Padres vs Marlins Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the heat of the action as the San Diego Padres, boasting a strong 64-52 record, sail into the sunny climes of LoanDepot Park to clash with the underdog Miami Marlins, who are trying to find their rhythm at 43-73. It’s a classic showdown with the Padres just a few swings away from the top of the National League, while the Marlins are looking to make waves and upset the odds. The stakes are high with the Padres favored slightly in the betting world, and the over/under teasing us at 8.5. Will the Padres continue their march or will the Marlins swim upstream against the current? As the first pitch is set to fly at 07:10 PM EST amidst a backdrop of patchy rain and a gentle southern breeze, tonight’s game promises to blend the thrill of victory with the unpredictability of nature. So, as the Padres try to hook a win and the Marlins aim to reel in some pride, let’s see whose strategy will sail them to victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 09, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: Patchy rain nearby with winds from the SSW at 8.7 mph. Temperature is at 89.6° with 57% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SD ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-142	+119	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-132	+110	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+10	-9	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

146W-148L

56.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

141W-157L

43.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/27/24	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-5.5
05/27/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-5.5
05/28/24	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-4.5
05/28/24	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-4.5
05/29/24	Miami Marlins MIA	9	Over	+1.5
05/29/24	San Diego Padres SD	1	Over	+1.5
05/30/23	San Diego Padres SD	9	Over	+4.5
05/30/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+4.5
05/31/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-5.5
05/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-5.5
06/01/23	San Diego Padres SD	10	Over	+2.5
06/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Over	+2.5
08/21/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-0.5
08/21/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Under	-0.5
08/22/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-5.5
08/22/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-5.5
08/23/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-4.5
08/23/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-4.5

Padres Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Randy Vasquez

ERA 4.696 | IP 76.7 | 3.0W-5.0L | KO 48.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-08-24	@PIT	7-6W	5.7	6	3	3	Over
08-02-24	vsCOL	5-2L	5.0	3	1	4	Under
07-28-24	@BAL	6-8L	2.0	4	6	2	Over
07-23-24	@WAS	4-0W	6.0	4	0	1	Under
07-05-24	vsARI	8-10W	6.3	6	2	6	Over
06-28-24	@BOS	9-2W	4.0	5	1	1	Over
06-22-24	vsMIL	4-6W	5.0	5	0	3	Over
06-17-24	@PHI	2-9L	4.3	12	6	2	Over
06-11-24	vsOAK	3-4W	5.0	7	1	5	Under
06-06-24	vsARI	4-3L	6.7	6	3	3	Under

Kyle Tyler

ERA 5.4 | IP 31.7 | 0.0W-2.0L | KO 25.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-08-24	vsCIN	10-4L	4.3	5	3	3	Over
08-03-24	@ATL	4-3W	2.7	5	3	2	Under
07-28-24	@MIL	2-6L	4.0	7	4	5	Under
07-23-24	vsBAL	3-6W	4.7	9	3	5	Over
07-04-24	vsBOS	6-5L	5.3	3	2	3	Over
06-28-24	@PHI	0-2L	4.7	4	1	4	Under
06-23-24	vsSEA	4-6W	4.0	3	2	2	Over
04-26-24	vsWAS	3-1L	2.0	1	1	1	Under
06-15-22	vsCHC	3-1L	2.0	1	0	1	Under
06-14-22	vsCHC	3-1L	2.0	1	0	1	Under

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/10	vs PIT	7-6W	7	2	Over
08/09	vs PIT	9-8W	14	3	Over
08/08	vs PIT	6-0W	14	0	Under
08/06	@ COL	10-2W	12	3	Over
08/05	@ COL	3-2W	5	0	Under
08/04	@ COL	2-5L	5	2	Under
08/02	@ LAD	8-1W	12	1	Over
08/01	@ LAD	6-5W	9	3	Over
07/30	vs BAL	6-8L	10	1	Over
07/29	vs BAL	9-4W	14	1	Over
07/28	vs BAL	6-4W	13	2	Over
07/27	vs WAS	3-0W	6	0	Under
07/26	vs WAS	12-3W	20	2	Over
07/25	vs WAS	4-0W	9	2	Under
07/23	vs CLE	2-1W	8	0	Under

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/10	@ CIN	4-10L	9	0	Over
08/09	@ CIN	6-4W	8	3	Over
08/08	@ CIN	2-8L	4	0	Over
08/07	@ CIN	3-10L	11	1	Over
08/06	vs ATL	7-0W	9	1	Under
08/05	vs ATL	4-3W	10	1	Under
08/04	vs ATL	3-5L	8	2	Under
08/03	vs ATL	2-4L	6	0	Under
08/02	vs TB	6-2W	8	2	Under
08/01	vs TB	3-9L	10	2	Over
07/30	vs MIL	2-6L	7	1	Under
07/29	vs MIL	7-3W	11	1	Over
07/28	vs MIL	6-2W	11	3	Under
07/27	@ BAL	6-7L	9	1	Over
07/26	@ BAL	6-3W	9	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	8.4	10.3	0.303	0.377	0.353	0.730	0.303	0.007
#2 Jurickson Profar	8.1	10.7	0.296	0.490	0.457	0.946	0.375	0.048
#3 Jake Cronenworth	7.8	10.3	0.246	0.408	0.351	0.759	0.311	0.034
#4 Manny Machado	8.1	10.6	0.270	0.444	0.338	0.782	0.322	0.042
#5 Xander Bogaerts	7.6	9.6	0.266	0.373	0.325	0.698	0.290	0.020
#6 Jackson Merrill	8.0	10.3	0.292	0.473	0.345	0.817	0.336	0.039
#7 David Peralta	5.4	7.1	0.244	0.370	0.346	0.717	0.295	0.031
#8 Ha-Seong Kim	6.1	8.1	0.226	0.362	0.376	0.738	0.299	0.027
#9 Kyle Higashioka	4.7	6.4	0.236	0.548	0.306	0.854	0.349	0.089

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Xavier Edwards	7.2	9.0	0.368	0.456	0.504	0.960	0.379	0.008
#2 Jake Burger	6.8	8.9	0.237	0.437	0.307	0.744	0.307	0.054
#3 Jesus Sanchez	7.0	9.1	0.235	0.405	0.314	0.718	0.297	0.038
#4 Jonah Bride	5.5	7.3	0.254	0.418	0.403	0.821	0.331	0.045
#5 Kyle Stowers	5.3	7.0	0.200	0.317	0.250	0.567	0.241	0.017
#7 Otto Lopez	5.8	7.4	0.225	0.299	0.277	0.576	0.242	0.013
#8 Vidal Brujan	4.5	5.8	0.220	0.317	0.341	0.659	0.273	0.005

Padres Notable Injuries

Stephen Kolek OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/01/24. Impact: 1.2
Wandy Peralta OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/11/24. Impact: 0.0

Marlins Notable Injuries

Dane Myers OUT (OF): Avg: 0.265 SLG:0.422 Last game: 07/15/24. Impact: 2.8
Nick Fortes OUT (C): Avg: 0.213 SLG:0.28 Last game: 08/07/24. Impact: 2.5