Blue Jays vs Royals Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Apr 22nd 2024

Blue Jays
12W-10L

April 22, 2024
07:40PM EST
Odds: 8.5 o/u
Royals
13W-9L


Get ready to watch feathers fly and bats crack at Kauffman Stadium tonight as the Toronto Blue Jays swoop into Royals territory for an electrifying showdown at 07:40 PM EST! Both teams are clawing at a chance to improve their solid standings in the American League, each sitting just 3 games back from the top. With the betting lines almost neck-and-neck – the Jays at -111 and the Royals at -109 – and an over/under that’s teasing a tight 8.5, this game is anyone’s ballgame. Fresh off their respective losses, with the Jays stung by the Padres and the Royals blanked by the Orioles, both squads are itching to bounce back under the clear, breezy evening skies of a 48-degree Kansas City. So, as the sun sets and the winds from the South pick up, get ready for a royal rumble where only one team can claim the crown of victory!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 22, 2024 07:40PM EST
Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
Weather: Sunny with winds from the S at 12.5 mph. Temperature is at 48.0° with 46% humidity.
Vegas Odds
TOR ML | KC ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -111 | -109 | 8.5 | -1.5/1.5 |
Recent | -115 | -105 | 9.0 | -1.5/1.5 |
Difference | -4 | +4 | +0.5 | – |
Team Performance

53.5% Win Probability

46.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/03/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 5 | Over | +5.5 | ![]() |
Kansas City Royals KC | 9 | ||||
04/04/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 4 | Under | -3.5 | ![]() |
Kansas City Royals KC | 1 | ||||
04/05/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 3 | Under | -5.5 | ![]() |
Kansas City Royals KC | 0 | ||||
04/06/23 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 6 | Over | +0.5 | ![]() |
Kansas City Royals KC | 3 | ||||
09/08/23 | Kansas City Royals KC | 4 | Over | +0.5 | ![]() |
Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 5 | ||||
09/09/23 | Kansas City Royals KC | 1 | Under | -2.5 | ![]() |
Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 5 | ||||
09/10/23 | Kansas City Royals KC | 2 | Under | -1.5 | ![]() |
Toronto Blue Jays TOR | 5 |
Blue Jays Vs Over/Under
Royals Vs Over/Under

Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-16-24 | vsNYY | 4-5W | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | Push |
04-10-24 | vsSEA | 6-1L | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | Under |
04-05-24 | @NYY | 3-0W | 5.3 | 4 | 0 | 7 | Under |
03-30-24 | @TB | 1-5L | 4.3 | 6 | 3 | 4 | Under |
09-29-23 | vsTB | 4-11W | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | Over |
09-24-23 | @TB | 9-5W | 4.0 | 9 | 3 | 7 | Over |
09-19-23 | @NYY | 7-1W | 5.0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | Under |
09-13-23 | vsTEX | 10-0L | 5.0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | Over |
09-08-23 | vsKC | 4-5W | 5.0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | Push |
09-02-23 | @COL | 7-8L | 4.7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | Over |
04-21-24 | @SD | 3-6L | 5.3 | 6 | 4 | 4 | Push |
04-15-24 | vsNYY | 1-3W | 6.3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | Under |
04-09-24 | vsSEA | 3-5W | 6.7 | 5 | 1 | 8 | Under |
04-03-24 | @HOU | 0-8L | 4.3 | 9 | 4 | 3 | Under |
03-29-24 | @TB | 2-8L | 5.0 | 6 | 5 | 6 | Over |
09-28-23 | vsNYY | 0-6W | 7.7 | 5 | 0 | 12 | Under |
09-22-23 | @TB | 6-2W | 6.7 | 6 | 2 | 8 | Under |
09-16-23 | vsBOS | 3-4W | 7.0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | Under |
09-11-23 | vsTEX | 10-4L | 5.3 | 9 | 5 | 3 | Over |
09-05-23 | @OAK | 7-1W | 8.0 | 7 | 1 | 7 | Under |

Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-21-24 | vsBAL | 5-0L | 5.3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | Under |
04-15-24 | @CWS | 2-0W | 7.0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | Under |
04-10-24 | vsHOU | 2-11W | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | Over |
04-04-24 | vsCWS | 1-10W | 6.7 | 8 | 1 | 3 | Over |
03-30-24 | vsMIN | 5-1L | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | Under |
09-26-23 | @SF | 4-0L | 8.7 | 3 | 0 | 7 | Under |
09-20-23 | @COL | 2-3W | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 7 | Under |
09-15-23 | @OAK | 8-3L | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | Over |
09-09-23 | @HOU | 5-7W | 4.3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | Over |
09-03-23 | @SF | 0-4W | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | Under |
04-17-24 | @CWS | 4-2W | 5.0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | Under |
04-11-24 | vsHOU | 3-13W | 5.0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | Over |
04-05-24 | vsCWS | 1-2W | 6.3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | Under |
03-31-24 | vsMIN | 0-11W | 7.0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | Over |
09-18-23 | vsCLE | 4-6W | 6.0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | Over |
09-12-23 | @CWS | 2-6L | 5.3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | Under |
09-05-23 | vsCWS | 6-7W | 5.0 | 9 | 6 | 2 | Over |
08-25-23 | @SEA | 5-7L | 4.0 | 9 | 4 | 6 | Over |
08-19-23 | @CHC | 4-6L | 3.7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | Over |
08-14-23 | vsSEA | 6-7W | 7.3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | Over |
04-21-24 | vsBAL | 5-0L | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Under |
04-19-24 | vsBAL | 4-9W | 1.0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | Over |
04-17-24 | @CWS | 4-2W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Under |
04-12-24 | @NYM | 1-6L | 1.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | Under |
04-07-24 | vsCWS | 3-5W | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Under |
04-05-24 | vsCWS | 1-2W | 0.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Under |
04-03-24 | @BAL | 3-4L | 0.7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | Under |
04-02-24 | @BAL | 4-1W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Under |
03-30-24 | vsMIN | 5-1L | 1.0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | Under |
09-29-23 | @SEA | 0-8W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Under |
Blue Jays Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/23 | vs SD | 3-6L | 6 | 2 | Push |
04/22 | vs SD | 5-2W | 8 | 1 | Under |
04/21 | vs SD | 5-1W | 11 | 1 | Under |
04/19 | @ NYY | 4-6L | 9 | 2 | Over |
04/18 | @ NYY | 5-4W | 8 | 0 | Push |
04/17 | @ NYY | 3-1W | 4 | 0 | Under |
04/16 | @ COL | 5-0W | 12 | 0 | Under |
04/15 | @ COL | 5-3W | 9 | 1 | Under |
04/14 | @ COL | 4-12L | 11 | 2 | Over |
04/12 | @ SEA | 1-6L | 6 | 1 | Under |
04/11 | @ SEA | 5-3W | 11 | 1 | Under |
04/10 | @ SEA | 5-2W | 11 | 0 | Under |
04/09 | vs NYY | 3-8L | 5 | 0 | Over |
04/08 | vs NYY | 8-9L | 12 | 1 | Over |
04/07 | vs NYY | 3-0W | 7 | 1 | Under |
Royals Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/23 | @ BAL | 0-5L | 5 | 0 | Under |
04/22 | @ BAL | 6-9L | 8 | 1 | Over |
04/21 | @ BAL | 9-4W | 9 | 2 | Over |
04/19 | vs CWS | 1-2L | 5 | 0 | Under |
04/19 | vs CWS | 4-2W | 7 | 2 | Under |
04/17 | vs CWS | 2-0W | 5 | 1 | Under |
04/16 | vs NYM | 1-2L | 3 | 1 | Under |
04/15 | vs NYM | 11-7W | 13 | 1 | Over |
04/14 | vs NYM | 1-6L | 3 | 1 | Under |
04/13 | @ HOU | 13-3W | 16 | 2 | Over |
04/12 | @ HOU | 11-2W | 11 | 1 | Over |
04/11 | @ HOU | 3-3L | 7 | 0 | Under |
04/09 | @ CWS | 5-3W | 6 | 2 | Under |
04/08 | @ CWS | 3-0W | 10 | 1 | Under |
04/07 | @ CWS | 2-1W | 7 | 0 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
Toronto Blue Jays | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8.6 | 11.0 | 0.21 | 0.309 | 37.0% | 67.9% | 2.5% | |
#2
V. Guerrero
|
8.8 | 11.6 | 0.226 | 0.369 | 40.5% | 77.4% | 3.6% |
#3
Bo Bichette
|
8.6 | 11.1 | 0.241 | 0.342 | 32.9% | 67.1% | 1.3% |
7.8 | 10.4 | 0.308 | 0.508 | 47.7% | 98.5% | 3.1% | |
6.6 | 8.8 | 0.242 | 0.53 | 33.3% | 86.4% | 7.6% | |
7.8 | 10.6 | 0.227 | 0.477 | 31.8% | 79.5% | 6.8% | |
#7
Cavan Biggio
|
5.6 | 7.2 | 0.269 | 0.385 | 44.2% | 82.7% | 1.9% |
#8
Danny Jansen
|
7.2 | 9.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 30.0% | 70.0% | 0.0% |
6.1 | 8.1 | 0.179 | 0.196 | 32.1% | 51.8% | 0.0% | |
5.5 | 7.0 | 0.2 | 0.255 | 27.3% | 52.7% | 0.0% |
Kansas City Royals | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7.7 | 10.2 | 0.174 | 0.337 | 24.4% | 58.1% | 3.5% | |
9.3 | 12.0 | 0.3 | 0.578 | 37.8% | 95.6% | 4.4% | |
7.7 | 10.4 | 0.268 | 0.507 | 45.1% | 95.8% | 5.6% | |
7.9 | 10.5 | 0.333 | 0.59 | 43.6% | 102.6% | 7.7% | |
#4
Will Smith
|
-4.1 | 11.3 | nan | nan | nan% | nan% | nan% |
#5
MJ Melendez
|
7.4 | 9.9 | 0.232 | 0.478 | 34.8% | 82.6% | 5.8% |
8.2 | 10.7 | 0.277 | 0.431 | 38.5% | 81.5% | 3.1% | |
7.1 | 9.8 | 0.164 | 0.311 | 24.6% | 55.7% | 3.3% | |
#7
Adam Frazier
|
6.0 | 8.1 | 0.159 | 0.159 | 40.9% | 56.8% | 0.0% |
5.8 | 7.9 | 0.286 | 0.429 | 28.6% | 71.4% | 0.0% | |
6.6 | 8.3 | 0.194 | 0.222 | 25.0% | 47.2% | 0.0% | |
5.8 | 7.2 | 0.222 | 0.259 | 25.9% | 51.9% | 0.0% |
Blue Jays Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Royals Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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