Mavericks vs Thunder Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Mar 14th 2024
![Dallas Mavericks](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/dal.png)
Mavericks
38W-28L
![Dallas Mavericks](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/dal.png)
March 14, 2024
10:00PM EST
Odds: 235.0 o/u
Thunder
45W-20L
![Oklahoma City Thunder](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/okl.png)
![Oklahoma City Thunder](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/okl.png)
Hold onto your cowboy hats, sports fans, because tonight’s NBA face-off is more electrifying than a rodeo bull in a thunderstorm! The Dallas Mavericks, boasting a 38-28 record and trailing by just a hair (1.5 games, to be precise) in the Western conference, are saddling up to gallop into the heart of Tornado Alley, the Paycom Center. They’re set to duel the Oklahoma City Thunder, a storm front that’s been tearing up the court with a 45-20 record and just 0.5 games back in the conference. With a tipoff time set for the witching hour (10:00 PM EST), the Mavericks are ready to lasso the Thunder into submission. The bookies have set the over/under at a whopping 235.0, with the Mavericks as the 9.0 underdogs and the Thunder favored by -9.0. Now, the Thunder might be trying to shake off the chill from their last game, a 99-121 loss against the Pacers, while the Mavericks are still riding high on their 109-99 win against the Warriors. So, buckle up folks, ’cause when Mavericks meet Thunder, you can bet it’s gonna be a showdown that’ll make the Wild West look like a playground!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 14, 2024 10:00PM EST
Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Vegas Odds
DAL ML | OKL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +295 | -390 | 239.0 | 9.0/-9.0 |
Recent | +265 | -330 | 235.0 | 10.5/-10.5 |
Difference | -30 | +60 | -4.0 | – |
Team Performance
![dal Team Logo](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/dal.png)
27.4% Win Probability
![okl Team Logo](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/okl.png)
72.6% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02/10/24 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 30 | 32 | 27 | 22 | 111 | Over | ![]() |
|
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 47 | 24 | 39 | 36 | 146 | ||||
12/02/23 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 33 | 39 | 35 | 19 | 126 | Over | ![]() |
|
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 27 | 29 | 28 | 36 | 120 | ||||
01/08/23 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 34 | 21 | 28 | 26 | 109 | Under | ![]() |
|
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 33 | 36 | 27 | 24 | 120 | ||||
12/12/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 28 | 24 | 38 | 24 | 114 | Push | ![]() |
|
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 23 | 43 | 31 | 24 | 121 | ||||
10/29/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 27 | 19 | 26 | 27 | 18 | 117 | Under | ![]() |
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 25 | 26 | 20 | 28 | 12 | 111 | |||
02/02/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 30 | 21 | 34 | 18 | 17 | 120 | Under | ![]() |
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 28 | 23 | 25 | 27 | 11 | 114 | |||
01/17/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 24 | 18 | 30 | 30 | 102 | Under | ![]() |
|
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 33 | 20 | 24 | 27 | 104 | ||||
01/02/22 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 26 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 95 | Under | ![]() |
|
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 22 | 17 | 25 | 22 | 86 | ||||
12/12/21 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 28 | 28 | 24 | 23 | 103 | Under | ![]() |
|
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 27 | 19 | 25 | 13 | 84 |
Mavericks Vs Over/Under
Thunder Vs Over/Under
Mavericks Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/13 | @ GSW | 109-99W | 42 | 30 | 16 | 82 |
03/11 | vs CHI | 127-92W | 49 | 33 | 6 | 93 |
