Padres vs Pirates Game Breakdown

Get ready to set your lineups and place your bets, folks, because today’s MLB showdown at PNC Park is not one to miss! The San Diego Padres, sitting pretty with 63 wins, are gearing up to throw down against the Pittsburgh Pirates, who’ve bagged 56 victories this season. With the first pitch slated for 12:35 PM EST, the Padres are looking to extend their lead in the National League, while the Pirates aim to claw back from their recent narrow defeat. Speaking of stats, today’s game teases an over/under of 8.5, making every swing and pitch count even more. And, as if the stakes weren’t high enough, the weather gods are throwing in some patchy rain and a breeze from the southeast to spice things up. So, as these two teams prepare to battle it out, remember, it’s not just about the Pirates seeking treasure or the Padres on a mission; it’s about which crew can truly commandeer the diamond!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 08, 2024 12:35PM EST

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Weather: Patchy rain nearby with winds from the SE at 10.7 mph. Temperature is at 76.8° with 77% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SD ML	PIT ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-105	-115	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-700	+425	11.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-595	+540	+2.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

145W-148L

87.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

136W-161L

12.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/06/24	San Diego Padres SD	6	Under	-2.5
08/06/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Under	-2.5
08/07/24	San Diego Padres SD	9	Over	+8.5
08/07/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+8.5
06/27/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+4.5
06/27/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	9	Over	+4.5
06/28/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-0.5
06/28/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	7	Under	-0.5
06/29/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+0.5
06/29/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Over	+0.5
07/24/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+3.5
07/24/23	San Diego Padres SD	4	Over	+3.5
07/25/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Under	-2.5
07/25/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Under	-2.5
07/26/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Under	-3.5
07/26/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-3.5

Padres Vs Over/Under

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Randy Vasquez

ERA 4.69 | IP 71.0 | 3.0W-5.0L | KO 45.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-02-24	vsCOL	5-2L	5.0	3	1	4	Under
07-28-24	@BAL	6-8L	2.0	4	6	2	Over
07-23-24	@WAS	4-0W	6.0	4	0	1	Under
07-05-24	vsARI	8-10W	6.3	6	2	6	Over
06-28-24	@BOS	9-2W	4.0	5	1	1	Push
06-22-24	vsMIL	4-6W	5.0	5	0	3	Under
06-17-24	@PHI	2-9L	4.3	12	6	2	Push
06-11-24	vsOAK	3-4W	5.0	7	1	5	Under
06-06-24	vsARI	4-3L	6.7	6	3	3	Under
06-01-24	@KC	7-3W	5.0	4	3	5	Under

Luis Ortiz

ERA 3.214 | IP 84.0 | 5.0W-2.0L | KO 65.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-02-24	vsARI	9-8L	5.3	6	6	2	Over
07-26-24	@ARI	3-4L	5.0	5	3	4	Under
07-20-24	vsPHI	1-4W	7.0	3	0	2	Under
07-13-24	@CWS	6-2W	5.7	4	1	5	Under
07-07-24	vsNYM	3-2L	6.0	4	0	5	Under
07-02-24	vsSTL	7-4L	2.0	3	1	4	Push
06-26-24	@CIN	6-1W	6.0	4	1	7	Under
06-21-24	vsTB	10-3L	4.0	10	6	3	Over
06-14-24	@COL	5-2W	5.0	7	1	3	Under
06-08-24	vsMIN	0-4W	4.3	3	0	3	Under

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/09	vs PIT	9-8W	14	3	Over
08/08	vs PIT	6-0W	14	0	Under
08/06	@ COL	10-2W	12	3	Over
08/05	@ COL	3-2W	5	0	Under
08/04	@ COL	2-5L	5	2	Under
08/02	@ LAD	8-1W	12	1	Under
08/01	@ LAD	6-5W	9	3	Push
07/30	vs BAL	6-8L	10	1	Over
07/29	vs BAL	9-4W	14	1	Over
07/28	vs BAL	6-4W	13	2	Under
07/27	vs WAS	3-0W	6	0	Under
07/26	vs WAS	12-3W	20	2	Over
07/25	vs WAS	4-0W	9	2	Under
07/23	vs CLE	2-1W	8	0	Under
07/22	vs CLE	7-0W	11	2	Under

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/09	@ SD	8-9L	11	1	Over
08/08	@ SD	0-6L	5	0	Under
08/06	@ ARI	5-6L	10	0	Push
08/05	@ ARI	4-2W	6	2	Under
08/04	@ ARI	8-9L	13	0	Over
08/02	vs HOU	4-4L	9	1	Under
08/01	vs HOU	6-2W	11	1	Under
07/31	vs HOU	5-3W	6	2	Under
07/30	vs ARI	6-5W	7	1	Push
07/29	vs ARI	5-9L	8	1	Over
07/28	vs ARI	3-4L	7	0	Under
07/26	@ STL	5-0W	5	1	Under
07/25	@ STL	1-2L	7	0	Under
07/24	@ STL	2-1W	8	0	Under
07/23	@ PHI	0-6L	6	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	8.7	10.7	0.302	0.374	0.352	0.727	0.302	0.007
#2 Jurickson Profar	8.4	11.1	0.298	0.494	0.455	0.949	0.376	0.049
#3 Jake Cronenworth	8.2	10.9	0.248	0.411	0.354	0.765	0.313	0.035
#4 Manny Machado	8.5	11.1	0.270	0.438	0.339	0.777	0.320	0.040
#5 Xander Bogaerts	8.3	10.4	0.266	0.375	0.327	0.702	0.291	0.020
#6 Jackson Merrill	7.6	9.8	0.292	0.474	0.342	0.816	0.336	0.039
#7 David Peralta	5.6	7.4	0.236	0.341	0.341	0.683	0.282	0.024
#8 Ha-Seong Kim	6.2	8.2	0.228	0.365	0.376	0.742	0.301	0.027
#9 Kyle Higashioka	4.7	6.3	0.240	0.558	0.305	0.864	0.354	0.091

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Isiah Kiner-Falefa	7.6	9.6	0.291	0.429	0.360	0.789	0.324	0.025
#2 Bryan Reynolds	9.8	12.7	0.287	0.478	0.393	0.871	0.352	0.041
#3 Oneil Cruz	9.4	12.3	0.251	0.460	0.334	0.794	0.325	0.045
#4 Joey Bart	6.8	9.1	0.265	0.462	0.409	0.871	0.349	0.053
#5 Rowdy Tellez	7.7	10.0	0.255	0.402	0.336	0.738	0.304	0.033
#6 Bryan De La Cruz	7.6	9.8	0.243	0.408	0.304	0.712	0.295	0.041
#7 Ke’Bryan Hayes	6.8	8.6	0.237	0.289	0.317	0.606	0.254	0.009
#8 Ji Hwan Bae	5.6	7.4	0.186	0.209	0.302	0.512	0.217	0.000
#9 Jose Rojas	6.7	6.7	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan
#9 Michael A. Taylor	5.5	7.2	0.199	0.296	0.286	0.583	0.244	0.019

Padres Notable Injuries

Ha-Seong Kim OUT (SS): Avg: 0.228 SLG:0.365 Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 2.3
Stephen Kolek OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/01/24. Impact: 1.2
Wandy Peralta OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/11/24. Impact: 0.0

Pirates Notable Injuries

Nick Gonzales OUT (2B): Avg: 0.258 SLG:0.381 Last game: 07/29/24. Impact: 1.7
Joshua Palacios OUT (OF): Avg: 0.207 SLG:0.31 Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 1.3
Carmen Mlodzinski OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 1.4