Opponent-adjusted: every game is re-expressed as what an average FBS offense would have scored against the defense, so a unit that faced three top offenses is not marked softer than one that faced two FCS visitors (FCS offenses are measured against each other, never as average FBS attacks). Early-season rating: the completed 2025 season (75% full season, 25% last-8-games form) blended with 2026 games as they are played. Current-season weight = games / (games + 4), so ratings are 50/50 after 4 games and the new season takes over quickly. Every input is a real windowed per-game mean, nothing is projected. SoS is the strength of offenses faced, in points above an average FBS offense. Defenses with fewer than 4 games across the two seasons are listed without a rank.
●Elite Matchup (Target)
●Good Matchup
●Average
●Tough
●Avoid

Best QB Matchups (Most Points Allowed)

#133 Charlotte 49ers 30.4 FPA
#132 Georgia State Panthers 30.0 FPA
#131 Rutgers Scarlet Knights 29.5 FPA

Toughest QB Matchups (Fewest Points Allowed)

#1 Ohio State Buckeyes 6.3 FPA
#2 Iowa Hawkeyes 10.2 FPA
#3 Indiana Hoosiers 11.6 FPA
Rank Team DK FPA FD FPA vs Avg SoS L4 G
1
Ohio State BuckeyesOHIOST
6.3
6.0
-14.3
-0.4 4.8 0(13)
2
Iowa HawkeyesIOWA
10.2
9.8
-10.4
-1.1 8.0 0(12)
3
Indiana HoosiersINDIANA
11.6
11.0
-9.0
+0.1 10.9 0(13)
4
Oregon DucksOREGN
11.8
11.3
-8.8
-1.9 14.9 0(12)
5
Oklahoma SoonersOKLA
11.9
10.8
-8.7
+0.2 15.8 0(12)
6
Texas Tech Red RaidersTEXTECH
11.9
11.1
-8.7
-0.7 5.6 0(13)
7
BYU CougarsBYU
12.0
11.5
-8.6
-0.7 7.7 0(11)
8
Miami HurricanesMIAMI
13.0
12.5
-7.6
-0.1 9.1 0(12)
9
Toledo RocketsTOLEDO
13.2
12.7
-7.4
-4.0 8.6 0(12)
10
James Madison DukesJMU
13.8
13.5
-6.8
-0.5 12.3 0(13)
11
Missouri TigersMIZZOU
13.9
13.7
-6.7
+1.5 16.1 0(12)
12
Washington State CougarsWSHST
14.0
13.6
-6.6
-0.2 7.6 0(12)
13
Florida GatorsFLA
14.5
13.5
-6.1
+2.8 16.5 0(12)
14
Wake Forest Demon DeaconsWAKFDEM
14.5
14.0
-6.1
+0.6 15.5 0(12)
15
South Carolina GamecocksS CAR
14.8
14.1
-5.8
+0.8 16.6 0(12)
16
UCF KnightsUCF
15.0
14.7
-5.6
+0.1 16.8 0(12)
17
Georgia BulldogsUGA
15.0
14.7
-5.6
+0.9 5.9 0(13)
18
Michigan WolverinesMICH
15.1
14.5
-5.5
-0.4 16.7 0(12)
19
Alabama Crimson TideALA
15.2
14.5
-5.4
-0.3 16.4 0(13)
20
Notre Dame Fighting IrishN DAME
15.2
14.6
-5.4
