Mariners vs Red Sox Game Breakdown

Seattle Mariners

Mariners

57W-51L

Seattle Mariners

July 31, 2024

04:10PM EST

Odds: 9.5 o/u

Red Sox

56W-49L

Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox

Today’s MLB showdown sends the Seattle Mariners sailing into Fenway Park, ready to drop anchor against the Boston Red Sox in a clash that’s got everyone talking. With the Mariners just a whisper away from the top of the American League and the Red Sox trailing not too far behind, this 04:10 PM EST game is more than just a battle of bats; it’s a race for conference supremacy. Despite a slight drizzle and a breeze from the south messing with the game-day hairstyles, the atmosphere is charged. The stakes? High. The betting lines? Tight, with the Mariners favored slightly in what’s expected to be a high-scoring affair. Fresh off their recent face-off where Seattle took the win, both teams are itching for dominance. So, as we gear up for this epic showdown, let’s see if the Mariners can keep their ship steady or if the Red Sox will spin this game into a Boston tea party of victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 31, 2024 04:10PM EST
Location: Fenway Park, Boston
Weather: Light rain shower with winds from the S at 12.3 mph. Temperature is at 83.6° with 59% humidity.

Vegas Odds

SEA ML BOS ML Over/Under Line
Open -121 +101 9.5 -1.5/1.5
Recent -112 -108 9.5 -1.5/1.5
Difference +9 -209 0 –

Team Performance

sea Team Logo
LAST 10
5W-5L
AWAY
156W-139L

52.8% Win Probability

bos Team Logo
LAST 10
3W-7L
HOME
152W-139L

47.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Runs O/U O/U DIFF ATS
03/28/24 Boston Red Sox BOS 6 Over +0.5
Seattle Mariners SEA 4
03/29/24 Boston Red Sox BOS 0 Under -8.5
Seattle Mariners SEA 1
03/30/24 Boston Red Sox BOS 3 Under -2.5
Seattle Mariners SEA 4
03/31/24 Boston Red Sox BOS 5 Under -3.5
Seattle Mariners SEA 1
07/29/24 Seattle Mariners SEA 7 Over +11.5
Boston Red Sox BOS 14
07/30/24 Seattle Mariners SEA 10 Over +6.5
Boston Red Sox BOS 6
05/15/23 Seattle Mariners SEA 10 Over +1.5
Boston Red Sox BOS 1
05/16/23 Seattle Mariners SEA 4 Over +3.5
Boston Red Sox BOS 9
05/17/23 Seattle Mariners SEA 3 Over +5.5
Boston Red Sox BOS 12
07/31/23 Boston Red Sox BOS 2 Under -1.5
Seattle Mariners SEA 6
08/01/23 Boston Red Sox BOS 6 Over +0.5
Seattle Mariners SEA 4
08/02/23 Boston Red Sox BOS 3 Under -0.5
Seattle Mariners SEA 6

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

George Kirby
George Kirby
ERA 3.031 | IP 130.7 | 8.0W-7.0L | KO 129.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
07-26-24 @CWS 10-0W 7.0 6 0 7 Over
07-20-24 vsHOU 4-2L 6.0 4 1 6 Under
07-13-24 @LAA 1-2L 6.0 3 2 7 Under
07-07-24 vsTOR 5-4L 6.0 7 3 8 Under
07-02-24 vsBAL 2-0L 6.3 7 2 5 Under
06-26-24 @TB 5-2W 6.0 4 1 7 Under
06-21-24 @MIA 2-3L 7.0 5 2 5 Under
06-15-24 vsTEX 5-7W 6.0 3 1 6 Over
06-09-24 @KC 6-5W 7.0 5 1 4 Over
06-04-24 @OAK 4-3W 5.0 6 2 9 Under
Brayan Bello
Brayan Bello
ERA 5.343 | IP 94.3 | 9.0W-5.0L | KO 93.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
07-26-24 vsNYY 7-9W 5.0 5 3 4 Over
07-20-24 @LAD 6-7L 6.0 5 3 7 Over
07-09-24 vsOAK 9-12W 5.3 9 5 11 Over
07-03-24 @MIA 7-2W 6.7 7 1 7 Under
06-25-24 vsTOR 9-4L 2.3 5 7 2 Over
06-19-24 @TOR 7-3W 6.0 7 2 6 Over
06-14-24 vsNYY 8-1L 4.7 6 5 5 Under
06-08-24 @CWS 1-6L 4.7 9 5 2 Under
06-02-24 vsDET 8-4L 6.3 8 4 5 Over
05-28-24 @BAL 8-3W 5.0 5 3 7 Over

