Nets vs Bucks Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Mar 21st 2024
![Brooklyn Nets](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/bro.png)
Nets
26W-43L
![Brooklyn Nets](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/bro.png)
March 21, 2024
08:00PM EST
Odds: 220.0 o/u
Bucks
44W-25L
![Milwaukee Bucks](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/mil.png)
![Milwaukee Bucks](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/mil.png)
Get ready folks, because tonight, we’ve got a real David vs. Goliath showdown on our hands. The underdog Brooklyn Nets, who’ve been playing like they’re trying to win a lottery instead of a championship, are making the trek to the Fiserv Forum to square off against the mighty Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks, sitting pretty at the top of the Eastern conference, are looking to bounce back from a recent stumble against the Celtics. Meanwhile, the Nets, who are so far back in the conference they need a telescope to see the playoffs, are hoping to shake off their loss against the Pelicans. The bookies have set the over/under at 220.0, and it’s clear they’re expecting the Bucks to do most of the heavy lifting with a line at -9.0. With the Nets’ line at 9.0, it’s clear they’re the long shot in this game. So, as we gear up for this 8 PM face-off, remember – it’s not always about the size of the ‘Net’, but how you ‘Buck’ the odds.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 21, 2024 08:00PM EST
Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee
Vegas Odds
BRO ML | MIL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +310 | -415 | 222.5 | 9.0/-9.0 |
Recent | +160 | -215 | 220.0 | 9.5/-9.5 |
Difference | -150 | +200 | -2.5 | – |
Team Performance
![bro Team Logo](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/bro.png)
38.5% Win Probability
![mil Team Logo](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/mil.png)
61.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/27/23 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 32 | 34 | 34 | 44 | 144 | Over | ![]() |
|
Brooklyn Nets BRO | 31 | 28 | 33 | 30 | 122 | ||||
11/06/23 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 29 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 129 | Over | ![]() |
|
Brooklyn Nets BRO | 32 | 35 | 27 | 31 | 125 | ||||
03/09/23 | Brooklyn Nets BRO | 20 | 27 | 33 | 33 | 113 | Over | ![]() |
|
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 37 | 27 | 23 | 31 | 118 | ||||
02/28/23 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 22 | 30 | 39 | 27 | 118 | Over | ![]() |
|
Brooklyn Nets BRO | 34 | 28 | 23 | 19 | 104 | ||||
12/23/22 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 29 | 18 | 28 | 25 | 100 | Under | ![]() |
|
Brooklyn Nets BRO | 36 | 24 | 25 | 33 | 118 | ||||
10/26/22 | Brooklyn Nets BRO | 20 | 35 | 21 | 23 | 99 | Under | ![]() |
|
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 25 | 18 | 35 | 32 | 110 | ||||
03/31/22 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 23 | 33 | 31 | 23 | 10 | 120 | Over | ![]() |
Brooklyn Nets BRO | 30 | 30 | 26 | 24 | 9 | 119 | |||
02/26/22 | Brooklyn Nets BRO | 25 | 28 | 43 | 30 | 126 | Over | ![]() |
|
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 32 | 27 | 34 | 30 | 123 | ||||
01/07/22 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 29 | 31 | 38 | 23 | 121 | Over | ![]() |
|
Brooklyn Nets BRO | 21 | 28 | 31 | 29 | 109 | ||||
10/19/21 | Brooklyn Nets BRO | 25 | 34 | 26 | 19 | 104 | Over | ![]() |
|
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 37 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 127 |
Nets Vs Over/Under
Bucks Vs Over/Under
Nets Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/19 | @ NOP | 91-104L | 42 | 19 | 13 | 84 |
03/17 | vs SAS | 115-122L | 48 | 29 | 12 | 102 |
03/16 | vs IND | 100-121L | 45 | 18 | 20 | 78 |
03/13 | vs ORL | 106-114L | 32 | 21 | 13 | 81 |