+1.1 15.8 0(12)
21
LSU TigersLSU
15.4
14.5
-5.2
+1.5 12.2 0(12)
22
Texas A&M AggiesTEXAM
15.4
14.9
-5.2
+0.1 14.8 0(12)
23
Virginia CavaliersUVA
15.4
14.8
-5.2
+2.0 11.0 1(13)
24
Fresno State BulldogsFRESNO
15.6
15.0
-5.0
-1.7 10.9 0(12)
25
San Diego State AztecsSANDIST
15.7
15.5
-4.9
-3.7 15.3 0(12)
26
Western Michigan BroncosWESTMICH
15.7
14.3
-4.9
-2.1 17.3 0(13)
27
New Mexico LobosN MEX
16.1
15.4
-4.5
-0.9 14.8 0(12)
28
Memphis TigersMEM
16.2
15.1
-4.4
-0.5 0.7 1(12)
29
Auburn TigersAUBRN
16.3
15.2
-4.3
+1.9 18.6 0(11)
30
Wisconsin BadgersWISC
16.5
15.7
-4.1
+1.3 14.2 0(12)
31
Arizona WildcatsARIZ
16.6
16.2
-4.0
+0.3 13.6 0(12)
32
Northwestern WildcatsNORTHWST
16.7
16.0
-3.9
-0.8 18.8 0(12)
33
Louisville CardinalsLOUIS
17.0
16.2
-3.6
-1.7 16.4 0(12)
34
Houston CougarsHOU
17.4
16.6
-3.2
-2.5 18.3 0(12)
35
Illinois Fighting IlliniILL
17.4
16.3
-3.2
-0.3 11.3 0(12)
36
Utah UtesUTAH
17.4
16.9
-3.2
0.0 19.9 0(11)
37
Nebraska CornhuskersNEB
17.7
17.3
-2.9
-1.7 20.2 0(12)
38
Army Black KnightsARMY
18.0
17.4
-2.6
+0.5 15.9 0(12)
39
Washington HuskiesWASH
18.0
17.5
-2.6
-0.6 14.9 0(12)
40
Wyoming CowboysWYO
18.2
17.3
-2.4
-1.7 15.3 0(11)
41
USC TrojansUSC
18.4
17.7
-2.2
-0.2 15.8 0(12)
42
Clemson TigersCLEMTIG
18.5
17.1
-2.1
-1.3 16.8 0(12)
43
Miami (OH) RedhawksMIAMIOH
18.5
17.6
-2.1
-2.1 18.0 0(13)
44
Texas LonghornsTEXAS
18.5
17.6
-2.1
+1.1 22.9 0(12)
45
Arizona State Sun DevilsARIST
18.8
18.1
-1.8
+1.0 18.7 0(11)
46
Boise State BroncosBOISEST
18.8
18.0
-1.8
+0.3 19.6 0(13)
47
North Carolina Tar HeelsUNC
18.9
18.4
-1.7
-3.2 24.4 0(12)
48
Virginia Tech HokiesVT
18.9
18.8
-1.7
+1.5 21.9 0(12)
49
East Carolina PiratesECARP
19.2
18.0
-1.4
-0.1 22.3 0(12)
50
California Golden BearsCAL
19.5
19.0
-1.1
-3.0 17.9 0(12)
51
TCU Horned FrogsTCU
19.5
18.7
-1.1
-4.4 13.3 1(12)
52
Mississippi State BulldogsMISSST
19.7
18.8
-0.9
+0.5 19.9 0(12)
53
North Texas Mean GreenNO TEX
19.8
18.7
-0.8
+0.2 20.5 0(13)
54
Maryland TerrapinsMD
19.9
19.6
-0.7
-0.8 22.5 0(12)
55
Ole Miss RebelsMISS
19.9
19.0
-0.7
+0.1 21.7 0(12)
56
Florida State SeminolesFSTSEMI
20.0
19.6
-0.6
-1.3 19.6 0(12)
57
UTSA RoadrunnersUTSA
20.0
19.7
-0.6
+1.8 15.1 0(12)
58
Pittsburgh PanthersPITT
20.1
19.6
-0.5
-1.3 21.0 0(12)
59
Troy TrojansTROY
20.1
19.1
-0.5
-0.4 22.0 0(13)
60
