Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Game Breakdown

Miami Dolphins

Dolphins

1W-3L

Dolphins

10/06/24

01:00 PM

Odds: 36.5 o/u

Patriots

1W-3L

New England Patriots
New England Patriots

It’s a clash of the underdogs at Gillette Stadium today as the 1W-3L Miami Dolphins swim up north to face the 1W-3L New England Patriots at 01:00 PM! Both teams are hungry for a win to turn their seasons around, making today’s game a must-watch. The stakes are high with the over/under tantalizingly set at 36.5, and the betting lines are buzzing—Dolphins at -104 and Patriots at -112. Last week, Miami’s Tyler Huntley hustled hard with 96 passing yards and a rushing touchdown, while New England’s Antonio Gibson turned heads with his dynamic 67 receiving yards. As the winds from the SE breeze through the partly cloudy skies, today’s game promises to be as heated as the 92% humidity forecast. So, as the Dolphins try to make a splash and the Patriots aim for a revolutionary win, let’s see which team will ride the wave of victory in this aquatic showdown!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: 10/06/24 01:00 PM
Location: Gillette Stadium , New England
Weather: Partly Cloudy with winds from the SE at 2.9 mph. Temperature is at 80° with 92% humidity.

Vegas Odds

MIA ML NE ML Over/Under Line
Open -104 -112 36.5 1.5/-1.5
Recent -104 -112 36.5 1.5/-1.5
Difference 0 0 0 –

Dolphins Odd Projections

51.0% Win Probability

Patriots Odd Projections

49.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Runs O/U O/U DIFF ATS
2023-10-29 Patriots Patriots 31 Over +11.5
Dolphins Dolphins 17
2023-09-17 Dolphins Dolphins 24 Over +4.5
Patriots Patriots 17
2023-01-01 Dolphins Dolphins 21 Over +7.5
Patriots Patriots 23
2022-09-11 Patriots Patriots 20 Under -9.5
Dolphins Dolphins 7
2022-01-09 Patriots Patriots 33 Over +20.5
Dolphins Dolphins 24
2021-09-12 Dolphins Dolphins 17 Under -3.5
Patriots Patriots 16

Dolphins Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result PassYd RushYd O/U
2024-09-30 TEN 12-31L 96 106 Over
2024-09-12 BUF 10-31L 225 139 Over
2024-09-12 BUF 10-31L 225 139 Over
2024-09-08 JAX 20-17W 338 81 Over
2024-01-13 KC 7-26L 199 76 Under
2023-12-31 BAL 19-56L 237 154 Over
2023-12-24 DAL 22-20W 293 91 Over
2023-12-17 NYJ 30-0W 228 77 Under
2023-12-11 TEN 27-28L 240 158 Over
2023-12-03 WAS 45-15W 283 123 Over
2023-11-24 NYJ 34-13W 243 167 Over
2023-11-19 LV 20-13W 325 99 Under
2023-11-05 KC 14-21L 193 117 Under
2023-10-29 NE 31-17W 324 78 Over
2023-10-22 PHI 17-31L 216 45 Over

Patriots Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result PassYd RushYd O/U
2024-09-29 SF 13-30L 168 73 Over
2024-09-19 NYJ 3-24L 120 78 Under
2024-09-19 NYJ 3-24L 120 78 Under
2024-09-15 SEA 20-23L 149 185 Over
2024-09-08 CIN 16-10W 121 170 Under
2023-12-31 BUF 21-27L 209 103 Over
2023-12-24 DEN 26-23W 256 59 Over
2023-12-17 KC 17-27L 180 52 Over
2023-12-07 PIT 21-18W 240 81 Over
2023-12-03 LAC 0-6L 141 148 Under
2023-11-26 NYG 7-10L 143 147 Under
2023-11-12 IND 6-10L 195 167 Under
2023-11-05 WAS 17-20L 220 107 Over
2023-10-29 MIA 17-31L 161 77 Over
2023-10-22 BUF 29-25W 272 96 Over

