Strategy and Stats for 04/13/24 MLB Daily Fantasy Slate
Today’s MLB fantasy slate is brimming with action as 17 games kick off, starting at 12:10 PM EST, promising a full day of baseball excitement. Fantasy managers should particularly mark their calendars for the high-stakes encounter at Fenway Park, where the Los Angeles Angels clash with the Boston Red Sox at 4:10 PM EST. With an Over/Under set at a whopping 10.5, this game is anticipated to be a treasure trove of hitting performances, making it a critical focus for those looking to maximize their fantasy scores. As we delve into today’s matchups, keep an eye on the top projected players at each position, leveraging their recent stats and form to guide your fantasy picks. This comprehensive analysis will not only highlight key players but also provide strategic insights to enhance your lineup decisions as the day unfolds.
GameTime | Away Team | Home Team | O/U | Fav |
---|---|---|---|---|
12:10 PM EST | Yankees 10-3 | Guardians 9-3 | 8.5 | NYY -115 |
1:10 PM EST | Twins 4-7 | Tigers 8-4 | 7.0 | DET -131 |
1:40 PM EST | Royals 9-5 | Mets 6-7 | 8.5 | NYM -168 |
2:10 PM EST | Reds 7-6 | White Sox 2-11 | 8.5 | CIN -130 |
3:07 PM EST | Rockies 4-10 | Blue Jays 6-8 | 9.0 | TOR -194 |
4:05 PM EST | Pirates 10-4 | Phillies 7-7 | 9.0 | PHI -152 |
4:05 PM EST | Rangers 8-6 | Astros 4-11 | 5.0 | HOU -149 |
4:05 PM EST | Brewers 9-3 | Orioles 8-5 | 9.0 | BAL -145 |
4:07 PM EST | Nationals 5-8 | Athletics 6-8 | 8.0 | WAS -130 |
4:10 PM EST | Twins 4-7 | Tigers 8-4 | 7.0 | DET -131 |
4:10 PM EST | Angels 7-6 | Red Sox 7-7 | 10.5 | LAA -118 |
4:10 PM EST | Giants 5-9 | Rays 8-6 | 7.5 | TB -110 |
4:10 PM EST | Braves 8-4 | Marlins 2-12 | 8.5 | ATL -202 |
6:10 PM EST | Yankees 10-3 | Guardians 9-3 | 8.5 | NYY -115 |
8:10 PM EST | Cardinals 7-7 | Diamondbacks 6-8 | 9.5 | ARI -110 |
9:10 PM EST | Padres 8-8 | Dodgers 10-6 | 9.0 | LAD -194 |
9:40 PM EST | Cubs 7-6 | Mariners 6-8 | 8.0 | CHC -140 |
Top 1B Picks for Today’s MLB Daily Fantasy Sports
Freddie Freeman ($5700), Dodgers – Projected 14 pts
Freddie Freeman’s recent performance shows a notable dip compared to his previous games, with his DraftKings points per game dropping by 40.0% to 8.2 from 13.67. Despite this, his projected points for today’s game stand at 14.0, earning him a DFS value score of 2.5. Facing Matt Waldron, who ranks #18 in hits allowed per game, Freeman’s potential for recovery in today’s game is promising, especially considering his consistent ability to get on base with singles and doubles. His current slump in home runs could turn around given Waldron’s pitching stats, making Freeman a strong value pick at first base.
Matt Olson ($6100), Braves – Projected 13.5 pts
Matt Olson, with an average of 9.5 DraftKings points over his last ten games, shows a slight decrease from his previous average of 10.22 points. His performance metrics indicate a significant drop in singles and a modest increase in home runs. Olson’s matchup against Max Meyer, whose stats are currently incomplete, still presents a challenging scenario. With a DFS value score of 2.2, Olson is a core value player who could potentially leverage his power hitting to rack up more total bases, despite the uncertainty in his opponent’s pitching efficacy. His consistent walk rate and slight increase in runs scored also add to his appeal in today’s fantasy lineup.
Top Second Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate
Jose Altuve ($5300), Astros – Projected 12.9 pts
Jose Altuve continues to be a pivotal player for the Astros, and his recent performance suggests a promising outlook for today’s game. Over the last ten games, Altuve has seen a significant uptick in his DraftKings points per game, averaging 9.3 compared to 7.89 in the previous set of ten games, marking a 17.9% increase. His matchup against Andrew Heaney, who ranks #14 in hits allowed per game, further bolsters his potential. Despite a slight decrease in singles and hits per game, Altuve’s ability to draw walks has remarkably improved, with an increase of 627.3%. His DFS value score stands at 2.4, positioning him as a core value pick for today’s slate.
Nolan Gorman ($7200), Cardinals – Projected 12.8 pts
Nolan Gorman of the Cardinals presents a more challenging case for DFS today. His performance has dipped in the recent ten-game stretch, with a decrease in DraftKings points per game from 8.67 to 7.4, a decline of -14.6%. This downturn is reflected across several metrics, including a significant drop in singles and runs per game. However, Gorman has shown an impressive increase in home runs per game by 172.7%. Despite these mixed results, his high DraftKings salary of $7200 and a DFS value score of 1.8 categorize him as a player with bad value for today’s games, especially when considering his matchup against one of the top pitchers for hits allowed per game.
