Strategy and Stats for 05/12/24 Daily Fantasy MLB Slate

Today’s MLB fantasy slate is brimming with excitement as we gear up for 15 games, kicking off at 1:35 PM EST. All eyes are on the Texas Rangers and Colorado Rockies, who are set to clash at Coors Field at 3:10 PM EST. With an Over/Under set at a whopping 11.0, fantasy players can anticipate a scoring extravaganza, making it a critical game for those looking to maximize their points. As you set your lineups, consider the top projected players across the board—from power hitters to ace pitchers. Stay tuned as we break down each game, providing you with the insights needed to dominate today’s fantasy baseball landscape.

Top 1B Picks for Today’s MLB Slate

Matt Olson ($9200), Braves – Projected 13.0 pts

Despite Atlanta’s low ranking in generating fantasy points, Matt Olson has shown a notable improvement in his performance over the last 10 games. With an average of 4.2 DraftKings points recently, Olson’s stats have seen an uptick, particularly in hits per game, which have increased by 127.3%. However, his DFS value score of 1.4 suggests caution. Facing Luis Severino, who ranks 25th in hits allowed per game, might not be enough to justify his high salary in today’s lineup.

Josh Naylor ($5300), Indians – Projected 12.4 pts

Josh Naylor emerges as a strong value pick for today’s games. Averaging 8.9 DraftKings points in his last 10 games, Naylor has shown significant improvement, with a 19.6% increase in DraftKings points and a 60.7% increase in hits per game. His performance against Mike Soroka, who is 11th in hits allowed per game, positions him well to potentially exceed expectations. With a DFS value score of 2.3, Naylor offers a solid core value at a much more affordable salary compared to Olson.

Daily Fantasy Sports: Second Base Analysis

Marcus Semien ($9800), Texas Rangers – Projected 14.5 pts

Marcus Semien has shown a remarkable improvement in his performance over the last ten games, making him a player to watch in today’s DFS slate. With an average of 10.8 DraftKings points in recent games, Semien has more than doubled his output from the previous set of ten games, where he averaged just 5.11 points. His hitting has been particularly impressive, with a 138.8% increase in hits per game. However, despite these strong numbers, his high DraftKings salary of $9800 and a projected point total of 14.5 result in a DFS value score of 1.5, indicating a less favorable value for today’s matchup against Ty Blach of the Rockies. Fantasy players should weigh his recent upswing against his high cost and moderate projected points.

Edouard Julien ($4500), Minnesota Twins – Projected 13.8 pts

Edouard Julien presents an intriguing option for DFS players today, especially considering his affordable DraftKings salary of $4500. Over the last ten games, Julien has averaged 5.8 points on DraftKings, a significant drop from his previous ten-game average of 10.56 points. Despite this decline, his projected points stand at 13.8 for today’s game, driven by a favorable matchup against Alek Manoah of the Blue Jays, who ranks #2 in hits allowed per game. Julien’s DFS value score is 3.1, categorizing him as an elite value pick for today’s slate. His lower salary and strong projected output make him a potentially valuable addition to DFS lineups.

Top Third Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Lineup

Jose Ramirez ($6200), Cleveland – Projected 14.3 pts

Jose Ramirez continues to be a pivotal player for Cleveland, especially in daily fantasy sports. Over his last ten games, Ramirez has maintained a steady performance with an average of 9.7 DraftKings points per game, showing a slight increase from his previous set of ten games. His matchup against Mike Soroka, who ranks 11th in hits allowed per game, positions him well to exploit these stats. Despite a slight decrease in hits and singles, Ramirez has increased his home run rate by a staggering 81.8%, boosting his total bases by 11.1%. This power-hitting improvement is crucial for today’s game. With a DraftKings salary of $6200 and a projected point total of 14.3, Ramirez offers a 2.3 DFS value score, making him a core value pick in today’s lineup.

