Strategy and Stats for 08/10/24 MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

Today’s MLB fantasy landscape is bustling with excitement as 16 games kick off, starting at 1:05 PM EST, promising a full day of baseball action. Fantasy managers should particularly note the Atlanta Braves’ visit to Coors Field for an 8:10 PM EST clash with the Colorado Rockies. With an Over/Under set at a whopping 10.5, this game is expected to be a treasure trove of hitting performances, making it a pivotal focus for those looking to maximize their fantasy scores. As we dive into today’s slate, we’ll break down top projected players at each position, leveraging recent stats and player trends to guide your lineup decisions. Stay tuned as we explore strategic insights that could be the key to dominating today’s fantasy baseball contests.

Top 1B Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Matt Olson ($5300), Braves – Projected 16.0 pts

Matt Olson has been a beacon of consistency for the Braves, and his recent performances suggest he’s heating up at just the right time. Over the last ten games, Olson has seen a significant uptick in his fantasy output, averaging 8.4 DraftKings points per game, a sharp increase of 42.6% compared to his previous ten-game stretch. His matchup against Dakota Hudson of the Rockies, who ranks 186th in hits allowed per game, positions Olson for a potentially lucrative day. With a DraftKings salary of $5300 and a projected point total of 16.0, Olson represents an 3.0 DFS value score, categorizing him as an elite value pick for today’s slate.

Luis Arraez ($4400), Padres – Projected 11.9 pts

Luis Arraez, while not as explosive as Olson, offers solid value in today’s DFS lineup. Despite a recent dip in his performance metrics—showing a 34.8% decrease in DraftKings points per game over his last ten games—Arraez’s ability to consistently get on base makes him a reliable option. His matchup details are unclear due to the unspecified opposing pitcher, which could be a variable to watch. However, with a DraftKings salary of $4400 and a projected point total of 11.9, Arraez holds a 2.7 DFS value score, making him a strong value play for those looking to balance cost with potential output.

Top Second Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Jose Altuve ($5400), Astros – Projected 13.6 pts

Jose Altuve’s recent performance has shown a notable uptick, making him a compelling choice in today’s DFS lineup. Over the last ten games, Altuve has managed an average of 6.4 DraftKings points, a 15.1% increase from his previous ten-game stretch. His FanDuel points have surged by 28.7%, highlighting his rising form. Despite a slight dip in hits and total bases, his walk rate has impressively increased by 536.4%, contributing significantly to his on-base percentage. Facing Josh Winckowski, who ranks poorly in hits allowed per game, Altuve’s matchup looks favorable. With a DraftKings salary of $5400 and a projected point total leading to a DFS value score of 2.5, he stands out as a strong value pick today.

Marcus Semien ($8200), Rangers – Projected 12.7 pts

Marcus Semien, despite his higher DraftKings salary of $8200, presents a more challenging value proposition. His performance metrics over the last ten games have seen a decline compared to the previous set, with DraftKings points dropping by 29.0% and FanDuel points by 29.8%. His hits and total bases have decreased, and his run production has significantly dropped by 66.3%. These factors contribute to a lower DFS value score of 1.5. While Semien is undoubtedly a talented player, his current form and high salary may not provide the best value in today’s DFS contests.

Top Third Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Rafael Devers ($5800), Red Sox – Projected 14.5 pts

Rafael Devers continues to be a pivotal player for the Red Sox and a strong pick in daily fantasy sports. Over his last ten games, Devers has shown a notable uptick in performance, averaging 11.0 DraftKings points per game, up from 8.67 in the previous set of ten games. This 26.9% increase is bolstered by his improved hitting, including a significant rise in home runs and doubles. Facing a Houston team that ranks poorly in hits allowed per game, Devers is poised to exploit these weaknesses. With a DraftKings salary of $5800 and a projected point total of 14.5, Devers offers 2.5 DFS value score, making him a strong value for today’s games.

Austin Riley ($5600), Braves – Projected 14.2 pts

Austin Riley of the Braves presents an exciting opportunity in today’s DFS contests. Riley has been on a tear in his recent performances, averaging 11.5 DraftKings points over his last ten games, a dramatic increase from 6.11 points in the earlier games. His hitting stats have seen a remarkable improvement, with a 105.1% increase in hits per game. Facing Dakota Hudson of the Rockies, who has been generous in allowing hits, Riley is well-positioned to capitalize. With a DraftKings salary of $5600 and a projected point total of 14.2, Riley also stands out with a 2.5 DFS value score, indicating strong value for today’s slate.

