Hawks vs Mavericks Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Apr 4th 2024

Alright, sports junkies, buckle up! We’re headed to the Lone Star State tonight where the scrappy Atlanta Hawks are swooping into the American Airlines Center, looking to ruffle the feathers of the Dallas Mavericks. Now, the Hawks may be trailing in the Eastern conference, but don’t let that fool you – they’re fresh off a win and are hungry for more. On the flip side, the Mavs, who’ve been ruling the roost in the West, are licking their wounds after a recent stumble. Tonight’s clash is set to be a high-flying affair, with the over/under perched at a lofty 228.0. The Hawks are the underdogs, but remember – they’ve got a point to prove. As for the Mavs, they’re favored to win, but they’ll need to bring their A-game to avoid another tumble. So, whether you’re a betting man or just here for the thrill, this game’s got all the makings of a classic showdown. And remember folks, in this game of Hawks and Mavs, it’s not about who can fly the highest, it’s about who can stay airborne the longest.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 04, 2024 07:30PM EST

Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	DAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+430	-625	231.0	11.0/-11.0
Recent	+190	-260	228.0	12.0/-12.0
Difference	-240	+365	-3.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

15W-22L

34.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

21W-15L

65.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
01/26/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	39	42	40		148	Over
01/26/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	31	35	36	41		143	Over
04/02/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	29	37	25	32	7	130	Over
04/02/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	37	33	24	29	9	132	Over
01/18/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	40	25	33	32		130	Over
01/18/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	37	25	35	25		122	Over
02/06/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	26	24	26	18		94	Under
02/06/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	29	25	26	23		103	Under
10/21/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	20	24	20	23		87	Under
10/21/21	Atlanta Hawks ATL	22	29	35	27		113	Under

Hawks Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Hawks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/03	@ DET	121-113W	48	36	16	90
04/01	vs CHI	113-101W	45	29	14	82
03/30	@ MIL	113-122L	39	24	11	92
03/28	@ BOS	123-122W	53	24	11	106
03/27	@ POR	120-106W	41	23	16	85
03/25	@ BOS	120-118W	44	30	13	87
03/23	@ CHA	132-91W	43	40	8	90
03/21	vs PHX	115-131L	36	27	8	92
03/18	vs LAL	105-136L	42	32	9	98
03/17	vs LAC	110-93W	45	32	14	84

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/02	vs GSW	100-104L	42	27	15	89
03/31	vs HOU	125-107W	47	24	13	93
03/29	vs SAC	107-103W	42	24	10	76
03/26	vs SAC	132-96W	49	34	9	92
03/25	vs UTA	115-105W	47	31	6	92
03/21	@ UTA	113-98W	43	33	13	87
03/19	vs SAS	113-107W	40	31	9	91
03/17	@ DEN	107-105W	60	22	11	100
03/14	vs OKL	119-126L	40	25	19	84
03/13	@ GSW	109-99W	42	30	16	82

Starting Lineups

Atlanta Hawks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bogdan Bogdanovic SG	33.6	40.5	31.1	73%	32.1
Clint Capela C	31.3	35.1	30.1	100%	30.4
De’Andre Hunter SF	25.3	28.2	25.0	33%	28.4
Jalen Johnson PF	38.2	46.3	38.1	100%	37.7
Dejounte Murray PG	49.3	50.5	47.6	100%	47.9

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luka Doncic SG	71.1	64.1	66.0	100%	66.4
Daniel Gafford C	34.1	28.8	29.1	70%	33.3
Kyrie Irving PG	48.7	40.5	42.9	100%	43.3
Derrick Jones Jr. SF	14.0	11.9	11.8	70%	13.5
PJ Washington PF	27.9	29.6	26.0	77%	24.7

Hawks Notable Injuries

Trae Young (PG): Avg: 25.4pts, 2.6reb, 10.6ast, 35.6 minutes. Last game: 03/28/24. Impact: 6.2
Onyeka Okongwu (PF/C): Avg: 10.2pts, 6.8reb, 1.3ast, 25.5 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 4.7
Trent Forrest (PG): Avg: 2.1pts, 1.3reb, 2.4ast, 10.8 minutes. Last game: 03/30/24. Impact: 1.5
Dylan Windler (SF/PF): Avg: 1.9pts, 0.8reb, 0.6ast, 5.1 minutes. Last game: 03/30/24. Impact: 0.8

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Dereck Lively II (C): Avg: 8.9pts, 6.8reb, 1.1ast, 23.6 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 3.2
Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.8reb, 0.6ast, 7.4 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.5
Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.4reb, 0.5ast, 7.9 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.6
AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 2.9pts, 0.8reb, 0.3ast, 6.4 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Luka Doncic	DAL	Pts	33.5	36.6	+3.1	20%	30%	53%	53%	ATL	-0.1	#16
Daniel Gafford	DAL	Pts	10.5	12.9	+2.4	20%	40%	53%	53%	ATL	-1.3	#8
Kyrie Irving	DAL	Reb	4.5	5.4	+0.9	0%	40%	40%	40%	ATL	0.0	#18
PJ Washington	DAL	Reb	5.5	5.8	+0.3	60%	60%	53%	53%	ATL	-1.5	#7

View All Player Prop Projections

Hawks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#8	#17	#1	#4	-8.5%
PF	#9	#6	#23	#14	-0.8%
PG	#30	#9	#15	#30	25.1%
SF	#20	#7	#23	#18	4.4%
SG	#16	#18	#13	#17	-0.9%

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#7	#13	#25	#8	-4.9%
PF	#13	#8	#5	#10	-3.5%
PG	#25	#16	#28	#28	17.4%
SF	#24	#3	#25	#17	-1.3%
SG	#13	#28	#11	#16	-1.4%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

114.1

117.4

Rebounds per Game

43.5

44.5

Assists per Game

28.1

Steals per Game

7.8

7.6

Blocks per Game

5.1

6.0

Shots per Game

89.9

89.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

15.0

13.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.8

58.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

39.6

37.1

Turnovers per Game

11.9

11.4

Fouls per Game

18.1

17.8

Recent Trends

Luka Doncic (PG) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 30.0 pts, 12.0 reb, 11.0 ast against GSW
Jalen Johnson (PF) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 28.0 pts, 14.0 reb, 11.0 ast against DET
Onyeka Okongwu (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.1% to 23.5, 34.1 min average previous 3 games.
Trae Young (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.6% to 23.3, 36.1 min average previous 3 games.