Pirates vs Phillies Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 14th 2024

Get ready to set your fantasy lineups and place your bets, folks! Today’s MLB showdown takes us to the vibrant Citizens Bank Park, where the surging Pittsburgh Pirates, boasting a 10W-5L record, are set to clash with the gritty Philadelphia Phillies, who are not far behind at 8W-7L. The first pitch is slated for 01:35 PM EST under partly cloudy skies, with a brisk wind that might just carry a few homers out of the park. Both teams are neck-and-neck in the National League standings, each just a game back and hungry for a win to boost their rankings. With the betting lines tilting towards the Phillies at -192 and an over/under of 8.5, today’s game promises to be as unpredictable as it is thrilling. Having exchanged blows just yesterday with the Phillies edging out a narrow 4-3 victory, the Pirates are out for revenge. So, as these two teams prepare to battle it out, let’s see if the Pirates can plunder a win, or if the Phillies will ring their Liberty bell loud and proud!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 14, 2024 01:35PM EST

Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the WSW at 13.6 mph. Temperature is at 61.0° with 41% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PIT ML	PHI ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+157	-192	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+155	-188	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-2	+4	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

92W-156L

39.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

144W-102L

60.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/11/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-2.5
04/11/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-2.5
04/12/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Under	-1.5
04/12/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-1.5
04/13/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-1.5
04/13/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-1.5
07/28/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-5.5
07/28/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-5.5
07/29/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	6	Over	+4.5
07/29/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Over	+4.5
07/30/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+1.5
07/30/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	6	Over	+1.5
09/26/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-3.5
09/26/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-3.5
09/27/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	6	Over	+4.5
09/27/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Over	+4.5
09/28/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-3.5
09/28/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-3.5

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Marco Gonzales

ERA 5.22 | IP 50.0 | 4.0W-1.0L | KO 34.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-08-24	vsDET	4-7W	6.0	5	2	9	Over
04-03-24	@WAS	3-5L	5.3	8	5	5	Under
03-28-24	@MIA	6-5W	5.7	7	5	3	Over
09-26-23	@PHI	2-3L	6.0	3	2	6	Under
09-20-23	@CHC	13-7W	5.7	9	7	6	Over
09-14-23	vsWAS	0-2W	8.0	2	0	7	Under
09-08-23	@ATL	2-8L	5.0	12	8	4	Over
09-01-23	@STL	4-2W	6.0	5	1	8	Under
08-25-23	vsCHC	1-2W	8.0	4	0	6	Under
08-19-23	@MIN	7-4W	6.0	7	2	12	Over
04-13-24	@PHI	3-4L	6.0	6	2	5	Under
04-07-24	vsBAL	2-3W	6.0	5	2	4	Under
04-01-24	@WAS	8-4W	5.0	4	1	2	Over
05-28-23	@PIT	3-6L	5.7	3	1	4	Push
05-23-23	@OAK	2-3W	6.0	5	2	4	Under
05-17-23	@BOS	3-12W	1.7	8	8	1	Over
05-12-23	@DET	9-2L	6.0	5	2	2	Over
05-06-23	@HOU	5-7W	6.0	6	3	4	Over
04-30-23	@TOR	10-8L	3.0	8	8	2	Over
04-25-23	@PHI	5-3L	5.0	4	1	2	Under

Spencer Turnbull

ERA 7.258 | IP 31.0 | 1.0W-4.0L | KO 24.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-09-24	@STL	0-3L	7.0	6	3	5	Under
04-03-24	vsCIN	4-1L	6.0	3	3	10	Under
03-29-24	vsATL	9-3L	6.0	5	0	5	Over
09-28-23	vsPIT	3-2L	4.0	4	1	5	Under
09-23-23	vsNYM	5-7W	7.0	8	5	6	Over
09-18-23	@ATL	7-1W	6.0	3	1	5	Under
09-12-23	vsATL	7-6L	5.0	7	6	4	Over
09-06-23	@SD	5-1W	6.0	1	0	7	Under
09-01-23	@MIL	5-7L	6.0	5	3	10	Over
08-26-23	vsSTL	1-12W	7.0	3	1	10	Over
04-13-24	vsPIT	3-4W	4.0	4	3	3	Under
04-08-24	@STL	5-3W	6.0	2	0	6	Under
04-02-24	vsCIN	4-9W	5.0	3	1	7	Over
05-06-23	@STL	6-5L	4.7	7	5	6	Over
04-30-23	@BAL	5-3L	4.0	5	3	3	Under
04-25-23	@MIL	4-3L	4.0	3	2	2	Under
04-19-23	@CLE	3-2L	5.3	3	3	3	Under
04-13-23	@TOR	3-1L	5.0	6	1	6	Under
04-06-23	@BOS	6-3L	5.7	5	5	1	Push
04-01-23	@TB	2-12W	2.3	8	7	3	Over