Austin Riley ($8600), Atlanta – Projected 11.9 pts

Austin Riley, priced at a premium $8600 on DraftKings, has shown significant improvement in his recent performances. Over the last ten games, Riley has averaged 7.0 DraftKings points per game, a remarkable 117.4% increase from his previous ten games. His hits have tripled, and his singles have more than quadrupled, indicating a strong uptick in his batting consistency. Despite these gains, his high salary and a projected point total of 11.9 translate to a 1.4 DFS value score. This positions Riley as a risky choice, given his high cost and relative performance. Facing Luis Severino, who ranks 25th in hits allowed per game, might not be enough to justify the investment today.

Daily Fantasy Sports Analysis: Shortstops Spotlight

Corey Seager ($9400), Texas Rangers – Projected 14.0 pts

Corey Seager has shown significant improvement in his recent performances, which is evident from his increased fantasy points and hitting metrics. Over the last ten games, Seager has averaged 7.8 DraftKings points per game, a substantial rise from the 3.11 points in the previous ten-game stretch. This 150.8% increase showcases his upward trend. Despite his high salary, Seager’s matchup against Ty Blach, who ranks #15 in hits allowed per game, positions him as a potentially lucrative play. However, his DFS Value Score of 1.5 suggests caution, as it indicates less than optimal value for his high cost.

Mookie Betts ($6400), Los Angeles Dodgers – Projected 13.2 pts

Mookie Betts, traditionally known for his consistent performance, has seen a dip in his recent outings. His last ten games have yielded an average of only 5.2 DraftKings points, a stark contrast to the 13.44 points from the earlier set of games. This represents a decrease of 61.3%. Despite the recent slump, Betts faces Yu Darvish, who is not among the stingiest in terms of hits allowed, potentially offering a chance for Betts to bounce back. His current DFS Value Score is 2.1, placing him in the core value category, which might appeal to those looking for a potentially undervalued player who could exceed expectations.

Daily Fantasy Sports: Catcher Insights

William Contreras ($5700), Brewers – Projected 11.8 pts

William Contreras has shown a notable uptick in his performance over the last ten games, averaging 10.1 DraftKings points, a 19.7% increase from his previous ten-game stretch. His consistent hitting, evidenced by an average of 1.2 hits per game recently, and an impressive 42.9% increase in walks per game, positions him as a viable option against Miles Mikolas of the Cardinals. Mikolas, ranking fourth in hits allowed per game, could be an advantageous matchup for Contreras. With a 2.1 DFS value score, he stands as a core value pick in today’s slate.

Willson Contreras ($5300), Cardinals – Projected 11.8 pts

Willson Contreras, despite a slight decrease in his recent performance metrics, still holds potential for today’s game. His DraftKings points have dipped by 7.8% in the last ten games compared to the ten before that, but his ability to hit home runs has improved by 81.8%. Facing Bryse Wilson of the Brewers, who ranks 28th in hits allowed per game, could provide Willson with opportunities to capitalize on. With a 2.2 DFS value score, he is also categorized as a core value player, making him a solid consideration for DFS lineups.

Top Outfielder Picks for Today’s MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

Ronald Acuna Jr. ($10000), Braves – Projected 14.3 pts

Ronald Acuna Jr. continues to be a standout player for the Braves, though his recent performance shows a slight dip in productivity. Over his last ten games, Acuna has averaged 8.7 DraftKings points, a minor decrease from his previous ten-game average of 9.0 points. Despite this, his ability to generate hits has improved, with a 28.2% increase in hits per game recently. However, his walks have significantly decreased by 66.3%, which could impact his on-base potential. Facing Luis Severino, who ranks 25th in hits allowed per game, might provide Acuna with opportunities to capitalize, but his high DraftKings salary of $10000 and a DFS value score of 1.4 suggest he might not be the best value pick today.

Aaron Judge ($6000), Yankees – Projected 14.0 pts

Aaron Judge of the Yankees presents a more intriguing option in today’s DFS lineup. With an average of 11.0 DraftKings points over his last ten games—an 11.2% increase from his previous ten games—Judge is showing signs of robust performance. His ability to secure doubles has impressively increased by 263.6%, and his overall runs scored have gone up by 42.9%. Facing Tyler Alexander, who is 10th in hits allowed per game, could be advantageous for Judge. Given his more affordable DraftKings salary of $6000 and a DFS value score of 2.3, Judge offers strong potential for today’s fantasy lineups.