Rangers vs Braves Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 21st 2024

Alright, sports fans, buckle up for a sizzling showdown as the Texas Rangers ride into Truist Park, looking to lasso themselves a win against the high-flying Atlanta Braves tonight at 07:10 PM EST. With both teams neck and neck in their respective conferences and not a single game separating them from the top spot, the stakes are sky-high. The Braves, fresh off a victory against these very Rangers, are aiming to keep their winning streak hotter than Georgia asphalt in July, while the Rangers are hungry for redemption. Oh, and Mother Nature’s playing ball too, throwing a bit of light rain and a breeze into the mix, because why not? With the over/under teasing a total of 10 runs, it’s anyone’s game. So, who’s ready to see if the Rangers can corral those Braves, or will Atlanta keep dancing to the tomahawk chop?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 21, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta

Weather: Light rain with winds from the N at 12.5 mph. Temperature is at 51.1° with 89% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TEX ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+136	-162	10.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+133	-159	9.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-3	+3	-0.5	–

Team Performance

$tex Team Logo$

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

104W-145L

42.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

152W-94L

57.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/19/24	Texas Rangers TEX	3	Over	+1.0
04/19/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+1.0
04/20/24	Texas Rangers TEX	2	Under	-3.0
04/20/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-3.0
05/15/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	12	Over	+2.0
05/15/23	Texas Rangers TEX	0	Over	+2.0
05/16/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Over	+1.0
05/16/23	Texas Rangers TEX	7	Over	+1.0
05/17/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+1.0
05/17/23	Texas Rangers TEX	5	Over	+1.0

Rangers Vs Over/Under

Braves Vs Over/Under

$Michael Lorenzen$

Michael Lorenzen

ERA 0.0 | IP 5.0 | 1.0W-0.0L | KO 4.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-20-24	@ATL	2-5L	5.3	5	3	6	Under
04-14-24	@HOU	5-8L	6.0	8	5	3	Over
04-09-24	vsOAK	4-3L	5.7	3	1	8	Under
04-03-24	@TB	4-1W	7.0	4	0	8	Under
03-28-24	vsCHC	3-4W	6.0	4	2	3	Under
09-29-23	@SEA	0-8L	3.3	5	7	5	Under
09-24-23	vsSEA	8-9W	5.0	6	5	6	Over
09-19-23	vsBOS	4-6W	5.0	4	3	3	Over
09-14-23	@TOR	9-2W	3.3	3	2	3	Over
09-09-23	vsOAK	2-3W	2.3	3	0	3	Under
04-15-24	@DET	1-0W	5.0	3	0	4	Under
10-01-23	@NYM	9-1L	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-28-23	@PIT	3-2L	2.0	3	0	2	Under
09-24-23	@NYM	2-5W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
09-19-23	@ATL	3-9W	0.3	3	4	0	Over
09-11-23	@ATL	5-7W	5.0	5	4	3	Over
09-05-23	@SD	0-8W	6.0	8	7	1	Under
08-29-23	@LAA	7-12W	6.0	8	4	5	Over
08-23-23	@SF	8-6L	5.7	8	4	4	Over
08-18-23	@WAS	7-8W	3.3	8	7	1	Over

Darius Vines

ERA 1.929 | IP 4.7 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 4.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-20-24	vsTEX	2-5W	6.0	4	2	4	Under
04-14-24	@MIA	9-7W	5.7	7	6	8	Over
04-08-24	vsNYM	8-7L	5.7	5	4	4	Over
04-01-24	@CWS	9-0W	5.7	3	0	6	Under
09-22-23	@WAS	9-6W	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-17-23	@MIA	2-16L	4.7	6	6	5	Over
09-11-23	@PHI	10-8W	6.0	6	4	9	Over
09-03-23	@LAD	1-3L	4.0	6	2	3	Under
08-29-23	@COL	3-1W	6.0	3	1	8	Under
08-23-23	vsNYM	0-7W	7.0	2	0	11	Under
04-15-24	@HOU	6-1W	4.7	4	1	4	Under
09-27-23	vsCHC	5-6W	6.0	4	3	5	Over
09-22-23	@WAS	9-6W	3.3	3	3	1	Over
09-09-23	vsPIT	8-4L	3.0	2	1	1	Over
09-06-23	vsSTL	11-6L	2.0	2	1	2	Over
08-30-23	@COL	7-3W	6.0	4	2	5	Over

