Thunder vs Raptors Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Mar 22nd 2024
![Oklahoma City Thunder](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/okl.png)
Thunder
48W-20L
![Oklahoma City Thunder](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/okl.png)
March 22, 2024
07:00PM EST
Odds: 231.5 o/u
Raptors
23W-46L
![Toronto Raptors](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/tor.png)
![Toronto Raptors](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/tor.png)
Listen up, hoop heads! The basketball gods have blessed us with a David versus Goliath showdown tonight, and we’re not talking about a rerun of the biblical epic. No sir, we’re talking about the red-hot Oklahoma City Thunder, who’ve been thundering their way through the Western conference like a herd of caffeinated bison, squaring off against the Toronto Raptors at the Scotiabank Arena. Now, the Raptors might be more akin to a pack of baby velociraptors in the Eastern conference, but hey, every underdog has its day, right? These two teams are set to lock horns at the prime time of 7PM EST, and let’s just say, the betting lines are looking as lopsided as a seesaw with Shaq on one end. The over/under’s hovering around 231.5, with the Thunder at -15.0 (no surprise there) and the Raptors at 15.0. Now, the Raptors might be nursing a hangover from their 89-123 spanking at the hands of SAC, but the Thunder are still basking in the afterglow of their 119-107 victory over UTA. So buckle up, folks! Tonight, we find out if the Thunder’s lightning strikes twice, or if the Raptors can claw their way to an upset.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 22, 2024 07:00PM EST
Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Vegas Odds
OKL ML | TOR ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -1400 | +750 | 228.5 | -15.0/15.0 |
Recent | -420 | +315 | 231.5 | -15.5/15.5 |
Difference | +980 | -435 | +3.0 | – |
Team Performance
![okl Team Logo](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/okl.png)
80.8% Win Probability
![tor Team Logo](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/tor.png)
19.2% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02/04/24 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 33 | 30 | 24 | 23 | 89 | 127 | Over | ![]() |
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 23 | 24 | 34 | 29 | 817 | 135 | |||
03/16/23 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 28 | 31 | 28 | 24 | 111 | Over | ![]() |
|
Toronto Raptors TOR | 29 | 35 | 29 | 35 | 128 | ||||
11/11/22 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 24 | 32 | 29 | 28 | 113 | Over | ![]() |
|
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 29 | 41 | 36 | 26 | 132 | ||||
02/09/22 | Toronto Raptors TOR | 34 | 25 | 28 | 30 | 117 | Under | ![]() |
|
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 22 | 29 | 21 | 26 | 98 | ||||
12/08/21 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 26 | 28 | 33 | 23 | 110 | Under | ![]() |
|
Toronto Raptors TOR | 36 | 28 | 12 | 33 | 109 |
Thunder Vs Over/Under
Raptors Vs Over/Under
Thunder Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/20 | @ UTA | 119-107W | 45 | 29 | 10 | 88 |
03/16 | vs MEM | 118-112W | 45 | 25 | 11 | 87 |
03/14 | @ DAL | 126-119W | 34 | 28 | 13 | 86 |
03/12 | @ IND | 99-121L | 47 | 22 | 12 | 96 |
03/10 | @ MEM | 124-93W | 46 | 36 | 10 | 94 |
03/08 | @ MIA | 107-100W | 45 | 28 | 9 | 89 |
03/06 | vs POR | 128-120W | 39 | 23 | 18 | 75 |
03/04 | vs LAL | 104-116L | 38 | 22 | 10 | 94 |
03/03 | vs PHX | 118-0W | 41 | 21 | 5 | 31 |
02/29 | vs SAS | 118-132L | 37 | 20 | 10 | 89 |