03/10 | vs CLE | 120-101W | 40 | 33 | 12 | 80 |
03/09 | vs CHA | 99-110L | 41 | 22 | 15 | 91 |
03/07 | vs DET | 112-118L | 28 | 24 | 14 | 84 |
03/05 | @ PHI | 112-107W | 44 | 25 | 12 | 84 |
03/04 | @ MEM | 102-106L | 33 | 27 | 13 | 82 |
03/02 | @ ATL | 114-102W | 45 | 28 | 10 | 89 |
Bucks Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/20 | vs BOS | 119-122L | 41 | 20 | 14 | 84 |
03/17 | @ PHX | 140-129W | 35 | 35 | 10 | 94 |
03/14 | @ PHI | 114-105W | 37 | 29 | 14 | 72 |
03/12 | vs SAC | 94-129L | 44 | 23 | 13 | 84 |
03/10 | vs LAC | 124-117W | 41 | 28 | 7 | 88 |
03/08 | vs LAL | 122-123L | 43 | 28 | 6 | 94 |
03/06 | vs GSW | 90-125L | 36 | 19 | 15 | 89 |
03/04 | @ LAC | 113-106W | 46 | 20 | 11 | 78 |
03/01 | vs CHI | 113-97W | 49 | 22 | 7 | 86 |
02/29 | vs CHA | 111-99W | 44 | 21 | 7 | 86 |
Starting Lineups
Brooklyn Nets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
35.2 | 29.9 | 33.0 | 100% | 33.4 | |
33.8 | 29.1 | 31.7 | 100% | 32.0 | |
25.3 | 19.2 | 24.0 | 73% | 26.0 | |
31.8 | 27.4 | 25.7 | 53% | 30.7 | |
Cam Thomas
SG
|
36.2 | 40.1 | 31.6 | 63% | 36.1 |
Milwaukee Bucks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
60.1 | 56.3 | 56.8 | 93% | 57.3 | |
14.5 | 13.9 | 18.3 | 20% | 26.9 | |
Jae Crowder
SF
|
15.2 | 14.9 | 13.6 | 67% | 14.6 |
47.2 | 49.0 | 42.6 | 93% | 43.2 | |
28.3 | 24.9 | 27.7 | 93% | 27.6 |
Nets Notable Injuries
- Dorian Finney-Smith (PF/C): Avg: 8.8pts, 4.6reb, 1.6ast, 28.3 minutes. Last game: 03/19/24. Impact: 3.6
- Noah Clowney (C): Avg: 2.9pts, 1.6reb, 0.8ast, 8.6 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 0.8
Bucks Notable Injuries
- Khris Middleton (SF): Avg: 15.1pts, 4.3reb, 5.0ast, 26.2 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 5.5
- Marjon Beauchamp (SG/SF): Avg: 4.4pts, 2.1reb, 0.7ast, 13.2 minutes. Last game: 03/06/24. Impact: 0.7
- Andre Jackson Jr. (PG/SF): Avg: 2.3pts, 2.0reb, 0.9ast, 10.5 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 0.8
- Thanasis Antetokounmpo (PF/C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.4reb, 0.5ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 0.4
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Mikal Bridges | BRO | Pts | 17.5 | 20.0 | +2.5 | 20% | 30% | 27% | 27% | MIL | -0.8 | #13 |
Cam Thomas | BRO | Pts | 22.5 | 24.0 | +1.5 | 60% | 40% | 40% | 40% | MIL | +4.6 | #30 |
Nets Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #21 | #12 | #7 | #17 | 1.1% |
PF | #16 | #13 | #11 | #14 | -1.4% |
PG | #18 | #20 | #7 | #20 | 4.6% |
SF | #11 | #17 | #11 | #11 | -5.9% |
SG | #4 | #18 | #8 | #3 | -10.5% |
Bucks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #6 | #7 | #23 | #4 | -13.1% |
PF | #2 | #7 | #26 | #11 | -2.7% |
PG | #7 | #7 | #3 | #3 | -14.4% |
SF | #13 | #9 | #6 | #10 | -6.7% |
SG | #30 | #28 | #27 | #29 | 12.2% |
![Team Logo](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/bro.png)
Team Comparison
![Team Logo](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/mil.png)
Recent Trends
- Damian Lillard (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
- Patrick Beverley (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.8% to 25.8, 19.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Jacob Gilyard (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 39.3% to 18.8, 30.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Keon Johnson (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 58.9% to 10.0, 24.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Khris Middleton (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.4% to 22.0, 34.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Day’Ron Sharpe (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.3% to 18.8, 13.7 min average previous 3 games. The Nets have a 3-game losing streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 4-game losing streak. The Bucks have a 2-game winning streak at home.
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