Pirates vs Padres Game Breakdown

Get ready to set your sails for an epic showdown at Petco Park as the swashbuckling Pittsburgh Pirates, looking to plunder a much-needed win, clash with the high-flying San Diego Padres this afternoon at 04:10 PM EST. With the Pirates trailing in their quest for National League supremacy and the Padres just a few cannons short of the top spot, today’s matchup is nothing short of a treasure hunt for both teams. The stakes are sky-high with the over/under tantalizingly pegged at 8.0, and the betting lines tilting in favor of the home team. Fresh off a tactical victory, the Padres are looking to double down against the Pirates who are eager to turn the tide following yesterday’s skirmish. Amidst a backdrop of misty skies and a gentle SSW breeze at a comfy 75 degrees, today’s game promises all the drama and strategy of a high seas adventure. So, hoist the colors and prepare for a duel where Padres might just have to walk the plank or Pirates seize the day!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 14, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Mist with winds from the SSW at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 75.0° with 74% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PIT ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+111	-133	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+119	-142	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+8	-9	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

1W-9L

AWAY

113W-185L

45.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

9W-1L

HOME

161W-137L

54.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/06/24	San Diego Padres SD	6	Under	-2.0
08/06/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Under	-2.0
08/07/24	San Diego Padres SD	9	Over	+9.0
08/07/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+9.0
08/08/24	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+5.0
08/08/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	6	Over	+5.0
08/12/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-5.0
08/12/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-5.0
08/13/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Under	-5.0
08/13/24	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-5.0
06/27/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+5.0
06/27/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	9	Over	+5.0
06/28/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Push	-0.0
06/28/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Push	-0.0
06/29/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+1.0
06/29/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Over	+1.0
07/24/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+4.0
07/24/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+4.0
07/25/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-2.0
07/25/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Under	-2.0
07/26/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-3.0
07/26/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-3.0

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

Mitch Keller

ERA 3.51 | IP 133.3 | 10.0W-6.0L | KO 120.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-09-24	@LAD	5-9L	4.0	7	7	5	Over
08-03-24	vsARI	2-4W	4.0	1	0	4	Under
07-28-24	@ARI	6-5W	7.0	2	2	6	Over
07-22-24	vsSTL	1-2W	7.0	6	1	3	Under
07-08-24	vsNYM	2-8W	8.0	7	2	6	Over
07-02-24	vsSTL	7-4L	5.0	9	6	5	Over
06-25-24	@CIN	9-5W	5.7	6	4	6	Over
06-19-24	vsCIN	0-1W	7.0	2	0	7	Under
06-13-24	@STL	3-4L	6.0	8	4	4	Under
06-07-24	vsMIN	0-3W	6.0	7	0	8	Under

Martin Perez

ERA 4.688 | IP 96.0 | 2.0W-5.0L | KO 76.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-09-24	@MIA	6-2W	7.0	3	2	6	Under
08-03-24	vsCOL	2-3W	6.0	3	1	7	Under
07-24-24	@STL	0-5W	6.0	4	0	2	Under
07-19-24	@PHI	7-8W	3.7	7	6	4	Over
07-10-24	@MIL	0-9W	4.7	9	5	5	Over
07-04-24	@STL	3-2L	7.3	6	1	2	Under
06-28-24	@ATL	1-6W	4.0	8	6	4	Under
05-26-24	@ATL	8-1L	3.0	4	1	2	Over
05-21-24	@SF	6-7W	4.3	5	4	4	Over
05-15-24	@MIL	2-10W	5.0	11	9	4	Over

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/15	vs SD	0-3L	9	0	Under
08/14	vs SD	1-2L	7	0	Under
08/13	vs LAD	5-6L	9	2	Over
08/12	vs LAD	1-4L	9	1	Under
08/11	vs LAD	5-9L	11	2	Over
08/10	@ SD	6-7L	12	1	Over
08/09	@ SD	8-9L	11	1	Over
08/08	@ SD	0-6L	5	0	Under
08/06	@ ARI	5-6L	10	0	Over
08/05	@ ARI	4-2W	6	2	Under
08/04	@ ARI	8-9L	13	0	Over
08/02	vs HOU	4-4L	9	1	Under
08/01	vs HOU	6-2W	11	1	Under
07/31	vs HOU	5-3W	6	2	Under
07/30	vs ARI	6-5W	7	1	Over

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/15	@ PIT	3-0W	7	1	Under
08/14	@ PIT	2-1W	6	0	Under
08/13	vs MIA	6-7L	10	1	Over
08/12	vs MIA	9-8W	12	1	Over
08/11	vs MIA	6-2W	11	1	Under
08/10	vs PIT	7-6W	7	2	Over
08/09	vs PIT	9-8W	14	3	Over
08/08	vs PIT	6-0W	14	0	Under
08/06	@ COL	10-2W	12	3	Over
08/05	@ COL	3-2W	5	0	Under
08/04	@ COL	2-5L	5	2	Under
08/02	@ LAD	8-1W	12	1	Over
08/01	@ LAD	6-5W	9	3	Over
07/30	vs BAL	6-8L	10	1	Over
07/29	vs BAL	9-4W	14	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Isiah Kiner-Falefa	7.8	9.9	0.284	0.415	0.355	0.769	0.317	0.023
#2 Bryan Reynolds	9.8	12.7	0.288	0.470	0.390	0.859	0.348	0.039
#3 Connor Joe	8.5	11.2	0.238	0.375	0.358	0.733	0.300	0.023
#4 Joey Bart	7.1	9.5	0.268	0.478	0.395	0.873	0.351	0.057
#5 Ke’Bryan Hayes	7.6	9.6	0.236	0.293	0.313	0.606	0.254	0.011
#6 Bryan De La Cruz	7.5	9.6	0.241	0.399	0.302	0.701	0.291	0.039
#7 Michael A. Taylor	7.5	9.7	0.204	0.302	0.289	0.591	0.247	0.018
#8 Yasmani Grandal	6.1	8.1	0.194	0.323	0.252	0.574	0.241	0.026
#9 Jose Rojas	7.6	7.6	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#9 Jared Triolo	5.7	7.5	0.198	0.272	0.313	0.586	0.245	0.015

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	9.3	11.5	0.306	0.378	0.356	0.734	0.304	0.006
#2 Jurickson Profar	7.9	10.5	0.293	0.487	0.460	0.946	0.374	0.046
#3 Jake Cronenworth	7.9	10.4	0.246	0.403	0.349	0.752	0.309	0.033
#4 Manny Machado	8.4	11.0	0.269	0.441	0.337	0.778	0.320	0.040
#5 Xander Bogaerts	8.3	10.4	0.262	0.365	0.325	0.690	0.286	0.018
#6 Jackson Merrill	8.5	11.0	0.289	0.481	0.344	0.825	0.339	0.042
#7 David Peralta	6.3	8.3	0.264	0.417	0.354	0.771	0.316	0.035
#8 Luis Campusano	5.6	7.4	0.232	0.356	0.292	0.648	0.270	0.026
#9 Tyler Wade	4.7	6.1	0.217	0.236	0.321	0.557	0.235	0.000

Pirates Notable Injuries

Marco Gonzales OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 3.6
Nick Gonzales OUT (2B): Avg: 0.258 SLG:0.381 Last game: 07/29/24. Impact: 1.7
Joshua Palacios OUT (OF): Avg: 0.207 SLG:0.31 Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 1.3
Carmen Mlodzinski OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 1.4
Colin Holderman OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 0.1