Northern Illinois HuskiesNRTHILL
20.2
19.1
-0.4
-1.8 25.5 0(11)
61
UConn HuskiesUCONN
20.3
19.6
-0.3
-3.0 19.4 0(12)
62
Tennessee VolunteersTENN
20.4
18.9
-0.2
-0.2 18.7 0(12)
63
Kentucky WildcatsUK
20.4
19.6
-0.2
+1.3 26.6 0(12)
64
Minnesota Golden GophersMINN
20.5
19.3
-0.1
-1.9 20.7 0(12)
65
Old Dominion MonarchsOLDDOM
20.7
20.1
+0.1
-0.4 9.4 0(11)
66
Stanford CardinalSTAFRD
20.7
19.4
+0.1
-0.2 17.2 1(12)
67
Louisiana Tech BulldogsLOUTECH
20.8
20.1
+0.2
-3.1 21.8 0(12)
68
Purdue BoilermakersPURDUE
20.8
19.6
+0.2
-0.5 21.4 0(12)
69
Bowling Green FalconsBGSU
21.2
20.2
+0.6
-2.7 18.1 0(12)
70
UCLA BruinsUCLA
21.2
21.1
+0.6
+1.5 20.0 0(12)
71
Central Michigan ChippewasCENTMICH
21.3
20.2
+0.7
-3.4 19.2 0(12)
72
Tulane Green WaveTULGW
21.3
19.3
+0.7
+0.2 14.2 0(13)
73
Colorado BuffaloesCOLO
21.4
20.6
+0.8
+1.8 16.2 0(12)
74
Nevada Wolf PackNEVADA
21.4
21.2
+0.8
-2.1 22.4 0(12)
75
South Florida BullsUSF
21.4
20.0
+0.8
-1.7 20.8 0(12)
76
Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsHAWAII
21.6
20.4
+1.0
-2.9 25.4 1(11)
77
Syracuse OrangeSYRORA
21.6
21.2
+1.0
-0.1 20.1 0(12)
78
Vanderbilt CommodoresVNDRBLT
21.6
20.4
+1.0
+0.1 25.4 0(12)
79
Michigan State SpartansMICHST
21.7
20.6
+1.1
-0.9 21.8 0(12)
80
Colorado State RamsCOLORST
21.8
20.9
+1.2
-1.7 18.8 0(12)
81
Louisiana Ragin' CajunsLA
21.8
20.7
+1.2
-1.9 23.8 0(12)
82
Iowa State CyclonesIOWAST
22.2
21.0
+1.6
-0.5 21.4 0(12)
83
SMU MustangsSMU
22.2
20.8
+1.6
-2.6 19.4 0(12)
84
Kansas JayhawksKANSAS
22.3
21.4
+1.7
-2.1 20.9 0(12)
85
Southern Miss Golden EaglesS MISS
22.3
21.2
+1.7
-1.1 25.0 0(12)
86
Ohio BobcatsOHIO
22.4
21.7
+1.8
-3.4 22.0 0(12)
87
Oklahoma State CowboysOKLSTAT
22.4
21.3
+1.8
+0.3 12.4 0(12)
88
Temple OwlsTEMOWL
22.4
21.3
+1.8
+0.2 22.7 0(12)
89
Buffalo BullsBUFF
22.5
21.8
+1.9
-3.9 22.5 0(12)
90
Kansas State WildcatsKSSTAT
22.5
21.1
+1.9
-0.2 23.5 0(12)
91
West Virginia MountaineersWVU
22.5
21.4
+1.9
+0.6 26.1 0(11)
92
Oregon State BeaversORGNST
22.7
22.1
+2.1
-1.7 16.7 0(12)
93
Penn State Nittany LionsPENNST
22.7
21.0
+2.1
-0.9 16.1 0(12)
94
Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsGATECH
22.8
21.8
+2.2
+0.5 22.5 0(11)
95
Kennesaw State OwlsKENOWL
22.9
21.8
+2.3
-1.6 28.2 0(13)
96
Florida International PanthersFLAINT
23.4
22.2
+2.8
-1.6 21.3 0(11)
97
