Happy Football Sunday·NFL Week 10

Winning lineups have a shape.
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History shows what wins on every kind of slate. We score each lineup 0 to 100 against it before you enter.

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Sunday, by the numbers
12games today
5windows, 9:30 AM to 8:20 PM ET
40slates on DraftKings and FanDuel
331players projected
Show me the board
  • 150lineups a click
  • 5sports
  • 0 to 100on every lineup
  • Props with the matchup attachedWhat the opponent allows, and how often the line cleared.
  • Graded after the gamesBuilds scored on real points. See the record
Sunday, November 15

Latest Updates

191 updates today across 4 sports · Latest 6:38 PM ET · Newest first, all times ET
  1. Ryan Rollins NBA · PG/SG MIL vs ATL Zeroed out No longer projected
  2. Jock Landale NBA · C ATL vs MIL Zeroed out No longer projected
  3. Woody Marks NFL · RB HOU vs CLE Status Now Doubtful (was Questionable)
  4. Zuby Ejiofor NBA · C ATL vs MIL Projection up Unlock to see the numbers
  5. Jayson Tatum NBA · SF/PF BOS vs DAL Projection up Unlock to see the numbers
  6. Victor Wembanyama NBA · C SAS vs UTA Projection up Unlock to see the numbers
  7. Kasparas Jakucionis NBA · PG/SF MIL vs ATL Projection up Unlock to see the numbers
  8. Collin Murray-Boyles NBA · PF/C TOR vs NYK Projection up Unlock to see the numbers
  9. PJ Washington NBA · PF DAL vs BOS Projection up Unlock to see the numbers
  10. Brayden Burries NBA · PG/SG MIL vs ATL Projection up Unlock to see the numbers
  11. Jordan Walsh NBA · SG/SF BOS vs DAL Projection up Unlock to see the numbers
  12. Devon Dampier CFB · QB UTAH vs ARIZ Projection up Unlock to see the numbers
  13. Baylor Scheierman NBA · SG/SF BOS vs DAL Projection down Unlock to see the numbers
  14. Kel'el Ware NBA · PF/C MIL vs ATL Projection up Unlock to see the numbers
  15. Oscar Tshiebwe NBA · C HOU vs WAS Projection up Unlock to see the numbers
  16. AJ Green NBA · SG/SF MIL vs ATL Projection up Unlock to see the numbers
  17. Steven Adams NBA · C HOU vs WAS Projection up Unlock to see the numbers
  18. Anthony Garcia CFB · WR UTST vs SDSU Projection up Unlock to see the numbers
  19. Sion James NBA · SG/SF CHA vs LAC Projection up Unlock to see the numbers
  20. Davis Warren CFB · QB STAN vs VT Projection up Unlock to see the numbers
  21. Jake Fette CFB · QB ASU vs UCF Projection up Unlock to see the numbers
  22. Akira Schmid NHL · G FLA vs DAL Goalie confirmed Confirmed to start
  23. Player prop NBA · two books Arbitrage open Unlock to see both bets. +0.5%
  24. Scottie Barnes NBA · TOR Status Upgraded to Active (was Probable)
  25. Santi Aldama NBA · DAL Status Downgraded to Out (was Questionable)
  26. Naji Marshall NBA · DAL Lineup change Moved into the starting lineup
  27. Collin Murray-Boyles NBA · TOR Lineup change Moved into the starting lineup
  28. Reed Sheppard NBA · HOU Lineup change Out of the starting lineup
  29. Daniel Gafford NBA · DAL Status Upgraded to Active (was Probable)
  30. Jakob Poeltl NBA · TOR Lineup change Out of the starting lineup
  31. Steven Adams NBA · HOU Lineup change Moved into the starting lineup
  32. Baylor Scheierman NBA · BOS Lineup change Out of the starting lineup
  33. Tre Johnson NBA · WAS Status Downgraded to Out (was Questionable)
  34. Karl-Anthony Towns NBA · NYK vs TOR Arbitrage caught Threes 1.5: over +128 BetOnline.ag, under -115 Bovada. $45.05 and $54.95 guaranteed $2.71. +2.7%
  35. Jakob Poeltl NBA · TOR vs NYK Arbitrage caught Rebounds 6.5: over +155 Bovada, under -141 BetRivers. $40.13 and $59.87 guaranteed $2.33. +2.3%
  36. Marcus Sasser NBA · DAL Lineup change Out of the starting lineup
  37. Jordan Walsh NBA · BOS Lineup change Moved into the starting lineup
  38. Caleb Martin NBA · DAL vs BOS Arbitrage caught Points 5.5: over -128 BetOnline.ag, under +130 Bovada. $56.36 and $43.64 guaranteed $0.37. +0.4%
  39. Zaccharie Risacher NBA · DAL vs BOS Arbitrage caught Pts + Reb 11.5: over -109 BetRivers, under +110 Bovada. $52.27 and $47.73 guaranteed $0.22. +0.2%
  40. Tre Johnson NBA · SG/SF WAS vs HOU Zeroed out No longer projected
Projection moves, lineup changes, goalie confirmations, status changes and prop arbitrage, stamped when we caught them.

