Padres vs Guardians Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into your seats, folks, because today’s MLB showdown at Progressive Field is not just another game—it’s a clash of titans! The San Diego Padres, hot off a sizzling 7-0 victory, are packing their bats to face the Cleveland Guardians, who are looking to bounce back from the same 7-0 drubbing. With the Padres swinging to close an 8-game gap in the National League and the Guardians defending their top spot in the American League, every pitch counts. It’s a sunny day for baseball with a gentle breeze—perfect weather for a perfect game. Vegas sees a tight one with the over/under at 8, and the lines nearly neck and neck. So, as the Padres try to guard their recent win and the Guardians aim to pad their lead, expect every swing to send sparks flying in this battle of the leagues!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 21, 2024 01:40PM EST

Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland

Weather: Sunny with winds from the W at 3.4 mph. Temperature is at 74.5° with 59% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SD ML	CLE ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-105	-115	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-108	-112	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-3	+3	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

137W-147L

51.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

157W-123L

48.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
07/19/24	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-1.0
07/19/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	7	Under	-1.0
07/20/24	San Diego Padres SD	7	Under	-1.0
07/20/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	0	Under	-1.0
06/13/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	3	Over	+1.0
06/13/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+1.0
06/14/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	0	Under	-3.0
06/14/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Under	-3.0
06/15/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	8	Over	+6.0
06/15/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+6.0

Padres Vs Over/Under

Guardians Vs Over/Under

Michael King

ERA 3.26 | IP 107.7 | 6.0W-6.0L | KO 124.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-10-24	vsSEA	2-0L	6.0	3	2	9	Under
07-04-24	@TEX	3-1W	5.3	4	1	5	Under
06-29-24	@BOS	11-1W	6.0	5	1	6	Over
06-23-24	vsMIL	6-2L	6.0	9	5	8	Over
06-18-24	@PHI	3-4L	4.7	6	1	6	Under
06-12-24	vsOAK	4-5W	5.0	4	2	12	Over
06-07-24	vsARI	3-10W	5.0	4	0	5	Over
06-02-24	@KC	3-4L	7.0	4	1	4	Under
05-27-24	vsMIA	1-2W	5.0	3	1	7	Under
05-22-24	@CIN	7-3W	6.7	4	3	6	Over

Ben Lively

ERA 3.593 | IP 82.7 | 8.0W-4.0L | KO 71.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-09-24	@DET	9-8W	5.3	7	6	4	Over
07-04-24	vsCWS	4-8W	6.0	6	3	6	Over
06-27-24	@KC	1-2L	6.0	6	2	5	Under
06-22-24	vsTOR	3-6W	5.7	3	2	4	Over
06-16-24	@TOR	6-7L	4.0	6	4	4	Over
06-08-24	@MIA	8-0W	5.0	3	0	1	Over
06-01-24	vsWAS	2-3W	5.7	5	2	4	Under
05-26-24	@LAA	5-4W	7.0	4	2	5	Over
05-20-24	vsNYM	1-3W	5.7	6	1	7	Under
05-14-24	@TEX	7-4W	5.0	5	3	5	Over

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/22	vs CLE	7-0W	11	2	Under
07/21	vs CLE	0-7L	4	0	Under
07/15	@ ATL	4-0W	13	1	Under
07/14	@ ATL	1-6L	5	0	Under
07/12	@ SEA	0-2L	6	0	Under
07/11	@ SEA	3-8L	4	2	Over
07/09	@ ARI	1-9L	4	1	Over
07/08	@ ARI	5-7L	14	0	Over
07/07	@ ARI	10-8W	14	3	Over
07/06	vs TEX	3-1W	9	1	Under
07/05	vs TEX	6-4W	13	2	Over
07/04	vs TEX	0-7L	2	0	Under
07/02	vs BOS	1-4L	8	0	Under
07/01	vs BOS	11-1W	16	4	Over
06/30	vs BOS	9-2W	12	2	Over

Guardians Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/22	@ SD	0-7L	1	0	Under
07/21	@ SD	7-0W	11	0	Under
07/15	vs TB	4-2W	10	2	Under
07/14	vs TB	0-2L	5	0	Under
07/13	vs DET	1-10L	3	1	Over
07/12	vs DET	4-5L	7	1	Over
07/11	vs DET	9-8W	14	2	Over
07/10	vs DET	0-1L	3	0	Under
07/09	@ SF	5-4W	10	1	Over
07/08	@ SF	5-4W	6	2	Over
07/07	@ SF	2-4L	11	1	Under
07/06	@ CWS	8-4W	12	1	Over
07/05	@ CWS	2-8L	5	1	Over
07/04	@ CWS	7-6W	7	2	Over
07/02	vs KC	2-6L	8	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	7.7	9.4	0.312	0.382	0.367	0.748	0.309	0.005
#2 Jurickson Profar	7.2	9.5	0.296	0.469	0.445	0.913	0.363	0.042
#3 Jake Cronenworth	7.9	10.4	0.258	0.436	0.363	0.799	0.326	0.040
#4 Manny Machado	8.5	11.0	0.259	0.406	0.326	0.732	0.302	0.035
#5 Xander Bogaerts	8.4	10.6	0.215	0.309	0.272	0.581	0.244	0.021
#6 Jackson Merrill	7.0	9.0	0.280	0.439	0.329	0.768	0.317	0.037
#7 David Peralta	5.6	7.4	0.258	0.366	0.355	0.720	0.297	0.022
#8 Ha-Seong Kim	6.6	8.7	0.228	0.378	0.378	0.756	0.306	0.031
#9 Kyle Higashioka	5.0	6.7	0.217	0.533	0.283	0.817	0.335	0.092

Cleveland Guardians	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Steven Kwan	8.1	10.3	0.353	0.512	0.445	0.958	0.385	0.032
#2 Angel Martinez	7.0	9.2	0.240	0.420	0.400	0.820	0.329	0.040
#3 Jose Ramirez	8.8	11.8	0.270	0.516	0.349	0.865	0.353	0.062
#4 Josh Naylor	7.3	9.9	0.239	0.478	0.364	0.842	0.340	0.066
#5 Daniel Schneemann	6.4	8.5	0.242	0.484	0.396	0.879	0.350	0.044
#6 Andres Gimenez	6.5	8.4	0.241	0.328	0.325	0.652	0.273	0.014
#7 Will Brennan	5.4	7.0	0.245	0.398	0.329	0.727	0.299	0.037
#8 Brayan Rocchio	5.5	7.3	0.216	0.309	0.360	0.669	0.276	0.013
#9 Austin Hedges	3.0	4.1	0.145	0.224	0.197	0.421	0.181	0.013

Padres Notable Injuries

Fernando Tatis Jr. OUT (OF): Avg: 0.277 SLG:0.47 Last game: 06/23/24. Impact: 2.8
Wandy Peralta OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/11/24. Impact: 0.0
Tom Cosgrove OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: -0.3