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/15	vs PHI	3-4L	5	1	Under
04/14	vs PHI	5-2W	9	0	Under
04/13	vs PHI	1-5L	7	0	Under
04/11	@ DET	3-5L	8	2	Under
04/10	@ DET	7-4W	12	1	Over
04/09	@ BAL	3-2W	7	0	Under
04/08	@ BAL	5-4W	11	1	Push
04/07	@ BAL	2-5L	6	2	Under
04/06	vs WAS	7-4W	11	1	Over
04/05	vs WAS	3-5L	4	1	Under
04/03	vs WAS	8-4W	15	0	Over
04/02	vs MIA	9-7W	11	1	Over
04/01	vs MIA	9-3W	16	0	Over
03/31	vs MIA	7-2W	10	0	Push
03/30	vs MIA	6-5W	9	3	Over

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/15	@ PIT	4-3W	9	1	Under
04/14	@ PIT	2-5L	7	0	Under
04/13	@ PIT	5-1W	7	3	Under
04/12	vs STL	4-3W	8	0	Under
04/11	vs STL	0-3L	8	0	Under
04/10	vs STL	5-3W	10	1	Under
04/09	vs WAS	2-3L	5	1	Under
04/08	vs WAS	5-2W	9	1	Under
04/07	vs WAS	4-0W	9	0	Under
04/05	@ CIN	1-4L	6	1	Under
04/04	@ CIN	9-4W	9	4	Over
04/03	@ CIN	3-6L	7	0	Push
04/02	@ ATL	5-4W	9	1	Push
04/01	@ ATL	4-12L	8	1	Over
03/31	@ ATL	3-9L	5	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Oneil Cruz	9.4	12.4	0.25	0.375	46.9%	84.4%	3.1%
#2 Bryan Reynolds	9.4	12.3	0.264	0.464	37.0%	83.4%	4.2%
#3 Ke’Bryan Hayes	7.6	9.8	0.271	0.449	32.7%	77.6%	2.9%
#4 Jack Suwinski	8.9	11.9	0.225	0.457	40.8%	86.5%	5.9%
#5 Edward Olivares	7.2	9.3	0.263	0.452	34.5%	79.7%	3.4%
#6 Rowdy Tellez	6.9	9.1	0.215	0.376	32.8%	70.4%	4.2%
#7 Michael A. Taylor	6.7	8.9	0.218	0.441	29.9%	74.0%	5.9%
#8 Jared Triolo	6.0	7.8	0.299	0.401	45.2%	85.3%	1.7%
#9 Henry Davis	5.8	7.7	0.215	0.354	33.6%	69.1%	3.1%

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	8.4	11.6	0.198	0.477	42.5%	90.2%	8.1%
#2 Trea Turner	9.4	12.2	0.268	0.461	34.8%	80.9%	4.1%
#3 Bryce Harper	8.8	11.7	0.293	0.499	47.9%	97.8%	4.6%
#4 J.T. Realmuto	8.7	11.3	0.252	0.454	34.4%	79.8%	4.1%
#5 Alec Bohm	7.6	10.0	0.276	0.44	35.9%	79.8%	3.6%
#6 Brandon Marsh	6.8	8.9	0.279	0.461	43.6%	89.8%	3.0%
#7 Nick Castellanos	7.5	9.8	0.273	0.478	33.4%	81.2%	4.7%
#8 Bryson Stott	6.5	8.3	0.278	0.418	35.6%	77.3%	2.6%
#9 Whit Merrifield	6.3	8.1	0.271	0.382	34.3%	72.5%	2.0%
#9 Johan Rojas	6.4	8.2	0.302	0.43	36.2%	79.2%	1.3%