Blue Jays vs Royals Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 23rd 2024

Get ready to watch sparks fly as the Toronto Blue Jays swoop into Kauffman Stadium, ready to battle it out with the Kansas City Royals under a perfect sunny sky tonight at 07:40 PM EST! Both teams are neck and neck this season, each boasting a 13-10 record, but only one can fly higher in the American League standings after tonight’s showdown. With the stakes set high and the betting lines buzzing—Blue Jays favored slightly at -122 against the Royals at +102—this game promises to be a nail-biter. The Royals are hungry for redemption after a recent 3-5 loss to these very Jays, who are entering the field with the winds of victory in their sails. Will the Royals rule their home roost, or will the Jays continue their winning migration? One thing’s for sure, tonight’s game is going to be a royal rumble with feathers flying!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 23, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City

Weather: Sunny with winds from the N at 2.2 mph. Temperature is at 55.9° with 64% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	KC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-122	+102	8.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-122	+102	8.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	0	0	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

139W-111L

55.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

114W-136L

45.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/22/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Under	-0.5
04/22/24	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Under	-0.5
04/03/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Over	+5.5
04/03/23	Kansas City Royals KC	9	Over	+5.5
04/04/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Under	-3.5
04/04/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-3.5
04/05/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-5.5
04/05/23	Kansas City Royals KC	0	Under	-5.5
04/06/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Over	+0.5
04/06/23	Kansas City Royals KC	3	Over	+0.5
09/08/23	Kansas City Royals KC	4	Over	+0.5
09/08/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Over	+0.5
09/09/23	Kansas City Royals KC	1	Under	-2.5
09/09/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Under	-2.5
09/10/23	Kansas City Royals KC	2	Under	-1.5
09/10/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Under	-1.5

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Royals Vs Over/Under

Yusei Kikuchi

ERA 2.277 | IP 27.7 | 2.0W-1.0L | KO 33.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-17-24	vsNYY	6-4L	5.0	4	1	6	Over
04-12-24	vsCOL	12-4L	3.7	10	6	4	Over
04-06-24	@NYY	8-9L	1.3	4	6	0	Over
03-31-24	@TB	9-2W	4.3	2	1	6	Over
09-26-23	vsNYY	2-0L	7.0	3	0	5	Under
09-20-23	@NYY	6-1W	6.0	3	0	10	Under
09-14-23	vsTEX	9-2L	4.7	6	4	5	Over
09-09-23	vsKC	1-5W	8.0	2	1	10	Under
09-03-23	@COL	7-5W	4.0	6	3	5	Over
08-28-23	vsWAS	3-6W	5.0	7	3	7	Over
04-22-24	@KC	5-3W	6.0	5	2	4	Push
04-16-24	vsNYY	4-5W	6.0	4	1	9	Over
04-10-24	vsSEA	6-1L	6.0	3	1	9	Under
04-05-24	@NYY	3-0W	5.3	4	0	7	Under
03-30-24	@TB	1-5L	4.3	6	3	4	Under
09-29-23	vsTB	4-11W	5.0	5	3	4	Over
09-24-23	@TB	9-5W	4.0	9	3	7	Over
09-19-23	@NYY	7-1W	5.0	4	1	7	Push
09-13-23	vsTEX	10-0L	5.0	5	6	3	Over
09-08-23	vsKC	4-5W	5.0	3	1	8	Over

Will Smith

ERA 12.375 | IP 8.0 | 0.0W-2.0L | KO 7.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-17-24	@CWS	1-2L	6.0	4	2	4	Under
04-12-24	@NYM	1-6L	6.0	10	5	4	Under
04-06-24	vsCWS	0-3W	7.0	2	0	8	Under
04-01-24	@BAL	4-6L	5.0	3	3	5	Over
09-30-23	@CWS	6-1L	7.0	3	0	7	Under
09-24-23	@STL	2-12W	7.0	6	2	6	Over
09-18-23	@COL	9-11W	5.0	5	3	6	Over
09-12-23	@LAD	2-11W	4.0	7	7	3	Over
09-06-23	@PHI	5-1L	4.0	7	3	6	Under
09-01-23	@SF	3-7W	6.0	6	2	6	Over
04-22-24	vsTOR	5-3L	6.0	5	5	5	Push
04-17-24	@CWS	4-2W	5.0	3	2	5	Under
04-11-24	vsHOU	3-13W	5.0	5	1	4	Over
04-05-24	vsCWS	1-2W	6.3	2	1	4	Under
03-31-24	vsMIN	0-11W	7.0	3	0	10	Over
09-18-23	vsCLE	4-6W	6.0	8	4	4	Over
09-12-23	@CWS	2-6L	5.3	9	6	2	Push
09-05-23	vsCWS	6-7W	5.0	9	6	2	Over
08-25-23	@SEA	5-7L	4.0	9	4	6	Over
08-19-23	@CHC	4-6L	3.7	9	6	3	Over
04-21-24	vsBAL	5-0L	1.0	0	0	0	Under
04-19-24	vsBAL	4-9W	1.0	4	4	1	Over
04-17-24	@CWS	4-2W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
04-12-24	@NYM	1-6L	1.0	4	1	1	Under
04-07-24	vsCWS	3-5W	1.0	1	0	1	Push
04-05-24	vsCWS	1-2W	0.3	1	0	1	Under
04-03-24	@BAL	3-4L	0.7	2	2	1	Under
04-02-24	@BAL	4-1W	1.0	0	0	1	Under
03-30-24	vsMIN	5-1L	1.0	2	4	0	Under
09-29-23	@SEA	0-8W	1.0	0	0	1	Push