Daily Fantasy Sports: Shortstop Analysis

Bobby Witt Jr. ($6400), Royals – Projected 15.4 pts

Bobby Witt Jr. has shown a mix of ups and downs in his recent performances for the Kansas City Royals. Over the last ten games, Witt Jr. has averaged 12.8 DraftKings points, a slight decrease from his previous 14.56 points per game. Despite this dip, his ability to adapt and score has been evident, particularly with a significant increase in walks per game, up by 127.3%. His hits and total bases have seen a decline, but his consistency in home runs per game has improved, showing a 36.4% increase. Facing a pitcher from STL who ranks #281 in hits allowed per game, Witt Jr.’s matchup looks favorable. With a DraftKings salary of $6400 and a projected point total of 15.4, his DFS value score stands at 2.4, marking him as a core value pick for today’s slate.

Corey Seager ($8400), Rangers – Projected 13.6 pts

Corey Seager of the Texas Rangers has been on a notable upward trajectory in his recent performances. His DraftKings points per game have surged by 50.5% to 10.7 from a previous 7.11. This increase is supported by a dramatic rise in home run frequency, which has skyrocketed by 354.5%. Additionally, Seager’s total bases per game have nearly doubled, indicating a strong hitting phase. However, his walks have decreased significantly, which might concern some fantasy managers. Despite these impressive stats, his high DraftKings salary of $8400 paired with a projected point total of 13.6 results in a DFS value score of 1.6. This positions him as a risky choice, potentially not offering the best value for today’s games.

Top Catcher Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Logan O’Hoppe ($8200), Angels – Projected 12.0 pts

Logan O’Hoppe, despite his high DraftKings salary, has shown a slight dip in his performance over the last ten games, averaging 5.2 daily fantasy points compared to 5.89 in the previous set of games. His hitting metrics have notably declined, with a -45.9% decrease in hits per game and a significant -64.0% drop in singles per game. However, facing Patrick Corbin, who ranks poorly in hits allowed, might offer O’Hoppe an opportunity to improve. Despite this, his current DFS value score stands at 1.5, indicating a potentially risky investment for today’s slate.

Travis d’Arnaud ($4500), Braves – Projected 11.8 pts

Travis d’Arnaud presents a compelling case for inclusion in today’s DFS lineups, especially considering his affordable DraftKings salary. Over his last ten games, d’Arnaud has significantly improved, posting an average of 6.6 daily fantasy points—a stark increase of 128.4% from his earlier performances. His hits have increased by 49.3%, and his total bases jumped by an impressive 105.1%. Facing Dakota Hudson, who has a high rate of hits allowed, d’Arnaud could potentially exploit this matchup. His DFS value score is 2.6, marking him as a core value pick for today.

Top Outfielder Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Marcell Ozuna ($6000), Braves – Projected 15.2 pts

Marcell Ozuna of the Atlanta Braves is a player to watch in today’s DFS lineup. With a DraftKings salary of $6000, Ozuna’s recent performance shows a slight dip compared to his previous games, with a decrease in most statistical categories including hits, home runs, and walks. Despite this, facing Dakota Hudson of the Rockies—who ranks 186th in hits allowed per game—could be a turning point for Ozuna. His current 2.5 DFS value score suggests he holds strong value, making him a potentially strategic pick given his projected points of 15.2. The matchup against a weaker pitcher could offer Ozuna the chance to capitalize and exceed expectations.

Yordan Alvarez ($5900), Astros – Projected 14.8 pts

Yordan Alvarez from the Houston Astros presents an intriguing option for DFS players today. With a DraftKings salary of $5900, Alvarez has shown an impressive uptick in his performance metrics, notably in singles, home runs, and runs scored, indicating a positive trend. Facing Josh Winckowski of the Red Sox, who ranks 275th in hits allowed per game, Alvarez could exploit this matchup to his advantage. His 2.5 DFS value score positions him as a strong value pick, especially with a projected 14.8 points. Alvarez’s recent form and favorable opposition pitcher make him a compelling choice for today’s fantasy rosters.