Strategy and Stats for 04/27/24 MLB Daily Fantasy Slate
Today’s MLB fantasy slate is brimming with excitement as we gear up for 15 games kicking off at 3:07 PM EST, promising a full day of baseball action. The spotlight shines on the Houston Astros as they travel to face the Colorado Rockies at Estadio Alfredo Harp Helú, with the first pitch scheduled for 6:05 PM EST. This particular matchup, with an Over/Under set at a staggering 17.0, is anticipated to be a treasure trove for hitters, making it a critical focus for fantasy players. As we delve into today’s games, keep an eye on the top projected players at each position, whose recent performances and matchups position them as key assets in your fantasy lineups. Stay tuned as we break down each game, providing you with the insights needed to dominate your daily fantasy contests.
GameTime | Away Team | Home Team | O/U | Fav |
---|---|---|---|---|
3:07 PM EST | Dodgers 17-11 | Blue Jays 13-14 | 4.0 | LAD -150 |
4:05 PM EST | Cardinals 12-14 | Mets 13-12 | 7.5 | STL -131 |
4:05 PM EST | Reds 14-12 | Rangers 14-13 | 9.0 | TEX -130 |
4:05 PM EST | Athletics 11-16 | Orioles 16-9 | 8.5 | BAL -179 |
4:10 PM EST | Cubs 17-9 | Red Sox 14-13 | 8.5 | CHC -122 |
4:10 PM EST | Nationals 11-14 | Marlins 6-21 | 4.0 | MIA -136 |
6:05 PM EST | Astros 7-19 | Rockies 7-19 | 17.0 | HOU -220 |
6:10 PM EST | Royals 17-10 | Tigers 14-12 | 8.0 | DET -113 |
7:10 PM EST | Rays 13-14 | White Sox 4-22 | 4.0 | TB -240 |
7:10 PM EST | Yankees 17-10 | Brewers 17-8 | 8.5 | NYY -132 |
7:20 PM EST | Guardians 18-8 | Braves 18-6 | 9.0 | ATL -190 |
8:40 PM EST | Phillies 17-10 | Padres 14-15 | 7.5 | SD -117 |
9:05 PM EST | Pirates 13-14 | Giants 13-14 | 8.0 | SF -143 |
9:38 PM EST | Twins 12-13 | Angels 10-16 | 8.5 | LAA -131 |
9:40 PM EST | Diamondbacks 12-15 | Mariners 14-12 | 7.5 | SEA -158 |
Top 1B Picks for Today’s DFS Slate
Matt Olson ($5900), Braves – Projected 12.7 pts
Matt Olson’s recent performance might raise a few eyebrows among daily fantasy sports enthusiasts. Over his last 10 games, Olson has seen a significant dip in production, averaging only 4.1 DraftKings points per game, a stark contrast to his previous 10 games where he averaged 10.22 points. This -59.9% downturn is reflected across multiple categories, with notable declines in hits per game (70% decrease) and total bases per game (82.8% decrease). Despite this slump, Olson’s projected DFS value score stands at 2.2, positioning him as a core value play against Tanner Bibee of the CLE. Bibee’s tendency to allow 9.99 hits per game could offer Olson a chance to bounce back and provide value at his current salary.
Freddie Freeman ($8800), Dodgers – Projected 12.2 pts
Freddie Freeman, in contrast to Olson, has been on an upward trajectory. His last 10 games have yielded an average of 8.3 DraftKings points, a significant improvement over the 5.0 points from his previous set of 10 games. This 66% increase is supported by a 41% increase in hits per game and a remarkable 127.3% increase in walks per game. Despite these impressive stats, Freeman’s high DraftKings salary of $8800 brings his DFS value score to 1.4. Facing Yusei Kikuchi of the TOR, who ranks 17th in hits allowed per game, Freeman’s matchup is favorable, but his high salary may limit his overall value in today’s DFS contests.
Top Second Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate
Jose Altuve ($5600), Astros – Projected 18.0 pts
Jose Altuve continues to be a powerhouse at second base for the Astros. Over his last ten games, Altuve has seen a significant uptick in performance, averaging 9.8 DraftKings points per game, a 22.5% increase from his previous ten-game stretch. Notably, his home run frequency has surged by a whopping 172.7%, and his total bases per game have risen by 21.7%. Facing Cal Quantrill, who ranks 10th in hits allowed per game, Altuve’s matchup looks favorable. With a DraftKings salary of $5600 and a DFS value score of 3.2, he stands out as an elite value pick in today’s games.
Marcus Semien ($5400), Rangers – Projected 13.3 pts
Marcus Semien of the Rangers presents a solid option at second base, albeit with some recent fluctuations in his performance metrics. Over the latest ten-game period, Semien’s DraftKings points per game have slightly decreased by -8.9%, and his hits per game have also dipped by -9.9%. However, he continues to maintain a steady contribution in runs and has seen an impressive 172.7% increase in home runs per game. Facing Hunter Greene, who is 13th in hits allowed per game, Semien could capitalize on this matchup. With a DraftKings salary of $5400 and a DFS value score of 2.5, he offers strong value for today’s slate.
