Blue Jays vs Padres Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 21st 2024

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Petco Park as the Toronto Blue Jays, flying high with a 12-9 record, swoop into San Diego to clash with the Padres, who are looking to claw back after a recent stumble. It’s a battle of the birds against the friars today at 04:10 PM EST, where the stakes are just as high in the standings as they are on the betting lines. With the Jays just a couple of games shy of the top in the AL and the Padres hot on the heels in the NL, this game could shift the balance. The air might be cool and overcast in sunny San Diego, but the action is expected to heat up with an over/under tantalizingly pegged at 8. So, as these teams gear up to pitch, hit, and run, remember: in this game of feathers and faith, it’s all about who preys and who prays!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 21, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Overcast with winds from the WNW at 4.3 mph. Temperature is at 59.0° with 96% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+109	-131	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+107	-128	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-2	+3	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

138W-110L

48.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

134W-117L

51.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/19/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Under	-2.0
04/19/24	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-2.0
04/20/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Under	-1.0
04/20/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-1.0
07/18/23	San Diego Padres SD	9	Over	+2.0
07/18/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	1	Over	+2.0
07/19/23	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-6.0
07/19/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	0	Under	-6.0
07/20/23	San Diego Padres SD	0	Under	-4.0
07/20/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Under	-4.0

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

Jose Berrios

ERA 0.853 | IP 31.7 | 4.0W-0.0L | KO 27.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-15-24	vsNYY	1-3W	6.3	4	1	5	Under
04-09-24	vsSEA	3-5W	6.7	5	1	8	Push
04-03-24	@HOU	0-8L	4.3	9	4	3	Push
03-29-24	@TB	2-8L	5.0	6	5	6	Over
09-28-23	vsNYY	0-6W	7.7	5	0	12	Under
09-22-23	@TB	6-2W	6.7	6	2	8	Push
09-16-23	vsBOS	3-4W	7.0	4	2	5	Under
09-11-23	vsTEX	10-4L	5.3	9	5	3	Over
09-05-23	@OAK	7-1W	8.0	7	1	7	Push
08-30-23	vsWAS	0-7W	8.0	3	0	3	Under
04-20-24	@SD	5-2W	6.0	5	0	6	Under
04-14-24	vsCOL	0-5W	7.0	2	0	7	Under
04-08-24	vsSEA	2-5W	6.7	4	0	6	Under
04-02-24	@HOU	2-1W	6.0	6	1	2	Under
03-28-24	@TB	8-2W	6.0	6	2	6	Over
09-27-23	vsNYY	6-0L	6.0	5	4	10	Under
09-21-23	@NYY	3-5L	5.7	7	4	6	Push
09-15-23	vsBOS	0-3W	7.0	5	0	8	Under
09-10-23	vsKC	2-5W	7.0	5	2	7	Under
09-04-23	@OAK	6-5W	6.0	4	2	7	Over

Randy Vasquez

ERA 1.8 | IP 5.0 | 0.0W-1.0L | KO 3.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-15-24	@MIL	7-3W	6.0	7	3	3	Over
04-09-24	vsCHC	5-1L	4.0	5	4	5	Under
04-03-24	vsSTL	2-3W	6.0	5	1	7	Under
03-29-24	vsSF	8-3L	5.7	8	4	3	Over
07-28-23	vsTEX	1-7W	6.0	4	0	5	Push
07-23-23	@DET	1-3L	6.0	7	3	6	Under
07-18-23	@TOR	9-1W	6.0	5	1	7	Over
07-04-23	vsLAA	5-8W	7.0	3	1	11	Over
06-29-23	@PIT	4-5L	6.0	7	2	6	Over
06-23-23	vsWAS	3-13W	7.0	6	1	7	Over
04-20-24	vsTOR	5-2L	5.0	5	4	3	Under
09-29-23	@KC	5-12W	3.7	4	1	6	Over
09-24-23	@ARI	7-1L	2.3	3	2	2	Push
09-17-23	@PIT	2-3W	1.3	2	0	0	Under
09-12-23	@BOS	3-2L	3.7	3	2	3	Under
09-07-23	@DET	10-3L	2.3	3	1	5	Over
09-01-23	@HOU	6-2L	2.0	1	0	2	Push
08-16-23	@ATL	0-2W	3.3	2	2	3	Under
08-11-23	@MIA	9-4L	3.7	3	2	2	Over
07-05-23	@BAL	6-3L	5.0	3	0	1	Over

