Nationals vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some prime-time baseball action as the Washington Nationals try to climb the ranks at the iconic Citi Field, squaring off against the New York Mets tonight at 07:10 PM EST. It’s a showdown that promises some serious swings in the standings, with the Mets looking to tighten their grip and the Nats aiming to steal some late-season thunder. With the sun shining over the diamond, a gentle breeze in the air, and the crowd buzzing, the stakes are as high as the humidity. The odds makers are leaning heavily towards the Mets, but as we’ve seen, anything can happen on the field. After their recent performances, both teams are coming in hot, setting us up for a clash that’s more than just a game—it’s a battle for pride and position. So, as the pitchers warm up and the batters get ready, let’s see if the Mets can “catch” up to expectations or if the Nationals will “run” away with the win!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: September 16, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Sunny with winds from the ESE at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 71.1° with 59% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	WAS ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+165	-200	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+160	-195	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-5	+5	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

127W-184L

38.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

180W-130L

61.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/03/24	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+7.5
06/03/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+7.5
06/04/24	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+1.5
06/04/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Over	+1.5
06/05/24	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+2.5
06/05/24	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Over	+2.5
07/01/24	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+8.5
07/01/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+8.5
07/02/24	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+1.5
07/02/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+1.5
07/03/24	New York Mets NYM	5	Over	+4.5
07/03/24	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+4.5
07/04/24	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-6.5
07/04/24	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-6.5
07/09/24	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+4.5
07/09/24	New York Mets NYM	7	Over	+4.5
07/10/24	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+0.5
07/10/24	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+0.5
07/11/24	Washington Nationals WAS	0	Under	-0.5
07/11/24	New York Mets NYM	7	Under	-0.5
04/25/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Under	-2.5
04/25/23	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-2.5
04/26/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Under	-2.5
04/26/23	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-2.5
04/27/23	Washington Nationals WAS	8	Over	+9.5
04/27/23	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+9.5
05/12/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Under	-2.5
05/12/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-2.5
05/14/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.5
05/14/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-2.5
05/14/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+2.5
05/14/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Over	+2.5
05/15/23	New York Mets NYM	3	Over	+5.5
05/15/23	Washington Nationals WAS	10	Over	+5.5
07/27/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-4.5
07/27/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-4.5
07/28/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-1.5
07/28/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-1.5
07/29/23	Washington Nationals WAS	11	Over	+9.5
07/29/23	New York Mets NYM	6	Over	+9.5
07/30/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-0.5
07/30/23	New York Mets NYM	5	Under	-0.5
09/05/23	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+8.5
09/05/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+8.5
09/06/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.5
09/06/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-2.5

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Jake Irvin

ERA 3.964 | IP 168.0 | 10.0W-11.0L | KO 142.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-11-24	vsATL	1-5W	6.0	2	1	5	Under
09-05-24	@PIT	4-9L	5.0	7	6	4	Over
08-30-24	vsCHC	7-6L	4.7	8	7	6	Over
08-24-24	@ATL	2-4L	5.3	5	2	3	Under
08-18-24	@PHI	6-4W	6.0	8	4	5	Over
08-13-24	@BAL	9-3W	6.0	7	2	3	Over
08-07-24	vsSF	7-4L	5.0	8	5	4	Over
08-02-24	vsMIL	8-3L	5.7	6	4	4	Over
07-27-24	@STL	14-3W	5.3	4	2	5	Over
07-21-24	vsCIN	2-5W	7.0	5	2	7	Under

Sean Manaea

ERA 3.348 | IP 164.0 | 11.0W-5.0L | KO 171.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
09-11-24	@TOR	6-2W	6.7	3	1	8	Over
09-06-24	vsCIN	4-6W	6.7	3	4	9	Over
09-01-24	@CWS	2-0W	7.0	2	0	5	Under
08-27-24	@ARI	8-3W	6.7	4	3	11	Over
08-21-24	vsBAL	3-4W	7.0	3	3	9	Under
08-16-24	vsMIA	3-7W	7.0	5	3	4	Over
08-10-24	@SEA	0-4L	3.0	4	3	3	Under
08-05-24	@STL	6-0W	7.0	6	0	10	Under
07-30-24	vsMIN	0-2W	7.0	2	0	11	Under
07-24-24	@NYY	12-3W	4.7	3	2	4	Over

