Pirates vs Padres Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Petco Park tonight as the Pittsburgh Pirates sail into San Diego to clash with the Padres at 09:40 PM EST! With the Pirates trying to claw their way up from 11 games back and the Padres just 3.5 games shy of the top in the National League, tensions are high. Both teams are hungry for a win after recent stumbles, and with the betting gods setting the over/under at a tantalizing 8.0, bettors and fans alike are buzzing. The San Diego sun will be shining, with a gentle southwestern breeze setting the stage for what promises to be a heated battle. So, as the Pirates aim to plunder and the Padres look to defend their turf, tonight’s game is set to be nothing short of explosive – let’s see who will truly ‘capture’ the win!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 12, 2024 09:40PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Sunny with winds from the SW at 6.5 mph. Temperature is at 77.5° with 64% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PIT ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+136	-162	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+169	-208	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+33	-46	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

1W-9L

AWAY

113W-183L

37.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

159W-137L

62.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/06/24	San Diego Padres SD	6	Under	-2.0
08/06/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Under	-2.0
08/07/24	San Diego Padres SD	9	Over	+9.0
08/07/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+9.0
08/08/24	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+5.0
08/08/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	6	Over	+5.0
06/27/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+5.0
06/27/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	9	Over	+5.0
06/28/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Push	-0.0
06/28/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Push	-0.0
06/29/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+1.0
06/29/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Over	+1.0
07/24/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+4.0
07/24/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+4.0
07/25/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-2.0
07/25/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Under	-2.0
07/26/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-3.0
07/26/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-3.0

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

Marco Gonzales

ERA 4.545 | IP 33.7 | 1.0W-1.0L | KO 23.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-07-24	vsSD	9-8L	4.7	8	5	3	Over
07-27-24	@ARI	5-9L	2.3	7	4	1	Over
07-21-24	vsPHI	6-0L	4.7	6	2	4	Under
07-12-24	@CWS	4-1W	5.0	7	1	4	Under
04-13-24	@PHI	3-4L	6.0	6	2	5	Under
04-07-24	vsBAL	2-3W	6.0	5	2	4	Under
04-01-24	@WAS	8-4W	5.0	4	1	2	Over
05-28-23	@PIT	3-6L	5.7	3	1	4	Over
05-23-23	@OAK	2-3W	6.0	5	2	4	Under
05-17-23	@BOS	3-12W	1.7	8	8	1	Over

Joe Musgrove

ERA 4.821 | IP 46.7 | 3.0W-4.0L | KO 42.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-26-24	vsNYY	2-5W	5.3	6	1	5	Under
05-21-24	@CIN	0-2L	3.0	3	2	3	Under
05-01-24	vsCIN	2-6W	6.0	4	2	9	Under
04-26-24	vsPHI	9-3L	3.7	8	7	4	Over
04-21-24	vsTOR	3-6W	7.0	5	3	3	Over
04-15-24	@MIL	7-3W	6.0	7	3	3	Over
04-09-24	vsCHC	5-1L	4.0	5	4	5	Under
04-03-24	vsSTL	2-3W	6.0	5	1	7	Under
03-29-24	vsSF	8-3L	5.7	8	4	3	Over
07-28-23	vsTEX	1-7W	6.0	4	0	5	Under

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/13	vs LAD	5-6L	9	2	Over
08/12	vs LAD	1-4L	9	1	Under
08/11	vs LAD	5-9L	11	2	Over
08/10	@ SD	6-7L	12	1	Over
08/09	@ SD	8-9L	11	1	Over
08/08	@ SD	0-6L	5	0	Under
08/06	@ ARI	5-6L	10	0	Over
08/05	@ ARI	4-2W	6	2	Under
08/04	@ ARI	8-9L	13	0	Over
08/02	vs HOU	4-4L	9	1	Under
08/01	vs HOU	6-2W	11	1	Under
07/31	vs HOU	5-3W	6	2	Under
07/30	vs ARI	6-5W	7	1	Over
07/29	vs ARI	5-9L	8	1	Over
07/28	vs ARI	3-4L	7	0	Under

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/13	vs MIA	6-7L	10	1	Over
08/12	vs MIA	9-8W	12	1	Over
08/11	vs MIA	6-2W	11	1	Under
08/10	vs PIT	7-6W	7	2	Over
08/09	vs PIT	9-8W	14	3	Over
08/08	vs PIT	6-0W	14	0	Under
08/06	@ COL	10-2W	12	3	Over
08/05	@ COL	3-2W	5	0	Under
08/04	@ COL	2-5L	5	2	Under
08/02	@ LAD	8-1W	12	1	Over
08/01	@ LAD	6-5W	9	3	Over
07/30	vs BAL	6-8L	10	1	Over
07/29	vs BAL	9-4W	14	1	Over
07/28	vs BAL	6-4W	13	2	Over
07/27	vs WAS	3-0W	6	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Andrew McCutchen	7.6	10.0	0.234	0.408	0.388	0.796	0.321	0.044
#2 Bryan Reynolds	7.8	10.1	0.287	0.470	0.391	0.861	0.348	0.040
#3 Oneil Cruz	7.9	10.4	0.256	0.465	0.340	0.806	0.330	0.046
#4 Joey Bart	6.1	8.1	0.273	0.493	0.400	0.893	0.359	0.060
#5 Rowdy Tellez	6.0	7.8	0.255	0.399	0.336	0.734	0.303	0.031
#6 Bryan De La Cruz	6.6	8.5	0.238	0.400	0.300	0.700	0.290	0.040
#7 Isiah Kiner-Falefa	5.6	7.1	0.288	0.421	0.356	0.777	0.320	0.024
#8 Ji Hwan Bae	5.2	6.7	0.216	0.255	0.314	0.569	0.239	0.000
#9 Ke’Bryan Hayes	5.0	6.3	0.238	0.297	0.318	0.615	0.257	0.012

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	8.5	10.5	0.306	0.380	0.354	0.734	0.304	0.006
#2 Jurickson Profar	8.5	11.3	0.295	0.489	0.462	0.950	0.376	0.047
#3 Xander Bogaerts	8.8	11.1	0.261	0.367	0.326	0.693	0.287	0.019
#4 Manny Machado	8.8	11.5	0.268	0.441	0.334	0.775	0.319	0.040
#5 Donovan Solano	7.3	9.3	0.312	0.438	0.391	0.828	0.339	0.026
#6 Jackson Merrill	7.7	9.9	0.294	0.489	0.349	0.838	0.344	0.043
#7 Ha-Seong Kim	7.3	9.6	0.230	0.365	0.378	0.743	0.301	0.026
#8 Kyle Higashioka	6.0	8.1	0.236	0.540	0.304	0.845	0.346	0.087
#9 Bryce Johnson	4.9	6.3	0.196	0.239	0.326	0.565	0.237	0.000

Pirates Notable Injuries

Nick Gonzales OUT (2B): Avg: 0.258 SLG:0.381 Last game: 07/29/24. Impact: 1.7
Joshua Palacios OUT (OF): Avg: 0.207 SLG:0.31 Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 1.3
Carmen Mlodzinski OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 1.4
Colin Holderman OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 0.1