Each park's season scoring rate, moved by today's wind, heat and rain.
How this is scored
Every game starts from its park's season scoring rate: Park +17% means
17% more runs score there than in an average park, measured from this season's real final
scores (runs per game at the park vs the same teams on the road). Today's weather then moves
it: wind aligned with the park's orientation (up to ±10), temperature vs a 70°F
baseline, and a rain penalty when precipitation is forecast. Domes and closed roofs are
weather-neutral.
The big number is the sum: how much higher or lower than average
scoring the conditions point to. O/U is the sportsbook total for the game, as a market
reality check. Pitcher and bullpen numbers are season stats from the props feed; HR rates
are per batter faced.
1
Braves @Phillies Citizens Bank Park · 1:10 PM ET
+18%runs vs avg · O/U 8
Park+21%Wind7 mph-3.4%
Away starter · faces Philadelphia Phillies batsChris Sale 2.10 ERA · shove job11.0 K/9 · 1.01 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 71 battersBullpen behind him: 3.49 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 35 batters
Home starter · faces Atlanta Braves batsCristopher Sanchez 2.63 ERA · shove job10.3 K/9 · 1.20 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 56 battersBullpen behind him: 4.20 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 30 batters
2
Cardinals @Rockies Coors Field · 3:10 PM ET
+16%runs vs avg · O/U 11
Park+16%
Away starter · faces Colorado Rockies batsMatthew Liberatore 5.57 ERA · hittable9.3 K/9 · 1.47 WHIP · HR-prone: about 1 every 24 battersBullpen behind him: 4.09 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 39 batters
Home starter · faces St. Louis Cardinals batsTanner Gordon 5.18 ERA · hittable7.3 K/9 · 1.40 WHIP · HR-prone: about 1 every 22 battersBullpen behind him: 5.28 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 29 batters
3
Angels @Pirates PNC Park · 1:35 PM ET
+16%runs vs avg · O/U 7
Park+19%Wind7 mph-3.4%
Away starter · faces Pittsburgh Pirates batsReid Detmers 3.44 ERA · solid10.1 K/9 · 1.06 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 42 battersBullpen behind him: 4.31 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 35 batters
Home starter · faces Los Angeles Angels batsPaul Skenes 3.97 ERA · solid10.8 K/9 · 1.16 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 43 battersBullpen behind him: 3.92 ERA · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 44 batters
4
Blue Jays @Royals Kauffman Stadium · 2:10 PM ET
+12%runs vs avg · O/U 9.5
Park+12%Wind6 mph-3.2%82°F+2.9%
Away starter · faces Kansas City Royals batsDylan Cease 2.25 ERA · shove job12.7 K/9 · 1.04 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 67 battersBullpen behind him: 3.53 ERA · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 43 batters
Home starter · faces Toronto Blue Jays batsNoah Cameron 4.08 ERA · league average8.1 K/9 · 1.22 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 42 battersBullpen behind him: 4.65 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 31 batters
5
Tigers @Guardians Progressive Field · 1:40 PM ET
+6%runs vs avg · O/U 7
Park+6%
Away starter · faces Cleveland Guardians batsFramber Valdez 4.17 ERA · league average6.8 K/9 · 1.36 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 45 battersBullpen behind him: 3.52 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 33 batters
Home starter · faces Detroit Tigers batsGavin Williams 3.81 ERA · solid12.0 K/9 · 1.09 WHIP · HR-prone: about 1 every 26 battersBullpen behind him: 3.62 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 36 batters
6
Giants @Mets Citi Field · 1:40 PM ET
-3%runs vs avg · O/U 8
Park+2%Wind10 mph-5.2%
Away starter · faces New York Mets batsLanden Roupp 4.17 ERA · league average8.5 K/9 · 1.29 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 56 battersBullpen behind him: 4.55 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 41 batters