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/17	@ MIA	4-3W	8	2	Under
09/16	@ MIA	4-1W	8	3	Under
09/15	@ MIA	4-1W	4	1	Under
09/14	@ MIA	3-6L	6	0	Over
09/13	@ ATL	5-1W	13	1	Under
09/12	@ ATL	0-12L	3	0	Over
09/10	vs PIT	3-7L	6	1	Over
09/09	vs PIT	4-3W	7	1	Under
09/09	vs PIT	8-6W	13	1	Over
09/07	vs PIT	4-9L	10	1	Over
09/06	vs MIA	3-4L	5	0	Under
09/05	vs MIA	6-2W	11	2	Over
09/03	@ CHC	1-14L	5	0	Over
09/02	@ CHC	2-5L	10	1	Under
09/01	@ CHC	6-7L	8	1	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
09/17	vs PHI	1-2L	7	1	Under
09/16	vs PHI	4-6L	9	0	Over
09/15	vs PHI	11-3W	14	4	Over
09/13	vs TOR	6-2W	4	2	Over
09/12	vs TOR	2-6L	6	0	Over
09/11	vs TOR	3-2W	3	0	Under
09/10	@ CIN	1-3L	4	0	Under
09/09	@ CIN	4-0W	6	1	Under
09/08	@ CIN	6-4W	9	2	Over
09/06	@ BOS	8-3W	7	1	Over
09/05	@ BOS	7-2W	7	3	Over
09/04	@ BOS	4-1W	8	0	Under
09/03	vs CWS	2-0W	7	1	Under
09/02	vs CWS	5-3W	10	2	Over
09/01	vs CWS	5-1W	10	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Dylan Crews	6.7	8.6	0.229	0.400	0.314	0.714	0.294	0.043
#2 James Wood	7.0	9.2	0.274	0.432	0.419	0.851	0.340	0.029
#3 Andres Chaparro	6.9	9.2	0.231	0.452	0.317	0.769	0.318	0.038
#4 Juan Yepez	6.4	8.3	0.282	0.459	0.370	0.829	0.338	0.033
#5 Jose Tena	5.1	6.4	0.304	0.426	0.357	0.783	0.323	0.026
#6 Keibert Ruiz	5.5	7.1	0.234	0.378	0.284	0.663	0.277	0.031
#7 Ildemaro Vargas	4.7	6.0	0.257	0.333	0.333	0.667	0.277	0.004
#8 Jacob Young	4.5	5.8	0.259	0.338	0.350	0.688	0.285	0.007
#9 Nasim Nunez	4.5	5.9	0.270	0.297	0.459	0.757	0.303	0.000

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPS	wOBA	HR/Rate
#1 Brandon Nimmo	8.1	10.8	0.228	0.396	0.394	0.790	0.318	0.037
#2 Mark Vientos	7.9	10.4	0.276	0.533	0.365	0.898	0.365	0.066
#3 Pete Alonso	7.8	10.4	0.239	0.460	0.374	0.835	0.337	0.056
#4 Jesse Winker	7.3	9.7	0.266	0.423	0.432	0.855	0.341	0.034
#5 J.D. Martinez	7.2	9.6	0.241	0.421	0.367	0.788	0.320	0.039
#6 Jose Iglesias	6.8	8.6	0.311	0.429	0.392	0.821	0.337	0.014
#7 Francisco Alvarez	6.1	8.0	0.234	0.381	0.333	0.714	0.294	0.029
#8 Harrison Bader	5.7	7.4	0.242	0.386	0.309	0.694	0.289	0.032
#9 Luisangel Acuna	6.5	6.5	0.286	0.286	0.286	0.571	0.241	0.000

Nationals Notable Injuries

Alex Call OUT (OF): Avg: 0.343 SLG:0.525 Last game: 08/25/24. Impact: 3.0
Joan Adon OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/24/24. Impact: 0.9

Mets Notable Injuries

Paul Blackburn OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/25/24. Impact: 4.8
Francisco Lindor OUT (SS): Avg: 0.269 SLG:0.493 Last game: 09/17/24. Impact: 3.6
Jeff McNeil OUT (2B/OF): Avg: 0.238 SLG:0.382 Last game: 09/08/24. Impact: 1.9
Dedniel Nunez OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 08/26/24. Impact: 1.8