Top Third Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate
Rafael Devers ($5000), Boston Red Sox – Projected 14.2 pts
Rafael Devers has shown a significant uptick in his performance, making him a key player to consider for today’s DFS lineup. Over his last ten games, Devers has averaged 7.1 DraftKings points per game, a substantial increase from his previous average of 3.0 points. This improvement is highlighted by a 167.9% increase in total bases per game and a 112.1% increase in walks per game. Facing Griffin Canning, who ranks #16 in hits allowed per game, Devers’ matchup looks favorable. His DFS value score stands at 2.8, positioning him as a strong value pick for today’s games.
Austin Riley ($5800), Atlanta Braves – Projected 12.6 pts
Austin Riley remains a consistent performer for the Braves, averaging 10.5 DraftKings points in his recent stretch of games. Although his performance shows minimal fluctuation compared to his previous ten games, Riley’s reliability is key, especially in daily fantasy sports. His hits per game have increased by 17.1%, and he has maintained a steady rate of home runs. Despite a slight decrease in runs and walks, Riley’s overall ability to contribute across multiple categories keeps him relevant. With a DFS value score of 2.2, he holds core value in today’s DFS contests.
Daily Fantasy Sports Analysis: Shortstops Spotlight
Francisco Lindor ($5100), New York Mets – Projected 13.6 pts
Francisco Lindor, the Mets’ standout shortstop, has shown fluctuating performances in recent games. Over the last ten games, Lindor has averaged 5.2 DraftKings points, a significant drop of -53.7% compared to his previous ten-game stretch where he averaged 11.22 points. Despite this decline, Lindor’s upcoming matchup against Alec Marsh, who ranks #11 in hits allowed per game, positions him for potential improvement. His projected DFS value score of 2.7 indicates strong value, suggesting that he could be a savvy pick for DFS players looking to capitalize on a favorable pitching matchup and a potentially lower ownership due to recent performance dips.
Bobby Witt Jr. ($6600), Kansas City Royals – Projected 12.7 pts
Bobby Witt Jr. has been a consistent performer for the Royals, averaging 10.0 DraftKings points over his last ten games, a slight decrease of -21.8% from his previous average of 12.78 points. Facing Sean Manaea of the Mets, who ranks #24 in hits allowed per game, Witt Jr. has a challenging matchup ahead. Despite his higher DraftKings salary of $6600, his projected points are slightly lower than expected, resulting in a DFS value score of 1.9. This positions Witt Jr. as a riskier play in DFS lineups, potentially better suited for those looking to differentiate in large tournaments rather than as a core lineup staple.
Catcher Insights: DFS Analysis for Today’s Slate
Adley Rutschman ($5100), Orioles – Projected 11.5 pts
Adley Rutschman’s recent performance has shown a dip compared to his previous ten games, with a decrease in nearly every statistical category. His DraftKings points per game have fallen by 44.2%, and his FanDuel points by 46.5%. This drop is reflected in his hits, walks, and notably, home runs, which have plummeted from 0.11 per game to zero. Despite these declines, Rutschman is facing MIL’s DL Hall, who ranks 21st in hits allowed per game with 8.38. This matchup could potentially favor Rutschman, offering a chance for a rebound. His DFS value score stands at 2.3, positioning him as a core value play in today’s fantasy lineup.
William Contreras ($4900), Brewers – Projected 11.5 pts
In contrast to Rutschman, William Contreras has seen a significant uptick in his performance metrics over the last ten games. His DraftKings points have surged by 74.7%, and his FanDuel points by an impressive 88.4%. Contreras has improved across the board, with notable increases in doubles, total bases, and runs scored. His matchup against Dean Kremer of the BAL, who allows 8.91 hits per game, positions Contreras to potentially continue his upward trajectory. With a DFS value score of 2.3, Contreras also fits into the core value category but with a momentum that might appeal to those looking for players on the rise.
Top Outfielders to Watch in Today’s DFS Slate
Juan Soto ($9000), Yankees – Projected 15.8 pts
Juan Soto, despite a recent downturn in his performance metrics, remains a pivotal player in DFS lineups. Over the last ten games, Soto’s production has seen a decrease, with his DraftKings points per game dropping by 28.6% to 9.6 from a previous 13.44. Similarly, his FanDuel points have also dipped by 28.8%. Notably, his hits per game have fallen by 16.7%, and his home runs per game have drastically reduced by 69.7%. Despite these challenges, Soto faces Carlos Carrasco, who ranks third in hits allowed per game, potentially offering Soto a chance to rebound. However, his current DFS value score stands at 1.8, signaling caution for DFS players considering his high salary.
Ronald Acuna Jr. ($6700), Braves – Projected 14.9 pts
Ronald Acuna Jr. presents a more intriguing value in today’s slate. With a DraftKings salary of $6700, his recent performance indicates a potential for high returns relative to cost. Acuna’s recent games show a 33.2% decrease in DraftKings points per game, now averaging 9.5, and a 32.0% decrease in FanDuel points. His hits and total bases have seen significant drops of 39.8% and 55.0%, respectively. However, his walks per game have impressively increased by 112.1%, which could hint at better plate discipline and on-base potential. Facing Max Meyer, whose stats are currently unavailable, might give Acuna a less predictable but possibly advantageous matchup. His DFS value score is 2.2, placing him in the core value category and making him a potentially strategic pick for today’s games.
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Padres vs Diamondbacks Game Breakdown
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Athletics vs Mariners Game Breakdown
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Dodgers vs Rockies Game Breakdown
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Mets vs Brewers Game Breakdown
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Orioles vs Twins Game Breakdown
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White Sox vs Tigers Game Breakdown
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Rangers vs Angels Game Breakdown
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Rays vs Red Sox Game Breakdown
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Phillies vs Nationals Game Breakdown
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