Padres vs Marlins Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the heat of the action as the San Diego Padres, riding high with a solid 66-52 record, take their talents to sunny Miami to face off against the underdog Marlins, who are currently sitting at 43-75. The stage is set at LoanDepot Park with the first pitch at a bright and early 01:40 PM EST. With the Padres looking to close a 2.5-game gap in the National League and the Marlins hoping to find some late-season magic, the stakes are as sizzling as the Miami weather. Speaking of which, it’s a perfect day for baseball—sunny skies, a gentle breeze, and the crowd buzzing with anticipation. The Padres are favored, but remember, the Marlins just gave them a run for their money in their last showdown. As the over/under teeters at 8, it’s anyone’s game. So, will the Padres ride the wave, or will the Marlins make a splash? Let’s find out!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 11, 2024 01:40PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: Sunny with winds from the ESE at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 88.1° with 59% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SD ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-200	+165	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-196	+161	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+4	-4	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

9W-1L

AWAY

148W-148L

66.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

141W-159L

33.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/27/24	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-5.0
05/27/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-5.0
05/28/24	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-4.0
05/28/24	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-4.0
05/29/24	Miami Marlins MIA	9	Over	+2.0
05/29/24	San Diego Padres SD	1	Over	+2.0
08/09/24	San Diego Padres SD	6	Push	-0.0
08/09/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Push	-0.0
08/10/24	San Diego Padres SD	9	Over	+9.0
08/10/24	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Over	+9.0
05/30/23	San Diego Padres SD	9	Over	+5.0
05/30/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+5.0
05/31/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-5.0
05/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-5.0
06/01/23	San Diego Padres SD	10	Over	+3.0
06/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Over	+3.0
08/21/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Push	-0.0
08/21/23	San Diego Padres SD	6	Push	-0.0
08/22/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-5.0
08/22/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-5.0
08/23/23	Miami Marlins MIA	0	Under	-4.0
08/23/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-4.0

Padres Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Dylan Cease

ERA 3.4 | IP 137.7 | 11.0W-8.0L | KO 176.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-06-24	@PIT	6-0W	1.0	1	0	2	Under
07-31-24	vsLAD	1-8W	5.7	3	1	6	Over
07-25-24	@WAS	3-0W	9.0	0	0	9	Under
07-20-24	@CLE	7-0W	7.0	1	0	10	Under
07-13-24	vsATL	0-4W	6.0	1	0	11	Under
07-07-24	vsARI	9-1L	7.0	5	3	8	Over
07-02-24	@TEX	0-7L	3.7	8	6	5	Under
06-26-24	vsWAS	5-8W	7.0	1	0	9	Over
06-21-24	vsMIL	5-9W	4.7	6	4	10	Over
06-16-24	@NYM	6-11L	3.7	7	7	5	Over

Max Meyer

ERA 5.1 | IP 30.0 | 2.0W-2.0L | KO 26.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-06-24	vsCIN	8-2L	4.0	8	6	2	Over
08-01-24	@ATL	2-4L	5.0	7	4	7	Under
07-27-24	@MIL	7-3W	4.0	4	3	3	Over
04-13-24	vsATL	1-5W	6.0	6	1	7	Under
04-07-24	@STL	10-3W	6.0	3	1	3	Over
04-01-24	vsLAA	7-4L	5.0	2	2	4	Over
07-23-22	vsPIT	7-4L	0.7	0	0	1	Over
07-16-22	vsPHI	7-4L	5.3	7	5	5	Over

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/12	vs MIA	9-8W	12	1	Over
08/11	vs MIA	6-2W	11	1	Over
08/10	vs PIT	7-6W	7	2	Over
08/09	vs PIT	9-8W	14	3	Over
08/08	vs PIT	6-0W	14	0	Under
08/06	@ COL	10-2W	12	3	Over
08/05	@ COL	3-2W	5	0	Under
08/04	@ COL	2-5L	5	2	Under
08/02	@ LAD	8-1W	12	1	Over
08/01	@ LAD	6-5W	9	3	Over
07/30	vs BAL	6-8L	10	1	Over
07/29	vs BAL	9-4W	14	1	Over
07/28	vs BAL	6-4W	13	2	Over
07/27	vs WAS	3-0W	6	0	Under
07/26	vs WAS	12-3W	20	2	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/12	@ SD	8-9L	11	2	Over
08/11	@ SD	2-6L	4	2	Over
08/10	@ CIN	4-10L	9	0	Over
08/09	@ CIN	6-4W	8	3	Over
08/08	@ CIN	2-8L	4	0	Over
08/07	@ CIN	3-10L	11	1	Over
08/06	vs ATL	7-0W	9	1	Under
08/05	vs ATL	4-3W	10	1	Under
08/04	vs ATL	3-5L	8	2	Over
08/03	vs ATL	2-4L	6	0	Under
08/02	vs TB	6-2W	8	2	Over
08/01	vs TB	3-9L	10	2	Over
07/30	vs MIL	2-6L	7	1	Over
07/29	vs MIL	7-3W	11	1	Over
07/28	vs MIL	6-2W	11	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	8.3	10.2	0.302	0.374	0.351	0.726	0.301	0.006
#2 Jurickson Profar	8.1	10.8	0.298	0.494	0.466	0.960	0.379	0.048
#3 Jake Cronenworth	7.9	10.5	0.245	0.405	0.350	0.755	0.310	0.034
#4 Manny Machado	8.6	11.2	0.270	0.445	0.337	0.782	0.322	0.041
#5 Xander Bogaerts	8.4	10.6	0.258	0.362	0.323	0.685	0.284	0.019
#6 Jackson Merrill	7.9	10.2	0.297	0.494	0.353	0.847	0.347	0.043
#7 David Peralta	6.3	8.3	0.259	0.393	0.356	0.748	0.307	0.030
#8 Ha-Seong Kim	6.5	8.5	0.230	0.364	0.380	0.743	0.301	0.027
#9 Luis Campusano	5.7	7.5	0.231	0.358	0.293	0.651	0.271	0.026

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Xavier Edwards	6.7	8.3	0.353	0.436	0.496	0.932	0.368	0.008
#2 Jake Burger	6.5	8.5	0.242	0.455	0.317	0.771	0.318	0.058
#3 Jesus Sanchez	7.2	9.3	0.239	0.409	0.317	0.726	0.300	0.037
#4 Jonah Bride	4.9	6.5	0.243	0.432	0.405	0.838	0.337	0.054
#5 Kyle Stowers	5.0	6.7	0.179	0.284	0.239	0.522	0.223	0.015
#6 Otto Lopez	4.9	6.2	0.229	0.304	0.279	0.583	0.245	0.013
#7 Vidal Brujan	4.7	6.1	0.219	0.329	0.343	0.671	0.277	0.010
#8 Derek Hill	4.2	5.5	0.257	0.459	0.311	0.770	0.317	0.054
#9 Ali Sanchez	4.3	5.4	0.161	0.161	0.250	0.411	0.180	0.000

Padres Notable Injuries

Stephen Kolek OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/01/24. Impact: 1.2

Marlins Notable Injuries

Dane Myers OUT (OF): Avg: 0.265 SLG:0.422 Last game: 07/15/24. Impact: 2.8
Nick Fortes OUT (C): Avg: 0.213 SLG:0.28 Last game: 08/07/24. Impact: 2.5