Hawks vs Cavaliers Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying clash as the underdog Atlanta Hawks swoop into the Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse to challenge the high-flying Cleveland Cavaliers in a pivotal first-round NBA Playoff game tonight at 8 PM EST. After a series of first-round blowouts, tonight’s match-up promises to dial up the intensity with the Hawks looking to ruffle some feathers and the Cavaliers aiming to defend their top perch in the Eastern Conference. With the Cavs soaring off a recent victory and the Hawks nursing the sting of a narrow defeat, the stakes are sky-high. As the over/under hovers at a hefty 236.5, fans are buckled in for a game that could either see the Hawks take flight or the Cavaliers continuing to rule the roost. So, let’s see if the Hawks can claw back into contention or if the Cavaliers will send them flying back to Atlanta with their tails between their legs!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 30, 2025 08:00PM EST

Location: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	CLE ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+340	-460	237.5	10.0/-10.0
Recent	+345	-470	236.5	11.0/-11.0
Difference	+5	-10	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

25W-39L

22.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

45W-14L

77.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
11/29/24	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	27	23	23	28	101	Under
11/29/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	29	23	39	26	117	Under
11/27/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	35	26	37	37	135	Over
11/27/24	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	35	29	31	29	124	Over
03/06/24	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	28	21	40	12	101	Under
03/06/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	31	33	23	25	112	Under
01/20/24	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	25	34	34	23	116	Under
01/20/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	20	25	25	25	95	Under
12/16/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	28	24	29	38	119	Over
12/16/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	41	29	22	35	127	Over
11/28/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	33	28	29	15	105	Under
11/28/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	29	35	38	26	128	Under
03/28/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	24	27	33	34	118	Over
03/28/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	24	35	35	26	120	Over
02/24/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	23	34	26	36	119	Over
02/24/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	32	49	27	28	136	Over
11/21/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	26	33	23	20	102	Under
11/21/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	38	26	21	29	114	Under
02/15/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	36	25	29	26	116	Over
02/15/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	34	32	28	30	124	Over
12/31/21	Atlanta Hawks ATL	25	26	40	30	121	Over
12/31/21	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	32	34	22	30	118	Over
03/31/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	28	25	22	32	107	Over
03/31/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	36	30	34	31	131	Over
10/23/21	Atlanta Hawks ATL	27	28	17	23	95	Under
10/23/21	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	24	28	31	18	101	Under

Hawks Vs Over/Under

Cavaliers Vs Over/Under

Hawks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/28	@ HOU	96-100L	40	19	16	89
01/27	vs MIN	92-100L	51	24	21	86
01/23	@ TOR	119-122L	36	30	14	87
01/22	@ DET	104-114L	47	25	13	103
01/20	vs NYK	110-119L	41	23	23	85
01/18	vs BOS	119-115W	55	27	17	93
01/15	vs CHI	110-94W	51	28	9	100
01/14	@ PHX	122-117W	54	22	12	98
01/09	vs PHX	115-123L	32	32	11	86
01/07	vs UTA	124-121W	44	35	10	98

Cavaliers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/29	vs MIA	126-106W	47	29	7	100
01/27	@ DET	110-91W	53	28	9	91
01/24	vs PHI	129-132L	37	30	16	90
01/22	vs HOU	108-109L	45	25	13	97
01/20	@ PHX	118-92W	50	27	8	95
01/18	vs MIN	124-117W	47	27	7	92
01/16	vs OKL	114-134L	49	32	21	90
01/14	vs IND	127-117W	49	25	14	89
01/12	@ IND	93-108L	44	24	13	83
01/09	@ TOR	132-126W	42	31	11	89

Starting Lineups

Atlanta Hawks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Dyson Daniels SG	35.0	38.0	33.0	100%	33.4
Vit Krejci SF	26.0	22.1	15.4	47%	22.3
Onyeka Okongwu C	43.0	29.1	27.3	17%	29.1
Trae Young PG	44.0	41.5	45.3	100%	45.6

Cleveland Cavaliers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jarrett Allen C	34.0	33.2	32.5	100%	32.9
Darius Garland PG	34.0	40.6	38.0	100%	38.3
Donovan Mitchell SG	39.0	44.8	41.1	100%	41.4
Evan Mobley PF	42.0	35.0	37.7	100%	38.0
Max Strus SF	21.0	22.6	20.8	63%	22.7

Hawks Notable Injuries

Jalen Johnson (PF): Avg: 17.2pts, 9.2reb, 4.1ast, 34.5 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 6.3
Clint Capela (C): Avg: 10.8pts, 10.1reb, 1.2ast, 24.6 minutes. Last game: 01/27/25. Impact: 4.3
Bogdan Bogdanovic (SG/SF): Avg: 15.3pts, 3.2reb, 2.9ast, 29.2 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 2.6
Daeqwon Plowden (SG/SF): Avg: 19.0pts, 4.0reb, 0.0ast, 25.2 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 4.3

Cavaliers Notable Injuries

Caris LeVert (PG/SG): Avg: 12.7pts, 3.7reb, 4.4ast, 27.0 minutes. Last game: 01/18/25. Impact: 3.4
Isaac Okoro (SF/PF): Avg: 7.8pts, 2.5reb, 1.7ast, 24.5 minutes. Last game: 01/16/25. Impact: 1.8
Dean Wade (C): Avg: 5.5pts, 4.3reb, 1.1ast, 21.1 minutes. Last game: 01/24/25. Impact: 3.0
JT Thor (SF/PF): Avg: 3.0pts, 2.1reb, 0.4ast, 11.2 minutes. Last game: 01/20/25. Impact: 1.2
Emoni Bates (PG/SF): Avg: 1.9pts, 0.7reb, 0.5ast, 5.9 minutes. Last game: 01/29/25. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Onyeka Okongwu	ATL	Pts	12.5	18.1	+5.6	40%	50%	47%	47%	CLE	-0.6	#13
Evan Mobley	CLE	Pts	16.5	18.5	+2.0	40%	60%	60%	60%	ATL	+2.3	#26
Dyson Daniels	ATL	Reb	5.5	6.2	+0.7	60%	50%	40%	40%	CLE	-0.5	#3

View All Player Prop Projections

Hawks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#26	#15	#27	#21	6.5%
PF	#26	#11	#20	#24	4.5%
PG	#4	#10	#18	#11	-3.0%
SF	#30	#24	#25	#29	10.0%
SG	#13	#24	#27	#19	2.0%

Cavaliers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#13	#18	#22	#15	0.3%
PF	#20	#20	#25	#21	2.8%
PG	#24	#3	#5	#10	-3.1%
SF	#14	#28	#3	#11	-1.7%
SG	#5	#3	#14	#6	-7.5%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

115.5

120.9

Rebounds per Game

46.0

45.9

Assists per Game

28.5

29.3

Steals per Game

10.6

7.6

Blocks per Game

4.9

4.1

Shots per Game

93.6

91.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.9

16.7

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.6

57.5

3-Pt Percentage per Game

33.4

38.4

Turnovers per Game

14.8

12.2

Fouls per Game

18.7

17.7

Recent Trends

Garrison Mathews (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.1% to 16.3, 12.1 min average previous 3 games.
Sam Merrill (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 58.8% to 21.4, 13.5 min average previous 3 games.
Jaylon Tyson (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 76.4% to 19.1, 10.8 min average previous 3 games.
Keaton Wallace (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 81.6% to 31.7, 17.5 min average previous 3 games.