Nationals vs Cubs Game Breakdown

As the sun sets over the iconic Wrigley Field tonight, the Washington Nationals, clutching at the threads of their season, roll into the Windy City to clash with the Chicago Cubs at 07:40 PM EST. With the Cubs trying to claw their way up from a middling 11-game deficit in the National League, and the Nationals lagging 23 games behind, both teams are hungry for a win to salvage their pride. The stakes are as high as the over/under of 8.5, with the odds tipping in favor of the home team. Fresh off a disappointing shutout against the Mets and a Cubs’ stumble against Oakland, both squads are itching to turn their luck around under tonight’s partly cloudy skies, with a gentle breeze hopefully blowing some runs across the plate. So as these two teams dig in at the diamond, let’s see if the Cubs can bear down or if the Nationals can capitalize in a capital showdown!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 19, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the E at 5.1 mph. Temperature is at 89.1° with 28% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	WAS ML	CHC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+152	-184	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+144	-175	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-8	+9	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

127W-187L

41.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

156W-154L

59.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
08/30/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	7	Over	+4.5
08/30/24	Washington Nationals WAS	6	Over	+4.5
08/31/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Under	-0.5
08/31/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-0.5
09/01/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	14	Over	+6.5
09/01/24	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Over	+6.5
05/01/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Under	-2.5
05/01/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-2.5
05/02/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-3.5
05/02/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Under	-3.5
05/03/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-5.5
05/03/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-5.5
05/04/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-1.5
05/04/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Under	-1.5
07/17/23	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+3.5
07/17/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+3.5
07/18/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+11.5
07/18/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	17	Over	+11.5
07/19/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+2.5
07/19/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	8	Over	+2.5

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Patrick Corbin

ERA 5.455 | IP 165.0 | 6.0W-13.0L | KO 132.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-14-24	vsMIA	1-4W	6.0	3	1	6	Under
09-08-24	@PIT	3-7L	6.0	10	7	5	Over
09-03-24	@MIA	6-2W	5.7	7	2	8	Under
08-27-24	vsNYY	2-4W	6.0	2	0	6	Under
08-22-24	vsCOL	3-8W	6.0	4	1	8	Over
08-16-24	@PHI	2-3L	4.3	7	2	2	Under
08-10-24	vsLAA	4-5W	4.0	8	4	2	Over
08-05-24	vsSF	4-1L	6.0	7	4	6	Under
07-30-24	@ARI	0-17L	3.0	13	11	3	Over
07-25-24	vsSD	3-0L	7.0	4	3	7	Under

Javier Assad

ERA 3.269 | IP 137.7 | 7.0W-5.0L | KO 116.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-13-24	@COL	5-9L	6.0	7	4	5	Over
09-07-24	vsNYY	2-0L	5.7	3	2	5	Under
08-31-24	@WAS	5-3W	6.0	8	3	4	Under
08-25-24	@MIA	2-7L	7.0	6	3	3	Over
08-20-24	vsDET	1-3W	5.7	6	1	7	Under
08-13-24	@CLE	1-2L	4.7	5	1	2	Under
08-07-24	vsMIN	2-8W	4.0	3	2	1	Over
08-02-24	vsSTL	3-6W	4.0	4	1	3	Over
07-28-24	@KC	7-3W	6.0	5	3	5	Over
07-22-24	vsMIL	1-3W	3.3	1	0	2	Under

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/20	vs NYM	0-10L	3	0	Over
09/19	vs NYM	1-10L	4	0	Over
09/18	vs NYM	1-2L	5	0	Under
09/17	@ MIA	4-3W	8	2	Under
09/16	@ MIA	4-1W	8	3	Under
09/15	@ MIA	4-1W	4	1	Under
09/14	@ MIA	3-6L	6	0	Over
09/13	@ ATL	5-1W	13	1	Under
09/12	@ ATL	0-12L	3	0	Over
09/10	vs PIT	3-7L	6	1	Over
09/09	vs PIT	4-3W	7	1	Under
09/09	vs PIT	8-6W	13	1	Over
09/07	vs PIT	4-9L	10	1	Over
09/06	vs MIA	3-4L	5	0	Under
09/05	vs MIA	6-2W	11	2	Under

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/20	@ OAK	3-5L	6	0	Under
09/19	@ OAK	3-4L	11	2	Under
09/18	@ OAK	9-2W	18	1	Over
09/17	vs COL	6-2W	11	3	Under
09/16	vs COL	5-6L	11	2	Over
09/15	vs COL	5-9L	13	1	Over
09/13	vs LAD	8-10L	6	2	Over
09/12	vs LAD	6-3W	11	0	Over
09/11	vs LAD	10-4W	16	2	Over
09/10	@ NYY	2-1W	3	0	Under
09/09	@ NYY	0-2L	4	0	Under
09/08	@ NYY	0-3L	1	0	Under
09/06	@ PIT	12-0W	17	3	Over
09/05	@ PIT	0-5L	5	0	Under
09/04	@ PIT	3-5L	6	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	7.8	10.1	0.242	0.425	0.346	0.771	0.316	0.038
#2 James Wood	7.7	10.1	0.265	0.415	0.403	0.818	0.329	0.028
#3 Jose Tena	6.1	7.6	0.286	0.397	0.333	0.730	0.302	0.024
#4 Andres Chaparro	7.5	10.0	0.218	0.427	0.309	0.736	0.305	0.036
#5 Luis Garcia Jr.	7.0	8.9	0.280	0.440	0.338	0.778	0.320	0.034
#6 Keibert Ruiz	5.9	7.7	0.232	0.374	0.281	0.655	0.274	0.031
#7 Dylan Crews	5.7	7.2	0.232	0.390	0.305	0.695	0.288	0.037
#8 Joey Gallo	6.1	8.2	0.152	0.305	0.325	0.629	0.261	0.036
#9 Jacob Young	5.3	6.8	0.256	0.333	0.346	0.679	0.282	0.007

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Ian Happ	10.2	13.6	0.243	0.448	0.393	0.841	0.337	0.045
#2 Dansby Swanson	8.8	11.6	0.238	0.383	0.345	0.727	0.298	0.030
#3 Seiya Suzuki	9.3	12.1	0.276	0.476	0.406	0.882	0.354	0.041
#4 Cody Bellinger	7.6	10.0	0.270	0.437	0.367	0.804	0.328	0.037
#5 Isaac Paredes	7.7	10.3	0.238	0.400	0.411	0.811	0.326	0.037
#6 Patrick Wisdom	8.4	11.2	0.188	0.420	0.283	0.703	0.291	0.051
#7 Nico Hoerner	7.4	9.4	0.269	0.357	0.370	0.727	0.300	0.009
#8 Pete Crow-Armstrong	6.0	7.7	0.241	0.387	0.312	0.699	0.290	0.024
#9 Miguel Amaya	5.8	7.6	0.234	0.355	0.319	0.674	0.280	0.023

Nationals Notable Injuries

Alex Call OUT (OF): Avg: 0.343 SLG:0.525 Last game: 08/25/24. Impact: 3.0
Joan Adon OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/24/24. Impact: 0.9