Raptors Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/20 | @ SAC | 89-123L | 31 | 21 | 21 | 80 |
03/17 | vs ORL | 96-111L | 37 | 23 | 18 | 84 |
03/15 | @ ORL | 103-113L | 40 | 24 | 15 | 81 |
03/13 | vs DET | 104-113L | 37 | 32 | 11 | 94 |
03/11 | vs DEN | 119-125L | 42 | 30 | 11 | 93 |
03/09 | vs POR | 118-128L | 43 | 29 | 20 | 92 |
03/07 | vs PHX | 113-120L | 36 | 30 | 9 | 95 |
03/05 | @ NOP | 98-141L | 45 | 21 | 11 | 93 |
03/03 | @ CHA | 111-106W | 45 | 27 | 14 | 92 |
03/01 | @ GSW | 105-120L | 47 | 31 | 14 | 97 |
Starting Lineups
Oklahoma City Thunder | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22.0 | 21.6 | 19.7 | 100% | 20.1 | |
Josh Giddey
SG
|
30.4 | 30.8 | 26.2 | 100% | 26.6 |
59.0 | 44.2 | 50.9 | 100% | 51.3 | |
42.2 | 39.6 | 37.0 | 100% | 37.3 | |
40.4 | 33.9 | 36.5 | 100% | 36.9 |
Toronto Raptors | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ochai Agbaji
SF
|
21.0 | 16.1 | 11.1 | 30% | 15.6 |
Bruce Brown
PF
|
34.2 | 26.6 | 21.5 | 43% | 28.4 |
Gradey Dick
SG
|
26.3 | 17.9 | 15.9 | 20% | 18.0 |
37.5 | 29.5 | 23.8 | 27% | 31.2 | |
35.6 | 36.4 | 23.4 | 87% | 24.8 |
Thunder Notable Injuries
- Bismack Biyombo (C): Avg: 4.6pts, 5.5reb, 1.5ast, 21.5 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 1.3
- Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 3.8pts, 3.2reb, 1.3ast, 12.6 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.8
- Mike Muscala (C): Avg: 3.5pts, 2.6reb, 0.8ast, 12.6 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 0.8
- Ousmane Dieng (PF): Avg: 3.8pts, 1.7reb, 1.1ast, 11.0 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.2
- Lindy Waters III (SG): Avg: 2.7pts, 0.9reb, 0.5ast, 6.5 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.8
Raptors Notable Injuries
- RJ Barrett (SF): Avg: 19.7pts, 5.2reb, 3.3ast, 31.7 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 6.0
- Immanuel Quickley (PG): Avg: 16.6pts, 3.7reb, 4.7ast, 29.0 minutes. Last game: 03/17/24. Impact: 6.9
- Chris Boucher (C): Avg: 6.4pts, 4.2reb, 0.5ast, 14.2 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 2.6
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Bruce Brown | TOR | Pts | 12.5 | 15.8 | +3.3 | 40% | 20% | 13% | 13% | OKL | +1.5 | #23 |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKL | Pts | 30.5 | 33.6 | +3.1 | 40% | 60% | 67% | 67% | TOR | +0.1 | #18 |
Gradey Dick | TOR | Reb | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | 40% | 40% | 47% | 47% | OKL | -2.5 | #1 |
Kelly Olynyk | TOR | Reb | 6.5 | 7.7 | +1.2 | 20% | 20% | 13% | 13% | OKL | 0.0 | #17 |
Jalen Williams | OKL | Ast | 4.5 | 5.2 | +0.7 | 40% | 30% | 47% | 47% | TOR | +0.7 | #23 |
Thunder Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #16 | #17 | #21 | #17 | -0.1% |
PF | #22 | #26 | #10 | #24 | 5.3% |
PG | #3 | #27 | #4 | #2 | -19.6% |
SF | #10 | #1 | #25 | #9 | -7.7% |
SG | #23 | #8 | #16 | #15 | 0.5% |
Raptors Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #25 | #30 | #29 | #30 | 17.2% |
PF | #29 | #28 | #22 | #28 | 10.6% |
PG | #12 | #13 | #8 | #11 | -5.4% |
SF | #29 | #25 | #23 | #28 | 13.1% |
SG | #18 | #22 | #11 | #20 | 2.1% |
![Team Logo](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/okl.png)
Team Comparison
![Team Logo](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/tor.png)
Recent Trends
- Javon Freeman-Liberty (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.8% to 12.0, 17.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Jalen Williams (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 40.0% to 34.0, 24.3 min average previous 3 games. Overall, they are on a 8-game losing streak.
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