Mariners vs Blue Jays Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 9th 2024

Mariners
4W-7L

April 09, 2024
07:07PM EST
Odds: 8.0 o/u
Blue Jays
5W-6L


Alright, folks, strap in for a classic American League showdown as the scrappy Seattle Mariners, currently sitting 2.5 games back, sail into Toronto to square off against the Jays, who are perched just a bit further behind at 4 games back. The Rogers Centre is the battlefield for tonight’s clash, with the first pitch whizzing in at 07:07 PM EST sharp. Now, the bookmakers have the over/under set at a tantalizing 8.0, with the Mariners on a 101 line and the Jays favored at -121. Remember, these two just went head-to-head with the Jays soaring to a 5-2 victory, leaving the Mariners to lick their wounds. But hey, the winds of change are blowing gently from the north at 3.8 mph in a partly cloudy sky, and at a cool 48.2° with 57% humidity, it’s anyone’s game. So, as the Mariners navigate these tricky waters, will they be able to weather the storm, or will the Blue Jays continue to fly high? It’s a classic clash of sea versus sky in this MLB showdown!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 09, 2024 07:07PM EST
Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the N at 3.8 mph. Temperature is at 48.2° with 57% humidity.
Vegas Odds
SEA ML | TOR ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +101 | -121 | 8.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
Recent | -103 | -117 | 8.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
Difference | -204 | +4 | 0 | – |
Team Performance

50.7% Win Probability

49.3% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/08/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 2 | Under | -1.0 | ![]() |
Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 5 | ||||
04/28/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 2 | Under | -3.0 | ![]() |
Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | ||||
04/29/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 0 | Under | -7.0 | ![]() |
Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 1 | ||||
04/30/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 10 | Over | +10.0 | ![]() |
Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 8 | ||||
07/21/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 2 | Under | -3.0 | ![]() |
Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | ||||
07/22/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 8 | Over | +9.0 | ![]() |
Seattle Mariners SEA | 9 | ||||
07/23/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 4 | Under | -1.0 | ![]() |
Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 |
Mariners Vs Over/Under
Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-08-24 | @TOR | 2-5L | 5.0 | 9 | 4 | 6 | Under |
04-02-24 | vsCLE | 5-2L | 5.7 | 10 | 4 | 7 | Under |
03-28-24 | vsBOS | 6-4L | 5.0 | 6 | 4 | 5 | Over |
09-30-23 | vsTEX | 6-1L | 2.7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | Under |
09-25-23 | vsHOU | 5-1L | 6.0 | 8 | 5 | 8 | Under |
09-19-23 | @OAK | 7-2W | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 8 | Over |
09-13-23 | vsLAA | 2-3W | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | Under |
09-07-23 | @TB | 1-0W | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | Under |
09-02-23 | @NYM | 8-7W | 5.0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | Over |
08-27-23 | vsKC | 2-3W | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | Under |
04-03-24 | vsCLE | 8-0L | 3.7 | 10 | 8 | 2 | Push |
03-29-24 | vsBOS | 0-1W | 6.7 | 2 | 0 | 8 | Under |
10-01-23 | vsTEX | 0-1W | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | Under |
09-26-23 | vsHOU | 2-6W | 6.0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | Push |
09-20-23 | @OAK | 6-3W | 7.0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | Over |
09-15-23 | vsLAD | 6-3L | 6.0 | 5 | 4 | 7 | Over |
09-08-23 | @TB | 4-7L | 6.3 | 5 | 4 | 6 | Over |
09-03-23 | @NYM | 3-6L | 3.0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | Over |
08-23-23 | @CWS | 4-5L | 5.7 | 8 | 3 | 9 | Over |
08-17-23 | @KC | 6-4W | 6.0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | Over |

Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-03-24 | @HOU | 0-8L | 4.3 | 9 | 4 | 3 | Push |
03-29-24 | @TB | 2-8L | 5.0 | 6 | 5 | 6 | Over |
09-28-23 | vsNYY | 0-6W | 7.7 | 5 | 0 | 12 | Under |
09-22-23 | @TB | 6-2W | 6.7 | 6 | 2 | 8 | Push |
09-16-23 | vsBOS | 3-4W | 7.0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | Under |
09-11-23 | vsTEX | 10-4L | 5.3 | 9 | 5 | 3 | Over |
09-05-23 | @OAK | 7-1W | 8.0 | 7 | 1 | 7 | Push |
08-30-23 | vsWAS | 0-7W | 8.0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | Under |
08-25-23 | vsCLE | 5-2L | 5.7 | 7 | 4 | 5 | Under |
08-19-23 | @CIN | 4-3W | 6.0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | Under |
04-08-24 | vsSEA | 2-5W | 6.7 | 4 | 0 | 6 | Under |
04-02-24 | @HOU | 2-1W | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | Under |
03-28-24 | @TB | 8-2W | 6.0 | 6 | 2 | 6 | Over |
09-27-23 | vsNYY | 6-0L | 6.0 | 5 | 4 | 10 | Under |
09-21-23 | @NYY | 3-5L | 5.7 | 7 | 4 | 6 | Push |
09-15-23 | vsBOS | 0-3W | 7.0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | Under |
09-10-23 | vsKC | 2-5W | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 7 | Under |
09-04-23 | @OAK | 6-5W | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | Over |
08-29-23 | vsWAS | 5-4L | 6.0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | Over |
08-24-23 | @BAL | 3-5L | 6.0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | Push |
Mariners Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/10 | vs TOR | 2-5L | 7 | 2 | Under |
04/09 | vs MIL | 4-12L | 8 | 1 | Over |
04/08 | vs MIL | 5-3W | 10 | 2 | Push |
04/07 | vs MIL | 5-6L | 8 | 0 | Over |
04/05 | @ CLE | 0-8L | 5 | 0 | Push |
04/04 | @ CLE | 2-5L | 9 | 0 | Under |
04/03 | @ CLE | 5-4W | 7 | 1 | Over |
04/02 | @ BOS | 1-5L | 4 | 0 | Under |
04/01 | @ BOS | 4-3W | 7 | 0 | Under |
03/31 | @ BOS | 1-0W | 4 | 1 | Under |
03/30 | @ BOS | 4-6L | 8 | 2 | Over |
10/03 | @ TEX | 1-0W | 4 | 0 | Under |
10/02 | @ TEX | 1-6L | 7 | 1 | Under |
10/01 | @ TEX | 8-0W | 6 | 3 | Push |
09/30 | @ TEX | 3-2W | 8 | 1 | Under |
Blue Jays Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/10 | @ SEA | 5-2W | 11 | 0 | Under |
04/09 | vs NYY | 3-8L | 5 | 0 | Over |
04/08 | vs NYY | 8-9L | 12 | 1 | Over |
04/07 | vs NYY | 3-0W | 7 | 1 | Under |
04/05 | vs HOU | 0-8L | 1 | 0 | Push |
04/04 | vs HOU | 2-1W | 8 | 1 | Under |
04/03 | vs HOU | 0-10L | 0 | 0 | Over |
04/02 | vs TB | 9-2W | 10 | 2 | Over |
04/01 | vs TB | 1-5L | 6 | 0 | Under |
03/31 | vs TB | 2-8L | 6 | 1 | Over |
03/30 | vs TB | 8-2W | 7 | 3 | Over |
10/03 | @ TB | 8-12L | 13 | 1 | Over |
10/02 | @ TB | 5-7L | 7 | 1 | Over |
10/01 | @ TB | 11-4W | 16 | 3 | Over |
09/30 | @ NYY | 6-0W | 13 | 3 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
Seattle Mariners | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7.8 | 10.4 | 0.266 | 0.44 | 45.3% | 89.2% | 3.6% | |
9.3 | 12.2 | 0.275 | 0.486 | 36.5% | 85.1% | 4.9% | |
8.4 | 11.1 | 0.255 | 0.454 | 38.1% | 83.4% | 4.6% | |
6.8 | 9.1 | 0.209 | 0.365 | 28.9% | 65.4% | 2.8% | |
#5
Mitch Garver
|
8.4 | 11.2 | 0.271 | 0.503 | 43.2% | 93.5% | 6.5% |
#6
Cal Raleigh
|
8.4 | 11.2 | 0.232 | 0.456 | 34.0% | 79.6% | 5.9% |
#7
Ty France
|
6.2 | 8.1 | 0.253 | 0.37 | 38.4% | 75.3% | 2.1% |
#7
Luke Raley
|
7.8 | 10.3 | 0.252 | 0.496 | 38.2% | 87.8% | 5.4% |
#8
Josh Rojas
|
6.4 | 8.4 | 0.245 | 0.338 | 33.4% | 67.2% | 1.3% |
6.0 | 7.9 | 0.22 | 0.399 | 27.2% | 67.1% | 3.5% |
Toronto Blue Jays | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7.2 | 9.3 | 0.256 | 0.403 | 36.2% | 76.5% | 3.4% | |
#2
V. Guerrero
|
8.0 | 10.6 | 0.265 | 0.446 | 39.1% | 83.6% | 4.3% |
#3
Bo Bichette
|
7.7 | 9.8 | 0.307 | 0.476 | 35.8% | 83.4% | 3.5% |
6.4 | 8.5 | 0.276 | 0.454 | 38.6% | 84.0% | 4.1% | |
6.9 | 9.3 | 0.276 | 0.603 | 49.1% | 109.5% | 6.9% | |
#6
Cavan Biggio
|
6.5 | 8.8 | 0.237 | 0.373 | 40.1% | 77.4% | 3.1% |
6.1 | 7.9 | 0.253 | 0.361 | 38.3% | 74.5% | 2.2% | |
6.5 | 8.5 | 0.223 | 0.392 | 31.6% | 70.9% | 3.8% | |
4.8 | 6.2 | 0.242 | 0.34 | 33.7% | 67.8% | 1.8% | |
5.5 | 7.1 | 0.268 | 0.423 | 35.8% | 78.1% | 2.2% |
Mariners Notable Injuries
- Cody Bolton OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 1.2
- Collin Snider OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.3
Blue Jays Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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