Mariners vs Red Sox Game Breakdown

Mariners
57W-51L

July 31, 2024
04:10PM EST
Odds: 9.5 o/u
Red Sox
56W-49L


Today’s MLB showdown sends the Seattle Mariners sailing into Fenway Park, ready to drop anchor against the Boston Red Sox in a clash that’s got everyone talking. With the Mariners just a whisper away from the top of the American League and the Red Sox trailing not too far behind, this 04:10 PM EST game is more than just a battle of bats; it’s a race for conference supremacy. Despite a slight drizzle and a breeze from the south messing with the game-day hairstyles, the atmosphere is charged. The stakes? High. The betting lines? Tight, with the Mariners favored slightly in what’s expected to be a high-scoring affair. Fresh off their recent face-off where Seattle took the win, both teams are itching for dominance. So, as we gear up for this epic showdown, let’s see if the Mariners can keep their ship steady or if the Red Sox will spin this game into a Boston tea party of victory!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: July 31, 2024 04:10PM EST
Location: Fenway Park, Boston
Weather: Light rain shower with winds from the S at 12.3 mph. Temperature is at 83.6° with 59% humidity.
Vegas Odds
SEA ML | BOS ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -121 | +101 | 9.5 | -1.5/1.5 |
Recent | -112 | -108 | 9.5 | -1.5/1.5 |
Difference | +9 | -209 | 0 | – |
Team Performance

52.8% Win Probability

47.2% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/28/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 6 | Over | +0.5 | ![]() |
Seattle Mariners SEA | 4 | ||||
03/29/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 0 | Under | -8.5 | ![]() |
Seattle Mariners SEA | 1 | ||||
03/30/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 3 | Under | -2.5 | ![]() |
Seattle Mariners SEA | 4 | ||||
03/31/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 5 | Under | -3.5 | ![]() |
Seattle Mariners SEA | 1 | ||||
07/29/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 7 | Over | +11.5 | ![]() |
Boston Red Sox BOS | 14 | ||||
07/30/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 10 | Over | +6.5 | ![]() |
Boston Red Sox BOS | 6 | ||||
05/15/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 10 | Over | +1.5 | ![]() |
Boston Red Sox BOS | 1 | ||||
05/16/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 4 | Over | +3.5 | ![]() |
Boston Red Sox BOS | 9 | ||||
05/17/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | Over | +5.5 | ![]() |
Boston Red Sox BOS | 12 | ||||
07/31/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 2 | Under | -1.5 | ![]() |
Seattle Mariners SEA | 6 | ||||
08/01/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 6 | Over | +0.5 | ![]() |
Seattle Mariners SEA | 4 | ||||
08/02/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 3 | Under | -0.5 | ![]() |
Seattle Mariners SEA | 6 |
Mariners Vs Over/Under
Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
07-26-24 | @CWS | 10-0W | 7.0 | 6 | 0 | 7 | Over |
07-20-24 | vsHOU | 4-2L | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | Under |
07-13-24 | @LAA | 1-2L | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | Under |
07-07-24 | vsTOR | 5-4L | 6.0 | 7 | 3 | 8 | Under |
07-02-24 | vsBAL | 2-0L | 6.3 | 7 | 2 | 5 | Under |
06-26-24 | @TB | 5-2W | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | Under |
06-21-24 | @MIA | 2-3L | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | Under |
06-15-24 | vsTEX | 5-7W | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | Over |
06-09-24 | @KC | 6-5W | 7.0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | Over |
06-04-24 | @OAK | 4-3W | 5.0 | 6 | 2 | 9 | Under |

Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
07-26-24 | vsNYY | 7-9W | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | Over |
07-20-24 | @LAD | 6-7L | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | Over |
07-09-24 | vsOAK | 9-12W | 5.3 | 9 | 5 | 11 | Over |
07-03-24 | @MIA | 7-2W | 6.7 | 7 | 1 | 7 | Under |
06-25-24 | vsTOR | 9-4L | 2.3 | 5 | 7 | 2 | Over |
06-19-24 | @TOR | 7-3W | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 6 | Over |
06-14-24 | vsNYY | 8-1L | 4.7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | Under |
06-08-24 | @CWS | 1-6L | 4.7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | Under |
06-02-24 | vsDET | 8-4L | 6.3 | 8 | 4 | 5 | Over |
05-28-24 | @BAL | 8-3W | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | Over |
Mariners Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/01 | vs BOS | 10-6W | 10 | 1 | Over |
07/31 | vs BOS | 7-14L | 10 | 2 | Over |
07/30 | vs CWS | 6-3W | 8 | 1 | Under |
07/29 | vs CWS | 6-3W | 12 | 3 | Under |
07/28 | vs CWS | 10-0W | 11 | 4 | Over |
07/26 | @ LAA | 1-2L | 6 | 1 | Under |
07/25 | @ LAA | 1-5L | 3 | 0 | Under |
07/24 | @ LAA | 1-3L | 4 | 0 | Under |
07/23 | @ HOU | 6-4W | 9 | 2 | Over |
07/22 | @ HOU | 2-4L | 3 | 1 | Under |
07/21 | @ HOU | 0-3L | 4 | 0 | Under |
07/15 | vs LAA | 1-2L | 6 | 0 | Under |
07/14 | vs LAA | 5-6L | 10 | 2 | Over |
07/13 | vs LAA | 11-0W | 15 | 3 | Over |
07/12 | vs SD | 2-0W | 4 | 0 | Under |
Red Sox Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/01 | @ SEA | 6-10L | 11 | 1 | Over |
07/31 | @ SEA | 14-7W | 16 | 3 | Over |
07/30 | @ NYY | 2-8L | 7 | 2 | Over |
07/29 | @ NYY | 8-11L | 13 | 3 | Over |
07/28 | @ NYY | 9-7W | 14 | 1 | Over |
07/26 | vs COL | 7-20L | 11 | 1 | Over |
07/25 | vs COL | 6-0W | 11 | 2 | Under |
07/24 | vs COL | 8-9L | 13 | 2 | Over |
07/23 | vs LAD | 6-9L | 9 | 1 | Over |
07/22 | vs LAD | 6-7L | 10 | 2 | Over |
07/21 | vs LAD | 1-4L | 9 | 1 | Under |
07/15 | @ KC | 5-0W | 12 | 1 | Under |
07/14 | @ KC | 1-6L | 5 | 0 | Under |
07/13 | @ OAK | 7-0W | 10 | 3 | Under |
07/12 | @ OAK | 2-5L | 8 | 1 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
Seattle Mariners | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1
Josh Rojas
|
9.2 | 11.8 | 0.239 | 0.357 | 0.357 | 0.714 | 0.292 | 0.017 |
9.2 | 12.2 | 0.218 | 0.405 | 0.375 | 0.780 | 0.316 | 0.044 | |
#3
Cal Raleigh
|
9.6 | 12.9 | 0.218 | 0.441 | 0.345 | 0.785 | 0.319 | 0.065 |
9.0 | 11.8 | 0.212 | 0.356 | 0.332 | 0.688 | 0.283 | 0.040 | |
7.8 | 10.2 | 0.256 | 0.370 | 0.403 | 0.774 | 0.314 | 0.020 | |
#6
Luke Raley
|
9.0 | 11.7 | 0.232 | 0.413 | 0.310 | 0.723 | 0.300 | 0.041 |
#7
Dylan Moore
|
7.2 | 9.5 | 0.212 | 0.415 | 0.373 | 0.788 | 0.319 | 0.035 |
#8
Jason Vosler
|
7.2 | 9.3 | 0.227 | 0.364 | 0.273 | 0.636 | 0.263 | 0.000 |
6.0 | 8.0 | 0.205 | 0.336 | 0.329 | 0.664 | 0.274 | 0.031 |
Boston Red Sox | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPS | wOBA | HR/Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1
Jarren Duran
|
9.4 | 12.1 | 0.284 | 0.499 | 0.379 | 0.878 | 0.355 | 0.029 |
#2
Wilyer Abreu
|
8.2 | 10.8 | 0.269 | 0.490 | 0.376 | 0.865 | 0.350 | 0.037 |
7.5 | 9.8 | 0.291 | 0.414 | 0.409 | 0.823 | 0.335 | 0.025 | |
8.7 | 11.6 | 0.298 | 0.588 | 0.435 | 1.023 | 0.404 | 0.065 | |
7.5 | 10.0 | 0.269 | 0.552 | 0.403 | 0.955 | 0.381 | 0.076 | |
6.3 | 8.4 | 0.231 | 0.380 | 0.356 | 0.736 | 0.301 | 0.024 | |
#7
Danny Jansen
|
6.3 | 8.4 | 0.219 | 0.378 | 0.362 | 0.740 | 0.301 | 0.031 |
5.8 | 7.4 | 0.244 | 0.380 | 0.321 | 0.701 | 0.290 | 0.023 | |
5.8 | 7.5 | 0.255 | 0.417 | 0.301 | 0.718 | 0.298 | 0.033 |
Mariners Notable Injuries
- Julio Rodriguez OUT (OF): Avg: 0.262 SLG:0.373 Last game: 07/23/24. Impact: 3.8
- J.P. Crawford OUT (SS): Avg: 0.204 SLG:0.339 Last game: 07/24/24. Impact: 2.1
- Dominic Canzone OUT (OF): Avg: 0.211 SLG:0.394 Last game: 07/11/24. Impact: 1.7
Red Sox Notable Injuries
- Justin Slaten OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/09/24. Impact: 1.6
- Chris Martin OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/05/24. Impact: 1.4
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