Dolphins vs Texans Game Breakdown

Miami Dolphins

Dolphins

6W-8L

Dolphins

12/15/24

01:00 PM

Odds: 44.5 o/u

Texans

9W-5L

Houston Texans
Houston Texans

Get ready for a showdown in Space City as the 6-8 Miami Dolphins splash into NRG Stadium to battle the 9-5 Houston Texans this Sunday at 1 PM! With the stakes as high as the humidity, today’s clash promises some serious gridiron action. The Dolphins, fresh off a game where tight end Jonnu Smith hauled in a touchdown and racked up 48 receiving yards, are looking to make waves against a Texans squad led by wide receiver Nico Collins, who snagged two touchdowns last week. The over/under teeters at 44.5, hinting at a potentially high-scoring affair under the misty skies of Houston, where the temperature is a balmy 74° with winds gently pushing from the SSE. As both teams dive and gallop into today’s game, it’s clear that the battle at NRG will be less about taming the wild and more about harnessing the energy—may the best marine or machine win!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: 12/15/24 01:00 PM
Location: NRG Stadium , Houston
Weather: Mist with winds from the SSE at 8.3 mph. Temperature is at 74° with 83% humidity.

Vegas Odds

MIA ML HOU ML Over/Under Line
Open +128.0 +152.0 44.5 2.5/3.5
Recent +128.0 +152.0 44.5 2.5/3.5
Difference 0 0 0

Dolphins Odd Projections

43.9% Win Probability

Texans Odd Projections

56.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Runs O/U O/U DIFF ATS
2024-12-15 Dolphins Dolphins 12 Under -12.5
Texans Texans 20
2022-11-27 Texans Texans 30 Over +0.5
Dolphins Dolphins 15
2021-11-07 Texans Texans 17 Under -18.5
Dolphins Dolphins 9

Dolphins Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result PassYd RushYd O/U
2024-12-15 HOU 12-20L 196 52 Under
2024-12-08 NYJ 32-26W 331 44 Over
2024-11-28 GB 17-30L 365 39 Over
2024-11-24 NE 34-15W 317 65 Over
2024-11-17 LV 34-19W 288 82 Over
2024-11-11 LA 23-15W 207 67 Under
2024-11-03 BUF 27-30L 231 149 Over
2024-10-27 ARI 27-28L 234 150 Over
2024-10-20 IND 10-16L 161 188 Under
2024-10-06 NE 15-10W 194 193 Under
2024-09-30 TEN 12-31L 96 106 Under
2024-09-22 SEA 3-24L 186 65 Under
2024-09-12 BUF 10-31L 225 139 Under
2024-09-08 JAX 20-17W 338 81 Under

Texans Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result PassYd RushYd O/U
2024-12-15 MIA 20-12W 131 77 Under
2024-12-01 JAX 23-20W 242 108 Under
2024-11-24 TEN 27-32L 247 40 Over
2024-11-18 DAL 34-10W 257 141 Under
2024-11-10 DET 23-26L 232 56 Over
2024-10-31 NYJ 13-21L 191 187 Under
2024-10-27 IND 23-20W 285 96 Under
2024-10-20 GB 22-24L 86 142 Over
2024-10-13 NE 41-21W 192 192 Over
2024-10-06 BUF 23-20W 331 94 Under
2024-09-29 JAX 24-20W 345 101 Under
2024-09-22 MIN 7-34L 307 38 Under
2024-09-15 CHI 19-13W 260 75 Under
2024-09-08 IND 29-27W 234 213 Over

