Mets vs Reds Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 5th 2024
![New York Mets](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/mlb-nym.png)
Mets
1W-5L
![New York Mets](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/mlb-nym.png)
April 05, 2024
06:40PM EST
Odds: 4.5 o/u
Reds
4W-2L
![Cincinnati Reds](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/mlb-cin.png)
![Cincinnati Reds](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/mlb-cin.png)
Hold onto your baseball caps, folks, because the struggling Mets are packing their bags and jetting off to the Queen City to duke it out with the red-hot Reds at the Great American Ball Park. With the first pitch set to fly at 6:40PM EST, the underdog Mets are looking to claw their way out of a 2.5-game hole in the National League, while the Reds are just a stone’s throw away from the top, trailing by only 1.5 games. The betting lines are buzzing with the over/under set at a lean 4.5, and the Reds are the favored choice with a line at -124, compared to the Mets’ optimistic 104. Both teams are fresh off a victory, the Reds having tamed the Phillies with a 4-1 score and the Mets edging out the Tigers 2-1. Tonight’s weather? A cool 43.0° with a dash of clouds, and a gentle wind from the northwest at 6.9 mph. High humidity at 89% might make the ball a bit slippery, but hey, that’s all part of the game. So, whether you’re a die-hard Mets fan hoping they’ll finally find their groove, or a Reds supporter ready for another victory lap, it’s clear we’re in for a game where, much like the city’s famous chili, the stakes are piled high and the heat is on. Get ready, because when the Mets meet the Reds, it’s not just a game, it’s a full-blown New York state of mind versus Cincinnati-style showdown!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 05, 2024 06:40PM EST
Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NW at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 43.0° with 89% humidity.
Vegas Odds
NYM ML | CIN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +104 | -124 | 9.0 | 0.5/-0.5 |
Recent | +107 | -128 | 9.0 | 0.5/-0.5 |
Difference | +3 | -4 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
![nym Team Logo](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/mlb-nym.png)
48.3% Win Probability
![cin Team Logo](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/mlb-cin.png)
51.7% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
05/09/23 | New York Mets NYM | 6 | Over | +8.5 | ![]() |
Cincinnati Reds CIN | 7 | ||||
05/10/23 | New York Mets NYM | 2 | Under | -1.5 | ![]() |
Cincinnati Reds CIN | 1 | ||||
05/11/23 | New York Mets NYM | 0 | Over | +0.5 | ![]() |
Cincinnati Reds CIN | 5 | ||||
09/15/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 5 | Over | +3.5 | ![]() |
New York Mets NYM | 3 | ||||
09/16/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 3 | Over | +0.5 | ![]() |
New York Mets NYM | 2 | ||||
09/17/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 4 | Over | +7.5 | ![]() |
New York Mets NYM | 8 |
Mets Vs Over/Under
Reds Vs Over/Under
![Michael Soroka](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/mlb-nym.png)
Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-29-24 | vsMIL | 3-1L | 4.7 | 6 | 2 | 4 | Under |
09-30-23 | vsPHI | 4-11W | 4.0 | 7 | 4 | 5 | Over |
09-23-23 | @PHI | 5-7L | 6.0 | 8 | 6 | 10 | Over |
09-17-23 | vsCIN | 4-8W | 6.7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | Over |
09-11-23 | vsARI | 4-3L | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | Under |
09-05-23 | @WAS | 11-5W | 7.0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | Over |
08-29-23 | vsTEX | 2-1L | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | Under |
08-23-23 | @ATL | 0-7L | 5.3 | 9 | 5 | 5 | Under |
