02/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 7 | Over | +6.5 | ![]() |
Washington Nationals WAS | 8 | ||||
06/03/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 4 | Under | -2.5 | ![]() |
Washington Nationals WAS | 2 | ||||
06/04/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 11 | Over | +5.5 | ![]() |
Washington Nationals WAS | 3 | ||||
06/30/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 2 | Under | -5.5 | ![]() |
Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 1 | ||||
07/01/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 4 | Over | +14.5 | ![]() |
Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 19 | ||||
07/02/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 5 | Over | +0.5 | ![]() |
Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 4 | ||||
08/08/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 5 | Over | +0.5 | ![]() |
Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 4 | ||||
08/08/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 4 | Over | +3.5 | ![]() |
Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 8 | ||||
08/09/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 0 | Under | -1.5 | ![]() |
Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 7 | ||||
08/10/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 2 | Under | -0.5 | ![]() |
Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 6 | ||||
08/18/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 7 | Over | +6.5 | ![]() |
Washington Nationals WAS | 8 | ||||
08/19/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 12 | Over | +6.5 | ![]() |
Washington Nationals WAS | 3 | ||||
08/20/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 3 | Under | -1.5 | ![]() |
Washington Nationals WAS | 4 |
Phillies Vs Over/Under
Nationals Vs Over/Under

Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-30-24 | vsATL | 12-4L | 4.3 | 12 | 7 | 3 | Over |
09-26-23 | vsPIT | 2-3W | 6.7 | 4 | 1 | 8 | Under |
09-20-23 | @ATL | 6-5W | 6.0 | 6 | 2 | 8 | Over |
09-15-23 | @STL | 5-4W | 4.7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | Over |
09-09-23 | vsMIA | 4-8W | 4.3 | 7 | 4 | 6 | Over |
09-02-23 | @MIL | 5-7L | 4.7 | 8 | 7 | 5 | Over |
08-27-23 | vsSTL | 0-3W | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | Under |
08-21-23 | vsSF | 4-10W | 7.0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | Over |
08-16-23 | @TOR | 9-4W | 5.0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | Over |
08-10-23 | vsWAS | 2-6W | 5.0 | 5 | 1 | 6 | Push |

Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-30-24 | @CIN | 7-6W | 4.3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | Over |
09-27-23 | @BAL | 1-5L | 4.7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | Under |
09-22-23 | vsATL | 9-6L | 4.3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | Over |
09-17-23 | @MIL | 2-1W | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | Under |
09-11-23 | @PIT | 6-2W | 6.7 | 5 | 2 | 8 | Push |
09-05-23 | vsNYM | 11-5L | 4.0 | 7 | 8 | 2 | Over |
08-30-23 | @TOR | 0-7L | 5.0 | 10 | 6 | 5 | Under |
08-24-23 | @NYY | 6-5W | 6.0 | 7 | 3 | 7 | Over |
08-17-23 | vsBOS | 7-10W | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | Over |
08-10-23 | @PHI | 2-6L | 5.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | Push |
Phillies Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/05 | @ CIN | 1-4L | 6 | 1 | Under |
04/04 | @ CIN | 9-4W | 9 | 4 | Over |
04/03 | @ CIN | 3-6L | 7 | 0 | Over |
04/02 | @ ATL | 5-4W | 9 | 1 | Over |
04/01 | @ ATL | 4-12L | 8 | 1 | Over |
03/31 | @ ATL | 3-9L | 5 | 1 | Over |
10/03 | vs NYM | 9-1W | 12 | 2 | Over |
10/02 | vs NYM | 3-4L | 7 | 0 | Under |
10/02 | vs NYM | 4-11L | 8 | 1 | Over |
09/30 | @ PIT | 2-3L | 5 | 1 | Under |
09/29 | @ PIT | 7-6W | 8 | 3 | Over |
09/28 | @ PIT | 3-2W | 5 | 1 | Under |
09/26 | @ NYM | 5-2W | 6 | 1 | Under |
09/25 | @ NYM | 7-5W | 11 | 2 | Over |
09/24 | @ NYM | 5-4W | 9 | 1 | Over |
Nationals Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/06 | @ PIT | 4-7L | 8 | 1 | Over |
04/05 | @ PIT | 5-3W | 10 | 1 | Push |
04/03 | @ PIT | 4-8L | 8 | 1 | Over |
04/02 | vs CIN | 5-6L | 9 | 2 | Over |
04/01 | vs CIN | 7-6W | 11 | 1 | Over |
03/30 | vs CIN | 2-8L | 6 | 1 | Over |
10/03 | vs ATL | 10-9W | 15 | 0 | Over |
10/02 | vs ATL | 3-5L | 10 | 0 | Push |
10/01 | vs ATL | 10-6W | 10 | 5 | Over |
09/29 | vs BAL | 1-5L | 6 | 0 | Under |
09/28 | vs BAL | 0-1L | 3 | 0 | Under |
09/26 | @ ATL | 3-2W | 10 | 0 | Under |
09/26 | @ ATL | 5-8L | 12 | 2 | Over |
09/24 | @ ATL | 6-9L | 10 | 0 | Over |
09/23 | @ ATL | 3-10L | 8 | 1 | Over |
Team’s Batting Order
Philadelphia Phillies | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9.4 | 12.9 | 0.198 | 0.477 | 42.5% | 90.2% | 8.1% | |
#2
Trea Turner
|
10.9 | 14.1 | 0.268 | 0.461 | 34.8% | 80.9% | 4.1% |
#3
Bryce Harper
|
10.5 | 13.9 | 0.293 | 0.499 | 47.9% | 97.8% | 4.6% |
9.9 | 12.9 | 0.252 | 0.454 | 34.4% | 79.8% | 4.1% | |
#5
Alec Bohm
|
8.5 | 11.2 | 0.276 | 0.44 | 35.9% | 79.8% | 3.6% |
9.0 | 11.8 | 0.273 | 0.478 | 33.4% | 81.2% | 4.7% | |
#7
Bryson Stott
|
7.9 | 10.0 | 0.278 | 0.418 | 35.6% | 77.3% | 2.6% |
8.0 | 10.2 | 0.271 | 0.382 | 34.3% | 72.5% | 2.0% | |
#9
Johan Rojas
|
6.6 | 8.4 | 0.302 | 0.43 | 36.2% | 79.2% | 1.3% |
Washington Nationals | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1
CJ Abrams
|
9.0 | 11.6 | 0.242 | 0.41 | 32.3% | 73.3% | 3.2% |
#2
Lane Thomas
|
7.9 | 10.3 | 0.268 | 0.47 | 34.3% | 81.4% | 4.5% |
#3
Jesse Winker
|
6.6 | 9.0 | 0.196 | 0.245 | 37.4% | 62.0% | 0.6% |
#4
Joey Meneses
|
6.4 | 8.3 | 0.275 | 0.396 | 34.4% | 74.0% | 2.0% |
#5
Joey Gallo
|
6.4 | 8.7 | 0.176 | 0.441 | 35.5% | 79.6% | 7.5% |
#6
Keibert Ruiz
|
6.3 | 8.1 | 0.26 | 0.408 | 33.1% | 74.0% | 3.5% |
6.2 | 8.1 | 0.255 | 0.451 | 32.9% | 78.1% | 4.4% | |
6.3 | 7.9 | 0.264 | 0.384 | 32.5% | 70.9% | 2.0% |
Phillies Notable Injuries
- Luis Ortiz OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/01/24. Impact: 0.7
Nationals Notable Injuries
- Victor Robles OUT (OF): Avg: 0.299 SLG:0.364 Last game: 04/05/24. Impact: 2.0
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