Rays vs Yankees Game Breakdown

Get ready to dive into the high-stakes showdown at Yankee Stadium where the Tampa Bay Rays, sitting at a balanced .500, are looking to steal some thunder from the New York Yankees, who’ve been holding strong near the top of the American League. With the first pitch set to fly at 01:05 PM EST, today’s game promises more twists than a New York pretzel. The Yanks, fresh off a decisive victory against these very Rays, are looking to keep their momentum, while the Rays are hungry for redemption. With the betting lines tilting in favor of the home team and an over/under that hints at some serious action, this clash is more than just a game—it’s a battle for conference supremacy under the partly cloudy skies of the Big Apple. So, as the Rays try to ‘ray-se’ their game and the Yankees aim to ‘strike’ back, who will sail to victory and who will sink? Let’s find out!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 20, 2024 01:05PM EST

Location: Yankee Stadium, New York

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NE at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 78.1° with 54% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TB ML	NYY ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+119	-142	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+131	-157	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+12	-15	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

147W-134L

43.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

168W-116L

56.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/19/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	3	Under	-0.5
04/19/24	New York Yankees NYY	5	Under	-0.5
04/20/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Under	-6.5
04/20/24	New York Yankees NYY	0	Under	-6.5
04/21/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	4	Over	+0.5
04/21/24	New York Yankees NYY	5	Over	+0.5
05/10/24	New York Yankees NYY	2	Under	-6.5
05/10/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	0	Under	-6.5
05/11/24	New York Yankees NYY	2	Over	+0.5
05/11/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	7	Over	+0.5
05/12/24	New York Yankees NYY	10	Over	+7.5
05/12/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	6	Over	+7.5
07/09/24	New York Yankees NYY	3	Under	-0.5
07/09/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Under	-0.5
07/10/24	New York Yankees NYY	2	Under	-5.5
07/10/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	1	Under	-5.5
07/11/24	New York Yankees NYY	4	Over	+0.5
07/11/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Over	+0.5
07/19/24	Tampa Bay Rays TB	1	Under	-1.5
07/19/24	New York Yankees NYY	6	Under	-1.5
05/05/23	New York Yankees NYY	4	Over	+0.5
05/05/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Over	+0.5
05/06/23	New York Yankees NYY	3	Under	-3.5
05/06/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Under	-3.5
05/07/23	New York Yankees NYY	7	Over	+6.5
05/07/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	8	Over	+6.5
05/11/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	8	Over	+1.5
05/11/23	New York Yankees NYY	2	Over	+1.5
05/12/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Over	+2.5
05/12/23	New York Yankees NYY	6	Over	+2.5
05/13/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	8	Over	+8.5
05/13/23	New York Yankees NYY	9	Over	+8.5
05/14/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	8	Over	+6.5
05/14/23	New York Yankees NYY	7	Over	+6.5
07/31/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Under	-2.5
07/31/23	New York Yankees NYY	1	Under	-2.5
08/01/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	5	Under	-1.5
08/01/23	New York Yankees NYY	2	Under	-1.5
08/02/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Over	+0.5
08/02/23	New York Yankees NYY	7	Over	+0.5
08/25/23	New York Yankees NYY	6	Under	-0.5
08/25/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	2	Under	-0.5
08/26/23	New York Yankees NYY	0	Under	-5.5
08/26/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	3	Under	-5.5
08/27/23	New York Yankees NYY	4	Over	+2.5
08/27/23	Tampa Bay Rays TB	7	Over	+2.5

Rays Vs Over/Under

Yankees Vs Over/Under

Taj Bradley

ERA 2.898 | IP 68.3 | 4.0W-4.0L | KO 85.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-12-24	vsCLE	0-2W	7.0	5	0	8	Under
07-06-24	@TEX	3-4L	6.0	5	2	5	Under
06-30-24	vsWAS	0-5W	5.7	3	0	11	Under
06-24-24	vsSEA	3-4W	5.3	2	1	8	Under
06-19-24	@MIN	3-2W	6.0	7	2	3	Under
06-13-24	vsCHC	2-3W	7.0	3	2	11	Under
06-08-24	vsBAL	5-0L	5.0	3	1	7	Under
06-01-24	@BAL	5-9L	3.3	9	9	3	Over
05-26-24	vsKC	1-4W	5.0	1	0	6	Under
05-20-24	vsBOS	5-0L	7.0	6	5	10	Under