Home starter · faces San Francisco Giants batsNolan McLean 3.06 ERA · shove job10.0 K/9 · 1.14 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 45 battersBullpen behind him: 4.57 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 28 batters
7
Diamondbacks @Astros Daikin Park · 2:10 PM ET
-5%runs vs avg · O/U 8
Park-5%Dome
Away starter · faces Houston Astros batsEduardo Rodriguez 2.59 ERA · shove job6.6 K/9 · 1.22 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 53 battersBullpen behind him: 3.71 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 39 batters
Home starter · faces Arizona Diamondbacks batsHunter Brown 3.31 ERA · solid9.6 K/9 · 1.30 WHIP · average HR rate: about 1 every 37 battersBullpen behind him: 4.45 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 31 batters
8
Nationals @Dodgers Dodger Stadium · 10:10 PM ET
-5%runs vs avg · O/U 8.5
Park-5%
Away starter · faces Los Angeles Dodgers batsCade Cavalli 3.12 ERA · shove job10.5 K/9 · 1.18 WHIP · average HR rate: about 1 every 40 battersBullpen behind him: 4.83 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 34 batters
Home starter · faces Washington Nationals batsTarik Skubal 3.03 ERA · shove job10.9 K/9 · 1.18 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 77 battersBullpen behind him: 3.59 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 36 batters
9
Twins @White Sox Rate Field · 6:20 PM ET
-7%runs vs avg · O/U 8.5
Park-3%Wind7 mph-3.5%
Away starter · faces Chicago White Sox batsTaj Bradley 3.95 ERA · solid10.4 K/9 · 1.26 WHIP · average HR rate: about 1 every 29 battersBullpen behind him: 4.33 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 38 batters
Home starter · faces Minnesota Twins batsDavis Martin 4.13 ERA · league average7.9 K/9 · 1.32 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 48 battersBullpen behind him: 3.95 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 36 batters
10
Rays @Rangers Globe Life Field · 2:35 PM ET
-10%runs vs avg · O/U 7.5
Park-10%Retractable
Away starter · faces Texas Rangers batsDrew Rasmussen 2.88 ERA · shove job9.2 K/9 · 0.90 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 48 battersBullpen behind him: 3.70 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 31 batters
Home starter · faces Tampa Bay Rays batsJacob deGrom 3.96 ERA · solid10.9 K/9 · 1.12 WHIP · average HR rate: about 1 every 32 battersBullpen behind him: 4.26 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 34 batters
11
Brewers @Reds Great American Ball Park · 12:10 PM ET
-13%runs vs avg · O/U 8.5
Park-9%Wind9 mph-4.3%
Away starter · faces Cincinnati Reds batsJacob Misiorowski 1.97 ERA · shove job13.2 K/9 · 0.79 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 48 battersBullpen behind him: 3.71 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 34 batters
Home starter · faces Milwaukee Brewers batsBrady Singer 4.57 ERA · league average7.4 K/9 · 1.44 WHIP · HR-prone: about 1 every 23 battersBullpen behind him: 4.41 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 30 batters
12
Cubs @Marlins LoanDepot Park · 1:40 PM ET
-14%runs vs avg · O/U 8
Park-14%Dome
Away starter · faces Miami Marlins batsShota Imanaga 3.97 ERA · solid8.8 K/9 · 1.12 WHIP · HR-prone: about 1 every 20 battersBullpen behind him: 4.07 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 29 batters
Home starter · faces Chicago Cubs batsSandy Alcantara 3.59 ERA · solid6.5 K/9 · 1.19 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 43 battersBullpen behind him: 4.06 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 37 batters
13
Red Sox @Orioles Oriole Park at Camden Yards · 1:35 PM ET
-14%runs vs avg · O/U 7.5
Park-10%Wind8 mph-4.1%
