Blue Jays vs Orioles Game Breakdown

Get ready to ruffle some feathers and crack some bats as the Toronto Blue Jays swoop into Oriole Park at Camden Yards for a showdown against the Baltimore Orioles! With the Jays looking to claw back from a 13-game deficit and the Orioles perched right at the top of the American League, tonight’s clash at 06:35 PM EST is more than just another game. The stakes are high, the lines are drawn with the Jays at +167 underdogs and the O’s favored at -204, and the over/under teasing us at 8.5. Fresh off their respective last games where they traded wins, and with the weather promising a mix of patchy rain and a breeze just strong enough to keep things interesting, this matchup is all set to be a spectacle. So, as the wind picks up and the first pitch nears, let’s see if the Jays can fly high or if the Orioles continue to nest comfortably at the top!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: July 30, 2024 06:35PM EST

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore

Weather: Patchy rain nearby with winds from the S at 10.7 mph. Temperature is at 86.0° with 56% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	BAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+167	-204	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+180	-220	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+13	-16	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

155W-133L

35.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

148W-145L

64.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/13/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-3.5
05/13/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-3.5
07/29/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	8	Over	+3.5
07/29/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	4	Over	+3.5
05/15/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-3.5
05/15/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Under	-3.5
06/03/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Over	+0.5
06/03/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Over	+0.5
06/04/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	10	Over	+2.5
06/04/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	1	Over	+2.5
06/05/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	2	Under	-3.5
06/05/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-3.5
06/06/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Over	+2.5
06/06/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+2.5
07/29/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Over	+7.5
07/29/24	Baltimore Orioles BAL	11	Over	+7.5
05/19/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Under	-0.5
05/19/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-0.5
05/20/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Over	+2.5
05/20/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Over	+2.5
05/21/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	8	Over	+2.5
05/21/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Over	+2.5
06/13/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+8.5
06/13/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	11	Over	+8.5
06/14/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-4.5
06/14/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Under	-4.5
06/15/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-2.5
06/15/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	4	Under	-2.5
07/31/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	4	Under	-2.5
07/31/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-2.5
08/01/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	13	Over	+7.5
08/01/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Over	+7.5
08/02/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	1	Under	-3.5
08/02/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Under	-3.5
08/03/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	6	Under	-1.5
08/03/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	1	Under	-1.5
08/22/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+0.5
08/22/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	3	Over	+0.5
08/23/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	0	Under	-1.5
08/23/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	7	Under	-1.5
08/24/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-0.5
08/24/23	Baltimore Orioles BAL	5	Under	-0.5

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Orioles Vs Over/Under

Chris Bassitt

ERA 3.782 | IP 119.0 | 8.0W-9.0L | KO 112.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-25-24	vsTB	13-0L	5.0	5	3	6	Over
07-19-24	vsDET	5-4L	6.7	7	5	6	Over
07-10-24	@SF	10-6W	5.0	5	3	6	Over
07-04-24	vsHOU	5-3L	5.0	8	4	3	Under
06-29-24	vsNYY	3-9W	6.0	6	1	8	Over
06-24-24	@BOS	6-7L	7.0	5	2	2	Over
06-18-24	vsBOS	4-3L	6.0	7	2	6	Under
06-12-24	@MIL	4-5L	5.0	5	0	5	Over
06-07-24	@OAK	1-2L	8.0	4	1	7	Under
06-02-24	vsPIT	4-5W	5.0	8	3	7	Over

Corbin Burnes

ERA 2.523 | IP 132.0 | 10.0W-4.0L | KO 121.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
07-25-24	@MIA	7-6W	7.3	6	3	5	Over
07-19-24	@TEX	9-1W	6.0	2	1	6	Over
07-10-24	vsCHC	4-0L	6.0	9	3	5	Under
07-04-24	@SEA	3-7L	6.0	4	2	6	Over
06-27-24	vsTEX	2-11W	7.0	9	1	5	Over
06-22-24	@HOU	1-5L	7.0	5	4	5	Under
06-16-24	vsPHI	3-8W	6.0	7	2	7	Over
06-10-24	@TB	5-2W	7.0	5	2	6	Under
06-04-24	@TOR	10-1W	7.0	4	1	5	Over
05-29-24	vsBOS	1-6W	7.0	3	1	5	Under

