Heat vs Wizards Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Mar 31st 2024
![Miami Heat](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/mia.png)
Heat
40W-33L
![Miami Heat](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/mia.png)
March 31, 2024
06:00PM EST
Odds: 216.5 o/u
Wizards
14W-60L
![Washington Wizards](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/was.png)
![Washington Wizards](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/was.png)
There’s a storm brewing in the NBA tonight, folks, as the sizzling Miami Heat, with a solid 40W-33L record, are set to blaze a trail straight through the Capital One Arena, the home turf of the Washington Wizards. The Wizards, who’ve been more like muggles this season with a 14W-60L record, will have to pull some serious magic out of their hats to keep up. The action gets underway at 06:00 PM EST, with the Heat trailing by a mere 2.5 games in the Eastern conference, while the Wizards are lagging behind like a tortoise on a sugar crash, 29.0 games back. If you’re a betting man, the over/under is set at 216.5, with the Heat line at -10.5 and the Wizards line at 10.5. The Wizards are still licking their wounds from their 87-96 loss against DET, while the Heat are riding high on their 142-82 victory over POR. So, will the Heat continue to sizzle or will the Wizards finally find their spellbook? In the game of hoops, it’s not about the heat of the moment, it’s about the magic in the maneuvers.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 31, 2024 06:00PM EST
Location: Capital One Arena, Washington
Vegas Odds
MIA ML | WAS ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -550 | +390 | 217.0 | -10.5/10.5 |
Recent | -340 | +270 | 216.5 | -11.0/11.0 |
Difference | +210 | -120 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
![mia Team Logo](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/mia.png)
77.3% Win Probability
![was Team Logo](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/was.png)
22.7% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/10/24 | Washington Wizards WAS | 25 | 23 | 33 | 29 | 110 | Over | ![]() |
|
Miami Heat MIA | 27 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 108 | ||||
02/02/24 | Miami Heat MIA | 31 | 25 | 31 | 23 | 110 | Under | ![]() |
|
Washington Wizards WAS | 33 | 26 | 15 | 28 | 102 | ||||
11/03/23 | Washington Wizards WAS | 34 | 20 | 27 | 33 | 114 | Over | ![]() |
|
Miami Heat MIA | 34 | 26 | 41 | 20 | 121 | ||||
04/07/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 23 | 28 | 20 | 37 | 108 | Over | ![]() |
|
Washington Wizards WAS | 26 | 27 | 36 | 25 | 114 | ||||
11/25/22 | Washington Wizards WAS | 38 | 21 | 26 | 22 | 107 | Over | ![]() |
|
Miami Heat MIA | 28 | 28 | 29 | 25 | 110 | ||||
11/23/22 | Washington Wizards WAS | 26 | 17 | 37 | 25 | 105 | Over | ![]() |
|
Miami Heat MIA | 28 | 32 | 23 | 30 | 113 | ||||
11/18/22 | Miami Heat MIA | 31 | 38 | 19 | 16 | 2 | 106 | Under | ![]() |
Washington Wizards WAS | 33 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 3 | 107 | |||
02/07/22 | Miami Heat MIA | 39 | 21 | 31 | 30 | 121 | Over | ![]() |
|
Washington Wizards WAS | 24 | 29 | 17 | 30 | 100 | ||||
12/28/21 | Washington Wizards WAS | 24 | 27 | 22 | 39 | 112 | Over | ![]() |
|
Miami Heat MIA | 38 | 27 | 26 | 28 | 119 | ||||
11/20/21 | Miami Heat MIA | 25 | 18 | 32 | 25 | 100 | Under | ![]() |
|
Washington Wizards WAS | 26 | 15 | 30 | 32 | 103 | ||||
11/18/21 | Washington Wizards WAS | 19 | 21 | 30 | 27 | 97 | Under | ![]() |
|
Miami Heat MIA | 21 | 26 | 36 | 29 | 112 |
Heat Vs Over/Under
Wizards Vs Over/Under
Heat Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/29 | @ POR | 142-82W | 44 | 41 | 8 | 93 |
03/26 | @ GSW | 92-113L | 39 | 24 | 8 | 92 |
03/24 | @ CLE | 121-84W | 44 | 29 | 9 | 83 |
03/22 | @ NOP | 88-111L | 34 | 22 | 4 | 87 |
03/20 | vs CLE | 107-104W | 37 | 19 | 7 | 83 |
03/18 | vs PHI | 91-98L | 49 | 23 | 15 | 89 |
03/17 | vs DET | 104-101W | 47 | 24 | 9 | 89 |