Away starter · faces Baltimore Orioles batsPayton Tolle 3.23 ERA · solid10.1 K/9 · 1.10 WHIP · average HR rate: about 1 every 37 battersBullpen behind him: 3.36 ERA · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 44 batters
Home starter · faces Boston Red Sox batsTrevor Rogers 4.30 ERA · league average8.2 K/9 · 1.23 WHIP · average HR rate: about 1 every 38 battersBullpen behind him: 4.08 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 39 batters
14
Athletics @Mariners T-Mobile Park · 4:10 PM ET
-15%runs vs avg · O/U 7
Park-15%Retractable
Away starter · faces Seattle Mariners batsJacob Lopez 4.71 ERA · hittable8.8 K/9 · 1.45 WHIP · HR-prone: about 1 every 26 battersBullpen behind him: 5.79 ERA · HR-prone: about 1 every 25 batters
Home starter · faces Athletics batsLogan Gilbert 3.71 ERA · solid9.6 K/9 · 1.07 WHIP · HR-prone: about 1 every 27 battersBullpen behind him: 4.17 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 31 batters
15
Yankees @Padres Petco Park · 4:10 PM ET
-16%runs vs avg · O/U 7
Park-16%
Away starter · faces San Diego Padres batsCam Schlittler 2.04 ERA · shove job11.0 K/9 · 0.94 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 50 battersBullpen behind him: 3.28 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 39 batters
Home starter · faces New York Yankees batsRobbie Ray 4.71 ERA · hittable6.3 K/9 · 1.57 WHIP · HR-prone: about 1 every 24 battersBullpen behind him: 3.67 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 40 batters
3
National TV Games
2
High Scoring (O/U 9.0+)
6
Division Games
Sunday, September 6
15 games
12:10 PM ETReds.TV
Milwaukee
Brewers
87-55
RL
-1.5
ML
-144
at
Cincinnati
Reds
68-74
RL
+1.5
ML
+122
Temp72.9°FPartly Cloudy
Wind8.5 mph in from CFwind suppresses HR
Humidity54%moderate
Pitchers
Away starter · faces Cincinnati Reds batsJacob Misiorowski 1.97 ERA · shove job13.2 K/9 · 0.79 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 48 battersBullpen behind him: 3.71 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 34 batters
Home starter · faces Milwaukee Brewers batsBrady Singer 4.57 ERA · league average7.4 K/9 · 1.44 WHIP · HR-prone: about 1 every 23 battersBullpen behind him: 4.41 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 30 batters
1:10 PM ETNBC/Peacock
TV
Atlanta
Braves
84-58
RL
-1.5
ML
-106
at
Philadelphia
Phillies
80-62
RL
+1.5
ML
-110
Temp70.2°FSunny
Wind6.7 mph in from RFwind suppresses HR
Humidity85%humid, lighter air, slight carry
Pitchers
Away starter · faces Philadelphia Phillies batsChris Sale 2.10 ERA · shove job11.0 K/9 · 1.01 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 71 battersBullpen behind him: 3.49 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 35 batters
Home starter · faces Atlanta Braves batsCristopher Sanchez 2.63 ERA · shove job10.3 K/9 · 1.20 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 56 battersBullpen behind him: 4.20 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 30 batters
1:35 PM ETMASN
Boston
Red Sox
78-65
RL
-1.5
ML
-134
at
Baltimore
Orioles
69-73
RL
+1.5
ML
+114
Temp72.7°FSunny
Wind8.1 mph in from CFwind suppresses HR
Humidity66%humid, lighter air, slight carry
Pitchers
Away starter · faces Baltimore Orioles batsPayton Tolle 3.23 ERA · solid10.1 K/9 · 1.10 WHIP · average HR rate: about 1 every 37 battersBullpen behind him: 3.36 ERA · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 44 batters
Home starter · faces Boston Red Sox batsTrevor Rogers 4.30 ERA · league average8.2 K/9 · 1.23 WHIP · average HR rate: about 1 every 38 battersBullpen behind him: 4.08 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 39 batters
1:35 PM ETSportsNet Pittsburgh
Los Angeles
Angels
54-88
RL
-1.5
ML
+164
at
Pittsburgh
Pirates
70-73
RL
+1.5
ML
-196
Temp67.3°FSunny
Wind6.7 mph in from CFwind suppresses HR
Humidity78%humid, lighter air, slight carry
Pitchers
Away starter · faces Pittsburgh Pirates batsReid Detmers 3.44 ERA · solid10.1 K/9 · 1.06 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 42 battersBullpen behind him: 4.31 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 35 batters