New Mexico State AggiesNWMEXST
23.4
22.6
+2.8
+1.6 18.5 1(12)
98
UTEP MinersUTEP
23.6
22.4
+3.0
-1.6 29.7 0(12)
99
Jacksonville State GamecocksJAXGAM
23.9
22.7
+3.3
-3.2 18.5 1(13)
100
Ball State CardinalsBALLST
24.3
23.6
+3.7
-1.5 21.0 0(12)
101
Duke Blue DevilsDUKEBD
24.4
22.5
+3.8
-0.3 24.7 0(13)
102
NC State WolfpackNC ST
24.5
22.8
+3.9
+1.1 27.1 1(12)
103
Arkansas State Red WolvesARKNST
24.6
23.5
+4.0
-0.8 23.3 0(12)
104
South Alabama JaguarsS ALA
24.6
23.3
+4.0
-0.7 27.4 0(11)
105
Coastal Carolina ChanticleersCSTLCAR
24.7
23.9
+4.1
-0.6 30.7 0(12)
106
Baylor BearsBAYBEA
24.8
23.5
+4.2
+0.7 26.4 0(11)
107
Boston College EaglesBOSEAG
25.2
24.1
+4.6
-1.1 20.0 0(12)
108
Eastern Michigan EaglesEASTMICH
25.2
24.3
+4.6
-2.1 20.3 0(12)
109
Georgia Southern EaglesGRGASTH
25.2
24.1
+4.6
-0.5 24.5 0(12)
110
UL Monroe WarhawksLA MON
25.2
24.7
+4.6
-1.3 23.5 0(12)
111
Rice OwlsRICE
25.2
24.2
+4.6
+1.2 30.0 0(12)
112
Western Kentucky HilltoppersWESTKENT
25.2
23.7
+4.6
-3.6 26.5 0(13)
113
Air Force FalconsAIRFOR
25.4
23.7
+4.8
+0.5 18.0 0(12)
114
UAB BlazersUAB
25.4
24.6
+4.8
+1.9 22.0 0(12)
115
UNLV RebelsUNLV
25.6
24.5
+5.0
+0.8 20.7 1(13)
116
Arkansas RazorbacksARK
25.9
24.7
+5.3
+0.5 29.0 0(12)
117
Liberty FlamesLIBFLA
26.0
25.3
+5.4
-1.6 34.0 0(12)
118
Cincinnati BearcatsCINCY
26.2
24.7
+5.6
-1.8 20.9 0(10)
119
Utah State AggiesUTAHST
26.2
24.9
+5.6
-0.4 24.3 0(12)
120
Navy MidshipmenNAVY
26.4
23.9
+5.8
+0.4 24.6 0(12)
121
Texas State BobcatsTEXST
26.4
25.9
+5.8
-1.6 21.6 0(12)
122
Marshall Thundering HerdMARSHL
27.0
25.6
+6.4
+0.2 18.4 0(12)
123
Akron ZipsAKRON
27.2
25.9
+6.6
-4.5 22.1 0(12)
124
San Jose State SpartansSJSU
27.2
25.4
+6.6
+2.4 22.1 1(12)
125
Florida Atlantic OwlsFLOATL
27.6
26.7
+7.0
+0.3 26.0 0(12)
126
Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersMIDTEN
28.0
27.4
+7.4
-2.9 34.2 0(12)
127
Kent State Golden FlashesKENTST
28.2
27.0
+7.6
-2.8 25.9 0(12)
128
Appalachian State MountaineersAPP
28.5
26.6
+7.9
-1.1 29.7 0(12)
129
UMass MinutemenMASS
29.2
28.4
+8.6
-2.7 30.0 0(12)
130
Tulsa Golden HurricaneTULSA
29.4
28.0
+8.8
0.0 25.7 0(12)
131
Rutgers Scarlet KnightsRUTGER
29.5
27.9
+8.9
-0.3 25.5 0(12)
132
Georgia State PanthersGRGIAST
30.0
28.3
+9.4
+1.4 32.2 0(11)
133
Charlotte 49ersCHAR
30.4
28.2
+9.8
+1.0 23.2 0(12)