03/09 | vs DET | 142-128W | 36 | 29 | 14 | 92 |
03/07 | @ MIA | 114-108W | 45 | 27 | 9 | 87 |
03/05 | @ IND | 120-137L | 41 | 23 | 9 | 93 |
03/03 | @ PHI | 116-120L | 45 | 20 | 17 | 86 |
03/01 | vs BOS | 110-138L | 42 | 20 | 7 | 94 |
02/28 | vs TOR | 136-125W | 50 | 32 | 14 | 99 |
02/27 | vs CLE | 119-121L | 36 | 23 | 5 | 91 |
02/25 | vs IND | 111-133L | 38 | 15 | 15 | 87 |
Thunder Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/12 | @ IND | 99-121L | 47 | 22 | 12 | 96 |
03/10 | @ MEM | 124-93W | 46 | 36 | 10 | 94 |
03/08 | @ MIA | 107-100W | 45 | 28 | 9 | 89 |
03/06 | vs POR | 128-120W | 39 | 23 | 18 | 75 |
03/04 | vs LAL | 104-116L | 38 | 22 | 10 | 94 |
03/03 | vs PHX | 118-0W | 41 | 21 | 5 | 31 |
02/29 | vs SAS | 118-132L | 37 | 20 | 10 | 89 |
02/27 | @ HOU | 112-95W | 55 | 19 | 13 | 93 |
02/25 | vs HOU | 123-110W | 48 | 30 | 9 | 98 |
02/23 | @ WAS | 147-106W | 56 | 30 | 15 | 92 |
Starting Lineups
Dallas Mavericks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Luka Doncic
SG
|
65.2 | 62.9 | 66.0 | 100% | 66.3 |
27.8 | 34.2 | 27.4 | 70% | 31.0 | |
Kyrie Irving
PG
|
42.0 | 37.1 | 43.3 | 100% | 43.7 |
12.3 | 11.2 | 14.1 | 70% | 16.5 | |
23.9 | 26.2 | 25.3 | 57% | 24.4 |
Oklahoma City Thunder | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21.8 | 22.1 | 19.5 | 100% | 19.9 | |
Josh Giddey
SG
|
30.5 | 32.2 | 26.7 | 100% | 27.1 |
58.1 | 46.8 | 51.3 | 100% | 51.7 | |
40.3 | 30.4 | 36.0 | 100% | 36.3 | |
37.1 | 30.1 | 36.0 | 100% | 36.3 |
Mavericks Notable Injuries
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.8reb, 0.6ast, 7.8 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 0.7
- Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.5reb, 0.6ast, 8.4 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 0.8
- AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 3.1pts, 0.9reb, 0.4ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 0.6
Thunder Notable Injuries
- Bismack Biyombo (C): Avg: 4.6pts, 5.5reb, 1.5ast, 21.5 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 1.3
- Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 3.9pts, 3.3reb, 1.3ast, 12.6 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 2.2
- Ousmane Dieng (PF): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.7reb, 1.1ast, 11.3 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 1.4
- Olivier Sarr (C): Avg: 2.6pts, 2.5reb, 0.1ast, 7.0 minutes. Last game: 03/04/24. Impact: 1.1
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKL | Pts | 30.5 | 33.1 | +2.6 | 40% | 60% | 60% | 60% | DAL | +1.7 | #26 |
Chet Holmgren | OKL | Pts | 15.5 | 18.0 | +2.5 | 20% | 50% | 47% | 47% | DAL | +2.7 | #25 |
Luguentz Dort | OKL | Reb | 3.5 | 3.7 | +0.2 | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% | DAL | +1.3 | #26 |
Mavericks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #25 | #9 | #26 | #18 | 2.4% |
PF | #22 | #6 | #8 | #13 | -2.7% |
PG | #12 | #12 | #30 | #16 | 1.1% |
SF | #10 | #26 | #18 | #16 | 1.7% |
SG | #26 | #29 | #12 | #26 | 6.2% |
Thunder Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #18 | #18 | #20 | #16 | 2.0% |
PF | #27 | #27 | #26 | #28 | 12.7% |
PG | #2 | #27 | #2 | #1 | -21.8% |
SF | #8 | #2 | #25 | #6 | -10.2% |
SG | #15 | #9 | #8 | #11 | -3.9% |
![Team Logo](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/dal.png)
Team Comparison
![Team Logo](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/okl.png)
Recent Trends
- Dante Exum (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 50.5% to 20.6, 13.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Daniel Gafford (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.5% to 24.4, 18.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 40.3% to 12.6, 21.1 min average previous 3 games. The Mavericks have a 2-game winning streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 4-game winning streak.
Guardians vs Dodgers Game Breakdown
September 6, 2024 at 3:23 pm by thefield
Tigers vs Athletics Game Breakdown
September 6, 2024 at 3:23 pm by thefield
Giants vs Padres Game Breakdown
September 6, 2024 at 3:23 pm by thefield