Home starter · faces Los Angeles Angels batsPaul Skenes 3.97 ERA · solid10.8 K/9 · 1.16 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 43 battersBullpen behind him: 3.92 ERA · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 44 batters
1:40 PM ETGuardians.TV Presented by Progressive
Detroit
Tigers
65-77
RL
-1.5
ML
+134
at
Cleveland
Guardians
72-71
RL
+1.5
ML
-158
Temp70.2°FSunny
Wind4.9 mph in from CFwind suppresses HR
Humidity70%humid, lighter air, slight carry
Pitchers
Away starter · faces Cleveland Guardians batsFramber Valdez 4.17 ERA · league average6.8 K/9 · 1.36 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 45 battersBullpen behind him: 3.52 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 33 batters
Home starter · faces Detroit Tigers batsGavin Williams 3.81 ERA · solid12.0 K/9 · 1.09 WHIP · HR-prone: about 1 every 26 battersBullpen behind him: 3.62 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 36 batters
1:40 PM ETSNY
San Francisco
Giants
59-83
RL
-1.5
ML
+134
at
New York
Mets
64-78
RL
+1.5
ML
-158
Temp68.5°FCloudy
Wind10.3 mph in from RFwind suppresses HR
Humidity76%humid, lighter air, slight carry
10 mph cuts HR carry
Pitchers
Away starter · faces New York Mets batsLanden Roupp 4.17 ERA · league average8.5 K/9 · 1.29 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 56 battersBullpen behind him: 4.55 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 41 batters
Home starter · faces San Francisco Giants batsNolan McLean 3.06 ERA · shove job10.0 K/9 · 1.14 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 45 battersBullpen behind him: 4.57 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 28 batters
1:40 PM ETMarquee Sports Network
Chicago
Cubs
81-62
RL
-1.5
ML
-146
at
Miami
Marlins
71-72
RL
+1.5
ML
+124
RoofIndoor StadiumClimate Controlled
Pitchers
Away starter · faces Miami Marlins batsShota Imanaga 3.97 ERA · solid8.8 K/9 · 1.12 WHIP · HR-prone: about 1 every 20 battersBullpen behind him: 4.07 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 29 batters
Home starter · faces Chicago Cubs batsSandy Alcantara 3.59 ERA · solid6.5 K/9 · 1.19 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 43 battersBullpen behind him: 4.06 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 37 batters
2:10 PM ETSpace City Home Network
Arizona
Diamondbacks
75-68
RL
-1.5
ML
-106
at
Houston
Astros
73-70
RL
+1.5
ML
-110
RoofIndoor StadiumClimate Controlled
Pitchers
Away starter · faces Houston Astros batsEduardo Rodriguez 2.59 ERA · shove job6.6 K/9 · 1.22 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 53 battersBullpen behind him: 3.71 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 39 batters
Home starter · faces Arizona Diamondbacks batsHunter Brown 3.31 ERA · solid9.6 K/9 · 1.30 WHIP · average HR rate: about 1 every 37 battersBullpen behind him: 4.45 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 31 batters
2:10 PM ETSportsnet
Toronto
Blue Jays
72-71
RL
-1.5
ML
-122
at
Kansas City
Royals
63-79
RL
+1.5
ML
+104
Temp81.7°FSunny
Wind6.3 mph in from RFwind suppresses HR
Humidity71%humid, lighter air, slight carry
Pitchers
Away starter · faces Kansas City Royals batsDylan Cease 2.25 ERA · shove job12.7 K/9 · 1.04 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 67 battersBullpen behind him: 3.53 ERA · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 43 batters
Home starter · faces Toronto Blue Jays batsNoah Cameron 4.08 ERA · league average8.1 K/9 · 1.22 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 42 battersBullpen behind him: 4.65 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 31 batters
2:35 PM ETRangers Sports Network
Tampa Bay
Rays
85-57
RL
-1.5
ML
-108
at
Texas
Rangers
69-73
RL
+1.5
ML
-108
RoofIndoor StadiumClimate Controlled
Pitchers
