Strategy and Stats for 08/07/24 MLB Daily Fantasy Slate: Optimize Your Lineup

Today’s MLB fantasy slate is packed with action as 17 games kick off, starting at 1:10 PM EST, promising a full day of baseball excitement. Highlighting the day, the New York Mets will clash with the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field, where the first pitch is slated for 8:40 PM EST. With an Over/Under set at a whopping 11.0, this game is expected to be a treasure trove for fantasy players, featuring potentially high-scoring affairs and standout performances. As fantasy managers scramble to adjust their lineups, key players at each position are poised to make significant impacts, backed by compelling stats that promise to elevate their fantasy scores. Stay tuned as we delve deeper into each game, providing you with expert analysis and strategic insights to dominate your fantasy leagues.

GameTime Away Team Home Team O/U Fav
1:10 PM EST Diamondbacks 61-52 Guardians 66-45 8.0 CLE -118
2:20 PM EST Twins 62-49 Cubs 56-60 7.0 MIN -139
2:35 PM EST Astros 58-55 Rangers 54-60 9.0 HOU -120
3:37 PM EST White Sox 28-88 Athletics 47-68 8.5 OAK -220
4:05 PM EST Angels 49-63 Yankees 65-46 9.0 NYY -250
4:15 PM EST Diamondbacks 61-52 Guardians 66-45 8.0 CLE -118
6:40 PM EST Reds 55-58 Marlins 42-72 8.5 CIN -148
6:40 PM EST Padres 62-52 Pirates 56-56 8.0 SD -147
6:45 PM EST Giants 57-58 Nationals 52-62 8.0 SF -158
7:07 PM EST Orioles 66-46 Blue Jays 51-60 5.0 BAL -152
7:10 PM EST Angels 49-63 Yankees 65-46 9.0 NYY -250
7:20 PM EST Brewers 63-49 Braves 60-52 4.0 ATL -160
7:45 PM EST Rays 57-54 Cardinals 58-55 7.5 STL -117
8:10 PM EST Red Sox 61-50 Royals 63-51 8.5 KC -150
8:40 PM EST Mets 59-54 Rockies 42-71 11.0 NYM -165
9:40 PM EST Tigers 53-60 Mariners 59-54 6.5 SEA -136
10:10 PM EST Phillies 66-46 Dodgers 66-48 9.0 LAD -136

Top 1B Picks for Today’s MLB Slate

Pete Alonso ($5600), Mets – Projected 14.7 pts

Pete Alonso has been showing a notable uptick in his performance over the last ten games, making him a compelling pick for today’s DFS lineup. With an average of 9.2 DraftKings points recently, up from 7.0 in his previous ten games, Alonso’s improvement is evident. His power hitting is particularly impressive, with a 172.7% increase in home runs per game and a 45.8% increase in total bases. Facing Ryan Feltner, who ranks poorly in hits allowed per game, Alonso’s matchup looks favorable. His DFS value score of 2.6 indicates strong value at his current salary.

Bryce Harper ($5700), Phillies – Projected 12.5 pts

Bryce Harper, on the other hand, has seen a decline in his recent performances, with his DraftKings points dropping to 6.0 from 10.56 in the previous set of ten games. This downturn is reflected across several metrics, including a significant -74.4% decrease in runs per game and a -39.4% drop in home runs per game. Despite facing a pitcher from the Dodgers who has a high rank for hits allowed per game, Harper’s current form suggests caution. His DFS value score of 2.2 positions him as a core value pick, which might require careful consideration given his recent slump.

Top Second Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Brandon Lowe ($4600), Tampa Bay Rays – Projected 11.2 pts

Brandon Lowe has shown a significant uptick in his performance over the last ten games, making him a noteworthy pick for today’s daily fantasy sports lineup. With an average of 11.9 DraftKings points per game recently, Lowe’s output has surged by 75.5% compared to his previous ten games. This spike is backed by a solid increase in total bases per game from 1.67 to 2.8, and a consistent showing in home runs. Facing Erick Fedde, who ranks poorly in hits allowed, Lowe’s matchup looks favorable. His DFS value score stands at 2.4, positioning him as a core value play at second base today.

Brendan Rodgers ($3800), Colorado Rockies – Projected 11.1 pts

Despite the Rockies’ lower overall ranking in generating fantasy points, Brendan Rodgers presents a strong value proposition for today’s games. Over his last ten outings, Rodgers has averaged 6.9 DraftKings points per game, a 10.9% increase from his earlier performances. Notably, his hits per game have risen by 49.3%, and while his home run rate has slightly decreased, his consistency in other areas like doubles and walks has improved. Facing Paul Blackburn, who also has a high rate of hits allowed, Rodgers could capitalize well in today’s matchup. His DFS value score of 2.9 categorizes him as having strong value today.