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/24	vs KC	5-3W	6	1	Push
04/23	vs SD	3-6L	6	2	Over
04/22	vs SD	5-2W	8	1	Under
04/21	vs SD	5-1W	11	1	Under
04/19	@ NYY	4-6L	9	2	Over
04/18	@ NYY	5-4W	8	0	Over
04/17	@ NYY	3-1W	4	0	Under
04/16	@ COL	5-0W	12	0	Under
04/15	@ COL	5-3W	9	1	Push
04/14	@ COL	4-12L	11	2	Over
04/12	@ SEA	1-6L	6	1	Under
04/11	@ SEA	5-3W	11	1	Push
04/10	@ SEA	5-2W	11	0	Under
04/09	vs NYY	3-8L	5	0	Over
04/08	vs NYY	8-9L	12	1	Over

Royals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/24	@ TOR	3-5L	8	2	Push
04/23	@ BAL	0-5L	5	0	Under
04/22	@ BAL	6-9L	8	1	Over
04/21	@ BAL	9-4W	9	2	Over
04/19	vs CWS	1-2L	5	0	Under
04/19	vs CWS	4-2W	7	2	Under
04/17	vs CWS	2-0W	5	1	Under
04/16	vs NYM	1-2L	3	1	Under
04/15	vs NYM	11-7W	13	1	Over
04/14	vs NYM	1-6L	3	1	Under
04/13	@ HOU	13-3W	16	2	Over
04/12	@ HOU	11-2W	11	1	Over
04/11	@ HOU	3-3L	7	0	Under
04/09	@ CWS	5-3W	6	2	Push
04/08	@ CWS	3-0W	10	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	9.3	12.0	0.198	0.291	34.9%	64.0%	2.3%
#2 V. Guerrero	9.6	12.7	0.23	0.368	41.4%	78.2%	3.4%
#3 Bo Bichette	9.1	11.8	0.241	0.361	32.5%	68.7%	1.2%
#4 Justin Turner	7.7	10.3	0.299	0.493	49.3%	98.5%	3.0%
#5 Daulton Varsho	7.8	10.5	0.246	0.565	34.8%	91.3%	8.7%
#6 Davis Schneider	8.6	11.8	0.208	0.438	29.2%	72.9%	6.2%
#7 Cavan Biggio	7.0	9.1	0.268	0.393	42.9%	82.1%	1.8%
#8 Alejandro Kirk	6.1	8.2	0.179	0.196	32.1%	51.8%	0.0%
#9 Kevin Kiermaier	7.0	8.9	0.2	0.255	27.3%	52.7%	0.0%

Kansas City Royals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Maikel Garcia	7.6	10.2	0.178	0.367	24.4%	61.1%	4.4%
#2 Bobby Witt Jr.	10.3	13.2	0.298	0.564	37.2%	93.6%	4.3%
#3 Vinnie Pasquantino	7.0	9.4	0.267	0.493	44.0%	93.3%	5.3%
#4 Salvador Perez	7.9	10.4	0.341	0.598	43.9%	103.7%	7.3%
#4 Will Smith	-5.0	13.7	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#5 MJ Melendez	7.5	10.0	0.232	0.478	34.8%	82.6%	5.8%
#5 Nelson Velazquez	8.5	11.1	0.261	0.406	36.2%	76.8%	2.9%
#6 Hunter Renfroe	7.4	10.1	0.159	0.302	23.8%	54.0%	3.2%
#7 Michael Massey	5.5	7.5	0.182	0.273	18.2%	45.5%	0.0%
#9 Garrett Hampson	7.0	8.7	0.207	0.241	24.1%	48.3%	0.0%
#9 Kyle Isbel	6.3	7.9	0.213	0.328	24.6%	57.4%	3.3%