Rangers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/22	vs ATL	2-5L	5	0	Under
04/21	vs ATL	3-8L	6	1	Over
04/20	vs DET	9-7W	13	3	Over
04/19	vs DET	5-4W	7	0	Under
04/18	vs DET	2-4L	6	0	Under
04/17	vs DET	1-0W	7	0	Under
04/16	vs HOU	5-8L	10	2	Over
04/15	vs HOU	2-9L	8	0	Over
04/14	vs HOU	12-8W	12	1	Over
04/13	@ OAK	0-1L	1	0	Under
04/12	@ OAK	6-2W	12	0	Under
04/11	@ OAK	3-4L	7	2	Under
04/10	@ HOU	5-10L	8	0	Over
04/09	@ HOU	1-3L	2	0	Under
04/08	@ HOU	7-2W	15	0	Under

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/22	@ TEX	5-2W	8	1	Under
04/21	@ TEX	8-3W	6	4	Over
04/19	vs HOU	5-4W	7	2	Under
04/18	vs HOU	6-2W	11	1	Under
04/17	vs HOU	6-1W	11	0	Under
04/16	vs MIA	9-7W	12	2	Over
04/15	vs MIA	1-5L	6	0	Under
04/14	vs MIA	8-1W	14	1	Under
04/13	@ NYM	4-16L	10	0	Over
04/11	@ NYM	6-5W	11	0	Over
04/10	@ NYM	7-8L	12	1	Over
04/09	@ ARI	5-2W	7	3	Under
04/08	@ ARI	9-8W	15	1	Over
04/07	@ ARI	6-5W	12	1	Over
04/04	vs CWS	2-3L	5	2	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Texas Rangers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Marcus Semien	8.7	11.7	0.283	0.478	38.0%	85.9%	4.3%
#2 Corey Seager	9.1	11.6	0.286	0.351	40.3%	75.3%	1.3%
#3 Evan Carter	8.0	10.8	0.194	0.358	37.3%	73.1%	3.0%
#4 Adolis Garcia	7.8	10.4	0.317	0.573	40.2%	97.6%	6.1%
#5 Nathaniel Lowe	7.2	11.1	0.0	0.0	33.3%	33.3%	0.0%
#5 Josh Smith	5.3	7.1	0.298	0.368	49.1%	86.0%	0.0%
#6 Wyatt Langford	6.8	8.9	0.241	0.291	35.4%	64.6%	0.0%
#7 Jonah Heim	5.9	7.7	0.264	0.431	29.2%	72.2%	4.2%
#8 Andrew Knizner	5.4	7.5	0.062	0.062	6.2%	12.5%	0.0%
#8 Jared Walsh	5.4	7.3	0.226	0.321	35.8%	67.9%	1.9%
#9 Leody Taveras	6.0	7.4	0.229	0.314	31.4%	62.9%	0.0%

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ronald Acuna Jr.	11.3	14.7	0.301	0.397	52.1%	91.8%	1.4%
#2 Michael Harris II	9.0	11.5	0.309	0.481	35.8%	84.0%	3.7%
#3 Austin Riley	10.1	13.5	0.259	0.457	35.8%	81.5%	2.5%
#4 Matt Olson	8.7	11.8	0.243	0.486	41.9%	90.5%	4.1%
#5 Marcell Ozuna	8.3	11.2	0.338	0.688	44.2%	113.0%	10.4%
#6 Orlando Arcia	7.6	9.7	0.348	0.507	42.0%	92.8%	1.4%
#6 Travis d’Arnaud	7.1	9.7	0.26	0.6	38.0%	98.0%	8.0%
#7 Jarred Kelenic	6.5	8.1	0.349	0.419	44.2%	86.0%	0.0%
#8 Luis Guillorme	4.0	6.2	0.231	0.385	30.8%	69.2%	0.0%
#9 Chadwick Tromp	4.9	6.8	0.235	0.412	23.5%	64.7%	0.0%