Mariners Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
08/01 vs BOS 10-6W 10 1 Over
07/31 vs BOS 7-14L 10 2 Over
07/30 vs CWS 6-3W 8 1 Under
07/29 vs CWS 6-3W 12 3 Under
07/28 vs CWS 10-0W 11 4 Over
07/26 @ LAA 1-2L 6 1 Under
07/25 @ LAA 1-5L 3 0 Under
07/24 @ LAA 1-3L 4 0 Under
07/23 @ HOU 6-4W 9 2 Over
07/22 @ HOU 2-4L 3 1 Under
07/21 @ HOU 0-3L 4 0 Under
07/15 vs LAA 1-2L 6 0 Under
07/14 vs LAA 5-6L 10 2 Over
07/13 vs LAA 11-0W 15 3 Over
07/12 vs SD 2-0W 4 0 Under

Red Sox Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
08/01 @ SEA 6-10L 11 1 Over
07/31 @ SEA 14-7W 16 3 Over
07/30 @ NYY 2-8L 7 2 Over
07/29 @ NYY 8-11L 13 3 Over
07/28 @ NYY 9-7W 14 1 Over
07/26 vs COL 7-20L 11 1 Over
07/25 vs COL 6-0W 11 2 Under
07/24 vs COL 8-9L 13 2 Over
07/23 vs LAD 6-9L 9 1 Over
07/22 vs LAD 6-7L 10 2 Over
07/21 vs LAD 1-4L 9 1 Under
07/15 @ KC 5-0W 12 1 Under
07/14 @ KC 1-6L 5 0 Under
07/13 @ OAK 7-0W 10 3 Under
07/12 @ OAK 2-5L 8 1 Under

Team’s Batting Order

Seattle Mariners DK FD AVG SLG OBP OPS wOBA HR/Rate
#1 Josh Rojas
9.2 11.8 0.239 0.357 0.357 0.714 0.292 0.017
#2 Randy Arozarena
9.2 12.2 0.218 0.405 0.375 0.780 0.316 0.044
#3 Cal Raleigh
9.6 12.9 0.218 0.441 0.345 0.785 0.319 0.065
#4 Jorge Polanco
9.0 11.8 0.212 0.356 0.332 0.688 0.283 0.040
#5 Justin Turner
7.8 10.2 0.256 0.370 0.403 0.774 0.314 0.020
#6 Luke Raley
9.0 11.7 0.232 0.413 0.310 0.723 0.300 0.041
#7 Dylan Moore
7.2 9.5 0.212 0.415 0.373 0.788 0.319 0.035
#8 Jason Vosler
7.2 9.3 0.227 0.364 0.273 0.636 0.263 0.000
#9 Mitch Haniger
6.0 8.0 0.205 0.336 0.329 0.664 0.274 0.031
Boston Red Sox DK FD AVG SLG OBP OPS wOBA HR/Rate
#1 Jarren Duran
9.4 12.1 0.284 0.499 0.379 0.878 0.355 0.029
#2 Wilyer Abreu
8.2 10.8 0.269 0.490 0.376 0.865 0.350 0.037
#3 Masataka Yoshida
7.5 9.8 0.291 0.414 0.409 0.823 0.335 0.025
#4 Rafael Devers
8.7 11.6 0.298 0.588 0.435 1.023 0.404 0.065
#5 Tyler O’Neill
7.5 10.0 0.269 0.552 0.403 0.955 0.381 0.076
#6 Dominic Smith
6.3 8.4 0.231 0.380 0.356 0.736 0.301 0.024
#7 Danny Jansen
6.3 8.4 0.219 0.378 0.362 0.740 0.301 0.031
#8 David Hamilton
5.8 7.4 0.244 0.380 0.321 0.701 0.290 0.023
#9 Ceddanne Rafaela
5.8 7.5 0.255 0.417 0.301 0.718 0.298 0.033

Mariners Notable Injuries

  • Julio Rodriguez OUT (OF): Avg: 0.262 SLG:0.373 Last game: 07/23/24. Impact: 3.8
  • J.P. Crawford OUT (SS): Avg: 0.204 SLG:0.339 Last game: 07/24/24. Impact: 2.1
  • Dominic Canzone OUT (OF): Avg: 0.211 SLG:0.394 Last game: 07/11/24. Impact: 1.7

Red Sox Notable Injuries

  • Justin Slaten OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/09/24. Impact: 1.6
  • Chris Martin OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/05/24. Impact: 1.4
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