Cardinals vs Mets Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 27th 2024

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Citi Field as the St. Louis Cardinals swoop into the Big Apple, looking to clip the wings of the New York Mets once again! With both teams sitting 5.5 games back in the National League and hungry for a climb up the standings, today’s 4:05 PM EST clash promises fireworks. The Cardinals, fresh off a victorious 4-2 feather-ruffling of the Mets just yesterday, are aiming to keep their winning streak flying high. Meanwhile, the Mets, stinging from that recent loss and betting underdogs today, are desperate to turn the tables under the partly cloudy skies of a breezy New York afternoon. With the over/under teasing at 7.5, will the bats come alive or will the pitchers duel it out? Let’s find out if the Mets can build a nest of victory or if the Cardinals will continue to rule the roost!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 27, 2024 04:05PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the S at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 54.0° with 43% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	STL ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-131	+109	7.5	-0.5/0.5
Recent	-132	+110	7.5	-0.5/0.5
Difference	-1	+1	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

123W-127L

56.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

146W-104L

43.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/26/24	St. Louis Cardinals STL	4	Under	-1.5
04/26/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-1.5
06/16/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Under	-0.5
06/16/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Under	-0.5
06/17/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	5	Over	+0.5
06/17/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Over	+0.5
06/18/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	8	Over	+7.5
06/18/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+7.5
08/17/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-1.5
08/17/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Under	-1.5
08/18/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+0.5
08/18/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	1	Over	+0.5
08/19/23	New York Mets NYM	13	Over	+7.5
08/19/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	2	Over	+7.5
08/20/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Over	+2.5
08/20/23	St. Louis Cardinals STL	7	Over	+2.5

Cardinals Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Sonny Gray

ERA 1.038 | IP 17.3 | 2.0W-1.0L | KO 23.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-21-24	vsMIL	2-0L	6.3	5	2	12	Under
04-15-24	@OAK	3-1W	6.0	4	0	6	Under
04-09-24	vsPHI	0-3W	5.0	5	0	5	Under
09-28-23	@OAK	2-1L	4.0	3	1	4	Under
09-23-23	@LAA	1-0L	6.0	4	1	8	Under
09-17-23	@CWS	4-0L	7.0	5	0	6	Under
09-11-23	@TB	7-4L	4.0	6	2	5	Over
09-05-23	@CLE	8-3L	6.0	6	3	4	Over
08-30-23	@CLE	5-2L	7.0	3	0	5	Under
08-25-23	@TEX	2-12W	7.0	6	1	4	Over

Adrian Houser

ERA 7.448 | IP 19.3 | 0.0W-2.0L | KO 12.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-21-24	@LAD	0-10L	4.0	7	8	3	Over
04-15-24	vsPIT	3-6W	5.3	2	2	5	Over
04-09-24	@ATL	5-6L	5.0	8	5	1	Over
04-04-24	vsDET	6-3L	5.0	3	1	3	Over
10-01-23	@CHC	0-4W	5.0	3	0	5	Under
09-26-23	@STL	4-1L	5.0	3	4	5	Under
09-20-23	@STL	8-2L	6.0	4	1	4	Over
09-14-23	@MIA	2-4W	5.0	5	2	5	Under
08-27-23	@SD	6-10W	2.0	4	4	2	Over
08-20-23	@TEX	6-2L	5.0	6	1	7	Over

Cardinals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/28	vs NYM	4-2W	5	2	Under
04/26	@ ARI	5-1W	8	0	Under
04/25	@ ARI	1-14L	6	1	Over
04/24	@ ARI	5-3W	7	2	Over
04/23	@ MIL	0-2L	6	0	Under
04/22	@ MIL	5-12L	6	0	Over
04/21	@ MIL	1-2L	5	0	Under
04/19	vs OAK	3-6L	6	0	Over
04/18	vs OAK	3-2W	4	0	Under
04/17	vs OAK	3-1W	8	0	Under
04/16	vs ARI	0-5L	4	0	Under
04/15	vs ARI	2-4L	11	0	Under
04/14	vs ARI	9-6W	14	2	Over
04/12	@ PHI	3-4L	7	2	Under
04/11	@ PHI	3-0W	7	1	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/28	@ STL	2-4L	8	1	Under
04/26	vs SF	8-2W	10	3	Over
04/25	vs SF	1-5L	9	0	Under
04/24	vs SF	2-5L	4	1	Under
04/23	vs LAD	0-10L	7	0	Over
04/22	vs LAD	6-4W	8	1	Over
04/21	vs LAD	9-4W	14	2	Over
04/19	@ PIT	9-1W	10	2	Over
04/18	@ PIT	3-1W	4	0	Under
04/17	@ PIT	6-3W	8	0	Over
04/16	@ KC	2-1W	8	0	Under
04/15	@ KC	7-11L	9	3	Over
04/14	@ KC	6-1W	14	1	Under
04/13	vs ATL	16-4W	16	2	Over
04/11	vs ATL	5-6L	12	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

St. Louis Cardinals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brendan Donovan	8.3	11.0	0.219	0.344	37.5%	71.9%	2.1%
#2 Willson Contreras	8.8	11.7	0.296	0.563	52.1%	108.5%	5.6%
#3 Lars Nootbaar	9.0	12.2	0.2	0.333	37.8%	71.1%	2.2%
#4 Nolan Arenado	7.9	10.1	0.276	0.367	36.7%	73.5%	1.0%
#5 Paul Goldschmidt	7.8	10.3	0.204	0.28	34.4%	62.4%	2.2%
#6 Alec Burleson	7.0	8.7	0.259	0.352	33.3%	68.5%	1.9%
#7 Ivan Herrera	6.3	8.4	0.216	0.392	31.4%	70.6%	5.9%
#8 Masyn Winn	6.3	8.0	0.299	0.403	43.3%	83.6%	0.0%
#9 Michael Siani	5.1	6.9	0.129	0.194	32.3%	51.6%	0.0%

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brandon Nimmo	7.3	10.0	0.2	0.333	45.6%	78.9%	2.2%
#2 Starling Marte	7.6	9.7	0.288	0.442	34.6%	78.8%	3.8%
#3 Francisco Lindor	7.0	9.2	0.208	0.366	32.7%	69.3%	4.0%
#4 Pete Alonso	7.0	9.3	0.253	0.495	36.4%	85.9%	7.1%
#5 Jeff McNeil	6.3	8.2	0.256	0.366	37.8%	74.4%	1.2%
#7 Brett Baty	5.2	6.7	0.256	0.308	34.6%	65.4%	1.3%
#8 Harrison Bader	5.3	6.6	0.267	0.333	30.7%	64.0%	1.3%
#9 Omar Narvaez	3.9	5.2	0.188	0.25	25.0%	50.0%	0.0%