Patriots vs Bills Game Breakdown
Patriots
3W-11L
12/22/24
04:25 PM
Odds: 46.5 o/u
Bills
11W-3L
Get ready to rumble at New Era Field as the struggling 3W-11L New England Patriots march into the lion’s den to face the roaring 11W-3L Buffalo Bills this chilly Sunday afternoon! With kickoff at 04:25 PM, the Patriots are looking to snatch a much-needed win under partly cloudy skies, brisk winds from the NNW, and a frosty 22° temperature. Despite their underdog status with a betting line at 750.0 against the Bills’ hefty -1200.0, New England’s QB Drake Maye, fresh off a 17.5 Fantasy point game, is set to sling it again after a 202-yard, 2-TD performance last week. Meanwhile, the Bills, riding high on QB Josh Allen’s stellar 41.3 Fantasy point explosion, are set to stampede after dismantling the Lions. With an over/under at 46.5, will today’s clash see the Patriots revolutionize their game, or will the Bills continue to charge towards victory? It’s a showdown where only the bravest will survive the Patriot-Bill brawl!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: 12/22/24 04:25 PM
Location: New Era Field , Buffalo
Weather: Partly Cloudy with winds from the NNW at 12.1 mph. Temperature is at 22° with 76% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| NE ML | BUF ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +750.0 | -1200.0 | 46.5 | 14.5/-14.5 |
| Recent | +750.0 | -1200.0 | 46.5 | 14.5/-14.5 |
| Difference | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Patriots Odd Projections
11.8% Win Probability
Bills Odd Projections
88.2% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-31 | Patriots Patriots | 21 | Over | +1.5 | |
| Bills Bills | 27 | ||||
| 2023-10-22 | Bills Bills | 29 | Over | +7.5 | |
| Patriots Patriots | 25 | ||||
| 2023-01-08 | Patriots Patriots | 23 | Over | +11.5 | |
| Bills Bills | 35 | ||||
| 2022-12-01 | Bills Bills | 10 | Under | -12.5 | |
| Patriots Patriots | 24 | ||||
| 2022-01-15 | Patriots Patriots | 17 | Over | +17.5 | |
| Bills Bills | 47 | ||||
| 2021-12-26 | Bills Bills | 21 | Over | +7.5 | |
| Patriots Patriots | 33 | ||||
| 2021-12-06 | Patriots Patriots | 14 | Under | -22.5 | |
| Bills Bills | 10 |
Patriots Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | PassYd | RushYd | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-15 | ARI | 17-30L | 202 | 116 | Over |
| 2024-12-01 | IND | 24-25L | 238 | 200 | Over |
| 2024-11-24 | MIA | 15-34L | 222 | 86 | Over |
| 2024-11-17 | LA | 22-28L | 282 | 125 | Over |
| 2024-11-10 | CHI | 19-3W | 184 | 144 | Under |
| 2024-11-03 | TEN | 17-20L | 206 | 110 | Under |
| 2024-10-27 | NYJ | 25-22W | 155 | 111 | Over |
| 2024-10-20 | JAX | 16-32L | 276 | 38 | Over |
| 2024-10-13 | HOU | 21-41L | 243 | 82 | Over |
| 2024-10-06 | MIA | 10-15L | 160 | 151 | Under |
| 2024-09-29 | SF | 13-30L | 168 | 73 | Under |
| 2024-09-19 | NYJ | 3-24L | 120 | 78 | Under |
| 2024-09-15 | SEA | 20-23L | 149 | 185 | Under |
| 2024-09-08 | CIN | 16-10W | 121 | 170 | Under |
Bills Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | PassYd | RushYd | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-15 | DET | 48-42W | 362 | 197 | Over |
| 2024-12-08 | LA | 42-44L | 342 | 103 | Over |
| 2024-12-01 | SF | 35-10W | 152 | 220 | Under |
| 2024-11-17 | KC | 30-21W | 262 | 104 | Over |
| 2024-11-10 | IND | 30-20W | 280 | 135 | Over |
| 2024-11-03 | MIA | 30-27W | 235 | 94 | Over |
| 2024-10-27 | SEA | 31-10W | 283 | 164 | Under |
| 2024-10-20 | TEN | 34-10W | 323 | 74 | Under |
| 2024-10-14 | NYJ | 23-20W | 215 | 149 | Under |
| 2024-10-06 | HOU | 20-23L | 131 | 150 | Under |
| 2024-09-29 | BAL | 10-35L | 182 | 81 | Under |
| 2024-09-23 | JAX | 47-10W | 266 | 122 | Over |
| 2024-09-12 | MIA | 31-10W | 139 | 108 | Under |
| 2024-09-08 | ARI | 34-28W | 232 | 130 | Over |
Patriots Vs Over/Under
Bills Vs Over/Under
Team’s Player Projections
| New England Patriots | DK | FD | PassYd | PassTD | RushYd | RecYd | Rec | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye | 19.0 | 19.0 | 201.5 | 1.3 | 38.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 14.5 | 14.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.2 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| Hunter Henry | 12.5 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 58.6 | 5.7 | 0.1 |
| DeMario Douglas | 9.8 | 9.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 42.7 | 4.7 | 0.2 |
| Kayshon Boutte | 8.8 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.7 | 3.2 | 0.1 |
| Kendrick Bourne | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 30.6 | 2.7 | 0.1 |
| Austin Hooper | 6.3 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 2.3 | 0.2 |
| New England Patriots | 5.3 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Antonio Gibson | 4.1 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.3 | 8.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Ja’Lynn Polk | 2.6 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Buffalo Bills | DK | FD | PassYd | PassTD | RushYd | RecYd | Rec | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 24.7 | 24.7 | 237.4 | 1.7 | 33.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Khalil Shakir | 13.7 | 13.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 56.5 | 5.2 | 0.3 |
| James Cook | 12.8 | 12.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.5 | 13.3 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Amari Cooper | 11.3 | 11.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 52.1 | 4.3 | 0.3 |
| Dalton Kincaid | 9.7 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.1 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| Keon Coleman | 5.7 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.9 | 1.5 | 0.2 |
| Ty Johnson | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.5 | 15.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Curtis Samuel | 4.8 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 17.9 | 2.1 | 0.1 |
| Buffalo Bills | 4.8 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Mack Hollins | 3.9 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
Patriots Notable Injuries
-
JaMycal Hasty –
OUT
(ankle)
Last Game: 2024-12-15 – 1.4 fpts avg over last 5 games
Bills Notable Injuries
-
Quintin Morris –
QUESTIONABLE
(shoulder)
Last Game: 2024-12-15 – 1.9 fpts avg over last 5 games -
Curtis Samuel –
QUESTIONABLE
(shoulder)
Last Game: 2024-12-15 – 5.9 fpts avg over last 5 games
Offense Team Comparison
Defense Team Comparison
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