Pirates vs Astros Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown as the Pittsburgh Pirates sail into Minute Maid Park, ready to clash with the Houston Astros under the lights tonight at 8:10 PM EST! With the Pirates just seven games shy of the top in the National League and the Astros holding their ground at the pinnacle of the American League, this matchup is set to be a nail-biter. Both teams are coming off a head-to-head battle where the Pirates plundered a win, leaving the Astros hungry for revenge. The stakes are high, the betting lines are buzzing, and with a slightly soggy, breezy evening on the horizon, every pitch counts. So, as the Pirates aim to cannonball past the competition and the Astros look to launch one out of the park, it’s sure to be an explosive encounter where only one crew can claim the treasure!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 30, 2024 08:10PM EST

Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston

Weather: Patchy rain nearby with winds from the SSW at 8.5 mph. Temperature is at 90.0° with 58% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PIT ML	HOU ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+115	-138	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+167	-204	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+52	-66	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

112W-179L

37.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

172W-118L

62.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/29/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Under	-0.5
07/29/24	Houston Astros HOU	3	Under	-0.5
04/10/23	Houston Astros HOU	8	Over	+1.5
04/10/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Over	+1.5
04/11/23	Houston Astros HOU	4	Over	+2.5
04/11/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+2.5
04/12/23	Houston Astros HOU	7	Under	-1.5
04/12/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Under	-1.5

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Astros Vs Over/Under

Bailey Falter

ERA 4.085 | IP 90.3 | 4.0W-7.0L | KO 61.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-06-24	vsNYM	5-2L	2.0	5	3	2	Under
06-30-24	@ATL	4-2W	5.0	2	1	5	Under
06-24-24	@CIN	5-11L	4.0	5	5	2	Over
06-18-24	vsCIN	2-1L	7.0	7	2	3	Under
06-12-24	@STL	2-4L	4.0	8	3	5	Under
06-06-24	vsLAD	11-7L	4.0	8	5	6	Over
05-31-24	@TOR	3-5L	6.0	2	0	5	Under
05-24-24	vsATL	5-11W	7.3	6	3	4	Over
05-18-24	@CHC	0-1L	7.7	3	0	2	Under
05-12-24	vsCHC	5-4L	6.0	5	2	1	Over

Luis Garcia

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-24-24	@OAK	8-1W	6.0	8	1	8	Over
07-19-24	@SEA	3-0W	6.0	4	0	5	Under
07-12-24	vsTEX	3-6W	6.0	5	2	5	Over
07-06-24	@MIN	3-9L	6.0	12	7	6	Over
07-01-24	@TOR	3-1W	6.0	2	0	5	Under
06-25-24	vsCOL	2-5W	6.0	2	0	7	Under
06-19-24	@CWS	4-1W	6.0	7	1	6	Under
06-14-24	vsDET	0-4W	7.0	5	0	9	Under
06-08-24	@LAA	6-1W	6.0	2	0	7	Under
06-02-24	vsMIN	4-3L	6.0	5	3	7	Under

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/31	vs HOU	5-3W	6	2	Under
07/30	vs ARI	6-5W	7	1	Over
07/29	vs ARI	5-9L	8	1	Over
07/28	vs ARI	3-4L	7	0	Under
07/26	@ STL	5-0W	5	1	Under
07/25	@ STL	1-2L	7	0	Under
07/24	@ STL	2-1W	8	0	Under
07/23	@ PHI	0-6L	6	0	Under
07/22	@ PHI	4-1W	10	2	Under
07/21	@ PHI	8-7W	13	0	Over
07/15	vs CWS	6-2W	9	0	Under
07/14	vs CWS	4-1W	8	0	Under
07/13	vs MIL	1-0W	6	0	Under
07/12	vs MIL	0-9L	4	0	Over
07/11	vs MIL	12-2W	11	5	Over

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/31	@ PIT	3-5L	9	0	Under
07/30	@ LAD	2-6L	4	1	Under
07/29	@ LAD	7-6W	12	1	Over
07/28	@ LAD	5-0W	11	2	Under
07/26	vs OAK	8-1W	11	1	Over
07/25	vs OAK	2-8L	9	2	Over
07/24	vs OAK	0-4L	8	0	Under
07/23	vs SEA	4-6L	9	2	Over
07/22	vs SEA	4-2W	7	2	Under
07/21	vs SEA	3-0W	6	0	Under
07/15	@ TEX	1-2L	9	0	Under
07/14	@ TEX	6-3W	9	3	Over
07/13	@ MIA	6-3W	5	0	Over
07/12	@ MIA	9-1W	13	1	Over
07/11	@ MIA	4-3W	7	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Andrew McCutchen	8.1	10.7	0.225	0.383	0.377	0.760	0.308	0.039
#2 Bryan Reynolds	8.6	11.1	0.287	0.479	0.388	0.867	0.351	0.042
#3 Oneil Cruz	8.8	11.6	0.251	0.470	0.333	0.803	0.329	0.048
#4 Rowdy Tellez	7.1	9.3	0.255	0.410	0.339	0.749	0.308	0.036
#5 Joey Bart	6.1	8.2	0.236	0.418	0.382	0.800	0.323	0.045
#6 Ke’Bryan Hayes	6.5	8.2	0.233	0.290	0.317	0.607	0.254	0.010
#7 Connor Joe	6.1	8.1	0.237	0.378	0.361	0.739	0.303	0.024
#8 Jared Triolo	6.0	7.8	0.199	0.271	0.311	0.582	0.244	0.016
#9 Michael A. Taylor	5.9	7.6	0.209	0.299	0.299	0.599	0.250	0.016

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	10.4	13.2	0.311	0.461	0.387	0.848	0.346	0.033
#2 Alex Bregman	9.0	11.8	0.254	0.418	0.346	0.764	0.313	0.035
#3 Yordan Alvarez	9.8	12.8	0.302	0.540	0.444	0.984	0.390	0.053
#4 Yainer Diaz	8.0	10.3	0.290	0.431	0.334	0.765	0.316	0.025
#5 Jeremy Pena	8.0	10.3	0.277	0.396	0.348	0.744	0.308	0.023
#6 Luis Garcia	9.1	9.1	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#6 Jake Meyers	7.1	9.4	0.232	0.397	0.330	0.727	0.300	0.034
#7 Mauricio Dubon	6.0	7.7	0.273	0.383	0.312	0.696	0.290	0.012
#8 Jon Singleton	5.1	6.7	0.241	0.364	0.368	0.731	0.298	0.032
#9 Chas McCormick	6.4	8.4	0.208	0.318	0.301	0.618	0.258	0.023

Pirates Notable Injuries

Jared Jones OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/05/24. Impact: 7.3
Bailey Falter OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/08/24. Impact: 4.9
Bryan Reynolds OUT (OF): Avg: 0.287 SLG:0.479 Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 3.2
Nick Gonzales OUT (2B): Avg: 0.258 SLG:0.381 Last game: 07/29/24. Impact: 1.7
Daulton Jefferies OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/07/24. Impact: 1.7