Top Third Basemen Picks for Today’s MLB Slate

Austin Riley ($5200), Atlanta Braves – Projected 12.0 pts

Austin Riley has been a consistent performer for the Braves, especially in his recent outings. Over the last ten games, Riley has seen a significant uptick in his performance metrics compared to the previous ten-game stretch. His DraftKings points per game have increased by 32.6%, showcasing his rising form. Notably, his singles per game have more than doubled, indicating more frequent contact with the ball. Facing Freddy Peralta, who has a high rate of hits allowed per game, Riley’s prospects look promising. With a DraftKings salary of $5200 and a projected point total of 12.0, Riley holds a 2.3 DFS value score, making him a solid core value pick for today’s fantasy lineup.

Ryan McMahon ($4400), Colorado Rockies – Projected 11.3 pts

Ryan McMahon, on the other hand, has experienced a dip in his recent performance metrics. His DraftKings points per game have decreased by 32.1%, and his hits per game have drastically reduced by over 70%. Despite these challenges, McMahon’s upcoming matchup against Paul Blackburn, who also allows a high number of hits per game, might offer him a chance to bounce back. With a lower DraftKings salary of $4400 and a projected point total of 11.3, McMahon’s DFS value score is a 2.6. This positions him as a strong value pick, potentially offering good returns for fantasy managers willing to bet on his recovery.

Top Shortstop Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Francisco Lindor ($6100), Mets – Projected 16.5 pts

Francisco Lindor’s recent performance might raise eyebrows, but a deeper dive into his matchup today suggests a potential rebound. Facing Ryan Feltner, who ranks #188 in hits allowed per game, Lindor’s opportunities at the plate look promising. Despite a significant drop in his DraftKings points per game from 17.56 to 6.0, his projected points today stand at a robust 16.5. This positions him with a DFS value score of 2.7, marking him as a strong value pick for today’s games. His consistency in singles and a favorable matchup could be key factors in exceeding his recent fantasy outputs.

Bobby Witt Jr. ($6500), Royals – Projected 13.0 pts

Bobby Witt Jr. presents an intriguing case for today’s DFS slate. Despite a slight downturn in his last 10 games, averaging 12.5 DraftKings points compared to 15.33 in the previous set, Witt Jr. remains a solid choice. His matchup against Kutter Crawford, who has a high rank of #466 in hits allowed per game, might just be the leverage Witt Jr. needs. With a DFS value score of 2.0, he stands as a core value player. His ability to contribute across multiple categories, including a notable increase in walks and consistent run production, underscores his potential to be a pivotal player in today’s lineup.

Catcher Position DFS Analysis

Adley Rutschman ($5300), Orioles – Projected 11.5 pts

Adley Rutschman, the Orioles’ talented catcher, has been showing consistent performance in his recent games. Over the last ten games, Rutschman has averaged 5.5 DraftKings points per game, slightly down from his previous set of ten games. Despite a minor dip in his hitting metrics, including a significant 100% drop in home runs per game, his overall contribution remains solid. Facing Bowden Francis of the Blue Jays, who ranks relatively low in hits allowed, Rutschman has a favorable matchup. His projected DFS value score stands at 2.2, categorizing him as a core value pick for the upcoming slate. His DraftKings salary of $5300 reflects a fair investment considering his potential to exploit the pitching matchup.

Alejandro Kirk ($3000), Blue Jays – Projected 10.7 pts

Alejandro Kirk of the Blue Jays presents an intriguing option in daily fantasy sports. With a DraftKings salary of just $3000, Kirk has been outperforming expectations, averaging 7.0 points over his last ten games. Although there’s a noticeable decline in his performance compared to the previous ten games, particularly in doubles and runs scored, his matchup against Trevor Rogers of the Orioles could be advantageous. Rogers has been vulnerable, allowing a significant number of hits per game. Kirk’s projected DFS value score is 3.6, marking him as an elite value pick for DFS players looking for high upside at a lower cost.

Top Outfielder Picks for Today’s MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

Brandon Nimmo ($5500), Mets – Projected 14.7 pts

Brandon Nimmo has shown a notable uptick in his performance, making him a compelling pick for today’s DFS lineup. Over the last ten games, Nimmo has averaged 6.5 DraftKings points, a significant improvement from his previous ten-game average of 4.67 points. This 39.2% increase in fantasy output is bolstered by his improved hitting, with a 60.7% increase in hits per game. Facing Ryan Feltner, who ranks poorly in hits allowed, Nimmo’s matchup looks favorable. His DraftKings salary stands at $5500 with a projected point total of 14.7, giving him a DFS value score of 2.7, indicating strong value.

Kyle Schwarber ($5600), Phillies – Projected 13.9 pts

Kyle Schwarber is another standout in today’s outfield selections, especially considering his explosive increase in performance metrics. Schwarber’s recent ten games have seen him average 15.0 DraftKings points, a dramatic rise from 6.44 points in the prior set of games. This 132.9% surge is supported by a substantial increase in total bases per game, up by 220%. Schwarber’s ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities is evident, and with a matchup against the Dodgers’ pitching, which has been less effective at limiting hits, he is poised to excel. With a DraftKings salary of $5600 and a projected point total of 13.9, Schwarber offers a DFS value score of 2.5, marking him as a core value pick.

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