Top Third Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate
Alex Bregman ($4800), Astros – Projected 16.8 pts
Alex Bregman has been showing a consistent performance in the recent games, averaging 4.1 DraftKings points over his last ten games, a slight improvement from his previous ten-game stretch. Despite a minor dip in hits and total bases, Bregman has increased his walk rate significantly, which could play a crucial role in today’s matchup against Cal Quantrill of the Rockies, who ranks 10th in hits allowed per game. With a projected DFS value score of 3.5, Bregman stands out as an elite value pick for today’s slate, especially considering his reasonable DraftKings salary of $4800.
Rafael Devers ($5100), Red Sox – Projected 13.3 pts
Rafael Devers has been on a hot streak, with an impressive 8.3 DraftKings points per game in his last ten outings, showing a notable 20.5% increase from his previous set of games. His hitting has improved across the board, with significant increases in home runs, total bases, and runs scored. Facing a middle-ranked pitcher from the Cubs, Devers is poised to capitalize on his current form. His DraftKings salary of $5100 reflects his potential, and with a DFS value score of 2.6, he offers strong value in today’s fantasy lineup.
Daily Fantasy Sports: Shortstop Analysis
Jeremy Pena ($4600), Astros – Projected 14.6 pts
Despite Houston’s low rank in generating fantasy points, Jeremy Pena stands out as a beacon of potential. Over his last ten games, Pena has averaged 6.6 DraftKings points, showing a slight dip from his previous ten-game average of 8.11 points. This downturn is reflected across several metrics, including a significant drop in singles and runs scored. However, facing Cal Quantrill, who ranks 10th in hits allowed per game, Pena’s matchup looks favorable. His projected points for the upcoming slate are a robust 14.6, leading to a DFS value score of 3.2, categorizing him as an elite value pick at his position.
Corey Seager ($5800), Rangers – Projected 13.6 pts
Corey Seager’s recent performance might raise eyebrows among fantasy players, with a stark 63% decrease in DraftKings points per game over his last ten outings compared to the ten before that. His hits, total bases, and runs have all seen significant declines, painting a concerning picture. However, his upcoming game against Hunter Greene, who is 13th in hits allowed per game, might offer some redemption. Despite the recent slump, Seager’s projected points sit at 13.6, and his DFS value score is 2.3, making him a core value player who might still hold some upside in this matchup.
Top Catchers to Watch in Today’s DFS Slate
Yainer Diaz ($4700), Astros – Projected 14.9 pts
Yainer Diaz has shown fluctuating performance in recent games, but his upcoming matchup against Cal Quantrill of the Rockies, who ranks 10th in hits allowed per game, presents a favorable scenario. Over the last ten games, Diaz’s output has dipped to an average of 4.2 DraftKings points from a previous 9.11, reflecting a significant -53.9% change. Despite this downturn, his projected points stand at an impressive 14.9. Given his DraftKings salary of $4700 and a DFS value score of 3.2, Diaz emerges as an elite value pick, potentially offering substantial returns against a pitcher prone to allowing hits.
Ryan Jeffers ($4000), Twins – Projected 11.9 pts
Ryan Jeffers, priced at a modest $4000 on DraftKings, is another catcher who deserves attention. Facing Jose Soriano of the Angels, who is ranked 21st in hits allowed per game, Jeffers has a promising setup to improve on his recent performances. His last ten games have seen a decrease in productivity, averaging 6.3 points compared to a previous 9.56, a -34.1% drop. However, his projected DFS points are set at 11.9, and with a DFS value score of 3.0, Jeffers stands out as a strong value play. His ability to capitalize on Soriano’s vulnerability could be key in today’s fantasy outcomes.
Top Outfielder Picks for Today’s DFS Lineup
Yordan Alvarez ($5500), Astros – Projected 18.9 pts
Yordan Alvarez, despite a recent dip in his performance metrics, presents an intriguing option in today’s DFS slate. Over the last 10 games, Alvarez has seen a significant decrease in production, with his DraftKings points per game dropping by 66.5% to 4.8 from a robust 14.33 in the previous set of 10 games. Similarly, his FanDuel points have decreased by 67.7%. His hits and home runs per game have also seen substantial declines. However, facing Cal Quantrill, who ranks 10th in hits allowed per game, might just be the matchup Alvarez needs to bounce back. With a projected DFS value score of 3.4, Alvarez stands out as an elite value pick today.
Kyle Tucker ($5800), Astros – Projected 18.8 pts
Kyle Tucker, on the other hand, has been on an upward trajectory. Over his last 10 games, Tucker has averaged 10.1 DraftKings points per game, marking a 35.8% increase from his previous 10-game stretch. His performance on FanDuel has similarly improved by 36.3%. Notably, his doubles per game have increased dramatically by 172.7%, and his walks per game have mirrored this increase. Despite facing the same pitcher as Alvarez, Tucker’s recent form suggests he can exploit this matchup effectively. With a DFS value score of 3.2, Tucker also represents an elite value, making him a compelling choice for today’s fantasy lineups.
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