Mariners vs Pirates Game Breakdown

Get ready to set your sails and embark on a treasure hunt as the Seattle Mariners steer their ship into PNC Park, ready for a swashbuckling showdown against the Pittsburgh Pirates today at 1:05 PM EST. With the Mariners just a wave’s crest behind in the American League and the Pirates looking to hoist their flag higher in the National League standings, this matchup is more than just a game—it’s a battle for conference supremacy. The odds makers have cast their lots, setting the over/under at 8.5, favoring the Mariners slightly in what’s expected to be a breezy, partly cloudy day perfect for some baseball. After yesterday’s clash where the Pirates walked the plank victoriously, it’s all hands on deck as both teams look to navigate through today’s currents. So, grab your compasses, folks—it’s time to see if the Mariners can sail to victory or if the Pirates will once again rule the seas!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: August 17, 2024 01:05PM EST

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the S at 13.6 mph. Temperature is at 81.0° with 62% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	SEA ML	PIT ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-162	+136	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-185	+140	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-23	+4	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

156W-144L

64.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

1W-9L

HOME

137W-162L

35.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/16/24	Seattle Mariners SEA	3	Under	-0.5
08/16/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	5	Under	-0.5
05/26/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	11	Over	+8.5
05/26/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	6	Over	+8.5
05/27/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Under	-3.5
05/27/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	5	Under	-3.5
05/28/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+0.5
05/28/23	Seattle Mariners SEA	6	Over	+0.5

Mariners Vs Over/Under

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Luis Castillo

ERA 3.458 | IP 148.3 | 10.0W-11.0L | KO 148.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-11-24	vsNYM	1-12W	6.0	4	1	9	Over
08-06-24	vsDET	4-2L	6.0	8	3	9	Under
07-30-24	@BOS	10-6W	6.0	6	3	4	Over
07-24-24	vsLAA	2-1L	6.0	5	0	7	Under
07-19-24	vsHOU	3-0L	7.0	6	3	3	Under
07-11-24	@LAA	11-0W	6.0	4	0	5	Over
07-05-24	vsTOR	1-2W	6.7	2	1	8	Under
06-30-24	vsMIN	5-3L	5.0	6	3	3	Under
06-25-24	@TB	3-11L	5.3	5	4	4	Over
06-20-24	@CLE	3-6L	5.0	8	5	4	Over

Bailey Falter

ERA 4.072 | IP 101.7 | 5.0W-7.0L | KO 67.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
08-11-24	@LAD	5-6L	4.0	7	4	2	Over
08-06-24	vsSD	6-0L	2.0	2	0	1	Under
07-30-24	@HOU	6-2W	5.3	6	2	3	Under
07-06-24	vsNYM	5-2L	2.0	5	3	2	Under
06-30-24	@ATL	4-2W	5.0	2	1	5	Under
06-24-24	@CIN	5-11L	4.0	5	5	2	Over
06-18-24	vsCIN	2-1L	7.0	7	2	3	Under
06-12-24	@STL	2-4L	4.0	8	3	5	Under
06-06-24	vsLAD	11-7L	4.0	8	5	6	Over
05-31-24	@TOR	3-5L	6.0	2	0	5	Under

Mariners Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/18	vs PIT	3-5L	5	2	Under
08/17	vs DET	1-2L	1	0	Under
08/16	vs DET	2-3L	5	0	Under
08/15	vs DET	1-15L	3	0	Over
08/13	@ NYM	12-1W	12	3	Over
08/12	@ NYM	4-0W	6	0	Under
08/11	@ NYM	6-0W	6	1	Under
08/10	@ DET	4-3W	6	1	Under
08/09	@ DET	2-6L	5	1	Under
08/08	@ DET	2-4L	5	1	Under
08/06	@ PHI	0-6L	3	0	Under
08/05	@ PHI	6-5W	8	1	Over
08/04	@ PHI	10-2W	9	4	Over
08/02	vs BOS	2-3L	7	1	Under
08/01	vs BOS	10-6W	10	1	Over

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
08/18	@ SEA	5-3W	8	1	Under
08/16	vs SD	2-8L	8	1	Over
08/15	vs SD	0-3L	9	0	Under
08/14	vs SD	1-2L	7	0	Under
08/13	vs LAD	5-6L	9	2	Over
08/12	vs LAD	1-4L	9	1	Under
08/11	vs LAD	5-9L	11	2	Over
08/10	@ SD	6-7L	12	1	Over
08/09	@ SD	8-9L	11	1	Over
08/08	@ SD	0-6L	5	0	Under
08/06	@ ARI	5-6L	10	0	Over
08/05	@ ARI	4-2W	6	2	Under
08/04	@ ARI	8-9L	13	0	Over
08/02	vs HOU	4-4L	9	1	Under
08/01	vs HOU	6-2W	11	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Seattle Mariners	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Victor Robles	8.3	10.5	0.248	0.362	0.356	0.718	0.296	0.020
#2 Randy Arozarena	10.2	13.5	0.218	0.394	0.391	0.785	0.317	0.039
#3 Julio Rodriguez	10.3	13.0	0.264	0.375	0.335	0.710	0.294	0.028
#4 Jorge Polanco	8.5	11.2	0.211	0.360	0.339	0.699	0.287	0.042
#5 Justin Turner	7.9	10.4	0.250	0.365	0.403	0.768	0.312	0.021
#6 Dylan Moore	8.3	11.0	0.201	0.383	0.369	0.752	0.305	0.030
#7 Mitch Haniger	6.4	8.6	0.206	0.342	0.321	0.664	0.274	0.033
#8 Mitch Garver	6.5	8.9	0.169	0.334	0.344	0.679	0.278	0.039
#9 Leo Rivas	5.1	6.8	0.182	0.242	0.273	0.515	0.216	0.000

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Isiah Kiner-Falefa	6.6	8.4	0.287	0.417	0.358	0.775	0.319	0.023
#2 Oneil Cruz	9.1	11.9	0.259	0.468	0.343	0.811	0.332	0.045
#3 Joey Bart	5.6	7.4	0.273	0.497	0.398	0.894	0.360	0.062
#4 Rowdy Tellez	6.5	8.4	0.253	0.394	0.330	0.724	0.299	0.030
#5 Bryan De La Cruz	6.3	8.1	0.243	0.399	0.303	0.701	0.291	0.038
#6 Ke’Bryan Hayes	5.8	7.3	0.230	0.287	0.306	0.593	0.249	0.011
#7 Michael A. Taylor	4.8	6.3	0.209	0.304	0.300	0.604	0.252	0.017
#8 Ji Hwan Bae	5.5	7.2	0.204	0.241	0.296	0.537	0.227	0.000
#9 Jared Triolo	4.8	6.3	0.199	0.272	0.312	0.585	0.245	0.015

Mariners Notable Injuries

J.P. Crawford OUT (SS): Avg: 0.204 SLG:0.339 Last game: 07/24/24. Impact: 2.1
Gregory Santos OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/02/24. Impact: 0.4

Pirates Notable Injuries

Marco Gonzales OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 3.6
Nick Gonzales OUT (2B): Avg: 0.258 SLG:0.381 Last game: 07/29/24. Impact: 1.7
Joshua Palacios OUT (OF): Avg: 0.207 SLG:0.31 Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 1.3
Carmen Mlodzinski OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 07/31/24. Impact: 1.4
Colin Holderman OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/09/24. Impact: 0.1