03/15 | vs DET | 108-95W | 44 | 23 | 8 | 93 |
03/13 | @ DEN | 88-100L | 42 | 18 | 8 | 81 |
03/10 | @ WAS | 108-110L | 51 | 20 | 13 | 96 |
Wizards Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/29 | @ DET | 87-96L | 47 | 22 | 18 | 89 |
03/27 | @ BRO | 119-122L | 44 | 26 | 13 | 91 |
03/25 | vs CHI | 107-105W | 52 | 32 | 13 | 97 |
03/23 | @ TOR | 112-109W | 55 | 28 | 17 | 92 |
03/21 | @ SAC | 109-102W | 45 | 20 | 19 | 82 |
03/19 | @ HOU | 114-137L | 44 | 24 | 10 | 98 |
03/17 | @ BOS | 104-130L | 40 | 24 | 16 | 89 |
03/16 | vs CHI | 98-127L | 32 | 27 | 15 | 84 |
03/14 | vs HOU | 119-135L | 32 | 29 | 13 | 93 |
03/12 | vs MEM | 97-94W | 28 | 26 | 13 | 78 |
Starting Lineups
Miami Heat | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
48.0 | 45.0 | 39.2 | 100% | 38.6 | |
Jimmy Butler
SF
|
44.9 | 33.1 | 36.9 | 100% | 35.6 |
Nikola Jovic
PF
|
17.4 | 19.4 | 15.9 | 90% | 17.8 |
26.5 | 22.6 | 22.0 | 50% | 27.8 | |
Terry Rozier
PG
|
33.8 | 29.6 | 30.3 | 93% | 31.0 |
Washington Wizards | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Deni Avdija
SF
|
36.9 | 42.7 | 33.7 | 100% | 33.4 |
20.8 | 25.9 | 24.8 | 57% | 28.9 | |
23.2 | 28.4 | 23.4 | 43% | 23.8 | |
Kyle Kuzma
PF
|
38.5 | 35.9 | 38.0 | 100% | 36.8 |
Jordan Poole
PG
|
34.1 | 37.0 | 31.6 | 57% | 30.9 |
Heat Notable Injuries
- Caleb Martin (PF): Avg: 10.0pts, 4.6reb, 2.1ast, 27.0 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 3.4
- Cole Swider (PF): Avg: 3.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.3ast, 5.9 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 0.7
- Alondes Williams (PG): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.3reb, 0.0ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 0.2
Wizards Notable Injuries
- Bilal Coulibaly (SG): Avg: 8.3pts, 4.1reb, 1.7ast, 26.9 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 3.2
- Eugene Omoruyi (PF/C): Avg: 4.2pts, 2.0reb, 0.8ast, 7.9 minutes. Last game: 03/17/24. Impact: 1.2
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Jimmy Butler | MIA | Pts | 20.5 | 24.4 | +3.9 | 20% | 20% | 40% | 40% | WAS | +3.1 | #23 |
Bam Adebayo | MIA | Pts | 18.5 | 21.9 | +3.4 | 60% | 50% | 47% | 47% | WAS | +0.5 | #15 |
Nikola Jovic | MIA | Reb | 3.5 | 4.1 | +0.6 | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | WAS | +0.2 | #18 |
Heat Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #3 | #25 | #10 | #2 | -15.3% |
PF | #3 | #16 | #2 | #4 | -11.3% |
PG | #19 | #8 | #9 | #9 | -10.6% |
SF | #30 | #1 | #12 | #24 | 7.6% |
SG | #12 | #24 | #25 | #14 | -1.1% |
Wizards Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #15 | #24 | #4 | #13 | -1.2% |
PF | #16 | #20 | #10 | #21 | 4.1% |
PG | #18 | #20 | #5 | #14 | -5.8% |
SF | #23 | #18 | #13 | #21 | 6.1% |
SG | #29 | #26 | #20 | #29 | 10.6% |
![Team Logo](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/mia.png)
Team Comparison
![Team Logo](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/was.png)
Recent Trends
- Justin Champagnie (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 57.5% to 13.1, 30.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Bilal Coulibaly (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 59.2% to 32.2, 20.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Anthony Gill (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 48.0% to 11.3, 21.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Haywood Highsmith (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 54.3% to 27.4, 17.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.0% to 21.8, 33.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Isaiah Livers (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 45.2% to 16.2, 29.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.2% to 30.9, 21.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Landry Shamet (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.1% to 13.6, 22.0 min average previous 3 games. The Wizards have a 2-game losing streak at home.
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