Padres vs Marlins Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the sizzle of today’s MLB showdown as the blazing San Diego Padres, boasting a solid 65 wins, cruise into the sultry heart of Miami to face the underdog Marlins, who are trying to shake off the sting of their recent losses. The stage is set at LoanDepot Park, with the first pitch hurling at 04:10 PM EST under a partly cloudy sky that promises just as much drama as the game itself. With the Padres hot on the heels of the conference lead and the Marlins looking to claw back some dignity, the betting lines are buzzing—Padres favored to continue their winning streak. As we gear up for a clash that’s as heated as Miami’s own 88.7°F weather, let’s see if the Marlins can swim upstream against the fiery Padres in what’s shaping up to be a real barn burner!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 10, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: Partly Cloudy with winds from the SSE at 8.5 mph. Temperature is at 88.7° with 58% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SD ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-168	+140	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-202	+166	9.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-34	+26	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

147W-148L

66.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

141W-158L

33.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/27/24	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-5.5
05/27/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-5.5
05/28/24	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-4.5
05/28/24	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-4.5
05/29/24	Miami Marlins MIA	9	Over	+1.5
05/29/24	San Diego Padres SD	1	Over	+1.5
08/09/24	San Diego Padres SD	6	Under	-0.5
08/09/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-0.5
05/30/23	San Diego Padres SD	9	Over	+4.5
05/30/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+4.5
05/31/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-5.5
05/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-5.5
06/01/23	San Diego Padres SD	10	Over	+2.5
06/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Over	+2.5
08/21/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-0.5
08/21/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Under	-0.5
08/22/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-5.5
08/22/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-5.5
08/23/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-4.5
08/23/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-4.5

Padres Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Matt Waldron

ERA 3.787 | IP 128.3 | 7.0W-9.0L | KO 116.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-04-24	vsCOL	2-10W	5.7	2	1	7	Over
07-30-24	vsLAD	5-6W	4.0	5	5	6	Over
07-24-24	@WAS	12-3W	6.0	4	3	4	Over
07-19-24	@CLE	0-7L	6.0	6	1	5	Under
07-12-24	vsATL	6-1L	7.0	6	4	1	Under
07-06-24	vsARI	7-5L	6.0	5	3	6	Over
06-30-24	@BOS	1-4L	4.3	6	4	3	Under
06-24-24	vsWAS	6-7W	6.0	5	2	8	Over
06-19-24	@PHI	5-2W	7.0	5	1	6	Under
06-14-24	@NYM	1-2L	7.0	3	2	2	Under

Roddery Munoz

ERA 5.684 | IP 69.7 | 2.0W-6.0L | KO 59.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-05-24	vsCIN	10-3L	3.7	7	6	2	Over
07-31-24	@TB	6-2W	5.0	4	2	7	Under
07-25-24	vsBAL	7-6L	5.0	6	6	3	Over
07-20-24	vsNYM	1-0L	5.0	3	1	5	Under
07-11-24	@HOU	3-6L	6.7	5	6	2	Push
07-05-24	vsCWS	3-2L	4.0	4	2	2	Under
06-29-24	@PHI	3-2W	4.7	5	2	4	Under
06-24-24	@KC	1-4L	6.0	6	4	4	Under
06-18-24	vsSTL	8-9W	4.0	8	7	3	Over
06-13-24	@NYM	2-3L	6.0	1	0	5	Under

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/11	vs MIA	6-2W	11	1	Under
08/10	vs PIT	7-6W	7	2	Over
08/09	vs PIT	9-8W	14	3	Over
08/08	vs PIT	6-0W	14	0	Under
08/06	@ COL	10-2W	12	3	Over
08/05	@ COL	3-2W	5	0	Under
08/04	@ COL	2-5L	5	2	Under
08/02	@ LAD	8-1W	12	1	Push
08/01	@ LAD	6-5W	9	3	Over
07/30	vs BAL	6-8L	10	1	Over
07/29	vs BAL	9-4W	14	1	Over
07/28	vs BAL	6-4W	13	2	Over
07/27	vs WAS	3-0W	6	0	Under
07/26	vs WAS	12-3W	20	2	Over
07/25	vs WAS	4-0W	9	2	Under

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/11	@ SD	2-6L	4	2	Under
08/10	@ CIN	4-10L	9	0	Over
08/09	@ CIN	6-4W	8	3	Over
08/08	@ CIN	2-8L	4	0	Over
08/07	@ CIN	3-10L	11	1	Over
08/06	vs ATL	7-0W	9	1	Under
08/05	vs ATL	4-3W	10	1	Under
08/04	vs ATL	3-5L	8	2	Under
08/03	vs ATL	2-4L	6	0	Under
08/02	vs TB	6-2W	8	2	Under
08/01	vs TB	3-9L	10	2	Over
07/30	vs MIL	2-6L	7	1	Under
07/29	vs MIL	7-3W	11	1	Over
07/28	vs MIL	6-2W	11	3	Under
07/27	@ BAL	6-7L	9	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	9.7	11.9	0.302	0.375	0.351	0.726	0.301	0.006
#2 Jurickson Profar	9.6	12.8	0.298	0.495	0.460	0.955	0.377	0.048
#3 Jake Cronenworth	9.0	11.9	0.245	0.405	0.350	0.755	0.309	0.034
#4 Manny Machado	9.0	11.7	0.271	0.448	0.339	0.787	0.324	0.041
#5 Xander Bogaerts	8.7	11.0	0.262	0.367	0.324	0.691	0.287	0.020
#6 Jackson Merrill	8.7	11.2	0.297	0.488	0.351	0.840	0.344	0.041
#7 David Peralta	6.7	8.8	0.244	0.366	0.344	0.710	0.293	0.031
#8 Ha-Seong Kim	7.3	9.6	0.226	0.361	0.375	0.736	0.299	0.027
#9 Kyle Higashioka	5.6	7.6	0.236	0.548	0.306	0.854	0.349	0.089

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Xavier Edwards	7.9	9.8	0.357	0.442	0.488	0.930	0.369	0.008
#2 Jake Burger	7.0	9.2	0.240	0.446	0.309	0.755	0.311	0.056
#3 Jesus Sanchez	7.1	9.2	0.234	0.404	0.313	0.716	0.296	0.038
#4 Jonah Bride	5.4	7.2	0.257	0.457	0.414	0.871	0.348	0.057
#5 Kyle Stowers	6.0	7.9	0.190	0.302	0.238	0.540	0.230	0.016
#6 Otto Lopez	5.1	6.5	0.226	0.298	0.277	0.574	0.242	0.013
#7 Vidal Brujan	4.7	6.1	0.218	0.316	0.340	0.655	0.271	0.005
#8 Derek Hill	4.6	6.0	0.257	0.471	0.314	0.786	0.323	0.057
#9 Jhonny Pereda	4.8	5.7	0.200	0.200	0.200	0.400	0.171	0.000

Padres Notable Injuries

Stephen Kolek OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/01/24. Impact: 1.2
Wandy Peralta OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/11/24. Impact: 0.0

Marlins Notable Injuries

Dane Myers OUT (OF): Avg: 0.265 SLG:0.422 Last game: 07/15/24. Impact: 2.8
Nick Fortes OUT (C): Avg: 0.213 SLG:0.28 Last game: 08/07/24. Impact: 2.5