Away starter · faces Texas Rangers batsDrew Rasmussen 2.88 ERA · shove job9.2 K/9 · 0.90 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 48 battersBullpen behind him: 3.70 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 31 batters
Home starter · faces Tampa Bay Rays batsJacob deGrom 3.96 ERA · solid10.9 K/9 · 1.12 WHIP · average HR rate: about 1 every 32 battersBullpen behind him: 4.26 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 34 batters
3:10 PM ETRockies.TV
St. Louis
Cardinals
71-72
RL
-1.5
ML
-134
at
Colorado
Rockies
55-87
RL
+1.5
ML
+114
Temp72.8°FOvercast
Wind2.2 mph out to LFwind boosts HR
Humidity52%moderate
Pitchers
Away starter · faces Colorado Rockies batsMatthew Liberatore 5.57 ERA · hittable9.3 K/9 · 1.47 WHIP · HR-prone: about 1 every 24 battersBullpen behind him: 4.09 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 39 batters
Home starter · faces St. Louis Cardinals batsTanner Gordon 5.18 ERA · hittable7.3 K/9 · 1.40 WHIP · HR-prone: about 1 every 22 battersBullpen behind him: 5.28 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 29 batters
4:10 PM ETNBCSCA
TV
Athletics
57-86
RL
-1.5
ML
—
at
Seattle
Mariners
66-77
RL
+1.5
ML
-205
RoofIndoor StadiumClimate Controlled
Pitchers
Away starter · faces Seattle Mariners batsJacob Lopez 4.71 ERA · hittable8.8 K/9 · 1.45 WHIP · HR-prone: about 1 every 26 battersBullpen behind him: 5.79 ERA · HR-prone: about 1 every 25 batters
Home starter · faces Athletics batsLogan Gilbert 3.71 ERA · solid9.6 K/9 · 1.07 WHIP · HR-prone: about 1 every 27 battersBullpen behind him: 4.17 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 31 batters
4:10 PM ETYES
New York
Yankees
81-61
RL
-1.5
ML
-110
at
San Diego
Padres
73-68
RL
+1.5
ML
-106
Temp72.3°FOvercast
Wind15.4 mph R to L cross
Humidity68%humid, lighter air, slight carry
Pitchers
Away starter · faces San Diego Padres batsCam Schlittler 2.04 ERA · shove job11.0 K/9 · 0.94 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 50 battersBullpen behind him: 3.28 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 39 batters
Home starter · faces New York Yankees batsRobbie Ray 4.71 ERA · hittable6.3 K/9 · 1.57 WHIP · HR-prone: about 1 every 24 battersBullpen behind him: 3.67 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 40 batters
6:20 PM ETPeacock/NBCSN
TV
Minnesota
Twins
68-74
RL
-1.5
ML
+124
at
Chicago
White Sox
74-68
RL
+1.5
ML
-146
Temp73°FOvercast
Wind6.9 mph in from CFwind suppresses HR
Humidity76%humid, lighter air, slight carry
Pitchers
Away starter · faces Chicago White Sox batsTaj Bradley 3.95 ERA · solid10.4 K/9 · 1.26 WHIP · average HR rate: about 1 every 29 battersBullpen behind him: 4.33 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 38 batters
Home starter · faces Minnesota Twins batsDavis Martin 4.13 ERA · league average7.9 K/9 · 1.32 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 48 battersBullpen behind him: 3.95 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 36 batters
10:10 PM ETSportsNet LA
Washington
Nationals
67-77
RL
-1.5
ML
+172
at
Los Angeles
Dodgers
85-57
RL
+1.5
ML
-205
Temp73°FPatchy rain nearby
Wind3.1 mph out to CFwind boosts HR
Humidity38%moderate
Pitchers
Away starter · faces Los Angeles Dodgers batsCade Cavalli 3.12 ERA · shove job10.5 K/9 · 1.18 WHIP · average HR rate: about 1 every 40 battersBullpen behind him: 4.83 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 34 batters
Home starter · faces Washington Nationals batsTarik Skubal 3.03 ERA · shove job10.9 K/9 · 1.18 WHIP · keeps it in the park: about 1 HR every 77 battersBullpen behind him: 3.59 ERA · average HR rate: about 1 every 36 batters
Braves 
Phillies 
Cardinals 
Rockies 
Angels 
Pirates 
Blue Jays 
Royals 
Tigers 
Guardians 
Giants 
Mets 
Diamondbacks 
Astros 
Nationals 
Dodgers 
Twins 
White Sox 
Rays 
Rangers 
Cubs 
Marlins 
Red Sox 
Orioles 
Athletics 
Mariners 
Yankees 
Padres 
