Padres vs Nationals Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB Daily Fantasy action as the San Diego Padres gallop into Nationals Park, ready to duel with the Washington Nationals in a daytime showdown that promises more twists than a pretzel vendor’s arm! With the Padres sitting pretty but still hungry 7.5 games shy of the top in the National League and the Nationals trailing further behind at 16.5, every pitch counts in this clash. The stakes? A spicy over/under of 8.5 and odds leaning heavily towards the Padres at -185, thanks to their explosive 12-3 victory yesterday against these same Nationals, who are undoubtedly itching for redemption. As the first pitch looms at 12:05 PM EST under a moody sky of light rain and gentle breezes, make sure your lineups are locked and loaded. After all, in a game where Padres are set to tame Nationals, expect every swing to be a declaration of independence!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 25, 2024 12:05PM EST

Location: Nationals Park, Washington

Weather: Light rain shower with winds from the SW at 5.1 mph. Temperature is at 75.2° with 85% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SD ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-185	+153	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-162	+136	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+23	-17	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

140W-147L

61.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

115W-173L

38.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/24/24	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Over	+4.5
06/24/24	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+4.5
06/25/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+7.5
06/25/24	San Diego Padres SD	9	Over	+7.5
06/26/24	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+4.5
06/26/24	San Diego Padres SD	8	Over	+4.5
07/23/24	San Diego Padres SD	4	Under	-4.5
07/23/24	Washington Nationals WAS	0	Under	-4.5
07/24/24	San Diego Padres SD	12	Over	+6.5
07/24/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+6.5
05/23/23	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+2.5
05/23/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+2.5
05/24/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-0.5
05/24/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Under	-0.5
05/25/23	San Diego Padres SD	8	Over	+5.5
05/25/23	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Over	+5.5
06/23/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+7.5
06/23/23	San Diego Padres SD	13	Over	+7.5
06/24/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-6.5
06/24/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-6.5
06/25/23	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+2.5
06/25/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Over	+2.5

Padres Vs Over/Under

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Dylan Cease

ERA 3.762 | IP 122.0 | 9.0W-8.0L | KO 159.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-20-24	@CLE	7-0W	7.0	1	0	10	Under
07-13-24	vsATL	0-4W	6.0	1	0	11	Under
07-07-24	vsARI	9-1L	7.0	5	3	8	Over
07-02-24	@TEX	0-7L	3.7	8	6	5	Under
06-26-24	vsWAS	5-8W	7.0	1	0	9	Over
06-21-24	vsMIL	5-9W	4.7	6	4	10	Over
06-16-24	@NYM	6-11L	3.7	7	7	5	Over
06-10-24	vsOAK	1-6W	6.0	8	1	8	Under
06-05-24	@LAA	2-3L	6.0	4	3	6	Under
05-31-24	@KC	11-8W	5.3	5	3	5	Over

Patrick Corbin

ERA 5.351 | IP 111.0 | 2.0W-9.0L | KO 79.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-19-24	vsCIN	5-8W	6.0	3	1	6	Over
07-10-24	@NYM	2-6L	5.0	8	4	5	Under
07-05-24	vsSTL	7-6L	5.0	6	3	3	Over
06-30-24	@TB	0-5L	6.0	8	4	5	Under
06-24-24	@SD	6-7L	7.0	5	3	5	Over
06-19-24	vsARI	1-3W	5.0	3	1	7	Under
06-13-24	@DET	2-7L	5.3	4	1	4	Over
06-05-24	vsNYM	9-1L	5.3	7	6	3	Over
05-31-24	@CLE	1-7L	6.0	6	2	5	Under
05-26-24	vsSEA	9-5L	6.0	4	4	4	Over

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/26	vs WAS	12-3W	20	2	Over
07/25	vs WAS	4-0W	9	2	Under
07/23	vs CLE	2-1W	8	0	Under
07/22	vs CLE	7-0W	11	2	Under
07/21	vs CLE	0-7L	4	0	Under
07/15	@ ATL	4-0W	13	1	Under
07/14	@ ATL	1-6L	5	0	Under
07/12	@ SEA	0-2L	6	0	Under
07/11	@ SEA	3-8L	4	2	Over
07/09	@ ARI	1-9L	4	1	Over
07/08	@ ARI	5-7L	14	0	Over
07/07	@ ARI	10-8W	14	3	Over
07/06	vs TEX	3-1W	9	1	Under
07/05	vs TEX	6-4W	13	2	Over
07/04	vs TEX	0-7L	2	0	Under

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/26	@ SD	3-12L	6	1	Over
07/25	@ SD	0-4L	5	0	Under
07/23	@ CIN	5-2W	9	1	Under
07/22	@ CIN	5-4W	9	1	Over
07/21	@ CIN	7-5W	7	2	Over
07/15	vs MIL	6-5W	12	2	Over
07/14	vs MIL	5-2W	12	1	Under
07/13	vs NYM	0-7L	6	0	Under
07/12	vs NYM	2-6L	5	0	Under
07/11	vs NYM	5-7L	6	2	Over
07/10	@ STL	0-6L	8	0	Under
07/09	@ STL	3-8L	11	0	Over
07/08	@ STL	14-6W	15	3	Over
07/07	@ STL	6-7L	14	1	Over
07/06	@ NYM	1-0W	5	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Jurickson Profar	9.8	12.9	0.298	0.481	0.444	0.926	0.368	0.046
#2 Donovan Solano	9.0	11.5	0.293	0.401	0.383	0.784	0.321	0.018
#3 Xander Bogaerts	9.9	12.3	0.241	0.330	0.300	0.631	0.263	0.020
#4 Manny Machado	10.0	13.0	0.263	0.411	0.335	0.746	0.307	0.034
#5 Jake Cronenworth	8.2	10.9	0.251	0.423	0.355	0.779	0.318	0.038
#6 Ha-Seong Kim	9.1	12.0	0.227	0.372	0.378	0.749	0.303	0.030
#7 Jackson Merrill	7.0	9.0	0.288	0.450	0.338	0.788	0.325	0.035
#8 Luis Campusano	7.2	9.5	0.228	0.354	0.296	0.650	0.271	0.024
#9 Bryce Johnson	6.0	7.8	0.152	0.182	0.273	0.455	0.196	0.000

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	7.7	10.1	0.262	0.468	0.373	0.841	0.341	0.041
#2 Lane Thomas	6.9	9.0	0.247	0.399	0.357	0.756	0.309	0.028
#3 Jesse Winker	6.7	8.9	0.265	0.434	0.460	0.894	0.353	0.036
#4 Juan Yepez	6.7	8.7	0.352	0.611	0.444	1.056	0.424	0.037
#5 James Wood	6.6	8.7	0.217	0.319	0.319	0.638	0.265	0.029
#6 Keibert Ruiz	5.8	7.5	0.225	0.341	0.275	0.616	0.259	0.027
#7 Luis Garcia Jr.	6.1	7.7	0.278	0.442	0.322	0.763	0.316	0.035
#8 Trey Lipscomb	4.4	5.5	0.220	0.258	0.302	0.560	0.236	0.006
#9 Jacob Young	4.1	5.2	0.253	0.313	0.349	0.662	0.276	0.004

Padres Notable Injuries

Wandy Peralta OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/11/24. Impact: 0.0
Tom Cosgrove OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 06/28/24. Impact: -0.3