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/31	vs BAL	8-4W	13	1	Over
07/31	vs BAL	5-11L	13	2	Over
07/30	@ TEX	7-3W	9	2	Over
07/29	@ TEX	7-3W	15	1	Over
07/28	@ TEX	6-5W	12	0	Over
07/27	@ TB	0-13L	2	0	Over
07/26	@ TB	6-3W	8	1	Over
07/25	@ TB	2-4L	6	2	Under
07/23	@ DET	5-4W	11	2	Over
07/22	@ DET	3-6L	6	1	Over
07/21	@ DET	4-5L	7	2	Over
07/15	vs ARI	1-12L	5	0	Over
07/14	vs ARI	4-5L	8	0	Over
07/13	vs SF	5-3W	10	2	Under
07/12	vs SF	10-6W	14	1	Over

Orioles Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
07/31	@ TOR	11-5W	13	2	Over
07/31	@ TOR	4-8L	9	2	Over
07/30	@ SD	8-6W	9	0	Over
07/29	@ SD	4-9L	7	1	Over
07/28	@ SD	4-6L	8	2	Over
07/27	vs MIA	7-6W	12	3	Over
07/26	vs MIA	3-6L	4	0	Over
07/25	vs MIA	3-6L	9	0	Over
07/23	vs TEX	2-3L	5	1	Under
07/22	vs TEX	8-4W	12	3	Over
07/21	vs TEX	9-1W	11	4	Over
07/15	@ NYY	1-6L	8	0	Under
07/14	@ NYY	1-4L	6	0	Under
07/13	@ CHC	0-8L	5	0	Under
07/12	@ CHC	0-4L	9	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	8.1	10.7	0.226	0.382	0.351	0.733	0.299	0.036
#2 Spencer Horwitz	6.2	8.1	0.288	0.439	0.453	0.892	0.355	0.029
#3 V. Guerrero	8.4	11.0	0.307	0.514	0.425	0.939	0.376	0.049
#4 Daulton Varsho	6.4	8.5	0.196	0.396	0.312	0.707	0.290	0.040
#5 Alejandro Kirk	6.5	8.5	0.240	0.322	0.350	0.672	0.278	0.011
#6 Davis Schneider	6.9	9.2	0.214	0.379	0.354	0.733	0.299	0.035
#7 Ernie Clement	5.2	6.7	0.261	0.412	0.288	0.699	0.292	0.027
#8 Addison Barger	4.3	5.7	0.174	0.261	0.203	0.464	0.197	0.014
#9 Leo Jimenez	4.7	5.9	0.240	0.280	0.340	0.620	0.262	0.000

Baltimore Orioles	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Colton Cowser	8.6	11.4	0.239	0.451	0.365	0.816	0.331	0.051
#2 Adley Rutschman	9.3	12.2	0.266	0.430	0.371	0.801	0.325	0.043
#3 Gunnar Henderson	9.9	13.1	0.284	0.553	0.430	0.983	0.389	0.066
#4 Anthony Santander	9.2	12.3	0.240	0.512	0.341	0.853	0.347	0.075
#5 Ryan Mountcastle	7.5	9.8	0.277	0.451	0.342	0.793	0.326	0.035
#6 Ryan O’Hearn	7.9	10.3	0.276	0.464	0.386	0.850	0.343	0.041
#7 Jordan Westburg	6.7	8.7	0.273	0.507	0.341	0.848	0.348	0.047
#8 Heston Kjerstad	6.1	8.1	0.261	0.420	0.435	0.855	0.342	0.043
#9 Connor Norby	5.4	7.0	0.188	0.406	0.188	0.594	0.250	0.062

Blue Jays Notable Injuries

Isiah Kiner-Falefa OUT (2B/SS): Avg: 0.292 SLG:0.42 Last game: 07/02/24. Impact: 4.3
Bo Bichette OUT (SS): Avg: 0.223 SLG:0.321 Last game: 07/21/24. Impact: 1.7