Projections

Week 10 · 331 players projected · Top 5 by projection · Updated 6:39 PM ET
# Player Matchup Proj Salary Value Own
1
Josh Allen QB · BUF
@ NYJ 25.5 $7,500 3.40x 10%
2
Brock Purdy QB · SF
@ DAL 22.6 $7,000 3.23x 42%
3
Bijan Robinson RB · ATL
vs KC 22.5 $8,200 2.74x 29%
4
Dak Prescott QB · DAL
vs SF 22.4 $6,400 3.50x 28%
5
Ja'Marr Chase WR · CIN
vs PIT 22.1 $8,100 2.73x 75%

NFL matchups

Schedule & odds
Week 10 · 14 games · all times ET
Game Start Spread O/U ML Off Def
WAS @ NYG 2-5 · 5-2 FinalWAS 24, NYG 21 WAS -2.5 32.5 WAS-142 NYG+112 WAS#21 NYG#16 WAS#22 NYG#13
NE @ DET 5-4 · 6-2 FinalDET 35, NE 10 DET -24.5 41.5 — NE#14 DET#5 NE#15 DET#17
KC @ ATL 6-2 · 3-6 FinalKC 35, ATL 13 KC -16.5 — — KC#10 ATL#23 KC#3 ATL#20
HOU @ CLE 3-5 · 5-4 FinalCLE 27, HOU 24 HOU -3.5 44.5 HOU-350 CLE+255 HOU#9 CLE#29 HOU#18 CLE#12
MIN @ GB 6-2 · 6-3 FinalMIN 30, GB 10 MIN -19.5 — — MIN#27 GB#12 MIN#1 GB#11
MIA @ IND 1-7 · 2-7 FinalIND 24, MIA 22 IND -1.5 48.5 MIA+255 IND-350 MIA#31 IND#24 MIA#24 IND#30
Ranks of 32: offense by points scored (#1 scores the most), defense by points allowed (#32 allows the most). Green marks the five best offenses and the five softest defenses, red the five at the other end.

Defense vs position

Full board
Softest on the board · #32 of 32 allows the most
Ratings blend the 2025-26 regular season (with a last-8-games form tilt) into current-season data as games are played: current weight = games / (games + 4), so the new season takes over quickly. Faces: the opponent's top projected player at the position this slate. Hover a defense for its last five games.

Slates

40 slates on DraftKings and FanDuel · open slates first · lock times ET
Site Slate Games Players Projected Cap Top projection Locks Open
DK PrimetimeClassic 2 102 54 $50,000 Ja'Marr Chase WR · CIN · 22.1 pts · $8,100 Sun 8:20 PM Build
DK Featured (PIT @ CIN)Showdown 1 108 28 $50,000 Ja'Marr Chase WR · CIN · 22.1 pts · $11,000 Sun 8:20 PM Build
FD SNF-MNFFull roster 2 108 54 $60,000 Joe Burrow QB · CIN · 20.6 pts · $8,600 Sun 8:20 PM Build
FD PIT @ CINSingle game 1 55 28 $60,000 Joe Burrow QB · CIN · 20.6 pts · $13,200 Sun 8:20 PM Build
DK Featured (LAC @ BAL)Showdown 1 108 26 $50,000 Derrick Henry RB · BAL · 17.2 pts · $10,000 Mon 8:15 PM Build
Open the NFL optimizer 35 more in the picker

Stacks

QB + 1 · A team's projected QB with his top pass catchers by projection · DraftKings salaries
Team Players Proj Salary O/U
CIN vs PIT · Sun 8:20 PM
Joe Burrow QB · 21.5Ja'Marr Chase WR · 22.1 43.6 $15,300 49.5
DAL vs SF · Sun 4:25 PM
Dak Prescott QB · 22.4CeeDee Lamb WR · 20.0 42.4 $15,200 62.5
SF @ DAL · Sun 4:25 PM
Brock Purdy QB · 22.6George Kittle TE · 15.3 37.9 $13,500 62.5
SEA @ LV · Sun 4:05 PM
Drew Lock QB · 16.5Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · 20.6 37.1 $14,300 44.5

Best matchups

Projections
Five projected players with the softest opponent at their position
PlayerMatchupProjSalary
Trevor Lawrence QB · JAX
@ TEN Def #32 of 32 vs QB 19.2 $6,600
@ TEN Def #32 of 32 vs WR 13.7 $6,200
Jakobi Meyers WR · JAX
@ TEN Def #32 of 32 vs WR 10.5 $4,200
vs CAR Def #32 of 32 vs RB 9.7 $5,500
James Cook III RB · BUF
@ NYJ Def #31 of 32 vs RB 18.9 $7,400
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How it works
NFL optimizer · player pool
DraftKings(Thu-Mon) · 14 games · Thu, Nov 12347 players
PosPlayerSalaryProjOwnControls
TEIsaiah LikelyNYG vs WAS$5,30030.7—
RBCam SkatteboNYG vs WAS$5,50027.2—
QBJosh AllenBUF @ NYJ$7,50025.510.0%
QBJayden DanielsWAS @ NYG$5,70022.8—
QBBrock PurdySF @ DAL$7,00022.642.1%
RBBijan RobinsonATL vs KC$8,20022.528.8%