Hawks vs Celtics Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at TD Garden tonight as the Atlanta Hawks swoop into enemy territory to clash with the Boston Celtics in a first-round playoff game that promises more fireworks than the Fourth of July! With both teams fresh off convincing wins and the Celtics sitting pretty at the top of the Eastern Conference, this 8 PM tipoff is set to be a hoop lover’s dream. The stakes? Just a cozy 236-point over/under and a line that’s tighter than your favorite pair of skinny jeans. But don’t let the numbers fool you; after a series of playoff blowouts, we’re due for a nail-biter that could redefine the pecking order. So, as the Hawks try to ruffle some feathers and the Celtics aim to shamrock their world, tonight’s game is gearing up to be nothing short of epic!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 18, 2025 08:00PM EST

Location: TD Garden, Boston

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+425	-600	234.5	11.0/-11.0
Recent	+190	-260	236.0	10.5/-10.5
Difference	-235	+340	+1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

24W-37L

34.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

50W-11L

65.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
11/12/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	29	25	30	33	00	117	Under
11/12/24	Boston Celtics BOS	31	34	26	25	00	116	Under
11/04/24	Boston Celtics BOS	35	40	28	20	00	123	Under
11/04/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	30	23	22	18	00	93	Under
03/28/24	Boston Celtics BOS	29	34	27	22	100	122	Over
03/28/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	28	31	30	23	110	123	Over
03/25/24	Boston Celtics BOS	44	30	22	22	00	118	Over
03/25/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	22	34	34	30	00	120	Over
02/07/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	37	30	23	27	00	117	Over
02/07/24	Boston Celtics BOS	35	36	24	30	00	125	Over
11/26/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	26	27	29	21	00	103	Under
11/26/23	Boston Celtics BOS	33	36	21	23	00	113	Under
04/09/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	31	33	26	24	00	114	Under
04/09/23	Boston Celtics BOS	29	32	39	20	00	120	Under
03/11/23	Boston Celtics BOS	37	34	30	33	00	134	Over
03/11/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	38	23	28	36	00	125	Over
11/16/22	Boston Celtics BOS	30	32	35	29	00	126	Under
11/16/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	18	35	25	23	00	101	Under
03/01/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	28	37	13	20	00	98	Under
03/01/22	Boston Celtics BOS	19	32	31	25	00	107	Under
02/13/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	28	27	23	17	00	95	Under
02/13/22	Boston Celtics BOS	17	28	42	18	00	105	Under
01/28/22	Boston Celtics BOS	20	27	30	15	00	92	Under
01/28/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	32	30	18	28	00	108	Under
11/17/21	Boston Celtics BOS	29	20	28	22	00	99	Under
11/17/21	Atlanta Hawks ATL	30	28	33	19	00	110	Under

Hawks Vs Over/Under

Celtics Vs Over/Under

Hawks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/15	vs CHI	110-94W	51	28	9	100
01/14	@ PHX	122-117W	54	22	12	98
01/09	vs PHX	115-123L	32	32	11	86
01/07	vs UTA	124-121W	44	35	10	98
01/04	vs LAC	105-131L	43	30	22	88
01/03	vs LAL	102-119L	39	22	8	100
01/01	vs DEN	120-139L	44	34	13	100
12/29	vs TOR	136-107W	40	30	14	95
12/28	@ MIA	120-110W	47	34	11	86
12/26	@ CHI	141-133W	44	32	12	89

Celtics Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/17	@ ORL	121-94W	41	25	10	80
01/15	vs TOR	97-110L	45	24	9	91
01/12	@ NOP	120-119W	55	23	11	101
01/10	@ SAC	97-114L	43	22	15	84
01/07	vs DEN	118-106W	41	30	11	88
01/03	vs HOU	109-86W	41	20	14	77
01/02	vs MIN	118-115W	31	30	3	92
12/31	@ TOR	125-71W	49	29	13	87
12/29	@ IND	114-123L	41	26	8	93
12/27	@ IND	142-105W	52	31	10	92

Starting Lineups

Atlanta Hawks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Clint Capela C	27.0	25.1	26.8	100%	27.0
Dyson Daniels SG	31.0	31.9	32.0	100%	32.4
Jalen Johnson PF	38.0	45.1	44.0	100%	44.4
Vit Krejci SF	19.0	25.8	13.8	30%	23.7
Trae Young PG	44.0	50.2	47.7	100%	48.0

Boston Celtics	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jaylen Brown SF	42.0	35.4	39.8	100%	40.2
Jrue Holiday SG	28.0	27.0	25.5	100%	25.9
Neemias Queta C	13.0	6.0	12.9	13%	19.7
Jayson Tatum PF	53.0	46.6	51.3	100%	51.6
Derrick White PG	30.0	19.7	31.7	100%	32.0

Hawks Notable Injuries

Zaccharie Risacher (SF/PF): Avg: 10.4pts, 3.6reb, 1.2ast, 23.9 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 2.8
Keaton Wallace (PG): Avg: 6.4pts, 1.6reb, 2.3ast, 17.6 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 2.9
Dominick Barlow (C): Avg: 3.9pts, 3.0reb, 1.0ast, 11.4 minutes. Last game: 01/04/25. Impact: 0.8

Celtics Notable Injuries

Kristaps Porzingis (C): Avg: 19.4pts, 7.1reb, 2.0ast, 29.1 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 6.0
Al Horford (PF/C): Avg: 8.9pts, 6.1reb, 2.3ast, 27.4 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 3.4
Drew Peterson (PF): Avg: 3.6pts, 1.9reb, 0.7ast, 10.1 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 1.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Clint Capela	ATL	Pts	8.5	10.1	+1.6	60%	40%	47%	47%	BOS	-1.1	#11
Jrue Holiday	BOS	Pts	10.5	11.6	+1.1	40%	50%	60%	60%	ATL	-0.3	#9
Dyson Daniels	ATL	Reb	4.5	5.5	+1.0	40%	50%	47%	47%	BOS	+1.1	#30
Jaylen Brown	BOS	Reb	5.5	6.0	+0.5	80%	60%	47%	47%	ATL	+0.5	#23
Jayson Tatum	BOS	Ast	4.5	5.4	+0.9	60%	60%	53%	53%	ATL	+0.8	#27

View All Player Prop Projections

Hawks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#26	#16	#27	#26	7.4%
PF	#17	#25	#27	#23	4.2%
PG	#9	#15	#21	#17	0.9%
SF	#30	#23	#27	#30	13.8%
SG	#18	#16	#26	#20	2.2%

Celtics Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#11	#10	#3	#3	-13.8%
PF	#21	#12	#13	#12	-1.6%
PG	#6	#30	#5	#7	-5.5%
SF	#3	#16	#3	#4	-9.7%
SG	#9	#19	#6	#7	-6.2%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

117.1

116.8

Rebounds per Game

47.0

46.4

Assists per Game

29.8

26.1

Steals per Game

10.3

7.4

Blocks per Game

5.0

6.1

Shots per Game

94.7

91.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.0

18.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.2

56.9

3-Pt Percentage per Game

34.4

37.0

Turnovers per Game

14.3

11.0

Fouls per Game

18.2

16.2

Recent Trends

Luke Kornet (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 45.6% to 10.2, 18.8 min average previous 3 games.
David Roddy (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.9% to 16.5, 12.2 min average previous 3 games.