08-17-23 | @STL | 4-2W | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | Under |
08-12-23 | vsATL | 6-0L | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | Under |
![Michael Soroka](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/mlb-cin.png)
Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-30-24 | vsWAS | 7-6L | 4.7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | Over |
10-01-23 | @STL | 3-4L | 5.0 | 9 | 4 | 6 | Under |
09-26-23 | @CLE | 11-7W | 3.0 | 8 | 7 | 3 | Over |
09-20-23 | vsMIN | 5-3L | 7.0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | Under |
09-15-23 | @NYM | 5-3W | 5.7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | Under |
09-10-23 | vsSTL | 1-7W | 6.0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | Under |
08-30-23 | @SF | 4-1W | 5.3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | Under |
08-25-23 | @ARI | 8-10L | 3.7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | Over |
08-20-23 | vsTOR | 10-3L | 3.0 | 10 | 9 | 4 | Over |
06-17-23 | @HOU | 10-3W | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | Over |
Mets Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/06 | @ DET | 2-1W | 3 | 1 | Under |
04/06 | @ DET | 3-6L | 6 | 0 | Push |
04/03 | @ DET | 0-5L | 5 | 0 | Under |
04/02 | @ MIL | 1-4L | 7 | 0 | Under |
04/01 | @ MIL | 6-7L | 12 | 3 | Over |
03/31 | @ MIL | 1-3L | 1 | 1 | Under |
10/04 | @ MIA | 1-2L | 5 | 0 | Under |
10/03 | @ PHI | 1-9L | 2 | 1 | Over |
10/02 | @ PHI | 11-4W | 9 | 3 | Over |
10/02 | @ PHI | 4-3W | 5 | 1 | Under |
09/29 | @ MIA | 11-2W | 12 | 3 | Over |
09/29 | @ MIA | 2-4L | 6 | 2 | Under |
09/26 | vs PHI | 2-5L | 3 | 1 | Under |
09/25 | vs PHI | 5-7L | 9 | 0 | Over |
09/24 | vs PHI | 4-5L | 8 | 2 | Push |
Reds Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/05 | vs PHI | 4-1W | 6 | 0 | Under |
04/04 | vs PHI | 4-9L | 8 | 0 | Over |
04/03 | vs PHI | 6-3W | 8 | 1 | Push |
04/02 | @ WAS | 6-5W | 14 | 2 | Over |
04/01 | @ WAS | 6-7L | 10 | 2 | Over |
03/30 | @ WAS | 8-2W | 10 | 2 | Over |
10/03 | vs STL | 3-4L | 9 | 1 | Under |
10/02 | vs STL | 6-15L | 14 | 2 | Over |
10/01 | vs STL | 19-2W | 17 | 6 | Over |
09/29 | vs CLE | 3-4L | 8 | 0 | Under |
09/28 | vs CLE | 11-7W | 10 | 5 | Over |
09/26 | @ PIT | 4-2W | 6 | 2 | Under |
09/25 | @ PIT | 12-13L | 16 | 3 | Over |
09/24 | @ PIT | 5-7L | 7 | 1 | Over |
09/22 | @ MIN | 3-5L | 6 | 1 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
New York Mets | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11.4 | 14.9 | 0.275 | 0.469 | 41.8% | 88.6% | 4.1% | |
11.4 | 15.1 | 0.254 | 0.472 | 38.5% | 85.6% | 5.2% | |
#3
Pete Alonso
|
10.6 | 14.5 | 0.218 | 0.506 | 36.8% | 87.4% | 8.1% |
8.9 | 12.0 | 0.208 | 0.438 | 31.1% | 74.9% | 6.6% | |
#5
Brett Baty
|
8.1 | 10.6 | 0.214 | 0.326 | 30.0% | 62.6% | 2.6% |
9.4 | 11.9 | 0.248 | 0.324 | 32.4% | 64.8% | 1.6% | |
#7
Jeff McNeil
|
7.0 | 8.9 | 0.27 | 0.378 | 36.6% | 74.4% | 1.7% |
6.9 | 8.9 | 0.232 | 0.35 | 29.6% | 64.6% | 2.2% | |
#9
DJ Stewart
|
9.2 | 12.3 | 0.236 | 0.497 | 36.9% | 86.6% | 7.0% |
Cincinnati Reds | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8.0 | 10.7 | 0.244 | 0.409 | 39.6% | 80.4% | 3.8% | |
8.5 | 11.1 | 0.273 | 0.467 | 41.0% | 87.7% | 4.0% | |
7.5 | 9.8 | 0.27 | 0.477 | 35.6% | 83.3% | 5.9% | |
7.6 | 10.1 | 0.251 | 0.473 | 38.3% | 85.6% | 4.4% | |
6.7 | 8.8 | 0.25 | 0.338 | 34.2% | 68.0% | 0.9% | |
8.3 | 10.7 | 0.234 | 0.409 | 32.5% | 73.5% | 3.4% | |
5.7 | 7.6 | 0.228 | 0.388 | 37.0% | 75.8% | 2.3% | |
#8
Luke Maile
|
6.0 | 8.0 | 0.235 | 0.391 | 34.1% | 73.2% | 3.4% |
#9
Will Benson
|
6.6 | 8.6 | 0.276 | 0.5 | 42.0% | 92.0% | 3.8% |
Mets Notable Injuries
- Tylor Megill OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/02/24. Impact: 5.9
Reds Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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