Nestor Cortes

ERA 3.668 | IP 115.3 | 4.0W-8.0L | KO 110.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-11-24	@TB	4-5L	4.3	7	5	4	Over
07-05-24	vsBOS	5-3L	6.0	3	1	8	Under
06-29-24	@TOR	3-9L	4.3	7	3	5	Over
06-23-24	vsATL	3-1L	7.0	5	3	7	Under
06-18-24	vsBAL	2-4W	6.0	5	0	6	Under
06-13-24	@KC	3-4L	7.0	6	2	2	Under
06-08-24	vsLAD	11-3L	5.3	7	4	4	Over
06-02-24	@SF	7-5W	4.3	7	3	7	Over
05-28-24	@LAA	3-4L	5.3	5	2	4	Under
05-22-24	vsSEA	3-7W	5.0	3	0	6	Over

Rays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/21	vs NYY	1-6L	7	1	Under
07/15	@ CLE	2-4L	8	0	Under
07/14	@ CLE	2-0W	9	0	Under
07/13	@ NYY	5-4W	9	1	Over
07/12	@ NYY	1-2L	10	0	Under
07/11	@ NYY	5-3W	7	1	Under
07/09	vs TEX	2-13L	5	1	Over
07/08	vs TEX	3-4L	7	1	Under
07/07	vs TEX	0-3L	3	0	Under
07/06	vs KC	10-8W	16	2	Over
07/05	vs KC	2-4L	5	1	Under
07/04	vs KC	5-1W	9	1	Under
07/02	@ WAS	5-0W	9	3	Under
07/01	@ WAS	1-7L	2	1	Under
06/30	@ WAS	3-1W	9	2	Under

Yankees Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/21	@ TB	6-1W	9	0	Under
07/15	vs BAL	6-1W	10	3	Under
07/14	vs BAL	4-1W	7	1	Under
07/13	vs TB	4-5L	8	2	Over
07/12	vs TB	2-1W	6	0	Under
07/11	vs TB	3-5L	7	1	Under
07/09	@ BOS	0-3L	4	0	Under
07/08	@ BOS	14-4W	14	4	Over
07/07	@ BOS	3-5L	6	0	Under
07/06	@ CIN	4-8L	7	3	Over
07/05	@ CIN	2-3L	5	0	Under
07/04	@ CIN	4-5L	6	1	Over
07/02	vs TOR	8-1W	12	1	Over
07/01	vs TOR	3-9L	8	1	Over
06/30	vs TOR	16-5W	18	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Tampa Bay Rays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Randy Arozarena	9.0	11.8	0.202	0.364	0.355	0.719	0.294	0.037
#2 Amed Rosario	8.1	10.0	0.303	0.415	0.342	0.756	0.313	0.009
#3 Isaac Paredes	8.0	10.6	0.261	0.458	0.421	0.879	0.351	0.045
#4 Jose Siri	7.1	9.4	0.202	0.381	0.311	0.693	0.286	0.043
#5 Jose Caballero	7.6	9.7	0.243	0.365	0.335	0.700	0.290	0.023
#6 Brandon Lowe	7.0	9.4	0.248	0.478	0.391	0.870	0.349	0.056
#7 Jonny DeLuca	5.7	7.5	0.178	0.289	0.276	0.566	0.238	0.020
#8 Taylor Walls	5.4	7.1	0.164	0.205	0.342	0.548	0.229	0.000
#9 Alex Jackson	4.0	5.5	0.082	0.165	0.153	0.318	0.140	0.012

New York Yankees	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Ben Rice	7.5	10.2	0.218	0.449	0.372	0.821	0.329	0.064
#2 Juan Soto	9.9	13.3	0.308	0.578	0.548	1.126	0.425	0.067
#3 Aaron Judge	9.6	13.0	0.313	0.684	0.533	1.217	0.461	0.099
#4 Alex Verdugo	7.2	9.4	0.235	0.378	0.319	0.697	0.288	0.028
#5 Gleyber Torres	6.6	8.7	0.230	0.346	0.346	0.693	0.285	0.024
#6 Austin Wells	6.6	8.9	0.220	0.384	0.378	0.762	0.308	0.037
#7 Anthony Volpe	6.2	8.0	0.248	0.369	0.327	0.696	0.287	0.015
#8 Trent Grisham	5.5	7.6	0.167	0.333	0.316	0.649	0.268	0.044
#9 DJ LeMahieu	5.2	6.9	0.182	0.207	0.314	0.521	0.221	0.000

Rays Notable Injuries

Yandy Diaz OUT (1B): Avg: 0.276 SLG:0.401 Last game: 07/15/24. Impact: 3.3

Yankees Notable Injuries

Giancarlo Stanton OUT (OF): Avg: 0.246 SLG:0.492 Last game: 06/24/24. Impact: 3.4
Jose Trevino OUT (C): Avg: 0.244 SLG:0.411 Last game: 07/14/24. Impact: 1.6