Dolphins Vs Over/Under

Patriots Vs Over/Under

Team’s Player Projections

Miami Dolphins DK FD PassYd PassTD RushYd RecYd Rec TD
De’Von Achane 15.4 15.4 0.0 0.0 57.3 30.0 3.5 0.6
Tyler Huntley 15.1 15.1 87.0 1.1 26.7 0.0 0.0 0.6
Tyreek Hill 15.0 15.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 72.0 5.0 0.5
Jaylen Waddle 11.2 11.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 57.5 4.2 0.2
Raheem Mostert 6.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 23.8 2.2 0.4 0.4
Jonnu Smith 4.5 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.0 1.9 0.1
Jaylen Wright 3.1 3.1 0.0 0.0 28.8 0.0 0.0 0.0
Odell Beckham Jr. 1.8 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.4 0.6 0.1
Durham Smythe 1.2 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3 0.6 0.0
Malik Washington 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.4 0.5 0.0
New England Patriots DK FD PassYd PassTD RushYd RecYd Rec TD
Jacoby Brissett 13.7 13.7 191.6 1.1 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
Rhamondre Stevenson 12.6 12.6 0.0 0.0 61.5 15.3 2.9 0.4
Antonio Gibson 9.4 9.4 0.0 0.0 24.7 24.5 3.0 0.2
Ja’Lynn Polk 8.8 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.4 3.7 0.4
Hunter Henry 6.7 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 25.6 2.6 0.3
DeMario Douglas 5.9 5.9 0.0 0.0 2.5 27.9 2.7 0.0
Kendrick Bourne 5.6 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 23.2 2.1 0.2
K.J. Osborn 4.6 4.6 -0.3 0.0 0.0 22.0 2.1 0.0
Austin Hooper 2.9 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.7 1.2 0.1
Tyquan Thornton 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 1.2 2.8 0.4 0.0

Dolphins Notable Injuries

  • Odell Beckham Jr. – OUT (undisclosed)
    Last Game: 2023-12-31 – 7.2 fpts avg over last 5 games
  • River Cracraft – OUT (upper body)
    Last Game: 2023-12-31 – 0.7 fpts avg over last 5 games
  • Grant DuBose – OUT (shoulder)
    Last Game: 2024-09-12 – 1.1 fpts avg over last 5 games
  • Raheem Mostert – QUESTIONABLE (chest)
    Last Game: 2024-09-08 – 13.9 fpts avg over last 5 games
  • Tua Tagovailoa – OUT (concussion)
    Last Game: 2024-09-12 – 14.7 fpts avg over last 5 games
  • Skylar Thompson – QUESTIONABLE (chest)
    Last Game: 2024-09-12 – 3.6 fpts avg over last 5 games
  • Jeff Wilson Jr. – QUESTIONABLE (knee)
    Last Game: 2024-09-30 – 3.1 fpts avg over last 5 games

Patriots Notable Injuries

  • Kendrick Bourne – OUT (knee)
    Last Game: 2023-10-29 – 13.9 fpts avg over last 5 games
  • Marcus Jones – QUESTIONABLE (groin)
    Last Game: 2023-10-15 – 2.9 fpts avg over last 5 games
Team Logo

Offense Team Comparison

Team Logo
Points Scored per Game
23.0
13.7
Passing Yards per Game
249.1
178.1
Rushing Yards per Game
119.6
102.9
Receiving Yards per Game
252.9
181.9
Receptions per Game
22.8
19.0
Fantasy Points per Game
88.2
63.7
Passing 40+ Yards per Game
0.7
0.2
Rushing 20+ Yards per Game
0.5
0.1
Team Logo

Defense Team Comparison

Team Logo
Penalties per Game
6.4
4.8
Interceptions per Game
0.7
0.6
Forced Fumbles per Game
0.8
0.9
Sacks per Game
2.8
2.1
Points Allowed per Game
22.8
21.4
Passing Yards Allowed per Game
205.8
247.4
Rushing Yards Allowed per Game
97.7
89.7
Receptions Allowed per Game
19.4
23.2
Passing TDs Allowed per Game
1.3
1.3
Rushing TDs Allowed per Game
1.0
0.8
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