Dolphins Vs Over/Under

Texans Vs Over/Under

Team’s Player Projections

Miami Dolphins DK FD PassYd PassTD RushYd RecYd Rec TD
Tua Tagovailoa 19.5 19.5 268.4 1.9 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
De’Von Achane 18.9 18.9 0.0 0.0 45.1 35.7 4.7 0.8
Tyreek Hill 17.8 17.8 0.0 0.0 5.0 73.0 6.2 0.5
Jaylen Waddle 14.9 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 70.6 5.4 0.2
Jonnu Smith 11.5 11.5 0.0 0.0 -0.1 48.9 4.3 0.4
Miami Dolphins 6.8 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jaylen Wright 5.9 5.9 0.0 0.0 48.9 1.6 0.6 0.0
Raheem Mostert 4.4 4.4 0.0 0.0 17.1 8.5 0.9 0.1
Malik Washington 4.3 4.3 0.0 0.0 6.5 9.8 1.8 0.2
Julian Hill 2.3 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.5 1.3 0.0
Houston Texans DK FD PassYd PassTD RushYd RecYd Rec TD
Nico Collins 20.9 20.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 107.4 6.3 0.5
Joe Mixon 20.3 20.3 0.0 0.0 82.9 22.8 2.5 1.1
C.J. Stroud 20.3 20.3 310.7 1.5 19.8 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tank Dell 10.7 10.7 0.0 0.0 2.7 52.8 4.2 0.2
Dalton Schultz 9.9 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 46.1 4.5 0.1
Houston Texans 7.2 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
John Metchie III 5.9 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.4 2.1 0.1
Irv Smith Jr. 2.4 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Dare Ogunbowale 1.9 1.9 0.0 0.0 2.7 6.5 0.6 0.0
Robert Woods 1.9 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1 0.9 0.0

Dolphins Notable Injuries

  • Tanner ConnerOUT (knee)
    Last Game: 2024-11-11 – 0.7 fpts avg over last 5 games
  • Grant DuBoseQUESTIONABLE (head)
    Last Game: 2024-09-12 – 1.1 fpts avg over last 5 games
  • D’Wayne EskridgeQUESTIONABLE (knee)
    Last Game: 2024-12-08 – 1.1 fpts avg over last 5 games
  • Tyreek HillQUESTIONABLE (wrist)
    Last Game: 2024-12-08 – 17.8 fpts avg over last 5 games
  • Tyler HuntleyOUT (shoulder)
    Last Game: 2024-10-20 – 11.3 fpts avg over last 5 games
  • Raheem MostertQUESTIONABLE (hip)
    Last Game: 2024-11-28 – 4.3 fpts avg over last 5 games
  • Jaylen WaddleQUESTIONABLE (knee)
    Last Game: 2024-12-08 – 14.2 fpts avg over last 5 games

Texans Notable Injuries

  • British BrooksOUT (knee)
    Last Game: 2024-09-29 – 0.1 fpts avg over last 5 games
  • Stefon DiggsOUT (knee)
    Last Game: 2024-10-27 – 14.5 fpts avg over last 5 games
  • Brevin JordanOUT (knee)
    Last Game: 2024-09-15 – 1.4 fpts avg over last 5 games
  • Cade StoverQUESTIONABLE (appendix)
    Last Game: 2024-12-01 – 3.5 fpts avg over last 5 games
Team Logo

Offense Team Comparison

Team Logo
Points Scored per Game
20.3
23.7
Passing Yards per Game
244.1
246.8
Rushing Yards per Game
105.2
114.1
Receiving Yards per Game
244.3
247.6
Receptions per Game
24.2
21.5
Fantasy Points per Game
85.9
84.6
Passing 40+ Yards per Game
0.2
0.5
Rushing 20+ Yards per Game
0.2
0.5
Team Logo

Defense Team Comparison

Team Logo
Penalties per Game
6.5
7.3
Interceptions per Game
0.5
1.2
Forced Fumbles per Game
0.5
0.7
Sacks per Game
1.8
3.2
Points Allowed per Game
22.5
22.2
Passing Yards Allowed per Game
226.2
220.6
Rushing Yards Allowed per Game
105.6
109.7
Receptions Allowed per Game
21.1
18.6
Passing TDs Allowed per Game
1.1
2.0
Rushing TDs Allowed per Game
0.9
0.5
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