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/22	vs SD	5-2W	8	1	Under
04/21	vs SD	5-1W	11	1	Under
04/19	@ NYY	4-6L	9	2	Over
04/18	@ NYY	5-4W	8	0	Over
04/17	@ NYY	3-1W	4	0	Under
04/16	@ COL	5-0W	12	0	Under
04/15	@ COL	5-3W	9	1	Push
04/14	@ COL	4-12L	11	2	Over
04/12	@ SEA	1-6L	6	1	Under
04/11	@ SEA	5-3W	11	1	Push
04/10	@ SEA	5-2W	11	0	Under
04/09	vs NYY	3-8L	5	0	Over
04/08	vs NYY	8-9L	12	1	Over
04/07	vs NYY	3-0W	7	1	Under
04/05	vs HOU	0-8L	1	0	Push

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/22	@ TOR	2-5L	9	0	Under
04/21	@ TOR	1-5L	5	1	Under
04/19	vs MIL	0-1L	5	0	Under
04/18	vs MIL	6-3W	10	1	Over
04/17	vs MIL	7-3W	12	0	Over
04/16	vs LAD	6-3W	8	1	Over
04/15	vs LAD	2-5L	7	0	Under
04/14	vs LAD	8-7W	10	4	Over
04/12	@ CHC	10-2W	12	2	Over
04/11	@ CHC	1-5L	4	1	Under
04/10	@ CHC	9-8W	8	3	Over
04/09	vs SF	2-3L	11	0	Under
04/08	vs SF	4-0W	5	1	Under
04/07	vs SF	2-3L	6	0	Under
04/05	@ STL	3-2W	7	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	8.7	11.2	0.208	0.312	37.7%	68.8%	2.6%
#2 V. Guerrero	9.1	12.0	0.237	0.388	42.5%	81.2%	3.8%
#3 Bo Bichette	8.0	10.4	0.227	0.333	32.0%	65.3%	1.3%
#4 Justin Turner	7.9	10.5	0.323	0.532	48.4%	101.6%	3.2%
#5 Daulton Varsho	8.0	10.8	0.238	0.524	33.3%	85.7%	7.9%
#6 Davis Schneider	8.0	10.9	0.22	0.415	31.7%	73.2%	4.9%
#7 Cavan Biggio	6.4	8.3	0.269	0.385	44.2%	82.7%	1.9%
#8 Danny Jansen	7.2	9.4	0.286	0.571	42.9%	100.0%	0.0%
#8 Alejandro Kirk	6.1	8.2	0.179	0.196	32.1%	51.8%	0.0%
#9 Kevin Kiermaier	6.1	7.8	0.208	0.264	28.3%	54.7%	0.0%

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Xander Bogaerts	7.3	9.6	0.163	0.225	25.0%	47.5%	1.2%
#2 Fernando Tatis Jr.	8.7	11.5	0.263	0.512	38.8%	90.0%	7.5%
#3 Jake Cronenworth	7.0	9.4	0.229	0.414	37.1%	78.6%	4.3%
#4 Manny Machado	7.9	10.3	0.247	0.388	31.8%	70.6%	3.5%
#5 Jurickson Profar	6.2	8.3	0.299	0.478	44.8%	92.5%	3.0%
#6 Ha-Seong Kim	6.4	8.5	0.253	0.467	41.3%	88.0%	4.0%
#7 Jackson Merrill	6.1	7.7	0.318	0.424	43.9%	86.4%	1.5%
#8 Luis Campusano	5.2	6.7	0.283	0.367	31.7%	68.3%	1.7%
#9 Tyler Wade	4.4	5.7	0.154	0.179	25.6%	43.6%	0.0%
#9 Graham Pauley	5.2	7.2	0.125	0.312	12.5%	43.8%	6.2%